Rainforest forecast muddles Timber Stakes(G3) picture (Written by Rock63)
Article Written by Rock63.
Our Feature race of the day is the Grade III Timber Stakes, for 3 year old fillies and mares, going 1 1/16 miles over an off dirt track. Here’s a brief look at those going postward:
1. Die Verwandlung 9/2 – Race 3 starts back was the third of three wins in a row. That was in a small stakes race. Came back the next out to run up front and take a nice third in the prestigious Gr. I California Oaks at big odds. Then threw in a dull outing LTO in anouther Gr. I. Has been off over a month now. Should rebound with a nice effort today.
2. Hoosier Queen 6/1 – Nicely bred and lightly raced grey mare, has never been worse than 3rd in 5 lifetime starts. Her race LTO was a nice closing win in her first try around two turns. Steps up in class once again today, and could surprise.
3. Too Gold 9/2 – This tough grey mare has been either first or third in all 6 of her lifetime starts, all around 2 turns. Well bred and has shown lots of heart, but has only 1 off track start, and that was A fading third in A short field of 4. She does have good early speed.
4. War Treaty 11/1 – Mare with good bloodlines, and seems to be just now coming into her own. The last 3 starts are her first three trys around 2 turns, and she has not been worse than third in those races. A bit more improvement today could put her close.
5. Tale Of Peace 4/1 – This girl certainly shouldn’t mind the distance or the off going. Her career began with two sub-par sprints before the trainer switched her to routes, where her first 3 trys were a third, then she won two straight, ALL THREE IN THE MUD, the last being a small stakes race. She usually runs from mid pack. I will definately be playing her in my exotics.
6. Virago Victory 12/1 – Mainly a sprinter, and a good one, but was up the track in her only route try at this level. Also today will be her first try on an off track.
7. Sisson’s Stown 5/2 – Comes in well rested, and having won her last three starts. In 5 lifetime starts around two turns, she has 3 wins and two seconds. She can lead, or set just off the pace. The only question is, how will she do in her career debut on an off track? I’m thinking that she may not win, but her heart and class will keep her close.
8. Sky Stag 6/1 – Has A win and two seconds from 5 lifetime races on off tracks, accounting for almost exactly a third of her career earnings. She is a regular at this level, and has enough speed to be the pacesetter. Could hang on for part.
Picks:
Win: #1 Well fit and ready for this from recent outs.
Place: #5 Ok, lets all say it together “Who’s your mudder?”
Show: #7 Would have to throw a clunker to miss the board.
Longshot: #2 “Hoosier Longshot?”
Play the 1 over the 2/5/7
Have A great weekend everyone!!
Rock63