Spotlight Race of the Day 12/6/19 Paris Maiden Claim

It’s been a while since the Spotlight was turned on and flipping the switch it shines upon Paris, a $25,000 claiming race for horses age 3 and older. This is open to fillies and mares with 9 entered into the event, two of which are age three with four of the runners twice as old at age 6. They compete on the dirt at a distance of 8.25 furlongs.

  1. Master Thee 19/1-One of the 6-year olds in the race and she’s raced 14 times in her career and has yet to hit the board. She has shown some early speed in past races but that generally carries her about half the race before the fuel tank dries up. She had moved into claiming ranks two starts back from MSW, but will probably need to drop further should this turn out to be another bust.

2. Random Kuri 17/1- Another one that can run early but also has history of starting to fade past the half and tiring by the head of the strtech. This four year old has hit the board three times in 12 starts. Two of the three came in sprints and she goes a smidge over a mile in this one. She’s been racing both dirt and turf as well as cheap to higher end claiming levels seeking the right formula without any firm results and this race will most likely continue to cloud things further.

3. Rindr Tullian 6/1-A five year old with only three starts. She raced once in 2016 and waited three years before returning. Her last start was b ack in June when she moved into the bottom level claimers finishing 4th (her best finish) with a 75 speed. That speed looks competitive with this gang but she will be testing the dirt for the first time. Could be a decent payout with this one.

4. Quitamanchas 6/1-This six year old has been shutout in all 28 career starts and will try once again to break her maiden. She’s hit the board five times and comes off a third on the dirt in a 7 furlong, $150,000 claiming race. This follows a third at 5f at the $35,000 claim level on the turf. Speeds on the dirt have been in the low 70-range since mid-year and she moves back to the route and will take a dip in the claim ranks. Will this be the right move to get that first win?

5. Jutlandia Fosters 5/1-Twenty-five races without a win has been tough on this four year old who has been running speeds in the upper 60 to low 70 range in her last three starts, all in the 8 to 8.25 furlong range. She will take a dip in the claiming level but she has not been much of a threat in any of her recent starts. She hasn’t been close to the lead in the last four races and if she plans to hit the board, she will need to find some aggression.

6. Show A Ban 6/5-The favorite in the field is a three year old who will be making her 6th start. She’s pocketed a second and third place finish and comes off that second place finish in her last start which was over this track in a similar claiming conditions at a slightly shorter 8 furlongs. She may have found the right spot here as her 87 speed in her last race looks very convincing.

7. Sacre Blue 6/1-Filly who has been bounding around between MSW and claiming levels. This three year old has been ITM 4 times in 13 races. Her last start charted a 73 speed going the distance of 8.25 furlongs which she will run again in this race and hopes of improving on her 3rd place finish. She’ll most likely be contesting the front spot early on and holding the front side positioning will be the key to her success.

8. Maria’s Foot Step 11/1- A lightly raced six year old who is making multiple changes going into this race. She surrenders the turf from her last two outings for the soil. She finished 3rd in both of her last two races in fields about half the size of this one, both at a distance of 14 furlongs (and getting beat by over 20 in each of those). She drops from top end claimers for this moderately priced race. All of these are welcomed changes but going back to earlier this year, she raced speeds in the mid-60’s which won’t be enough to win, but perhaps she’ll find a more relaxed fit with the change which could result in a huge upset.

9. Mao Inoue 14/1-This six year old has not hit the board in more than 2 years. This year, she has been racing in claiming tags of $35,000 and higher and this race will mark the lowest tag for the year. Speeds have been in the mid 60 range and probably will continue into this race. She’s finished fifth a handful of times this year and could possibly pull a minor check for another fifth place, perhaps even fourth but I really don’t see much higher than that.

Top pick in this race is the favorite, Show A Ban. If she races a clean race, this is all hers.

Sacre Blue looks very good for second and it looks like the two 3-year olds will likely finish 1-2 in this one.

Rindr Tullian may be the only one who could ruin the top two picks as she makes her first try on the dirt and if she likes it, it could result in a win.

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