Brown Fields Handicap
Brown Fields Handicap
Grade III
A mile and one eighth
Firm Turf
$200,000
All horses, 3 years old and up
1 84389 DREAMING OF LAUREN capncoke N Mayberry 11/1
2 58290 DOM TENDENCIES slipknot22 V Naugle 7/2
3 86626 NEALE DANIHER ceres T McGriggs 9/1
4 35812 SADLER MAMBO y2k K Dodds 10/1
5 57333 T CAST OFF(IRE) good M Markus 33/1
6 72491 LEVEN SEVENTY WON skids J White 5/1
7 18532 ABE HOLLANDIA(IRE) hollandia3 M Peters 10/1
8 33873 LIGHT SPECTRUM(GB) blaster2 D Schad 7/1
9 2867 A. P. POLL n2racing O Sturman 10/1
10 86374 SPEARVILLE vampire3 B Dickerson 13/1
11 35134 A BUS(AUS) brew C Winter 8/1
12 33676 CEPHAS(IRE) iamprofit BA Ryan 17/1
13 14164 OVER THE TOP(IRE) sheiky F Rubley 25/1
Welcome to todays feature, a Grade III over 9f on the turf course for all horses three and up. A good field here with a fairly open look to the race. There are only three runners without a chance of making the money, OVER THE TOP(IRE) , CEPHAS(IRE) and T CAST OFF(IRE) .
DOM TENDENCIES is the favourite based on theree good runs lately at a mile in stakes and graded races. At both recent Grade I attempts though he has led at the threequarter pole and been caught by the finish. That makes me think that either Grade I’s are a step too far for him or he needs to run shorter at this level. Has a favourites chance but may again get caught, especially with the extra furlong.
LEVEN SEVENTY WON has also been running in graded races over the mile and ran a sparkling 113 to win four runs back. Another effort like that here would see a cosy win but his latest run was poor by comparison, only a 94 for tenth place. Having run forty races I wonder if he’s not on the downgrade and he will find a few too good today. LIGHT SPECTRUM(GB) had a few good runs in stakes races at this distance over a year ago and ran a respectible comeback race latest after her sabatical. She will now be fully tuned up and could put up a good run. In fact with the distance being perfect and as she likes to sit near the front, she can take the win.
A BUS(AUS) may be the big danger, if you ignore his latest run on a yielding surface, his previous race was a great gradeI victory over todays distance and I expect him to make the first two, if not to take the win. NEALE DANIHER is another with good graded runs recently but in hios case he will find the 9f too short. In his best runs he has come from the back or near the back at 10f and over and he will find that a bit more difficult in todays faster race. Will still put up a good run though and I expect him to make the frame.
SADLER MAMBO was running in graded races before reverting to stakes for his last two runs. He’s finished in the top two or three in a lot of recent races but only won a stakes, which suggets he can’t quite finish his races at this level. Can still put up a good run though and can pick up some minor money. ABE HOLLANDIA(IRE) has won a grade III recently but that run was a steo above anything before or since. This looks his distance and if reproducing that winning run he can make the money but I suspect he will be finishing in the middle of the pack.
A. P. POLL has put together a nice run of stakes victories at 9.5f and he should have no problem with the half furlong less. He is clearly still on the upgrade and I expect a big run here as he’s one of the few whoi are running at the correct distance. Look for minor place money today.
DREAMING OF LAUREN has been running almost exclusively in grade I and II races recently and his two best runs have been at todays distance. One was a grade I win with a 107 and the other was only a fourth but that was with some cut in the ground. At his optimum trip and with the firm ground he is a very lively outsider and can make the top three. SPEARVILLE has been running in stakes and just held on over 8.5f latest. This looks just too far and too good for him.
PREDICTION-
1/ A BUS(AUS) 2/ DREAMING OF LAUREN 3/ NEALE DANIHER