The Humane

The Humane Distaff
Grade I
Seven furlongs
Fast Dirt
$300,000
Fillies and mares, 4 years old and up

1          170669            WAKE THE PREACHER(KY)          soonerslew      B Sipe     10/1    

2          88207              K’S SEIZE MY DAY(KY)                  bacchus           P Cadigan           9/1      

3          87136              SONG OF SPEIGHT(KY)                  mtkgrs             O Osbourne         10/1    

4          131176            ENCOSTA DE SILVER(AUS)           silverny           R Whisper          6/1      

5          15220              URBANE LEGEND(KY)                   desimster2       O A Haack          8/1      

6          160805            DONOVAN’S GOAL(KY)                  saga28             N Lawton            11/1    

7          72474              TEX TORNADO(KY)                        fatattack          A Jolly    9/1      

8          165676            WILL CONQUER(KY)                      lenny30           F Gossett            7/1      

9          41491              HAVE ANOTHER HIT(KY) trotter2            W McClendon 12/1        

10        170185            I’VE COME FROM FAR(CAN)         cmd2015         J Caves 26/1    

11        191986            IRISH VOW(KY)                               mouskers         F Griffen            9/1      

12        176978            NAILED AT THE GUN(KY)             gradeone         A Rolling            8/1      

13        53604              GRAND ASSEMBLY(KY)                kindone4         D Sherman          30/1    

14        14162              YEARS GONE BY(KY)                    chloedawg2     D Givins 12/1    

This extended sprint over the specialist 7f sees plenty of experienced fillies & mares go at it with plenty in with a chance. Promises to be a bit of a cavalry charge. Sound the trumpets and lets take a look at the runners-

WAKE THE PREACHER(KY)

Plenty of stakes experience with the odd graded run thrown in. Her last two wins have been over this trip, including a gradeII and both with a 109 speed figure. Very consistant, rarely outside the money and all her best runs have been when she has been right up with the pace. We will know pretty early on what her chances are. If she’s up there she can win, if she’s back in the pack she probably won’t.

K’S SEIZE MY DAY(KY)

Massive experience here and is by the greay Storm Cat . Every recent run has been over this trip and there are plenty of 107-110 speed figures there. Only two recent graded runs however and you wonder if she’s up to this level now- her recent grade I second was with only a 98 speed figure and that will not get second today. Great old campaigner but it looks as if age may be catching up with her.

SONG OF SPEIGHT(KY)

Interesting one here. No recent rund at this trip but has been closing over 6f and 6.5f including a grade III win with a speed figure of 109. She will get behind a little mid race but closes really well and looks made for this trip. Lack of graded experience may count against her but I think she will produce a big run here. Dangerous. Big Time.

ENCOSTA DE SILVER(AUS)

Pretty impressive record with ten wins from fifteen races. Included in that are two graded wins at this trip, a grade II with a 113 speed figure and a 111 in a grade I three runs back. Anothe run like thast will be good enough to take this and even a bit less will see her in the frame. Seems versatile regarding her running style, although doesn’t seem to like being out the back. Has to be right in there in this one and is another massive danger.

URBANE LEGEND(KY)

Plenty of runs over this trip but only one graded try over any trip recently  with a third in a grade II last time out in a 104 speed figure. Her best two recent runs with 111 and 113 speed figures have been her two tries at 7.5f. She is by A.P.Indy and you would think 7.5f would be her minimum trip. Likes to sit just off the pace but surely she wants another try over 8f as she seems to be crying out for it. Has a chance but would be stronger over further.

DONOVAN’S GOAL(KY)

A lot less experience here with only one lifetime graded run. That did produce a second over 6f in a grade II last time out though and she was closing like a train too. Looks then like this may be her trip but that lack of graded experience is a worry. She will be out the back for most of the race and will try to close late, but with several of these likely to be where they like out front she may find it hard to peg them back. Definitely has the talent too win this but a wa ching brief is advised today.

TEX TORNADO(KY)

Another with plenty of runs at this trip, but a mixed bag in terms of race quality from allowances to grade I’s and back again. Has grade I and grade II wins but also poor runs in graded races. Seems best when leading and able to domindate and that might prove hard here. To be honest I don’t know what to make of this one.

WILL CONQUER(KY)

Lots of experience again here but only two recent graded runs. A good second in a grade II ove 6.5f and a poor run in a grade I over todays trip. Her runs at 6.5f seem to suggest she would get 7f but her only recent try was her worst recent run. It may be that 6.5f is as far as she goes at this grade. Will be sitting mid pack and if she is still there after 4f then she may get the 7f, if she starts going backwards then she’s in trouble.

HAVE ANOTHER HIT(KY)

One of the less experienced runners in the field and her first try in a graded race. This is a big step up and she has only won an allowance at this trip. In both her stakes races at 7f she has faded and this will be a lot tougher than a stakes. Most of these will have too much for her today and I would rather see her at 6f in a grade III. She will try to lead but I just can’t see her holding on.

I’VE COME FROM FAR(CAN)

One of the two outsiders today and with good reason. Faded badly in he only graded run over 6f and I just don’t see how she’ll last over 7f in a grade I. Her best run was a 104 speed figure to win a 5f stakes two runs back and that looks her trip and her level. Outclassed here I’m afraid.

 IRISH VOW(KY)

Plenty of recent graded runs here but most of them have been at 8f or further. Did win a stakes over 7.5f in a 109 speed figure but this is not a stakes race. Tried todays 7f two runs back in a grade II and ran a stinker. She could not go with them at the finish. Don’t see why that would change today as she clearly hasn’t got the speed for this trip at this grade. Get her back to 8f or even 9f and she can win a grade I.

NAILED AT THE GUN(KY)

A ton of runs but only one recent graded run. That however produced a 11 speed figure to win a grade II at today’s trip. Another run like that would see her in the top three today if not getting the win. Trouble is she is now five and shouldn’t be improving after all those runs. Does that mean that last run was a “blip” and she’ll go back to 102-104 speed figures? If so she’ll do no better than midfield today. Hard to call, she could go either way but I think she’s too risky to back.

GRAND ASSEMBLY(KY)

The outsider and with good reason. Only one recent triple digit speed figure in an allowance, although it was at today’s trip. She gets in due to some two year old runs and she plainly should not be here. Sorry but I can’t see anything other than last. Her recent runs have mostly been poor even for allowance level.

YEARS GONE BY(KY)

Another of the less experienced runners who’s clearly still on the upgrade. That said though I don’t think this is her trip. By Rahy she’s bred to get 8-9f and that looks like what she needs. Her recent runs have all been late closers but in most she hasn’t had the time to get through to the front. Look for her to be near the back early and closing late but she won’t get closer than about fifth at the line. Crying out for 8f and based on her grade II win a few runs back she can win at this level. But not today at this trip.

There we are then, a real close one to call with a good mix of ages, running styles and plenty of 7f specialist. I’m going for Song of Speight to beat Encosta De Silver in a close one, a real close one.