Four fast fillies in flagstaff
The EXCLUSIVE CON Handicap
Stakes
A mile and one eighth
Fast Dirt
$60,000
Fillies and mares, 4 years old and up
Welcome to the feature this week in Arizona The EXCLUSIVE CON Handicap
A short field in numbers but i think it will be closely contested because
these horses are very similar in ability. But they all have their different
runnig styles but that is what makes this Arizona track that much better. One
day speed is king and one day closers are the order of the day so bet carefully,
so dont forget to throw in that longshot every now and then because in ‘zona
anything is possible!!
PP Horse ID Horse Owner Jockey Odds
1 64190 ROTONDA sansebas N Gardner 8/5- This horses connections like to watch
this filly run having run her off two weeks rest last time out and she was able to
gut out a conditional allowance win she steps up to open stakes company today which
normally spells disaster but in this short field this may have been the right move.
ROTONDA comes in off of a big finish last time out and i want to like this horse but i
think that last race and the quick turnaround is going to be too much to overcome today
coming from 9 lengths back and winning by half a length is not easy and to have to come
back on 2 weeks rest and be asked to step up your game is really difficult and even harder
considering this is a filly, but against these horses she may be good enough but not for my
money look elsewhere for a winner and at 8/5 she is not worth a bet too short of a price to
make it worth the walk to the window.
2 49492 SMART SEVEN crash77 W Desitter 3/1-This race may not be long enough for this filly as her last two wins have come at longer distances so the distance wont beat her.
but the slow pace just might there is no real speed battle in this race and this horse likes
to have a pace to run at. This horse will be closer to the pace than she is used to with the
lack of early speed minus one horse she should settle in second and this will be a learning
experience to see if this horse can run a stalking style i dont think so i think it will settle
in second and w DESITTER will live up to his name and settle for a second which is still a nice
run for this horse a second place stakes check bay be just what CRASH77 needs to get the confidence flowing thru the entire barn
3 11118 GOD’S FURY saver O Sweeney 8/5 – horse returns to open stake company
after jumping into graded stakes company. I have a soft spot when betting for
these types, You would like to think that the owner had high hopes for these horses
but in this horses case i think the horse was lucky to catch a couple of soft fields
to make him look worthy of graded competition but he is in back in his rightful element
today. Lets hope the graded debacles didn’t ruin this talent filly. GOD’S FURY is the class
of this short field having not run in a non- stakes race since breaking her maiden second
time out as a two year old. that is impressive as you can tell by the impressive bankroll
over 600,000$ in just 21 races with only 5 wins so this horse knows how to find the front
of the field and in this race if this horse’s confidence is not shot from the last two forays
into graded stakes company that back class may be enough to slingshot this filly to the front.
There is no doubt that this filly has faced and beat better just hope the last two disappointing
performances were a result of being outclassed not of declining skills.
4 75645 LOVE AND AFFECTION(IRE) kobras3 T Fozo 3/1 – I like what kobras3 has done to get ready for this race kobras3 said this was his target race as soon as she croseed the finish line in the last race the horse is fresh coming off of a five week layoff so fatigue
should not be a problem. LOVE AND AFFECTION(IRE) has been running against lower level allowance runners and makes a jump in class which in most cases is tough to overcome but in this case this field is nothing more than a glorified lower allowance being run for more money. LOVE AND AFFECTION(IRE) will get the early lead and will get it rather easily the only question is if T Fozo can settle her down on the lead enough to save a little bit for the run down the lane to hold off god’s fury i dont think so I think that this horse will give up the lead with about a half of furlong to go but will do not do it without a fight
TWOSILKS PICK no trifecta due to the short field
but i am going GOD’S FURY over LOVE AND AFFECTION(IRE) so for you bettors
out their that is a 20 exacta 3-4!! that should have you going to the window
with enough money to go and buy some easter eggs and dye for the kiddies!!
——————————————————————————–