Equinics Race-by-Race and Final Tally Predictions
By Given
Equinics Race Predictions
Great Sphinx – 3yof 10f dirt
Gold – Une Nuit a Paris (ESR) – Undefeated at distance, 2nd in only graded start to prove class, fastest filly
Silver – Erratic Empire (EWC) – Steadily improving, distance is a question but pedigree says yes
Bronze – Moflame (GRS) – Undefeated at 9.5f, pedigree for 10f, toss last, needs SF jump though
Hadron Collider – 3yo 8f dirt
Gold – Twirling Enforcer (ESR) – Lightly raced, massive G2 win at distance LTO, very tough
Silver – Flat Call (GRS) – Huge SF in G2 win LTO, bigtime closer, great at 8.5f, 8f maybe too short?
Bronze – Vindicated Grey (Midas) – Superb at a mile 5 (4 1 0), just missed in G2 LTO, dangerous
Petra – 2yof 6f dirt
Gold – Haptics (BS) – One of two graded winners, won three straight, the horse to beat, tough
Silver – Presidio Terrace (Midas) – Undefeated 3/3, blue bred to max out of G1 mare HOF family
Bronze – Pennyfryrthoughts (ESR) – Other graded winner, undefeated, cutback to 6f is question mark
Albert Einstein – 2yo 6f dirt
Gold – Dragon’s Deputy (GRS) – 2nd fastest in field, well rested, half to 6f G1 winner, primed for big run
Silver – Sweet Sweet Song (BS) – G3 winner, fastest in field, horse to beat, prefer slightly more rest
Bronze – Fleetwood Flatline (NWRC) – lone G2 winner in field, well rested, a few losses though
Chichen Itza – 3yof 6f dirt
Gold – Mikes Per Diem (EWC) – Unreal 9/11 lifetime, huge G3 win LTO with 109 SF, deadly on the engine
Silver – Watoga Station (GRS) – Line G1 winner in field, loves 6f, must get a bit faster for win threat
Bronze – La Conguera (LDM) – 6/7 lifetime, big step forward in stakes win LTO, distance and class test
Niagara Falls – 3yo 6f dirt
Gold – Youarenotsofunny (Minny) – Undefeated sprinting including G2 two back, slight choice in wide open race
Silver – Jokes on Pete (ESR) – terrific sprint record, very fast last two races, graded debut so some questions
Bronze – Jungle Pirate (NWRC) – gold standard for 2yo/3yo sprinters in this class, but might be tailing off
Thales of Miletus – 4yo+ 6.5f dirt
Gold – Outback Barbet (Midas) – defending BB champ is horse to beat in absolutely killer field
Silver – Tapit Prime (ERC) – division upstart has won 5 of 6, needs to prove class but tons of upside
Bronze – Lava Dragon (GRS) – needs a rebound from last race but has excuses, one of three G1 winners in race
Nicola Tesla – 3yof, 8f dirt
Gold – Regent of Justice (Midas) – the now filly, two straight G2 win at 8.5f including co-high 111 SF in last
Silver – Arrokaza (GRS) – Oaks winner, also ran a 111 in winning that, G1 win also at 8f but maybe better 9f
Bronze – Apathetic Guru (ASR) – must respect 2yo champion, ran on Derby trail now cuts back to 8f
Empire State Building – 4yo+ 8f dirt
Gold – Rozelle (ASR) – masterfully campaigned gelding ran obscene 125 in winning G1 Met Mile, horse to beat
Silver – Paynterpicture (ESR) – also ran 125 in Met Mile lose, will be tough if fave falters
Bronze – Help Your Brothers (GRS) – deadly at 8-8.5f, won G3 with 121 three back, upset threat
Hubble Telescope – 4yo+f 6.5f dirt
Gold – The Third Bride (URC) – half to two Equinics winners, might be loose and long gone, can also rate
Silver – Otto Pontchartrain (GRS) – Newly minted G1 winner has won four straight, will be flying late
Bronze – Senorita Caballo (ASR) – Multiple G2 winner looking for first G1 win will also be coming in the stretch
Mount Everest – 4yo+ 12f dirt
Gold – Myrrh Cadet (ESR) – Coming off G2 win at distance is likely one to beat in wide open affair, hot barn
Silver – Grunsmann’s Bow (GRS) – filly in off G1 win at distance, half-sister to two Belmont Stakes winners
Bronze – Chromecast (ASR) – two back smoked G3 at distance with big SF but has failed in G1 company
Mount Rushmore – 4yo+ 16f dirt
Gold – Amaite (Hispano)– one of two G1 winners in field, this mare is very dangerous if she can handle 2f extra
Silver – Usually Pay Double (URC) – other G1 in field and it was at this distance, is the horse to beat
Bronze – Let Me Be Cadet (ESR) – G2 winner at distance, very dangerous for Sim’s top juice trainer
Taj Mahal – 4yof+ 8f dirt
Gold – Otto Paunchi (GRS) – five straight wins including G1 LTO and G2 at distance two back, filly to beat
Silver – War Breaker (ERC) – the now horse, comes off G2 win at distance for impressive trainer
Bronze – Cayman Jack (URC) – would have preferred slop but have to respect, 120 SF at distance three back
Grand Canyon – 4yof+ 10f dirt
Gold – With Such Class (Hispano) – won 5/6 including all at distance, class test here but rates big shot
Silver – Three Day Blizzard (GRS) – horse to beat coming off G2 win at distance but has consistency concerns
Bronze – Hannahzapper (ERC) – destroyed a 9.5f stakes LTO with 115 SF but has class questions to answer
Statue of Liberty – 3yo 10f dirt
Gold – Gotyouoncamera (GRS) – devastating G1 win LTO with 114 SF, sky is the limit for this horse
Silver – General Crook (NWRC) – 2yo champion, Derby and Preakness winner, can’t wait to see top two battle
Bronze – Outback Dapper (Midas) – won G2 at distance LTO with 110 SF, has an upset shot but needs step up
Great Barrier Reef – 4yo+ 10f dirt
Gold – Giant’s Kash (EWC) – reigning HOTY, the horse to beat but winless in three starts this year
Silver – I Choose Daggers (GRS) – the upstart, 4/4 since switching to dirt, G2 win LTO with 117, next Cigar?
Bronze – They Were Giants (BS) – G1 winner got crushed in Dubai, came back to win ALW prep, dangerous
Eiffel Tower – 2yo 6f turf
Gold – Kiekeboe (URC) – undefeated G2 winner with impeccable breeding is clearly horse to beat
Silver – Blackreach (GRS) – narrowly lost G3 in May, well rested and half to 2yo G1 sprint winner
Bronze – King Zous (ERC) – undefeated G3 winner, three easy wins too, rates a big chance
Tim Berners-Lee – 2yof 6f turf
Gold – Neverstrike (GRS) – undefeated G2 winner out of G2 winning turf sprint mare, gets slight nod
Silver – Star of the Group (NWRC) – also never beaten G2 winner out of G2 turf sprint mare, can def win
Bronze – Mamba Out (ASR) – never run in stakes but fastest filly in race with 85 SF, gets class test here
Leaning Tower of Pisa – 3yof 9f turf
Gold – A Giant Impact (ASR) – G1 winner at 10f prepped in HOT, looks set for big effort in wide open race
Silver – White Gold Tower (GRS) – exploded in cutback to 9f LTO with G3 score and big fig, half to 2 G1 winners
Bronze – Skaoi (URC) – G1 winner at 10.5f might be better longer than this but did win ALW at distance, classy
Space Shuttle – 3yo 8f turf
Gold – Goodtobethedragon (ESR) – one of best 3yo turf milers ever in Sim, ran 117 LTO, scary for the King
Silver – Border Tribe (Midas) – G2 winner from HOF mare has lots of upside, this is a race for 2nd
Bronze – Terror in the Barn (EWC) – ran a 114 in a SW two back, 2nd best fig in the field, will love cutback
Leonardo da Vinci – 3yo 6f turf
Gold – Cadet Halo (ESR) – Won G1 at distance LTO, he-mare won BB turf sprint, class of field, sketchy trainer
Silver – Ten Marks (ERC) – undefeated stakes winner, 6/6 all turf sprints, gets acid test here
Bronze – Business Meeting (BS) – 2yo multiple G1 winner, form has tailed off a bit as 3yo, could get a piece
The Pyramids – 3yof 6f turf
Gold – Melanie (ESR) – the undisputed queen of the 3yo turf fillies with 5 G1 wins, distance slight concern
Silver – Machado the Padre (GRS) – won stakes LTO with big 106 SF, big danger if fave falters
Bronze – La Estancia (Latinos) – sparkling 5/7 record with two straight SW but testing graded for first time
Stonehenge – 3yof 8f turf
Gold – Starkist (ERC) – beautifully bred Sea the Stars filly won G1 at distance LTO and is lightly raced
Silver – Eiffel Rose (Midas) – battled-tested multiple G1 winner at distance, reigning 2yo champ, top barn
Bronze – Blast Oahu LV (Stayers) – G1 winner LTO at distance from Japan with love, not sure on par with top two
Solar System – 3yo 9.5f turf
Gold – Reel Invincible (Midas) – four straight including two G1, the class of the field and definite horse to beat
Silver – Warfront Queen (ESR) – identity crisis but fastest horse in field with 112 SF in stakes LTO, acid test
Bronze – Big Boy Diamonds (BS) – started in claims but ran massive 111 SF in 9f stakes LTO, first graded
Channel Tunnel – 4yof+ 5.5f turf
Gold – Saving the Galaxy (GRS) – 2nd in G1 at 6.5f LTO with 114 SF, repeat of that and she’s likely winner
Silver – Bomont (Midas) – coming off 6f G3 win and has a lot of upside, trying G1 company for first time
Bronze – Port Roc LV (Stayers) – won two straight 6f stakes but needs to step up for first graded attempt
Twin Towers – 4yof+ 8f turf
Gold – Otto Insane (GRS) – two straight G1 wins at the distance, knows where the wire is and the one to beat
Silver – No Laying Up (Minny) – multiple G1 winner is very tough but consistency has been issue this year
Bronze – Clarehaven URC) – G1 winner would fill out formful trifecta, but she needs to rebound from last
Apollo II – 4yo+ 6f turf
Gold – Lt General Snitzel (BS) – G1 winner two back got light allowance prep, rates huge shot for shady barn
Silver – Wreakful (ASR) – last year’s turf sprint champion got off to slow start in 2020 but now two G2 in a row
Bronze – Kamikaze Kitty (Minny) – amazing 18 for 25 lifetime including G1 win, real great story if can win
Machu Pichu Mile – 4yo+ 8f turf
Gold – We Look Hard (BS) – no standouts in race but this G1 winner two back is in best form of them all
Silver – Mowbray (GRS) – ran monstrous 121 two back in Dubai G1, 8f maybe too short but very classy sort
Bronze – Elhmas (URC) – coming off a G1 win at distance and is in very good form, one to respect
Victoria Falls – 4yof+ 10f turf
Gold – City of Blades (GRS) – coming off breakout G2 win at distance with 117, half to Equinics winner
Silver – Factor (BS) – in stellar form and won G2 at distance two back, has to run a bit faster to win this
Bronze – Almighty Forensics (ASR) – fastest in race with 118 two back in G2 win but never past 9f, big question
The Colosseum – 4yof+ 14f turf
Gold – Rockin In D Jungle (ESR) – winner of five straight including G3 at 12f LTO, out of G1 winner, may crush
Silver – Stars and Roses (GRS) – multiple SW at distance, had long break but revving up again, very dangerous
Bronze – A Little Thunder (Midas) – multiple GW at distance, last race subpar, too short or maybe tailing off?
Great Wall of China – 4yo+ 16f turf
Gold – Hy Kinsella (GRS) – former claimer has flourished longer and on firm turf, acid test but may be up for it
Silver – Corporal Snitzel (ESR) – one to beat off G1 win at 16f but has been inconsistent for known needle barn
Bronze – Calico Kitten (URC) – terrific 16f form and coming off 14f G3 win, a huge closer and will be flying late
Christ the Redeemer Statue – 4yo+ 13f turf
Gold – A Lot of Lies (BS) – four straight wins including a G1 LTO and this is strictly the horse to beat
Silver – Messy Connection (EWC) – lightly raced and coming off monster 12f G1 win but untested at 13f
Bronze – Bleakrock (GRS) – also lightly raced and won G1 at 12f two back, distance is issue, needs step up here
Equinics Total Tally
Based on my predictions, it looks like a two horse race for the gold medal between the reigning three time champion GR Simsters and Empire State Racing. Here’s how I have the top 5 shaking out:
Gold – GR Simsters – 80 pts
Silver – Empire State Racing – 54 pts
Bronze – Midas – 30 pts
4th – Blazing Sadddles – 29 pts
5th – All Stars Racing – 18 pts
5th – Universal Racing Club – 18 pts
Best of luck to all the competitors!!!
Stunning analysis effort 🙂
We shall see 😉
Hay, Oats and Water
Great work Dan
Target making prediction. We shall see. Lots of crow to be eaten if a 24 point predicted win isn’t fulfilled. Like the Patriots falling, the GRS falling is good for the SIM.
There is a reason Good Handicappers don’t own Race horses