Sunday 12/11 Graded Race Tip Sheet

I’m at it again and gonna take a shot of picking winners in all of the graded stake races coming up on Sunday, 12/11/21. Hey…If you do the date backwards, it is the same! Well, that has be luck..what else could it be? So, with my picks, I’ll be making fantasy bets with $2 win wages on each of my top picks. Also, a $2 exacta box with all three of my picks (cost $12 each race) as well as a $2 boxed trifecta with each race (cost $12 each race) and I’ll check later to see how things went. Here’s my selections:

G2-The Black Dahlia, California

1-Wind Snowden 9/2-Frequent winner this year with 6 in 10 starts, won last three and has speeds over 110 seven times this season.

6-War With a Tiger 7/1-Has also been successful this year and has 5 wins in 8 runs, threat to top choice

9-Tapit’s Red Lady 8/1-Speeds have been competitive of late, scored win with 119 in listed company in last, could find a spot on the board.

G1-Movieland Futurity, California

9-Broken Cielo 9/1-Has won last two at 8.5f and early runner can build up good lead early on. Capable of making it three straight.

8-Space Gold 7/1-Just missed when second in last at a mile, adds a half furlong which could make him a winner this time.

6-Ready for Munday 13/1-Strong 2 stride win in G3 Cornstalk in last and could take this at nice price.

G3 Kenny Joe Stakes, Florida

7-Rebuked 9/2-Charting speeds of 116 to 119 in last four outings, all graded company with pair of wins, slight edge.

1-Start with Fire 4/1-Hit 120+ speeds three times this year and has 12 wins in 16 career starts, will be in the fire again!

11-Vixologist 12/1-Finshed second in last two listed stake races with 117 each time. A factor if he can keep the speed up.

G2 At Night Cap, Florida

3-Thor Thundergod 11/1-Looked sharp when winning G2 Flying Carpet by three strides. In peak form and hoping the form continues.

8-Agunua 10/1-Supercloser overcame 18 length deficit in last start to win by 3. Usually reliable to get a paycheck but can throw in a boner now and then. Hoping this race won’t be one of them.

13-Rain Runs Free 7/1-Has won last four in allowance through G2 levels and by decent, comfortable margins. May have more in his tank to stretch the win streak.

G1 Empire State Stayer, New York

6-Islette 6/1-If you throw-out the offtrack race back in October, this filly would have four wins in a row. Rallied from 19 back at the half in her last start (listed stake) to win by 2. One tough gal to battle with.

11-Instagram Model 6/1-Won her last five starts and ITM 15 of 17 dirt races, hard to discard.

12-Tap the Hand 9/1-Won last three starts and seems to be doing better the longer she goes on the dirt, and she goes longer with this start.

G2 Greg Fox, Belgium

4-Shift Yourself 2/1-Won listed in last with eye opening 118 speed. Speed is best in this field.

5-Dragon Enforcer 5/1-Rallied nicely in listed outing to take win with 111 speed in most recent start, need to include in exotic bets.

3-Redical Violence 5/2-finished fifth in last two starts in tough G1 fields, may find this field more manageable and should perform better.

G3 High Altitude, Japan

11-Dragon Phoenix 14/1-Gunned a 111 listed stake win in last, returning to turf after a long stint on the dirt. Speed is a career best and the turf may turn out to be her home.

9-Applying Force 9/1-Disappointed in Breeders Bowl try but could recover quickly in this start.

6-Ghost at the Ball 5/1-Likes both dirt and grass and has stake wins over both surfaces. Always in the hunt and need to include in exotic wagers.

G3 Carp Fillies Guineas, South Africa

11-Firelips 5/1-Finished second last time out in G3 with older fillies with a 110 speed, returns to her 3 year old age group and looks to be in a very good spot off that fine outing.

6-Thrilling Surge LV 7/1-Nice win in New Zealand 1000 Dark Beers in last with 114 speed figure, likes the mile distance and figures in nicely.

12-Wall of Omens 9/2-Consistantly on the board, hitting it 9 times in 10 starts. Only time off board was against older horses. Back with age group and no reason to think she won’t be on the board.

G3 Manatee Cup, New Zealand

9-Duwhatnow 5/1-Hard to fault this one, has been first or second in all but his first career start. Has won a pair of G3 races and second in G2 and G1 all in his last four appearances. Earns top slot.

3-Seayouondotherside 5/1-In four starts of 10f or greater, has been ITM each time with pair of wins, enters off a 114 speed in most recent start that was listed stake. Should fair well in this one.

8-Chilltagous 8/1-Won three in a row over the summer in longer routes before cooling off for the fall. It’s now winter time and can fire up again.

G3 Natural Spring, Thailand

12-One Slick Tarton 11/1-Moves up to graded level after four nice outings in listed stake group where she ran 6 to 6.5 furlongs. She gains some distance which should be beneficial with her late run style.

13-La Zarrapastrosa 12/1-Back of the field runner ran 113 speed in last, taking win by over a length after trailing by 13. Speed may be distorted a bit as race was 7.5furlongs which generally have inflated speeds. Still, she will be charging late and could bring back a nice exotic payout.

2-Neglige 10/1-Her last three wins have all been at 7f distance and she’s entered back into this distance. Ran 109 speed in last (7f distance) and came from back side of field to earn the win. Maybe an underplay ready to payout.