Vermont Is For Lovers – Grade III

2/9/2008

VT, Race ID 3490.3703:

Grade III All horses, 4 years old and up, Seven and half furlongs on the Fast Dirt Course, Purse: $125,000
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Vermont has really turn it on today all races are for lovers not just lovers of love but lovers of everything and one of my loves is horse racing so come on out enjoy the day have a punt and pick a winner to buy your lover something very special. Have a look below as I try and help you pick a winner.

PP 1 7/1 BADDER THAN BAD(IRE) ID# 98073
F Shaw ( 17 – 3 – 2 – 2 – 18% )
super18
5 Year Old Horse (EL PRADO(IRE) x NIJINSKY II x RAISE A NATIVE)
Bred by super18

Dirt Sprint Rank : 71 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 32 8 7 5 $387,246
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 7 Dirt 26 8 4 4 $348,871
Turf 6 0 3 1 $38,375
Routes 13 2 3 3 $106,561
Sprints 19 6 4 2 $280,685
Off 3 0 1 0 $18,260

Has a real chance here today after his last start win running a 114 sp in the Narrowly Missed Stakes -G3. Four of his last five starts he has run a 110 or better so he has the form on the board. He will sit just of the pace and have the run of the race once they hit the stretch look for him to be powering home.

PP 2 6/1 ZYGOTE ID# 23769
T Tippins ( 8 – 1 – 1 – 0 – 13% )
isisbabe
6 Year Old Horse (A.P. INDY x STORM CAT x SEEKING THE GOLD)
Bred by isisbabe

Dirt Sprint Rank : 153 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 29 11 6 5 $1,166,790
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 10 Dirt 29 11 6 5 $1,166,790
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Routes 20 7 5 4 $1,102,340
Sprints 9 4 1 1 $64,450
Off 2 0 2 0 $187,500

A winner of the Orangeton Handicap -G2 at his last start run a SP 110 has the form on the board to win this race the only question mark I have is the drop back in distance because he likes to get back and run home he may find this just a bit short. I will have some money on him for a place or show.

PP 3 12/1 KING OF SEASONS(IRE) ID# 130605
H Wilmsmeyer ( 11 – 0 – 0 – 1 – 0% )
bluenyello
4 Year Old Colt (KING OF KINGS (IRE) x SEATTLE SLEW x MR. PROSPECTOR)
Bred by bluenyello

Dirt Sprint Rank : 94 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 17 5 6 1 $193,230
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 4 Dirt 17 5 6 1 $193,230
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Routes 3 0 0 1 $8,095
Sprints 14 5 6 0 $185,135
Off 1 0 0 0 $3,250

A winner of his last two starts both stakes races running SP 113 and 112. His last seven starts have produced four wins and three seconds now that is a horse in form. Today is his big test a step up to group level he should settle mid field and come home with a big run it will not surprise me to see him win this.

PP 4 17/1 STORM OF SUNSHINE ID# 130937
B Langhorne ( 67 – 6 – 5 – 9 – 9% )
mittasille
5 Year Old Horse (STORM CAT x SOUTHERN HALO x VERMONT)
Bred by steve

Dirt Sprint Rank : 107 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 14 6 3 2 $129,368
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 5 Dirt 14 6 3 2 $129,368
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Routes 0 0 0 0 $0
Sprints 14 6 3 2 $129,368
Off 1 1 0 0 $4,740

The big question is the distance this is his first start over this distance and look back over his form there is not a thing that tells me that he needs more ground I can not see him bothering the judges today.

PP 5 5/1 WHO DO YOU LOVE(KY) ID# 133641
G Bungard ( 39 – 4 – 5 – 3 – 10% )
lenny9
4 Year Old Colt (AWESOME AGAIN x DAMASCUS x HOIST THE FLAG)
Bred by lenny9

Dirt Sprint Rank : 32 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 13 6 3 3 $1,075,530
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 5 Dirt 13 6 3 3 $1,075,530
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Routes 10 4 2 3 $996,420
Sprints 3 2 1 0 $79,110
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

The one to beat winner of the Diplomat Way Handicap -G1 running SP 112 at his last start. Likes to lead and that is what he will do today has the speed to make him very hard to catch. Punters if you have only one bet today put the house on this horse at the very good odds of 5/1.

PP 6 10/1 KE’CHARA ID# 91835
L L Ahrens ( 6 – 0 – 1 – 1 – 0% )
seekin49er
6 Year Old Horse (EMPIRE MAKER x NUREYEV x SECRETARIAT)
Bred by seekin49er

Dirt Sprint Rank : 102 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 28 9 5 5 $392,514
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 8 Dirt 24 8 4 3 $350,722
Turf 4 1 1 2 $41,792
Routes 18 4 5 2 $259,028
Sprints 10 5 0 3 $133,486
Off 4 2 1 0 $28,540

This probably is his best distance but it’s a step up to a graded race and that’s were you meet the top performers which would put this race out of his depth there are easier races for him.

PP 7 12/1 FESTIVE FIFTY ID# 111550
D Fendlay Jr. ( 81 – 16 – 11 – 12 – 20% )
stormcat55
5 Year Old Horse (SADLER’S WELLS x GONE WEST x A.P. INDY)
Bred by stormcat55

Dirt Sprint Rank : 18 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 32 12 5 2 $1,091,801
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 11 Dirt 28 12 3 1 $1,072,310
Turf 4 0 2 1 $19,491
Routes 20 7 3 1 $792,631
Sprints 12 5 2 1 $299,170
Off 5 2 1 0 $47,310

Looks to be struggling at the moment although his last start second in the EAAA Division Inter-Residency Challenge — Owner Restricted –Stk running a SP 110 was his best run for some time. Would need to be at his very best to fill a place.

PP 8 12/1 WALKSTHROUGHWALLS ID# 127926
S Gravina ( 80 – 14 – 16 – 8 – 18% )
oaklawn66
5 Year Old Horse (FORTY NINER x STORM CAT x SADLER’S WELLS)
Bred by oaklawn66

Dirt Sprint Rank : 27 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 23 9 1 3 $323,966
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 8 Dirt 20 7 1 2 $260,186
Turf 3 2 0 1 $63,780
Routes 4 1 0 2 $28,476
Sprints 19 8 1 1 $295,490
Off 1 0 0 1 $2,432

His last three starts have been on turf for two wins and a 3rd one of the wins was The PRO WOODY Challenge -StkIf with SP of 110. The question I have is why he is racing on dirt. Will not win this race.

PP 9 21/1 BORZAKOVSKI(KY) ID# 115912
L Secret ( 12 – 0 – 2 – 1 – 0% )
laxe
4 Year Old Colt (THE CLIFF’S EDGE x DANZIG x HABITAT)
Bred by laxe

Dirt Sprint Rank : 116 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 23 5 3 2 $628,344
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 4 Dirt 21 5 3 2 $628,344
Turf 2 0 0 0 $0
Routes 13 2 1 1 $447,500
Sprints 10 3 2 1 $180,844
Off 3 1 1 1 $124,364

top run last start in the Narrowly Missed Stakes -G3 rattled home for a 2nd run a SP 112 but that has been his best run for a long time he would need to bring that form into this race to have any chance at all other look a lot better.

PP 10 10/1 WESTERN ROMP TED(KY) ID# 41339
G Blackmore ( 42 – 3 – 5 – 7 – 7% )
apacolypse
4 Year Old Colt (GONE WEST x BLUSHING GROOM(FR) x CREME DELA CREME)
Bred by apacolypse

Dirt Sprint Rank : 3 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 24 7 4 3 $1,328,742
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 7 Dirt 24 7 4 3 $1,328,742
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Routes 9 1 2 1 $225,150
Sprints 15 6 2 2 $1,103,592
Off 1 1 0 0 $150,000

His best distance looks to be six to seven furlongs if this race was over one of those trips he would be very hard to beat but its not and that extra ½ a furlong will be too much for him. Place at best

PP 11 10/1 KETCH(KY) ID# 123706
W McClendon ( 86 – 17 – 13 – 14 – 20% )
bigskyfarm
4 Year Old Colt (AWESOME AGAIN x A.P. INDY x MR. PROSPECTOR)
Bred by bigskyfarm

Dirt Sprint Rank : 6 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 19 8 5 1 $656,378
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 7 Dirt 19 8 5 1 $656,378
Turf 0 0 0 0 $0
Routes 4 0 2 0 $33,108
Sprints 15 8 3 1 $623,270
Off 2 1 1 0 $96,250

Looks to be struggling at the moment may need a couple more runs to find the form he had as a three year old. Keep an eye out for him at his next start.

PP 12 11/1 PULPIT’S PRINCE(KY) ID# 1683
B Knights ( 11 – 1 – 0 – 0 – 9% )
tmaria
4 Year Old Colt (PULPIT x STORM BOOT x KRIS S.)
Bred by tmaria

Dirt Sprint Rank : 103 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 18 5 2 4 $192,642
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 4 Dirt 17 5 2 4 $192,642
Turf 1 0 0 0 $0
Routes 1 0 0 0 $0
Sprints 17 5 2 4 $192,642
Off 4 1 1 1 $25,970

this distance will not suit him he is a much better horse over six furlong this trip is just to far for him watch out for him in any race over six furlongs.

PP 13 14/1 CORMORANT CREEK ID# 17747
RK Evans ( 17 – 4 – 1 – 1 – 24% )
dosstables
5 Year Old Mare (STRODES CREEK x DIXIELAND BRASS x CORMORANT)
Bred by dosstables

Dirt Sprint Rank : 11 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 12 6 3 0 $288,700
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 4 Dirt 10 5 3 0 $288,040
Turf 2 1 0 0 $660
Routes 1 0 0 0 $0
Sprints 11 6 3 0 $288,700
Off 0 0 0 0 $0

Could be a bit of a surprise pack in this race has been lightly raced and is getting better with every start. Her last start in The ONE ELOCAT Stakes –Stk was very good run a career best 111 SP if she can improve on that run she will be very hard to beat.

PP 14 9/1 DISCO BALL ID# 72674
K Youngblood ( 7 – 1 – 0 – 1 – 14% )
beefcake2
5 Year Old Horse (GLITTERMAN x A.P. INDY x PRIVATE ACCOUNT)
Bred by buckpasser

Dirt Sprint Rank : 42 Races Wins Places Shows Earnings
Low Tag/Year: N/A Total 37 12 5 2 $384,128
Non M/C/O/S Wins: 10 Dirt 36 12 5 2 $384,128
Turf 1 0 0 0 $0
Routes 11 3 2 1 $81,633
Sprints 26 9 3 1 $302,495
Off 2 0 1 0 $17,500

Finished of last year with a top run in The AARON RAT Cap –Stk over seven furlongs running a SP 112 and has had one run this year for a 2nd in allowance I would be looking for some thing a bit easier maybe a stakes race would be more to his liking.

WHO DO YOU LOVE (KY) looks the winner from KING OF SEASONS (IRE) and BADDER THAN BAD (IRE).
The long shot and the one that could cause a boil over is CORMORANT CREEK.
Happy punting
Don