Breeders Bowl Dirt Mile is very open.
BB Dirt Mile – Kentucky – Friday 6th November 2020 at 2.10pm EST.
Grade 1/Group 1 $3 Million for 3yo+.
8 Furlongs/1600m Turf.
Breeders Bowl dirt mile has attracted a full quality field of runners. Carnival atmosphere here today adds to the excitement. The trainers have their horses looking sensational for what is probably there grand final for the year. Let’s take a look at the field.
- 11991 – Rozelle (Commissioner) Owned by rtees. – Jockey – M. Zeus – 7/2
6yo gelding is our favourite for the race and if the race was on a soft track, would nearly declare him. Overall record 23-11-6-1 and banking just over $1.4 million. Can mix his form but when he is on, he’s on. Last start won an 8F Allowance race. This was probably just a prep race to get him ready for today. He led all the way on a shifting track to win by a head with an SP of 118. Prior to that he was in 9th the G1 Western Ocean CA Classic 10F on a shifting track. Sat 2nd in the run, close to the speed. Felt the pinch on the turn and wilted badly, late, beaten nearly 11 lengths and ran an SP of 106. Before that he was 9th in the G1 2020 Equinics – Empire State Building 8F. Sat 3rd close up on speed. Dropped out from the turn to be beaten 7 lengths and ran an SP of 109. Before that he won the G1 Cosmopolitan Hcp 8F on a shifting track. Jumped straight to the front and was never headed, winning by ¼ of a length and running an SP of 125. He is the favourite for a reason but can throw a clunker on occasion. Owners would have been praying for rain however still a big chance.
2. 20502 – CK Hale Tale (Tale of the Cat) Owned by bhima2 – Jockey – C. Winter – 7/1.
5yo horse who is mixing his form of late. Overall record is great 24-11-6-2 and banking $942k. Failing in allowance races is probably not the right form for this but if he can recapture some old form, he has a chance. Last start he was 2nd in an 8F Allowance. He sat 7th around 7 lengths from the lead. He made up ground but was well held, beaten just over 2 lengths and ran an SP of 113. Prior to that he was 10th in an 8F Allowance race. Sat 10th early but faded from there and dropped right out in the stretch, beaten 17 lengths and ran an SP of 84. Before that he was 5th in the G3 Salvatore Mile. Sat 10th around 10 lengths from the lead. He made up ground late but was beaten nearly 6 lengths and ran an SP of 113. Before that he was last in the G1 Cosmopolitan Hcp 8F Shifting track behind Rozelle (1st). Sat 11th in the run and didn’t handle the ground, dropping out to be beaten 15 lengths. If he couldn’t win an allowance don’t think he can win this however he can produce a run and if he does, then he has an outside chance.
3. 11193 – Justifiable TB (Justify) Owned by hood2. – Jockey – T. Barn – 16/1.
3yo colt who is in good form of late if you forgive the run two starts back. Overall record 15-9-2-2 and banking over $1 million. His form over this trip is impeccable so must be given a chance. Last start he was 3rd in the G2 Bettis Hcp 8F. Sat 5th around 6 lengths from the lead. Made up good ground from the turn to be beaten just under 2 lengths and ran an SP of 114. Prior to that he was 9th in the G2 Winchester Park Derby 9F. Sat 3rd, close up on speed. Felt the pinch on the turn and dropped out the last furlong, beaten 13 lengths and running an SP of 97. Prior to that he won the G1 2020 Equinics – Hadron Collider 8F. Sat 4th around 3 lengths from the lead. Moved up on the turn and took over the last furlong to win by 2 lengths and running an SP of 115. He won an 8F Allowance before that. Sat 2nd close to the speed and took over the last furlong to win by a length and ran an SP of 108. If he reproduces his run in the Equinics then he can win this for sure. Chance.
4. 25112 – Admiral Nimitz (Cairo Prince) Owned by personalensign. – Jockey – F. Gossett – 18/1.
3yo colt who is in great form at the moment and nice overall record of 9-6-2-0 and banking $760k. Better than the odds suggest. Last start he was 2nd in the G2 Bettis Hcp 8F in front of Justifiable TB (3rd). Sat 11th around 11 lengths from the lead. Was, still 8 lengths from them on the turn and finished powerfully to be beaten only ¾ of a length and ran an SP of 115. Before that he won the G2 La Holla 8.5F. Sat 8th around 6 lengths from the lead. Finished very well the last furlong to win by 1.5 lengths and ran an SP of 112. Prior to that he won the G2 The Liar 8.5F. Sat 10th around 9.5 lengths from the lead. Still over 6 lengths from the lead on the bend but finished hard to win by a head and running an SP of 112. Prior to that he was 5th in the G2 Captain Hook 9F. Sat 13th around 9 lengths from the lead. Ran home okay to be beaten 2.5 lengths and ran an SP of 104. This is a step up again, but think he is going well and deserves his shot at G1 Glory. Think the odds are overs and worth a play. Big chance.
5. 61508 – Gray Down Lady (Graydar) Owned by snape – Jockey – T. Ace – 7/1.
5yo horse with mixed form of late. Overall record of 20-5-5-4 And banking $778k. If he runs up to his best, he would be a chance but at those odds I will pass. Last start he was 8th in the G1 Bob Woodward Memorial 9F. Sat 5th around 4 lengths from the lead. He mounted a challenge on the turn but wilted late, beaten nearly 7 lengths and running an SP of 109. Prior to that he was 13th in the G1 Movieland Shiny Cup 10F. Sat 7th around 7 lengths from the lead. Faded from there and dropped out, beaten nearly 20 lengths and ran an SP of 95. Prior to that he was 5th in the G1 Cosmopolitan Hcp 8F on a shifting track, beaten by Rozelle (1st). Sat 6th around 7.5 lengths from the lead. Made up a little ground to be beaten 4.5 lengths and running an SP of 119. Before that he won the G1 February Stakes 8F. Sat 2nd right on speed. Took over on the turn and stayed on for a strong win by 1.5 lengths and running an SP of 119. Hasn’t won since February and the last two can be forgiven as probably a touch to far. Has a chance but others with better, I think.
6. 15701 – Help Your Brothers (Cupid) Owned by billzelite2. – Jockey – W. Kewmwa – 7/1.
4yo colt whose form has been okay of late. Can be hit and miss. Overall record 15-7-2-0 and banking $616k. If he brings his best, then will be very hard to beat. Last start was an impressive win in the G1 Evil Prep III 8F. Sat 4th only 3 lengths from the lead. Moved up on the turn and put them away quickly to win by 1.5 lengths and running an SP of 120. Prior to that he was 11th in the 2020 Equinics – Empire State Building 8F. Sat 5th around 3 lengths from the lead. Felt the pinch on the turn and dropped out late, beaten over 9 lengths and ran an SP of 105. Before that he was 7th in the G2 West Coaster 9F. Sat 4th only 2 lengths from the lead. Moved up on the turn but dropped out the last furlong, beaten 6 lengths and ran an SP of 109. Prior to that he was 5th in the G3 Skipping Away 9F. Sat 3rd, close to the speed. Moved up on the turn but faded late to be beaten 3.5 lengths and ran an SP of 116. Think this is his pet distance and if he can reproduce his last run then, look out. Chance.
7. 22060 – Oldmoon’s Mine (Mean Season) Owned by oldmoonpaladin2. – Jockey – T. Small – 41/1.
3yo colt whose, last few have been poor. Would need sharp improvement to win here. Overall record 13-4-3-1 and banking over $1.5 million so has talent. Last start he was last in the G2 South Bend Derby 8.5F. Sat 5th around 2.5 lengths from the lead. Dropped out badly from the turn, beaten 12 lengths and ran an SP of 102. Prior to that he was 6th in the G1 2020 Equinics – Hadron Collider 8F behind Justifiable TB (1st). Sat 5th around 4 lengths from the lead. Faded late in the run to be beaten 7.5 lengths and ran an SP of 105. Before that he was 12th in the G1 New Yorker 12F. Was 6th in the run, around 6 lengths from the lead. Faded from there and dropped out badly in the stretch, beaten nearly 29 lengths and ran an SP of 84. Prior to that he was 2nd in the G1 Middle Jewel Stakes 9.5F. Sat 5th around 3 lengths from the lead. Stayed on strongly the last furlong, beaten just under 2 lengths and running an SP of 107. Would need sharp improvement to win but can be in the minor money.
8. 02102 – OG Speights Tapit (Speightstown) Owned by baffbunk – Jockey – K. Ledwith – 21/1.
3yo colt with very good form of late. Forgive his run over 10F as to far for him. Overall record 15-6-2-3 and banking nearly $1.4 million. Last start he was 2nd in the G2 South Bend Derby 8.5F. Sat 2nd right on speed. Took over on the turn and stayed on strongly to beaten only ¼ of a length and running an SP of 116. Before that he was 11th in the Winchester Park Derby 9F. Sat 4th around 4 lengths from the lead. Dropped out from the turn and was beaten nearly 17 lengths and ran an SP of 93. Prior to that he won the G3 Colorado Sophomore Classic 9F. Led all the way opening up by over 5 lengths on the turn. Stayed on well to win by a neck and ran an SP of 107. Before that he was 2nd in the G3 Affirmative 8.5F. Tried to lead all the way in the run. Stayed on strongly and just grabbed late, beaten 1 length and running an SP of 107. If he gets to the front and can lead here, he will be hard to run down. Outside chance.
9. 21549 – Corvo Bianco (Awesome Again) Owned by given009. – Jockey – Q. Cassell – 27/1.
3yo colt dropping back in distance to seek improvement. Overall record 13-6-2-0 and banking nearly $1.4 million. Would need to improve off last couple, but the drop back may help. Last start he was 9th in the G1 Travelers Stakes 10F. Sat 9th around 10 lengths from the lead. Made up a little ground but was well beaten, 8.5 lengths and ran an SP of 104. Before that he was 4th in the G1 Eddie Haskell Stakes 9F. Sat 8th around 11 lengths from the lead. Made up plenty of ground from the turn, beaten just over 3 lengths and ran an SP of 111. Prior to that he was 5th in the G1 Bluegrass Derby 10F. Sat 11th around 9 lengths from the speed. Made up some ground but was well held, beaten 5.5 lengths and ran an SP of 102. Prior to that he won the G1 Arkansas Juvenile – Derby Lock Prep 9F. Sat 9th around 10 lengths from the lead. Finished very strongly to win by nearly 2 lengths and ran an SP of 108. Would need to improve off last couple. Drop back in distance may help. Outside Chance.
10. 38125 – Into Being Bad (Into Mischief) Owned by simsters1. – Jockey – D. Raymond – 22/1.
3yo colt in fair form at present. Overall record of 14-5-4-2 and banking over $1.1 million. Hasn’t been over this distance for a while so could improve. Last start he was 5th in the G1 Travelers Stakes 10F. Sat 11th around 11 lengths from the lead. Finished quite well to be beaten 4.5 lengths and ran an SP of 107. Prior to that he was 2nd in the G1 Eddie Haskell Stakes 9F beating home Corvo Bianco (4th). Sat 10th around 12 lengths from the lead. Was, still over 9 lengths from them on the turn. Finished powerfully to be beaten 1 length and ran an SP of 113. Before that he won the G3 Affirmative 8.5F beating home OG Speights Tapit (2nd). Sat 9th around 9 lengths from the speed. Finished powerfully to win by a length and running an SP of 108. Before that he was 8th in the G1 Take Your Final Shot 9.5F. Sat 14th around 13 lengths from the lead. Finished off okay, beaten 5 lengths and running an SP of 95. Dropping in distance and will be running on. Chance.
11. 22101 – Twirling Enforcer (Twirling Candy) Owned by francua1 – Jockey – C. Mecklenburg – 20/1.
3yo colt who is in great form at present. Impressive overall record of 7-4-2-0 and banking $572k. Lightly raced and has to be considered a chance. Silly odds. Last start he won the G2 Bettis Hcp 8F beating home Admiral Nimitz (2nd) and Justifiable TB (3rd). Led all the way and opened up by 3 lengths on the turn. Stayed on strongly to win by ¾ of a length and ran an SP of 116. Before that he was 11th in the 2020 Equinics – Hadron Collider 8F behind Justifiable TB (1st). Sat 2nd in the run only a length from the speed. Felt the pinch on the turn and dropped out, beaten 9.5 lengths and ran an SP of 103. Before that he won the G2 Trial By Night Stakes 8F. Led all the way. Opened up by 4 lengths on the turn and stayed on to win by ¾ of a length and ran an SP of 110. Before that was 2nd in the G3 Barbara Walters Special 8F. Led to the turn in the race, stayed on okay to be beaten just over 2 lengths and ran an SP of 105. His last run was very good and if he leads here, he will be hard to run down. Pick of the 3yo’s.
12. 01101 – Afirmativo (City Zip) Owned by xhaack – Jockey – O. Haack – 11/1.
5yo horse who either win or runs poorly. Overall record 15-7-3-2 and banking $942k. Won an 8F Turf Allowance race as a prep for this last start. Sat 3rd around 7 lengths from the lead. Finished too well to win by over 3 lengths and running an SP of 90. Prior to that he was 10th in the Kris Noia Dirt Challenge 8F. Sat 11th around 9 lengths from the lead. Faded badly from there to be beaten nearly 10 lengths and running an SP of 105. Prior to that he won the G1 2020 Equinics – Empire State Building 8F beating home Rozelle (9th). Sat 11th around 8 lengths from the lead. Still 8th on the turn but finished powerfully to win by 1.5 lengths and ran an SP of 118. Before that he won The Taking Risks Dirt Mile. Sat 9th around 6 lengths from the lead. Finished very well to win by over a length and ran an SP of 120. His form around the distance is terrific. The lead up run on turf has him topped off nicely for this. Big chance in open race.
13. 00213 – Voyage Of Charon (Pioneer of the Nile) Owned by cadetprime – Jockey – A. Jolly 8/1.
4yo colt who is in great form leading into this. Must be a chance. Overall record 12-5-3-1 and banking over $2.8 million. Last start he was 3rd in the G1 Goodygood 9F. Sat last around 17 lengths from the lead. Was, still 13 lengths off them on the turn but finished very strongly to be beaten just under 2 lengths and ran an SP of 110. Before that he won the G1 Hit Me Hcp 9F. Sat last around 14 lengths from the lead. Still 9 lengths off them on the turn but finished brilliantly to win by just under 2 lengths and ran an SP of 119. Before that he was 2nd in the G1 Barry Foster 9F. Sat last around 16 lengths from the lead. Stormed home the last furlong to go down by just under 2 lengths and ran an SP of 118. He was 10th in the G1 Sand Castle Classic 10F before that. Sat last around 17 lengths from the lead and just never came on. Beaten over 10 lengths and ran an SP of 109. Never un over this distance and will be a mile back in the run. Should be charging late but does he want further?
14. 21212– Doomcrag (Tapit) Owned by lenny15. – Jockey – L. Radzinski – 9/2.
4yo colt and 2nd favourite for the race. Has impeccable from leading into this. Overall record 19-5-8-0 and banking $633k. If his lead in races, follow the pattern he should be winning this. Last start he was 2nd in the G1 Evil Prep III behind Help Your Brothers (1st). Sat 11th around 7 lengths from the lead. Finished very well from the turn, beaten just under 2 lengths and ran an SP of 117. Prior to that he won the G2 Middle Ground Mile. Sat 8th around 8 lengths from the lead. Finished very strongly from the turn to win by just under a length and ran an SP of 119. Before that he was 2nd in the G3 Cultural Centre Cup 8.5F. Sat 11th around 10 lengths from the lead. Finished very strongly from the turn, beaten 1 length and running an SP of 115. Prior to that he won the Wealth by Stealth Dirt Mile. Sat 11th around 8 lengths from the lead. Finished very well from the turn to win by ¼ of a length and ran an SP of 120. He is the form horse of the race and looks very hard to beat.
Tips: Very tough race to handicap with many chances.
14. Doomcrag – In great form at the moment. Following his pattern, he wins. 9/2.
11. Twirling Enforcer – 3yo against older but think he will measure up here. Is the pick of the 3yo’s and silly odds. 20/1.
12. Afirmativo– Can be hit and miss. Think he hits here and has a chance. 11/1.
No Roughie as there is plenty of value in my picks.