Elves Dash

Race : The Elves Dash

(Owner Restricted) – Allowance – $50,000
Track : Queensland (AUS)
Restrictions : All horses, 3 years old and up
Distance : Five furlongs on the Turf

I am going for an upset here with the well drawn SHADO CENTAINE from the shadolodge stable. Has proven form over the short courses and is racing in good form. The Late Mail Tip is for the favourite PRAGMATIC PONY who will be powering home at the end of the five furlongs.

The main chances appear to be:

PP1 – 61345 SHADO CENTAINE (AUS) 11/1

4YO Horse by Royal Academy 17 starts 4-2-2 $124,912 (shadolodge)
Win Percent 23.5% AveragePze 7347 SPRating 95.4

Won an Allowance race at Denmark over six furlongs and ran a solid race last start in New South Wales in the Tequila With Lime Challenge over the five furlongs dash. Looks the one to beat here.

PP2 – 32858 PRAGMATIC PONY (AUS) 3/1

4YO Horse by Show A Heart (Aus) 23 starts 4-5-6 $169,452 (sabalou2)

Win Percent 17.3% AveragePze 7367 SPRating 104.8

Last win was six starts back at Hong Kong in the Jack’s Skeletons Special over seven and a half furlongs. May find these a bit nippy over five furlongs. Should be well ridden by S DeBerg.

PP3 – 44774 TOP NOTCH HERO (KY) 9/1

6YO Horse by Distorted Humour 58 starts 14-8-7 $515,940 (johnhoward)

Win Percent 24.1% AveragePze 8895 SPRating 94.4

Ran a good fourth in the Cane Toad Stakes here over six furlongs four starts ago. Has not won for a while.

PP4 – 21135 THE MAGIC NOSE 6/1

7YO Horse by Grand Slam 50 starts 12-11-8 $617,705 (sabalou)

Win Percent 24% AveragePze 12,354 SPRating 98.4

Lightly raced for a seven year old who excels over these shorter courses. Won the Bald Inning Challenge at Paris three runs back over five furlongs. Will be given every chance by Queensland’s top jockey C Wyatt. Will go close in this.

PP5 – 53698 BET A GORILLA (KY) 15/1

6YO Horse by Grand Reward 45 starts 5-4-8 $177,747 (mgprice)

Win Percent 11.1% AveragePze 3949 SPRating 91.4

Won the Golden Oldies over seven furlongs in May but has not done much since. Can improve here.

PP6 – 60805 PORTLAND BAY (ENG) 13/1

4YO Horse by Beat Hollow (GB) 27 starts 5-6-4 $202,474 (lindsypark)

Win Percent 18.5% AveragePze 7499 SPRating 91.2

Winner of the Commander Plum Memorial at Victoria over seven furlongs in May but has been unplaced in six starts since then.

PP11 – 71103 ALPINE KAISER (FR) 7/1

4YO Horse by Anabaa 29 starts 7-8-7 $191,900 (stormcat55)

Win Percent 24.1% AveragePze 6617 SPRating 98.4

Won second race on end here three runs back over six furlongs in an Allowance race. Placed 22 of 29 career runs. Will be handled by M Cameron  who will give him every chance. Will go close in this.

PP13 – 65344 QUITE A SHOW (KY) 9/1

4YO Horse by Ghostzapper 23 starts 5-3-3 $139,136 (stevesim3)

Win Percent 21.7% AveragePze 6049 SPRating 96.9

Has not won a race for quite a while. Has only started twice on turf and could surprise here.

PP17 – 31231 HOSTILE REACTION (KY) 7/1

4YO Horse by Rahy 20 starts 5-3-3 $103,455 (noor55)

Win Percent 25% AveragePze 5172 SPRating 101.3

Consistent horse who has been placed at his last seven starts including three wins. Good win last start at Delaware in a Claimer over seven furlongs.

Good Luck to all Runners and have a Merry Christmas

Steve