Black Type Bugler

eHorseracing.com’s Official Online News Source

Black Type Bugler

eHorseracing.com’s Official Online News Source

CALL OF THE WILD II HIGHLIGHTS THE GI MOVIELAND SHINY CUP

Look back over the history of the Movieland Shiny Cup, and you start to understand what kind of an impact this race has.  The big guns converge on California in mid-July each year, and the world stops to pay attention:  the best older horses in the SIM line up for their crack at one of the most prestigious races run over 1 ¼ miles on dirt, but more often than not, the big names have their hearts broken and a longshot ends the day with his name in lights.  With this context in mind, 12 horses have gathered for a share of the $1,000,000 pot, and the field is, as always, deep.

 

Trainer tnilsson trains the aptly named ESTROGEN, who will break from post 1.  As you may guess from the name, Estrogen is a filly, and the only filly in the race, but she missed the memo informing the world that fillies rarely compete at this level with the boys.  She’s coming off of a solid third in the GI Out Of The City Handicap over this trip two weeks ago, and presaged that performance with a victory here in California over the males in the GI Movieland Turf Cup.  A confirmed front runner, she’ll be flying out of the gates and trying to hold on at 9/1 odds, but the pace will be blazing and she’s in against the class of the older males here; it’s a tall order.

 

AVOCADO BILL, in post position 2, is counting on that hot pace that Estrogen figures to be a part of to set up his closing kick.  His victory last time out in the Brooke Lynn Stakes (GII) was visually impressive, as he turned a 5 ½ length deficit at the third call into a handy 2-length victory at the wire, and he looks to repeat that sort of a run today for trainer ruok, but trainers are scratching their head with the jockey assignment.  R Hoffman is on board today, and he sports only one win this year from 41 starts.  The field is too closely matched for Avocado Bill to cruise on talent alone, so a poor jock may be his undoing, and he is a 6/1 underlay in this spot.

 

SILVER CANUCK, in post position 3, comprises one half of the most interesting storyline that this race has to offer.  This stalker is once again on the top of his game after suffering through a dry spell last fall, and he’s out for blood while looking to improve on his #5 divisional ranking.  Following his narrow victory in the California Handicap (GI) over this trip and track this spring, he shipped to Dubai for the Sand Castle Classic (GI), where fellow contestant Call of the Wild II held off his late charge to claim the SIM’s richest race.  Trainer pher has Silver Canuck in this spot as his first start off a huge layoff (he hasn’t raced since that Dubai effort), and if he can handle the layoff and sit far enough what promises to be a blistering pace, he has a shot at taking home not only $600,000, but bragging rights as the best older horse in the SIM.

 

Trainer burnin has SEEKING THE BRAVE coming into this race looking for nothing but a little respect: the 5/1 co-favorite has been knocking on the door in top company, but hasn’t quite managed to get the job done as of late.  He comes in off of a 2nd place finish to competitor Search and Conquer in the New Hampshire Handicap (GI) with a stellar 114 speed figure, but he’s also a speedster who figures to get caught up in the hot pace.  Seeking The Brave has been best when he can clear the field early, and he probably can’t do it today.

WOODY’S SMURFS is a 10/1 shot for trainer galaxystar, and if this were just “any other race,” he’d be a throwout horse on the basis of sub par recent form.  That said, his last effort was a strong 4th in the New Hampshire Handicap, and that race stacks up as one of the fastest speed-number races run in this division in the recent past.  As the 23rd ranked horse in his division, he obviously has too much backclass to completely toss.

 

NOTHINGBUTEASY, on the other hand, can be completely tossed.  He makes his first try in graded stakes company here, and I don’t care how much potential he may have, he’d be hard pressed to outrun these seasoned campaigners while taking such a huge leap in class.  Trainer jayhawkhhh can’t be faulted for taking a shot, but 4 races ago this colt couldn’t manage to run to victory in an $8,700 allowance race. 

And then we get to the big horse.  CALL OF THE WILD II has managed, in only 14 lifetime starts, to secure the #1 ranking in the dirt classic division for trainer gipper8, and comes in off of back-to-back wins in the Sand Castle Classic and GI Maryland Special Handicap.  His only loss in his last four starts was to (you guessed it) Silver Canuk in the GI California Handicap. After turning the tables on him in Dubai, astute race fans have been clamoring for a rematch, and they’ll get it here.  As a stalker, the race will set up well for this colt, and he has arguably the best jock in the SIM on board.  F Gossett knows how to win (20% strike rate this year), and he knows how to win when it matters.  Taking down this colt will be a tall order.

 

LENO’S CHIN suffers from the same fault as Nothingbuteasy: a lot of talent but not a lot of experience at this level.  Further, consider that this star of the sunline stable has been first at the first call in all but one of his 11 most recent starts, and you know how he’s going to try and run this race.  He’s a good horse, but he’s going to run into more talented speedsters capable of running him into the ground who won’t hesitate to take it to him on the chin.  How long before they land the knockout blow is the only question.

 

Next in line we find a horse that seems to be popping up all over the place recently: SEARCH AND CONQUOR has been climbing the rankings in recent weeks thanks in large part to a 2nd to Call of the Wild II in the Maryland Special and a win over several of today’s other live horses in the New Hampshire Handicap.  His 115 speed figure in the New Hampshire is the fastest number that any of today’s participants have managed to run in this calendar year, and if he runs back to that performance he could be hard to beat.  Of course, he could also regress substantially off of such a huge effort.  Trainer chibound has a jock that will likely neither help nor hurt in N Bonus, who wins at a 13% clip, but the only thing to do with this one is wait and see whether he can turn his performance of a lifetime into a stepping stone towards greater things or whether he’ll be a little flat off of that monster of an effort.

 

KISSING COUSIN II is trained by Sherwood, and he’s a talented colt, especially in ungraded competition.  He was solidly beaten in the California Handicap, and then a closing but non-threatening third in a GIII race last time out.  Needs to step up in a big way to have a shot, but its not completely out of the question.

 

Cjt continues his ambitious scheduling with 12/1 shot LEAVE THE REEF, who, despite a resurgence last time out in the Jerzey City Handicap (GIII), seems like a tired horse.  He wasn’t just beaten in the Maryland Special and New Hampshire Handicaps, he was thrashed, and a poor jock doesn’t help him here.  If he somehow manages to pull his a-game out of the bag, he’s dangerous, but that’s an unlikely scenario.

Hulk Spa, at 31/1, is trained by patb, and is, to put it nicely, ambitiously placed.  In his last graded stakes try, he improved over his penultimate try against that company: instead of trailing home last, he at least beat one horse.  Last time out, however, he was seen in northern California trailing in 6th in an allowance race.  Should probably stick to allowance company for the time being.

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