2010 Bluegrass Oaks
The 2010 Bluegrass Oaks features 20 outstanding sophomore fillies running for a history-making Grade I win. The stakes record is owned by Swift Kick; the filly ran the 9f distance in a stellar 1:47.3 in 2005. It will take a huge effort to eclipse that mark, but any filly here is capable of the feat.
Reporting for the Black Type Bugler are four veteran players: Silverny is a long-time Bugler staffer and trainer of such graded runners as Forty Rahys. Hawkz presents the view from Down Under and is wellknown for his exploits in the Bargain Bred Racing Series. Roxynken is the newest simmer on this panel and a devoted Bugler writer. Smokeglack campaigned the Eclipse-winning racemare Miesque’s Gold and assists the Bugler on major racedays.
| 1 | Qwik N Shiloh | Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Qwikvett1
|
Universal Racing Club
|
96
|
9:5-2-0
|
$802,520
|
26/1
|
17
|
|
|
Silverny: G1 SC Stomp (Equinics) winner. Graded win was at the six furlong distance, is G1 placed at eight and a half furlongs. Comes into this race off a poor finishing in the California Derby, however that was against colts, and many fillies can’t match strides with the boys, so you could theoretically toss that race out the window. Only wins on the lead, and there are too many closers in this race to let her get away too easily. Pass. |
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| 2 |
Ghost Stories
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Happybarn
|
Pastures of Green
|
99
|
8:5-1-0
|
$229,865
|
18/1
|
24
|
|
| Silverny: G3 winner of the Dubai 1000 Guineas. Has not won since that win, after said win she had a five win streak, and was looking to be a top contender in the Oaks. Since then though she has two sixth place finishes, undoubtedly trying to win on the lead, and being swallowed by the closers when she tires. She tries to sprint clear and hold off the closers, but as of late has been unsuccessful. Pass. Hawkz: Very lightly raced filly who has raced well in stakes company and wonThe Dubai 1000 Guineas-G3 8f 99sp has struggled in last to starts since then by a sire of some top dirt runners TALE OF THE CAT. Would need to run her best race to figure here. Roxyken: Ghost Stories will want to lead and her best race was run on the slop three races back. She’d probably be one of my picks on an off-track, but the conditions will be fast and she was beat out by several others in the Louisiana Oaks two races ago. Looks doubtful to me. Smokeglack: Winner of the Gr3 Dubai 1000 Guineas comes here today with a poor prep performance in a NG stakes. She rattled off 5 straight career victories, starting with her maiden win, but hit a plateau in her last 2 starts. Will most likely be sitting behind Qwik and Shiloh down the backside, and will try to make one big surge with 2f to go . Libit’s 2 nd starter in this race today. Predicted 9-14 finish today. |
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| 3 |
Captain Awesome
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Awesome Again x Gold At Last (Seeking The Gold) |
Lasthope
|
Pastures of Green
|
99
|
10:4-1-3
|
$467,020
|
13/1
|
5
|
|
| Silverny: Grade 1 winner from the DCPD series, hasn’t won since then. Trainer lasthope has been trying everything possible to get a win out of her, trying the lead, trying closing, turf, off track, nothing seems to be helping. Has not had a triple digit speed figure. Would like more if in better form. Pass. Hawkz: Dixiedotco Racing trained filly by top sire AWESOME AGAIN she won 4 racesat 2yrs including DPCD VIII Mother Story Handicap-G1 8f 92sp has been placed in graded races this year and must be place chance again here distance only question mark. Roxyken: I expect that Captain Awesome will run this race somewhere just off the lead. She has done well in the past, hitting the board in nearly every dirt start. Her best speed rated race was in the slop. I’m not sold that she will be the top dog in this race as her speeds have been in the low-to-mid 90’s lately on the dry track with others going better. I’d take a pass on her, at least in this race. Smokeglack: Dell Penn winner coming into the race off highest speed number of career. She will be one of the front-type stalkers in the race which will give her a good position throughout. Her biggest question here today is the 9f (although bred for it), and the collective class of the field. Needs to fire best shot today, which is always a possibility for Dixie . 4-8 predicted finish. |
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| 4 |
Brush With A Skunk
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Skunktime
|
Blazing Saddles
|
98
|
8:3-1-2
|
$192,641
|
19/1
|
50
|
|
| Silverny: Grade 1 placed in Amber Waves of Grain (Equinics). Allowance winner ran fourth in the Iool Oaks. Runs from the back, and seems to be begging for more distance, but cannot pick an allowance winner to run big in the Bluegrass Oaks. Pass. Hawkz: CONGRATS filly who had top 2yrold season two starts this year have produced a 3rd in the Equinics Amber Wave of Grain G1 9F 95sp and 4th lool Oaks-G1 8.5f 98sp improving with every run and always runs on. Loves distance and now ready for big run. Roxyken: An interesting tid-bit about this race…Almost half the entrants raced in the Lool Oaks (G1) including Brush With a Skunk. Brush finished forth albeit, behind several others in the race. Despite that, he made up the most lengths between the half and the finish. I think he is one to keep an eye on. Smokeglack: 8 start Congrats filly was a good closing 3 rd in Equnics 9f event. She will lead charge from the back with the deep closer gang. Should get desired pace up front and just can’t afford to spot the front pack group too much early in the race. If this filly is in good motion with 3f to go, she will be steaming late. Progressive speed numbers say she’s due for a big one for Skunkbarn . |
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| 5 |
Ignorify
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Mineshaft x Muds And Suds (Danzig) |
Squirrel
|
NWRC
|
100
|
11:4-4-1
|
$196,350
|
17/1
|
28
|
|
| Silverny: Grade 1 placed in the DPCD Mother Story. Multiple listed stakes winner. Has a triple digit speed figure, but tends to be very headstrong needing to be on or need the lead. She broke poorly in her last start, and was never in it. Facing similar competition today. Pass. Hawkz: The Squirrel Empire trained filly by MINESHAFT she won The GOLD RIVERII(IRE) Challenge-Stk 8f 100sp first up this season. If she can handle jump in class and distance may prove a difficult customer to handle here. Roxyken: Ignorify is a beautifully bred Mineshaft filly who has lots of spunk. She likes being near the front but has yet to win a graded event. Her top speed of 100 at a mile in a non-graded race shows she has ability, but she didn’t fare well in the Lool Oaks against many others in this field. Unfortunately, that race speaks for itself and I don’t see her outrunning her foes this time. Smokeglack: 2 time stakes winner and 3 rd place finisher of the Gr 1 Equinics at 8f, Ignorify will be in a good mid-pack position down the backside. She has been the 9 panels already and ran a good 2 nd to Diocese. Consistent filly has hit the board in 9 out of 11 starts. She will get a big benefit today as her running style of mid-pack type puts her with not too many around her. Will get big class test here and needs to fire on all cylinders to get the job done for Squirrel. Predicted finish 9-14. |
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| 6 |
Hawaiian Gold
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Jeffsbarn
|
unaffiliated
|
97
|
10:4-1-2
|
$250,770
|
20/1
|
8
|
|
| Silverny: Comes into the race off of a poor effort in the Iool Stakes. Gold did win the Los Vinegrette G1 earlier this year, which was her lone stakes win. Closer, but hasn’t shown great speed figures as of yet. That last race is a huge concern, she was never in the mix of things. Pass. Hawkz: TOUCH GOLD filly who has been raced against most of these fillies with some success. Has been placed 3rd California Oaks-G1 8.5f 96sp and was a wonderful winner of Los Vinegrette Stakes-G1 8f 97sp looks a chance at longer odds. A closer she will be coming home late. Roxyken: I like the race that Hawaiian Gold ran in the California Oaks, closing from 10 back to finish 3rd by 2. But her effort in the Lool Oaks leads to concern as she ran a flat 11 th despite having a top notch jockey aboard in the race. I expect to see improvement this time out. Smokeglack: The winner of The Los Vinagrette comes here after possibly the worst performance of her life. The positive spin is that it is now behind her and she can get back to her improving form. Closes big and if she can put it all together for one day, she can roll late to win. Capable of firing a 102-105 today which may be enough to win it all. Should get the quick pace she may need to fire late for Jeff. Top 4-8 predicted finish. |
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| 7 |
Diocese
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Riverdance
|
Pastures of Green
|
100
|
10:7-1-0
|
$330,440
|
9/1
|
33
|
|
| Silverny: Grade 2 winner of the Motherly Love. She has shown that she likes the 9f distance, winning a listed stake easily by 4. Another horse who tends to press the pace, but at least has shown the ability to hold going a distance, and even has a triple digit speed figure. Last race is a throw out, on a sloppy track, gets a fast track today. Like. Hawkz: As befitting a race of this prestige this joint favourite is a 9/1 top odds if you like her. The second of the Lilbitfarm Stables runner in this she has wins in The Motherly Love-G2 7f 93sp as a 2yrold and at 3yrs The RUBY ROUNDTABLE Memorial-Stk 9f 96sp two starts ago. Always runs on and a strong finish would carry her into the finish. Roxyken: Diocese didn’t care much for the slop in her last start but still put in a nice speed number. I can’t readily predict where she may be in the early going as she has a variety of styles from leading, to stalking, to closing from the back. Whatever way Jockey Darling takes her, she will be a factor to watch out for. Smokeglack: Trainer Wayne Lukas (Lilbit) brings 3rd starter to the gate here today. A daughter of Pulpit, she is 7 for 10 lifetime. She has won at 9f already and has a good running style for this race. May very well be your leader turning for home and if she can kick clear like in most of her races, she’s very, very dangerous here today. A masterful training job with this one has her primed for this effort today. Predicted 4-9 finish. |
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| 8 |
Taylor’s Story
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Distorted Humor x Carol of The Bells (Hennessy) |
Deyoto
|
Queensland
|
102
|
8:5-1-0
|
$603,680
|
11/1
|
6
|
|
| Silverny: Iool G1 stakes winner, comes in off of that win. Back to back triple digit speed figures. Running style suggests that the distance will be suitable, loves 8.5 furlongs at least. Race three back concerns me though, it was uncharacteristically bad, hate to see something like that show up in the big show again. Like Hawkz: One of Queensland’s favourite sons (He is really from Melbourne) Deyoto trains this filly by DISTORTED HUMOR from the G1 winning mare CAROL OF THE BELLS this filly has won 5 of 8 to date at 2yrs won the Mistaken Soda Identity Stakes-G3 8.5f 99sp and last time out beat a lot of these in the lool Oaks-G18.5f 102sp. A deep closer who should be dive bombing the leaders in the stretch.Good luck Rob cant wait to have a runner in one of these races one day must be a thrill. Roxyken: Taylor’s Story has back-to-back wins in the Louisiana Oaks and the Lool Oaks, both with speeds of 102. She’s beat many of these already…some twice. Would be no surprise if she does it again. Smokeglack: 5 for 8 lifetime filly comes here today after firing big in last 2. Has beat many in here already and if can duplicate either one of last 2, she can find the winners circle. Distance and running style fit well here today. Besides the possible bounce factor of her last two races (102 speed numbers back to back) she has much to like here today. Learning the game at the absolute best time for Deyoto . Top 3 finish predicted. |
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| 9 |
Bandito Dooter
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Hoots
|
unaffiliated
|
98
|
14:8-4-1
|
$153,720
|
17/1
|
44
|
|
| Silverny: Grade 3 placed in the Buckeye Debutante. Multiple listed stakes winner. The furthest that she has won at has been a flat mile. Yet another pace presser, ran close in last graded effort but tired to fifth. Not the way I’d like to see a horse enter the Oaks. Pass. Hawkz: BANDINI filly who has 8 wins so far a whopping 6 at 2yrs she has carried that on into her 3yrold season winning The TEQUILA SUNRISE Stakes 8f 96sp might just find some of these filly to tough here. Will race handy to the pace and that’s an advantage in big fields. Roxyken: Bandito shows nice improvement of late in speed numbers. Her record on the dirt of 8-4-1 looks nice in 14 starts, however a vast majority of these are against small fields, causing a bit of distortion. Her last race was against a talented full field, finishing 5th. My gut tells me to avoid her until she shows a few more races in larger fields. Smokeglack: Has to win on name alone. Experienced 3 yr old filly with 14 career starts and 8 wins (13 ITM) tested graded company again and finished 5 th last time out. Ran best speed number to date in Fantasia, but would have to better that much more here today. The 9f won’t help this filly much today. A classy horse for Gcutty, but may revert back to sprinting after this one. |
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| 10 |
Portrait
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Distorted Humor x Picture (A.P. Indy) |
Toreup
|
Blazing Saddles
|
97
|
7:4-1-1
|
$168,060
|
18/1
|
18
|
|
| Silverny: Listed stakes winner, G1 placed in the Movieland Starlet. Lightly raced filly, with just two starts this year, coming into the race off of a listed stakes win, with career best speed figure of 97. Versatile, can be near the pace or off of it. Gets six weeks off coming into the race, and distance doesn’t look to be a problem. Would like a little more graded experience, but could be coming into form at precise time. Like. Hawkz: My old mate Desperado Stables’ filly the second of the DISTORTED HUMOR runners she has won 4 from 7 so far and they include The OH NO ANOTHER GIRL Memorial-Stk8.5f 97sp last time out pointing to a top effort here good luck mate. Roxyken: Portrait had a lot of trouble in the Ohio Luck, finishing 9th, with a very large field of 18 running. This ultra-large field may again prove to be intimidating yet again to this Distorted Humor filly. Smokeglack: Runner-up of the Gr1 Movieland Startlet, Portrait makes her 3rd start of the year today. Had career best speed number of 97 in last start, but must better that by 7 if has a chance here today. Has run the best 2 races of her life at 8 ½ f, so the 9f should help her today. Should get a good spot down the backside today, and like many others here today, needs to fire at the right time. Class will be tested, but capable of big improve for Desperado . Could be an upset winner, and looks better than paper form may suggest. Predicted finish 4-9 |
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| 11 |
Acid Rain Cot
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Cothill
|
Minnesota Downs
|
105
|
8:3-3-0
|
$219,150
|
11/1
|
29
|
|
| Silverny: Grade 2 winner of the Mellow Breeze Hcp. Absolutely loved the off track, posted a 105 in her last effort. Great closing kick, gives an honest effort every time out. Only question is, peaking at the right time or just loved the slop? Possible. Hawkz: STORMY ATLANTIC filly who has really hit her straps at 3yrs last timeout had a huge win the Mellow Breeze Handicap-G2 8f 105sp in top form but will need luck from well back in field most of the way will need a clear passage in stretch. Roxyken: Wow!! was my reaction when seeing Acid’s outing in the Mellow Breeze. She rallied from 12 back (and last) to win by over a stride with a speed of 105 in the slop…but can she run on the dry track? The answer is yes, as she ran a similar effort in the non-graded Happy Honeymoon with a speed of 99. All I can say is: She is woman….watch out for her roar! Smokeglack: Deep closing Stormy Atlantic filly ran huge one last out in the Gr2 Mellow Breeze in the off going for Cothill . Coming into her own right now and will absolutely love the predicted pace in early parts of the race. Should love the 9f more than anyone in here, and could pose a threat to the whole bunch, if fires a tad better than last effort. Predicted 4-9 finish with strong upset capabilities. |
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| 12 |
Appealing Minister
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Pmjstable
|
Minnesota Downs
|
101
|
11:4-2-1
|
$257,805
|
19/1
|
96
|
|
| Silverny: Listed stakes winner. Best race was two back running a 101 going 8.5, made a middle of the race move and held on for the win. Has shown if she’s going to do anything she’ll be in the front at third call. Bounced in her last race, or outclassed. If she was outclassed then, she’ll be outclassed now. Pass. Hawkz: PULPIT filly who has won 4 races won Jersey Derby Queen-Stk 8.5f 101sp two starts ago. Two graded runs have seen her come up a little short of the markand she should be safely held here. Roxyken: A nice run in the Jersey Derby Queen for Appealing, winning the non-grade race with a speed of 101. Problem is that Appealing hasn’t fared well in graded races, missing the board three times. Unfortunately, I don’t see this race being the “break-through” race. Smokeglack: 3 yr old Pulpit daughter didn’t fire in Fantasia last out. She ran a nice 101 speed # In Jersey, but must find even more from that lifetime best. She will have a good spot in middle of pack though, and must time her move at the first sign of frontrunners cracking. Must run on all cylinders to get the job done for PMJ . |
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| 13 |
Hard Indian
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Hard Spun x Mr. Greeley |
Taylormade
|
Universal Racing Club
|
98
|
11:4-5-0
|
$1,232,250
|
16/1
|
3
|
|
| Silverny: Coming into the race off of a tough loss, finishing 12th in the Iool Stakes. Dual G1 winner, never winning my too much distance. Not sure if she’ll take to the added distance of the Oaks. She will need to bounce back off of that poor showing last time out. Yet to run a triple digit speed figure. Pass. Hawkz: Universal Stables the residency stable of the boss Jacklad trains this filly by HARD SPUN a million dollar winning filly she has won The Darley-G1 8.5f 92sp at 2yrs and has gone from strength to strength in her 3yrold year winning the California Oaks-G1 8.5f 98sp two starts ago had a rare bad race last timeout when 12th lool Oaks-G1 if you forgive her that run she has to be in this. Roxyken: As winner of the California Oaks, Hard Indian beat a few others in this field with a respectful 98 speed. That was good enough to send her off as the favorite in the Lool Oaks where she caved in badly. She gets moderately used Jockey Lynch who has 11% win percentage. Doesn’t add up well for me. Smokeglack: #3 ranked filly threw in a clunker last out. Maybe just what the doctor ordered for this usually very consistent filly. Class tested and distance should be right on the edge for her. Her only off the board finish was at 9f, albeit making up ground on the leader. Pace should suit her style well. Very dangerous horse for Jacklad . Top 3 finish predicted. |
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| 14 |
Final Screw
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Whocares
|
unaffiliated
|
94
|
8:2-1-0
|
$105,595
|
30/1
|
100
|
|
| Silverny: Listed stakes winner. Only has two wins in eight starts, speed figures cannot compare to horses in this race. Was a solid fourth at 2 in the Mother Story Hcp, but had a very poor showing in the Fantasia. Pass. Hawkz: Outsider of this field this filly by RAMONTI (FR) won early on turf but has handle the dirt in good style winning The GRANNY EXALTED Challenge-Stk 91sp two starts ago over this distance. Roxyken: Final Screw switched to dirt last November and realized a nice boost in speed numbers. She has two graded starts on the dirt and failed to hit the board in either. Don’t see that changing in this race. Smokeglack: 2 for 8 Ramonti filly is in tough spot here today. Only 3rd start of year for her, which may help or hurt. Progressive speed numbers in last 3, but needs a huge surge forward to be in top 5. Whocares gets the last spot on the entry list for the Oaks. |
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| 15 |
Causeway Queen
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Goldsmith
|
Comedy Central
|
99
|
7:2-2-3
|
$443,160
|
13/1
|
9
|
|
| Silverny: Comes into the race off of a solid 2nd in the Iool Oaks. Tends to press the pace too much, and makes a move too early in the race, which will affect her chances in the Oaks. Never won a stakes race, last win was a NW2L alw, has shown the class to run with them but not necessarily beat them. Has not won at a route distance. Pass. Hawkz: Filly by the top sire GIANT’S CAUSEWAY (IRE) who has never been out of the money in 7 starts she won two allowance races at 2yrs this year her 4 starts this year include a 2nd THE OHIO LUCK G1 at the Equinics 8f 96sp.was 2nd the Lool Oaks-G1 99sp 8.5f and she will be in it again here. Handy runner who will sit on leaders and drive through in stretch. Roxyken: Causeway Queen is a tough little girl who finished 2nd in the Lool Oaks and 3 rd in the Louisiana Oaks, faring much better than others who ran against her in those races. With that in mind, she should be thrown into any boxed exotic wagers. Smokeglack: 3 Yr old filly by Giant’s Causeway only has 2 wins, but has hit the board in some tough company in every one of them. Runner-up finisher in the Equinics and the Lool Oaks, finishing ahead of many in here today. Is consistent as they come, but must find a tad bit more to beat them all in the same race. If she can surge forward just a bit, she can take it down. If runs her usual, at least a board placing is possible. A consistent performer for Goldsmith . |
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| 16 |
Union Jack Flyer
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Poowillck
|
EAAA Racing
|
105
|
5:3-2-0
|
$223,920
|
14/1
|
20
|
|
| Silverny: G2 winner of the Fantasia Hcp. Super lightly run, with only five starts, three wins and two places. Last race was Fantasia, with a whopping 105 speed figure. However impressing the result of that race was, the entrants were not. None of those will be running in the Oaks today. Union Jack comes into the race with impressive form, but has not been truly tested as of yet, I’d say Possible. Hawkz: Very lightly raced filly by A.P. INDY who has made great strides in 5 races winning 3 and placing 2nd twice last time out she won the Fantasia Handicap-G28.5f 105sp. A very exciting filly who could turn out to be one of the best for her age this season and beyond. Roxyken: Hmmm…Union Jack Flyer…hmmm…She won her sole graded race, the Fantasia Handicap in a speed of 105. She beat 3 others in the race that performed poorly in comparison. She’s a late closing A.P. Indy filly with only 5 races under her belt. I’d like to see a few more races under her belt to see if she’s the real thing, but her breeding does point that way. I’d keep an eye on her, I think she can pull off a surprise here. Smokeglack: Impressive up and coming filly with only 5 career starts with 3 wins. Won the Gr2 Fantasia drawing away with a 105 speed number. Impeccably bred and will love the 9f distance. Has done everything asked of her already, but today she faces all the big girls together. If can overcome the slight lack of experience, and continue her progression, we may be looking at the next star of the Sim. Will try to learn quickly in only 6 th start for Pogwillck . Predicted 4-9 finish with supreme room for a 6 th start Gr1 winner. |
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| 17 |
Incredible Rippa
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Tg1
|
unaffiliated
|
103
|
13:2-1-2
|
$526,000
|
14/1
|
10
|
|
| Silverny: Winner of the G2 Louisiana Oaks. Hard knocking filly with 1 triple digit speed figure. Two wins on here resume, including the aforementioned Louisiana Oaks. Tends to press the pace and make a move at the wrong time. Should improve with age, but inconsistent at this time. Pass. Hawkz: GHOSTZAPPER filly who has only won 2 of 13 so she doesn’t win out of turn but when she does its at the top end. Two starts ago she won the LouisanaOaks-G2 8.5f 103sp. If caught on her best behaviour here she would take a power of beating. Roxyken: Incredible took the win in the Louisiana Oaks and ran a respectful 5th in the Lool Oaks. She has a history of struggling in past races and that’s enough of a flag to keep me at bay. Smokeglack: Louisiana Oaks winner is one of many that didn’t seem to fire in the head scratching Lool Oaks. She should be sitting off a very fast pace, which she must time her move when they show signs of fatigue. If she can time her move and run back to her big Louisiana race, she can be a threat. Capable of improve off last race for TG . Predicted 4-8 finish. |
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| 18 |
CK Blurred Cat
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Giant’s Causeway x CK Blurred Vision (Distorted Humor) |
Docoz
|
Minnesota Downs
|
102
|
10:7-1-0
|
$1,929,000
|
9/1
|
4
|
|
| Silverny: Last year’s juvenile filly champ, yet to win as a 3yo. Last win came on Minny Day, poor fillies getting picked on by a grade one champion. Comes into the race off of a 6 week layoff. She was running late and earned a triple digit speed figure last time out. Added distance should not be a problem, but making sure she’s in the form she was last year is the real concern. Possible. Hawkz: Joint favourite and one of the highest ranked filly in this race she is by GIANT’S CAUSEWAY (IRE) his second runner in the race. Trained by Team CK who have produced some top runners of late. She has won nearly $2,000,000 in earnings wins include 7 of 8 at 2yrs. Eclipse Champion 2yo Filly on Dirt 2009 with 3 G1 wins including the Breeders’ Bowl Juvenile Filly-G1 8.5f 95sp ran on from the back when 6th THE OHIO LUCK G1 at the Equinics 95sp first up at 3yrs then 2nd The Lady Bourbon-G3 last time out 8f 102sp the extra furlong should be to her liking here and what beats her wins this. Roxyken: CK Blurred Cat won 3 straight graded races last fall and comes off a strong 2nd in the Lady Bourbon where she posted a nice speed of 102. With 7 wins in 10 starts, this Giant’s Causeway mare is owed some respect. Smokeglack: BB winner and #4 ranked filly is 7 for 10 lifetime with almost $2,000,000 earned. Has been trained beautifully by Docoz . Only her 3 rd start of the year, so unlike some in here, she has been brought up perfectly to this race. Has never been 9f, but breeding and running style pose no threat with that. Imposing filly looms large here today. Predicted Winner. |
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| 19 |
Pejorative T
|
Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
|
|
Tedstables
|
WorldWideRacing
|
99
|
13:1-4-4
|
$165,670
|
22/1
|
22
|
|
| Silverny: Maiden winner, G1 placed in the Frickazee. Has not won since May of last year, gets into Oaks due to two of the top twenty fillies being Derby bound, and a couple of graded placings. Comes into the race of back to back bad runs, once against the colts and once against the fillies. Looks to be a pacesetter, which is another reason I don’t prefer her. Pass. Hawkz: JOHAR filly with only one win so far but has been placed in top graded company including The Sell The Queen-G2 9f 86sp at 2yrs and 2nd The GOLD RIVERII(IRE) Challenge-Stk 8f 99sp three starts back will need to reproduce that form to figure here. Roxyken: Can a horse that has one win in 13 starts win the Oaks? Pejorative has that record and will give it a shot. She hit a speed of 99 back in February, but hasn’t come that close to it since. She’ll be out there early but I don’t see her pulling off the upset. Smokeglack: Solid performing 2 yr old has not carried it over to her 3 yr old season. Comes into today with 2 dismal efforts in last two. Possibly thrown way off form with Fl Derby entry, and didn’t run well in Lool Oaks subsequent to that. Positive side is she is one of few that has run 9f before and ran fairly well in it. Tough spot here today to ask a horse to regain confidence, but Ted brings her here today to try make it possible. 9-14 predicted finish. |
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| 20 |
Epsilon Cat
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Trainer | Residency | Top SP | Record | Earnings | Odds | Div Rank |
 Eddington x Alpha Cat (Storm Cat) |
Wortud
|
Pastures Of Green
|
100
|
13:6-2-2
|
$166,450
|
11/1
|
15
|
|
| Silverny: Winner of two listed stakes, third in the Iool Oaks. Coming into this race off of a hard fought third in the Iool Oaks where she made a premature move and faded to third. However that third makes her eligible to run today. Does her best running on the lead, but in her most recent stakes tries she’s either not had enough speed to get there or maybe the trainer has asked the jock to change her style. Either way she’s coming into the race slightly off form. Has a triple digit speed figure, winning a listed stake this year by running just off the pacesetter. Has been in the money 10 of 13 starts, winning 6, but something tells me to Pass. Hawkz: Lilbitfarm Stables third runner this one by EDDINGTON she has 6 wins so far including The EXBOURNE’S ASIA Special-Stk 8.5f 100sp and The LAKEHOUSE Stakes 98sp 8f. Last time out ran 3rd the lool Oaks-G1 8.5f 98sp another filly who adds to the puzzle when trying to pick the winner. Roxyken: In the Lool Oaks, Epsilon Cat put in a game effort, finishing 3rd behind two others in this race. A 6 th in the California Oaks put her behind 3 others running in this race. I believe she’ll need to bring her best game to overtake her foes. Smokeglack: Consistent little filly like her real life father was. No graded wins yet, but has 2 show spots in Gr 1’s. Don’t think the ½ furlong more today helps an awful lot, but consistency makes up for some of that. Expect she and Captain Awesome to be the first to take shots at the leaders around the 3f left marker. Needs a well timed run for Libit and a best career run to date to get it done today. Predicted 9-14 finish. |
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Silverny’s Picks:
Win: Taylor’s Story
Place: Diocese
Show: Portrait
Use in Superfecta: Acid Rain Cot and Union Jack Flyer
Hawkz’s Picks:
1st CK BLURRED C AT(KY)
2nd TAYLOR’S STORY(KY)
3rd UNION JACK FLYER(KY)
Roxyken’s picks:
Taylor’s Story
Acid Rain Cot
Causeway Queen
CKBlurred Cat
Longshots with a shot:
Qwik N Shiloh
UnionJack Flyer
Smokeglack’s Top 3:
CK Blurred Cat – BB winner has so much to like today. Class, distance and spotting of races all serve her well today. Will be charging hard at the top of the stretch.
Hard Indian – BB runner-up tries to turn the table on top choice. Love the fact she got poor race out of the way in last. Consistent graded filly will try to out foot CK to the wire. May get the wrong end of the photo.
Taylor’s Story – Would have no problem putting in top spot if not for huge back to back runs. If she has still has some in her reserve tank, and runsanything back to last two, capable of beating the top 2.