DelPenn National 1000 guineas

The 1000 Guineas
Stakes
One mile on the Firm Turf Course
$125,000
Fillies and mares, 3 years old

We have A field of very even 3 year olds, which will make it very tough to pick a winner but here goes.

1 Elvira(KY)                               RD3                                            A Rolling (32%)                 7/1

Starts: 8—4-1-0        Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 4—2-0-0        Turf: 6—4-0-0 Earnings: $92,280

Has a good record but her last two runs at the mile have been disappointing, If the track had been a bit off  I probably would have near tipped him to win, but on a firm surface I am willing to leave him out of the  placings.

2 Devil Raider(KY)                     RAIDER93                                 G Lambert(4%)               14/1

Starts: 4—2-1-0        Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 4—2-1-0        Turf: 4—2-1-0 Earnings: $37,600

Impressive win last start, but still has to take the step up which she failed to do 2 starts back, Place chance at best.

3 Elaine Cee’s Star(ENG)                SEAGYPSY                                 W McClendon(26%)         17/1

Starts: 4—1-1-0        Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 1—0-0-0        Turf: 4—1-1-0 Earnings: $29,485

Her last start over 9f was an absolute shocker and her only start over the mile was only an average 4^th on debut, The only positive I can find is her jockey rides well and may be able to help her to produce her best.

4 Absolut Talent(JPN)               RAIDER92                                  R Connor(12%)              9/1

Starts: 4—2-1-0        Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 3—2-1-0        Turf: 1—1-0-0 Earnings: $42,885

Has a great record over the mile and her last start win was strong, This field has some quality about it and she may find

some of these a bit tough for her.

5 Photonic Edge(KY)                 CRATERUS                                   N Lawton(25%)             18/1

Starts: 4—0-1-0        Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 0—0-0-0        Turf: 1—0-0-0 Earnings: $11,128

Maiden filly who hasn’t really fired in her four starts to date, Looks to be asking a bit too much at this stage of her career,

Her time will come but not today

6 Mean Nasty Raider(KY)            RAIDER8                                   H McCoy(22%)             19/1

Starts: 2—1-1-0        Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 1—1-0-0        Turf: 2—1-1-0 Earnings: $8,840

Has shown she has ability but her speed rating in winning over the mile last start was only average so I am happy to leave

her out of my tips today

7 La Realeza(KY)                         IVANYAMIL                               B F Abman(25%)          6/1

Starts: 10—2-2-1      Track: 0—0-0-0       Distance: 4—1-1-0        Turf: 7—2-2-1 Earnings: $209,576

Lead all the way last start but was getting tired over the concluding stages if she gets a easy run in front I see no reason why she can’t win again, Will be in the finish for sure.

8 Raider Is Leader(KY)               RAIDER91                                  P Cadigan(14%)           14/1

Starts: 4—1-0-1         Track: 0—0-0-0      Distance: 2—0-0-1       Turf: 2—1-0-0 Earnings: $23,080

Broke her maiden last start But I feel her best runs will be over slightly longer trips, I know you have to be in it to win it

but I think she is just making up the numbers.

9 Retribution Angel(KY)              ZEWANGO                                  F Gossett(28%)            5/1

Starts: 5—2-2-0         Track: 0—0-0-0      Distance: 2—2-0-0       Turf: 4—2-2-1 Earnings: $99,620

Stepped up to G1 Last start in the lool Oaks  where the run was better than it looked, The switch back to turf  is the right

 move and I feel she will be one of the hardest to beat.

10 Beautiful Tragedy(IRE)          ZWYLDE                                     P Haynes(25%)             16/1

Starts: 7—1-0-3         Track: 0—0-0-0      Distance: 2—0-0-1       Turf: 5—1-0-2 Earnings: $28,228

Her speed ratings on turf are not flattering and the switch to dirt were less than impressive, Couldn’t possibly give her any chance 16/1 is way under the odds she should be, They should be 99/1.

11 Ryder Cup(KY)                          SUPER17                                    V Jennings(26%)          17/1

Starts: 11—2-2-3         Track: 0—0-0-0      Distance: 2—0-0-1       Turf: 9—2-2-2 Earnings: $55,350

Has won two of her last three starts but they were over longer distances, which I feel would be better for her, The two runs she has had over the mile were disappointing.

12 T.A.S Empire(KY)                     THEAVENGER                            J Caves(19%)                6/1

Starts: 14–3-1-4         Track: 1—0-0-0      Distance: 2—0-1-0       Turf: 5—1-1-1 Earnings: $138,872

Was getting home well last start and appears to be coming into form at the right time, Hasn’t set the world on fire on turf

but she will be finishing off hard at the line.

13 Absolut Arse Wins(AUS)         RAIDER95                                   M Ketron(11%)             14/1

Starts: 3–2-1-0         Track: 0—0-0-0      Distance: 3—2-1-0       Turf: 3—2-1-1 Earnings: $28,890

Has been improving with every run I like the way she has hit the line at her previous two starts and 14/1 is great value, One of the better chances although it is a big step up.

14 Happens In Vegas(ENG)       TEXASACE06                                D Givens(28%)             6/1

Starts: 8–3-2-3         Track: 0—0-0-0      Distance: 1—0-0-1       Turf: 8—3-2-3 Earnings: $83,320

Has a great consistent record  stepped up to the mile last start and ran a terrific race, Top jockey on board and I can see her having the run of the race and charging home for victory.

Conclusion

I like the chances of 14 HAPPENS IN VEGAS to win, Her main dangers are 12 T.A.S EMPIRE, 7 LA REALEZA and

13 ABSOLUT ARSE WINS