13 colts prepare for Buckeye Juvenile
The Buckeye Juvenile
Grade III
8.5 F
Fast Dirt
$200,000
All horses, 2 years old
Welcome to the Buckeye Juvenile where the field is deep and the purse is too. We have a couple of colts going that have yet to finish out of the money. Even still there are others in the field that have yet to win or even race beyond the maiden level. Let’s meet the horses and trainers that will compete for The Buckeye Juvenile.
1) Essence Of What – 28/1 – summit1
This colt comes in with the longest odds for a couple of reasons. Although he does have a stakes win under his belt, he has yet to run a speed better than 80. Last time out he faded late in a 6 furlong race which is the farthest distance he has been tried on. This colt has plenty of good things to come but, I expect him to be outmatched by this deep field.
2) Bridled Dancer – 5/1 – russ
Last time out Bridled Dancer came out the winner of the G1 Horsehead Juvenile. He is the only horse in the field to have already won a graded race. This colt can’t seem to run far enough. This is his longest distance yet. In the last race he was still pulling away from the field at the end of 7 furlongs. He draws jockey M. Grunhard with a 26 win percentage. It is clear to see why the odds makers like this horse and well deserves the tag as favorite to win.
3) Try The Theatre – 8/1 – pauldmd
This colt gains momentum and closes on the lead as long as the race goes on. This is good news for pauldmd as this is his longest distance yet. His last time out he raced in SMACKDOWN and posted his best speed of 82 but, simply could not close quickly enough. It will be interesting to see how he handles the race with the extended time off.
4) Cryptoshmurphy – 8/1 – chezlea
This colt has ran on dirt three times and closed well in all three of those races. However, his last time out was on turf in his first stakes appearance and he lost ground in the stretch, though still finished second. I expect Cryptoshmurphy to regain his closing form on the dirt and give the favorites a great run.
5) Silver Tongue – 18/1 – reminder
This colt enters his 7th race with his best speed at his longest distance on dirt. That provides some good news for trainer reminder as Silver Tongue as appeared to be a bit inconsistent as he finds out his prime running conditions. This will be a stakes debut, as the last time out was the first race he had won outside of the maiden level. I expect his closing speed will likely not be enough to catch this field.
6) Incredible Law – 9/1 – tg
Incredible Law has come up empty in two straight races in the Horsehead Juvenile and the G2 Vermont BB Juvenile respectively. He has run his best speeds in shorter races and this being his longest race yet provides a daunting challenge. In his first three races he provided good closing speed to take either 1st or 2nd in each of those races. However, in his last two, (at the graded level); he has lost his edge the longer the race went.
7) My Destiny – 9/1 – saver
A very inexperienced colt that has only ran in two races. The last time out he won his maiden at 8 furlongs by pulling away late. Q. Redden is not likely to help out too much with his 5% winning percentage. A good goal for the colt would probably be to finish ITM in his first race outside of the maiden level. The inexperience and slower speed will likely prove too much for this colt to handle.
8) Encosta Rom – 27/1 – acarigua
He has shown good closing speed in both of his previous races. He finished well off the lead in his stakes race last time out but, was still able to make up ground in the stretch. He will likely find the lead farther away and harder to catch in this deep field. You will not find any confidence in his jockey M. Frame. It is hard to imagine this horse seriously challenging in his first graded race.
9) Drunken Fish – 6/1 – bigal50
This colt’s last time out provided his best speed of 85 at his longest distance of 7.5 furlongs. The odds makers love this horse every time out and his pedigree is a good start to see why (Awesome Again X Storm Cat X A.P. Indy). This is Drunken Fish’s stakes debut and it looks to provide bigal50 with a memorable one. He is very lightly raced and has improved speeds his last 3 times out.
10) Aerial – 6/1 – roar99
There is a noticeable and significant pattern in this colt’s race history. Each time out this colt has run a farther distance and each time out his speed has increased by an average over 7 each race. Once again his distance is increased and there is significant reason to believe that his best speed of 86 will be topped. Aerial has never finished worse than 2nd in his 4 races while racking up a stakes win and just over $89,000 in purse money. Combine his credentials with L. Ingersoll’s win percentage of 16 and that makes Aerial a horse to watch for certain.
11) Theodore Bagwell – 8/1 – mogulaxius
Good morning Teddy! If Bagwell looks this good I can’t wait to see Linc the Sink. This horse has only raced once and won his maiden race of 8 furlongs at a speed of 82. He is a very strong closer but, is most certainly an unknown as we only have one race to go on and his pedigree suggests he is more of a sprinter.
12) Skunkbridled Song – 7/1 – skunkbred2
This colt has yet to finish outside of the money. He has posted his best two speeds at off tracks. Last time out he made his stakes debut at The Father Mike Cap and finished 3rd. He draws B. Girt who has only raced 94 times but, posts a respectable 10% win percentage. I expect Skunkbridled Song to finish well as he has done so in all of his races thus far if he can keep it close in the beginning.
13) Marquis De Carabas – 20/1 – behr
In his last race he closed quickly on the field after he made a move after the 4th furlong. He was able to win his first allowance race at a distance of 7 furlongs. He has only raced 3 times and had success in both the maiden and allowance level. While he is inexperienced at the stakes level and his pedigree is nothing flashy his closing speed could pose an outside threat to pull off a huge upset.
It is hard to go against the only horse to win on the graded level, much less a Grade I. But, that is exactly what I predict to happen as I pick Aerial to win his first graded race for roar99. However, I’m sure neither russ nor Bridled Dancer would mind proving me wrong and continuing their winning ways. Bridled Dancer is my second pick to take home the purse. With my third pick I’m smelling a bit of an upset (sorry couldn’t resist) in Skunkbridled Song. The deep field looks to upset the favorites but, it seems to breakdown with Aerial and Bridled Dancer 1st and 2nd in some order. This is certainly a race you won’t want to miss!