Gingobell looking to get back to winners circle…
Placed according to my finish prediction order …(13-11-9)
13. Ginkobell : Favorite looking to get back to the winners circle after only placing 1 out of 4 races including 3 G1 races. This horse takes the step down and needs to get back on track. Jockey Brewer wins 21% of his races. Will need to take the lead at the 3rd quarter in order to get it done. Expext SP rating around 107 here! 800k earner in 32 races , 4yr colt.
11. Beyer Beware : Interesting horse with a good shot at winning it, didn’t show much last race ending up 8th but if in shape looks like a serious contender. He’s won 2 of the last 4 races including a G1. SP rating around 106 here. 900k earner in 23 starts, 4 yr colt.
9. El Nimo Rapido : This horse is the more realiable in the field, placing in his last 6 races. Could get it done if the favorites have an off day. Winner of 4 in last 6 months, expect him in the trifecta. Around 103 SP rating. He’s a 544k earner in 20 runs, 4yr colt.
6. Rebellion : His last race 11th in GI doesn’t reflect his stuff, placed 3 of last 4 but this field looks like a challenge for him, could run out of juice at the end. He’ll SO near 100. 721k earned in 26 races lifetime.
7. Colonial Childers : This 5yr veteran is still running well. He has an outside shot to win, as he gets 2nd place by a nose 3 races ago in the October Sea Challenge (80k) if in shape could likely place 4th here. SP could be over 100…. This is my longshot winner if your looking for one. 169k in 33 starts.
1. Unreasonable : This horse will look to get his first G3 place. The field looks too fast for the win, but a 3rd place isn’t unreachable, however it,s not expexted. He’ll get the inside lane so we never know. SP around 95. 186k earner in 21 races.
8. King of Kilmore (AUS) : This guy will have big opposition today compared to last 4 starts in stakes races. I wouldn’t expect a great show as last mile race he raced was an allowance race. SP around 94 here. 215k earner in 16 races.
4. Monkidle : Well bred 6 yr old still challenging the younger horses in graded races. This guy earned a well raced 3rd 3 races ago in G1, however the competion is tougher here. Expect SP of 95 here for the veteran of the field. 611k earner in 53 starts.
5. Exposure : Used to winning 6 wins in 13 starts, this chestnut 4yr colt will find it tougher than last time out in stakes race where he ended with a disappointing 5th. Looking for a shakeup that could him back on the winning track, but looks to be very tough for him here. Expect an SP of 93. 138k earner in 13 races.
12. Dixiedixie : Looking for a 5th here, double Dixie should find double trouble on his way to the mile, however he scored 106 SP last race so we cant just count him out. Veteran Callguire will need to find that same energy to get the job done here.
2. Rude Boy Shufflin : Jockey Brett will need to shuffle startegies here if he wants Rude anywhere near the pack, but if he manages to stay with the pack could get a mid pack finish….
10. River Gran(IRE) : This field should be to fast for him to follow, big jump in class , i think too much talent for him. 84k earner in 18 races.
3. Gallic Charm(FR) : This youth of the field 3yr colt isnt ready yet for this competition. Unless I’m wrong he’ll need more time in stakes races before making the jump . 136k earner lifetime.