Strong Field for Juvenile Turf
By Sremel
1. FOR MY LITTLE BRO 2yo Colt 6: 4-1-1 $212,790 9-1
Scratch: TAPIT x DEPUTY MINISTER x MR. PROSPECTOR
Residency: GR Simsters
Trainer: lopickles
Breeder: lopickles
This scratch bred colt has six starts to his name with all on the board finishes. First trying the dirt and getting going in early March, the colt switched to the turf in May and found great success. Regally bred for either surface his first route attempt last out was also his first graded appearance. He took home the win with a 94 speed figure and did it by two lengths. Like most all of his competitors he has done nothing wrong and should be a strong contender if he does not bounce off that last effort.
2. DARKNESS OVERCOME 2yo Colt 4: 2-0-2 $202,320 11-1
Mare: BEAUTIFUL LYRICS – DARK ANGEL (IRE) x SEA THE STARS x STORM CAT
Residency: All-Stars Racing
Trainer: asrstar4
Breeder : asrstar3
One of four horses in the field yet to pick up a graded win it is not for a lack of trying. Of four starts his last two have been thirds in graded company. His first route race saw him closing fast and finishing third behind two others he faces again here. Lightly races, would not be surprised if he improved off that start. First foal out of Grade 3 sprint mare who also ran well as a two year old, this colt could easily be a threat.
3. FROM AVALON 2yo Colt 5: 4-0-0 $362,460 11-1
Mare: POOLS OF MAROON – FASTNET ROCK (AUS) x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY x GALILEO (IRE)
Residency: Empire State Racing
Trainer: eminc10
Breeder : eminc
The sixth foal from multiple graded producer Pools Of Maroon, From Alavlon has provided her mare with a third graded winner. Outside of a loss in his second start, where he faced stakes company and cutback in distance to five furlongs, this colt is undefeated. Just holding last out for the win I would expect he may get a little less tired this out. He will have to find a pace to stalk from in this field and see if he does not get shuffled a little further back than he would prefer in the fray. I have to admit some bias here as his half sister is in my barn, but you can not possibly throw him out based off his lovely record.
4. GO TO CHURCH 2yo Gelding 7: 3-1-2 $351,550 10-1
Scratch: TAPIT x DANEHILL x SADLER’S WELLS
Residency: Drunken Jockeys Club
Trainer: beerkeg10
Breeder : beerkeg
Only out of the money in his first start on the the dirt, this scratch bred gelding by Tapit ran huge last out posting a 99 speed in the Grade 2 Bedford over familiar rivals here. I see no reason for him to not continue his success. He is one of the six that has had multiple route starts. His stalking speed style is a favorite in here so he will be fighting early for position.
5. FLOWER SHOPS 2yo Gelding 8: 3-3-0 $360,280 13-1
Scratch: SEA THE STARS x DANEHILL x FRANKEL (GB)
Residency: Drunken Jockeys Club
Trainer: beerkeg6
Breeder : beerkeg
Another Grade 2 winning scratch bred, this gelding by Sea The Stars ran very poorly last out. He may have bounced off his win before that in the Champagne but he will need to find previous form here. He should get some help from his closing style. Though there is only one truly need the lead type, there is a large stalking group that could be fighting for position and push the pace faster than expected. With eight starts I am not completely sold on throwing out his last, he could be getting tired. I could be convinced he will show up again with the right trip
6. BUILT ON STILTS 2yo Colt 7: 1-2-1 $158,601 12-1
Hemare: BUILDS – CURLIN x CONSTITUTION x PULPIT
Residency: East-West Connection
Trainer: jarrod3
Breeder : jarrod3
Out of a graded placed hemare this Curlin colt has put together a spotty campaign. In fact one might question why he showed up here. Quickly you would see that he only has three turf starts, all in the money. His last start was a fast closing second in the Kick Knack Juvenile for his first route attempt. I would expect another step forward in his second run over the distance. With his closing style he might get a good setup if a fight up top or middle forms and causes tiring. He still has to find a way through but do not throw out for the exotics.
7. LAMB FILLETS 2yo Colt 5: 2-0-1 $130,584 15-1
Hemare: KING LAMB – TEOFILO x KINGMAN x PIONEEROF THE NILE
Residency: East-West Connection
Trainer: corzak2
Breeder : corzak2
Another colt with a puzzling last out, this Grade 3 winning son by Teofilo is another out of a graded placed hemare in this field. His last out could be a flop, also with only one true speed ball I would not be surprised if the early speed is dialed up on this colt. His graded win came at the mile distance where he got brave on the lead. He could try to repeat this as stalking/closing last out did not seem to be to his liking.
8. TROJAWI 2yo Colt 6: 2-3-0 $149,061 15-1
Mare: TROJANVILLE – DUBAWI (IRE) x DYNAFORMER x DANZIG
Residency: GR Simsters
Trainer: 1strule
Breeder : experimental
This Grade 3 winning son of Dubawi out of multiple graded stake producing mare is looking to pick up a first Grade 1 for her. His win at 9 furlongs last out was his second win and the furthest distance traveled of any competitors in this race. That added distance may help him as he cuts back to 8 furlongs, he should not be tired. He does seem to prefer the longer distances and his breeding supports this theory. Wile the distance could be less to his liking, this colt has done everything right, having been first or second in all but his first start. Definitely has a strong chance.
9. HERNE ISLAND 2yo Colt 3: 3-0-0 $113,760 12-1
Mare: HELLSTRIKER – DUNDEEL (NZ) x PIVOTAL x SMART STRIKE
Residency: GR Simsters
Trainer: thethumb06
Breeder : 6legends
A perfect three for three this lightly raced cold has found himself weaving through packs in his last two starts to win well. Impressive his first route try, the Dundeel colt streaked past rivals to win going away. His speed figures have jumped by nearly ten points every start and I would not be shocked to find them jump again on Friday. Out of a Grade 1 winner and producer this colt has a large legacy to follow since his half brother is a 2000 Guineas and Equinics winner. The mile seems a strong distance for the family and I would say he is a must on any ticket.
10. BUISTED 2yo Colt 7: 4-1-2 $437,700 5-1
Mare: BUIST’S RETURN – DUBAWI (IRE) x FORTY NINER x SADLER’S WELLS
Residency: Pastures of Green
Trainer: marky
Breeder : marky
The last foal from graded placed and five time graded producer Buist’s Return, this Dubawi colt will come off short rest to attempt to give his dam the elusive Grade 1 win. HIs last start he posted a 100 speed figure which is the highest (barely) in the field. Though he finished second, the race was a sprint and it appears he may like the mile a bit better, though more races are needed to prove such. With four wins and 100% in the money record this colt should find himself in good company and is well liked by the odds makers as the 5-1 lukewarm favorite. Has a good look with going back to the mile.
11. FRUSTRAITEDBYAPATHY 2yo Colt 5: 3-1-0 $502,320 9-1
Scratch: NO NAY NEVER x COMMANDS (AUS) x LYPHARD
Residency: All-Stars Racing
Trainer: asrstar10
Breeder : slowroll10
Having only ever sprinted this scratch bred colt by sprint sire sensation No Nay Never seems to be up against it. Though his record is strong with three wins and a second from five starts, stepping into this class and first time routing is nothing short of a monster task. The colts numbers are strong and he has not shown distance limitations as of yet. In fact I would argue he should be tried longer so to find him in this spot is not outside the realm of good thought. If he takes to the mile he could show stronger than expected. As they say, you have to be in it to win it and I am not one to count out a graded winner even if he is trying something a little new.
12. ARKHAN 2yo Colt 6: 3-1-0 $144,166 9-1
Scratch: LOPE DE VEGA x NUREYEV x DANEHILL
Residency: GR Simsters
Trainer: dragonrider8
Breeder: upperhand
Another closer who has yet to win a stake or graded race, this scratch bred son of Lope De Vega has proven a good count of himself last out. Missing a Grade 2 at the distance by a head proves he is of this class and has found routing to his liking. Outside his lone dirt try this colt has done nothing wrong and could find himself in the mix on Friday. A good foundation at the distance should help his case making him a horse worth looking at. If you like how he looks on the track not a bad bet.
13. ORANGE LINE 2yo Colt 4: 4-0-0 $148,440 10-1
Mare: OTTO ORLANDO – WRITTEN TYCOON (AUS) x SCAT DADDY x DANZIG
Residency: GR Simsters
Trainer: verona
Breeder : verona
The widest drawn of the two undefeated colts this son of Written Tycoon looks to add to the family record. Out of Breeders Bowl Filly and Mare Turf Champion Otto Orlando, distance should not be an issue unless it is of the not enough ground variety. Having never been pressed, one wonders what or where the foundation and bottom of this horse is like. The only true speedball, he could find himself on a lonely lead if there is not a battle for position behind him pushing it faster. He has the speed and ability to get the distance so a little miffed at him being 10-1 and not a shorter favorite. With no end of talent in site he would not be off my ticket. Likely the actual favorite, despite his numbers look for him to be in front at any point of the race.
14. INNER OUTLAW 2yo Horse 5: 1-2-0 $148,630 8-1
Scratch: FRANKEL (GB) x DYNAFORMER x NIJINSKY 2ND
Residency: Empire State Racing
Trainer: slowrollelite1
Breeder : slowroll11
Drawing the final gate this scratch bred Frankel colt ran a very good race last out in his first try at 8 furlongs. Only a quarter of a length behind the winner and closing, a second shot at the competition and the distance could do him well. With five starts this colt really liked the distance and I would only expect for him to improve on that last effort when getting the same distance. Another closer/stalker type wherever this horse lands he could make a strong run to threaten or even take the win. While he is the last of the small group without a graded win in here he is showing plenty of talent and could easily rectify given time. It is a big ask to win your first graded in a field such as this but he has proven he has this class.
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Good luck to all, and to all a safe trip.