The HER FORESTS Bonanza Stakes.2 yo Fillies ASCOT One Mile Firm Turf
A warm welcome from Ascot,the home of the Royal meeting.Once again we are here to cover race 10 on Saturdays racecard,The HER FORESTS Bonanza,an ungraded stakes for 2 yo fillies.We only have a small field of 5 all vieing for the first placed share of the $85000 pot.Lets go through the card and see if we can pick the forecast.
1)WABI SABI leeballs 1
2yo filly by Elusive Quality out of a grade G mare.1 run 1 win $27120.Nicely bred filly returns to the scene of her first trip to the track,when she won a $45200 6.5 furlongs fillies turf.Settled in behind that day before staying on strongly to win cosily by 3/4 length to record an70 s.f.The further she went that day the better she looked,so this 8 furlongs should be ideal.No surprise to see her the even money favourite.D Thomas is booked for the ride.
2)MILLVIEW SELLERS deeprock15 1
2yo scratchbred filly by Tejano.1 run 1 win $39000.Very well placed by her trainer deeprock in her first run,when entered into a weak 2yo 7 furlongs ungraded stakes for fillies.She duly obliged winning easily enough by 1 1/4 lengths.Her winning speed of 57 is the problem here.This looks much harder and it would be a massive ask to see her improve enough to match Wabi Sabi`s debut figure.She is the 12/1 outsider of the field and jockey T Moss will do the steering.
3)SILVER SPURS stormboot 0111
2 yo filly by Silver Train out of a grade D mare.4 runs 3 wins $78240.Triple turf winner and double stakes winner.Has shown a front running tendency in his short career so far,and this may prove a bit of a stumbling block in his first attempt at a mile.Lto ran over his furthest distance to date,a 6.5 furlongs stakes,and fair enough to the horse,once again led from trap to wire to win by 1 1/2 lengths.But he didnt show any improved speed figure and thats why i cannot have him here.Sure to set a cutthroat pace from the off,her backers will be praying he can hold on in unchartered waters.M Day will ride this 5/1 chance.
4)WATCH YOUR BACK lenny18 111
2 yo scratchbred filly by Forest Wildcat.3 runs 3 wins $47700.Great race stats,but I predict the winning run shall come to end today.An anti-improver,her speed figures have dropped off with each race.Lto over this trip she recorded her slowest speed figure to date when winning with a 55.This gives her virtually no chance here and in my way of thinking she should at least be the same sort of price as Millview Sellers.She isnt she is a very stingy 3/1 and top track jockey P Harzheim will apply his considerable powers of persuasion.
5)COZZY KOZZY dogfarm 421
2 yo filly by Cozzene out of a grade G mare.3 runs 1 win and 1 second $21360.Has the pick of the form over this trip.Lto broke her duck in allowance class when lifting a nw2l 8 furlongs for 2 yo fillies.Settled just behind the leader and ran on,winning with the minimum of fuss by 11/2 lengths.This should make her the one to beat here,although Wabi Sabi may have something to say about that.Great Chance.R Williams is on board this 2/1 shot.
Pogo Predicts
Only 5 runners,scratch the outsider,2 wont stay thats only leaves 2.For me its Wabi Sabi`s potential against Cozzy`s proven ability at the trip.And im going for potential this time.If this is Wabi`s true trip,she will improve and for that reason i take 1 to beat 5.