Friday Night – Local Championship Stakes – Illinois

Friday, October 16, 2020 — 9:00:00 PM EST
Illinois – Local Championship Stakes – Purse : $100,000
12 Furlongs – Good Turf – Restricted to 3 Year Olds and Older

Watch Race – 3D Viewer   –   Watch Race – 2D Viewer

Post 1 – BLUESKIESNRICHES – 12/1

BLUESKIESNRICHES is sired by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS and is running for the bargainnow stable.  BLUESKIESNRICHES has won in 3 times in 19 starts for a 16% win rate and will be ridden by jockey P Munoz (1809 377-312-283 21%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 101 (7)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 2 – BLAMOURIZE – 6/5

BLAMOURIZE is sired by TAPRIZE and is running for the neonindy stable.  BLAMOURIZE has won in 18 times in 28 starts for a 64% win rate and will be ridden by jockey R Gray (151 21-34-24 14%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 116 (1)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite

Post 3 – CHEAPY LIGHTNING – 10/1

CHEAPY LIGHTNING is sired by RIDE THE LIGHTNING and is running for the dragonstone stable.  CHEAPY LIGHTNING has won in 5 times in 21 starts for a 24% win rate and will be ridden by jockey V Fraser (231 32-44-31 14%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 103 (5)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 4 – TIRED AND PUNCHY – 7/1

TIRED AND PUNCHY is sired by THREE HOUR NAP and is running for the category5 stable.  TIRED AND PUNCHY has won in 6 times in 16 starts for a 38% win rate and will be ridden by jockey P Bower (114 11-13-25 10%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 103 (5)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 5 – SNYPER – 5/1

SNYPER is sired by GENERAL A ROD and is running for the redwoods stable.  SNYPER has won in 6 times in 22 starts for a 27% win rate and will be ridden by jockey B Larsen (646 102-112-83 16%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 104 (4)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 6 – HISWELLS – 7/2

HISWELLS is sired by HIS SPECIAL GUY and is running for the jwsonnyb stable.  HISWELLS has won in 12 times in 25 starts for a 48% win rate and will be ridden by jockey N Bonus (2161 482-359-289 22%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 108 (2)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender

Post 7 – KNOW YOUR CHAMP – 9/2

KNOW YOUR CHAMP is sired by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS and is running for the mschweitzer62 stable.  KNOW YOUR CHAMP has won in 18 times in 32 starts for a 56% win rate and will be ridden by jockey W Kozak (276 27-29-40 10%) from Illinois.

12 Month Top Speed: 106 (3)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender

Kegger’s Predictions

Holeshot: TIRED AND PUNCHY – Hard to call this as the entire pack appears to be runners who either sit mid pack or are deep closers. TIRED AND PUNCHY gets the call here as he was the only one to have ever taken the lead out of the gates, back in March 2019.

Favourite: BLAMOURIZE (6/5) – Heavy favourite here, consistenly posting speeds well above the rest of the pack. The only risk here is that with 28 races in the books BLAMOURIZE is at risk of hitting the ‘wear and tear’ wall, however even with a steep drop BLAMOURIZE should still contend.

Longshot: SNYPER (5/1) – Both HISWELLS and KNOW YOUR CHAMP could be potential longshots, and both have posted higher peak speeds. However my pick for the upset goes to SNYPER who is stretching back out to 12F where he had near peak speeds late in his 3yo campaign, if he can find a little improvement he should have a solid shot at 2nd in this field. If BLAMOURIZE stumbles in his 29th start SNYPER might just pull out the upset.

*Taking requests, if you’ve got a stakes or graded race coming up and want a Kegger style preview, shoot me a message and I’ll try my best to get it covered.

Leave a Reply