ARC A COMIN'(GER) early favourite for The Kewney

Hi all and welcome to Victoria for the fourth running of The Kewney. Todays race has attracted a strong field of 9 and we expect a big crowd as the nice Autum weather continues here.

Race: The Kewney (4ft running)
Class: Grade III (Group3)
Distance: One mile (1600m)
Track info: Firm Turf
Prize money: $250,000
Restrictions: Fillies and mares, 3 years old

Previous winners:

2009: GORGEOUS TRICKSTER 1ST-12 101sp eirann3 P Lipps barrier3 $11
2nd: EVITA PERON 99sp puracrema N Hartel barrier12 $6.5
3rd: CAPITAL KINDNESS 98sp screaming S Benoit barrier1 $19

2010: LUCKY’S KIMBERLY M 1st-14 101sp naracing J Cox barrier 1 $4.9
2nd: ZORAIDA 100sp har J Garcia barrier3 $6.3
3rd: ETERNITY IN HELL 99sp super5 D Evans11 barrier$7.9

2011: BEACH TIME 1st-14 105sp wistful3 J Cox barrier14 $5.6
2nd: CLUB DE MAMBO 104sp seekgold R Bailey barrier6 $9.2
3rd: INFECTION 104sp jonsnow2 D Dowell barrier3 $8.5

And now this years field.

PP#1 32521 TAKING EUROPE (ENG) whobegotu T Myslinski $8
3yo Chestnut filly by MAKFI x SADLER’S WELLS
Running Style: Runs mid-field
Starts: 9:3-3-2
Money: $129,670
Dist Starts: 1:1-0-0
Class Starts: 1:0-0-0
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 466
Average speed by last 5 starts: 85
Best Run: 18/2/12 Portugal A-NW1T 1600m sp89 1st-4
Last 5 Starts: 23131
Days Since Last Raced: 28 days

This Makfi filly started her year with a win at Portugal in an A-NW1T over 1600m her last start. Has the one start at this class but that was her 3rd start as a 2yo and don’t think she was ready for that then. This will be her first start at the track and will have to improve a lot if she would like to do well here. I think a place chance looks the best for her.

PP#2 156332 MAURITANIA (KY) stormboot2 G Adler $11
3yo Brown filly by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY(IRE)
Running Style: Runs from the back
Starts: 9:3-2-1
Money: $75,490
Dist Starts: 1:0-0-0
Class Starts: 1:0-0-0
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 132
Average speed by last 5 starts: 82
Best Run: 21/1/12 Turkey STKS 1500m sp87 2nd-4
Last 5 Starts: 72321
Days Since Last Raced: 28 days

This filly has been racing well in stakes company and the owners have given her the challange here. She is yet to place at the distance and class, and this is her first start at the track. Look for her to be finishing home strong but don’t think she’ll worry many of these.

PP#3 21776 WHOSON CAT (AUS) prufrock D Dowell $5
3yo Brown filly by HUSSON (ARG) x STORM CAT
Running Style: Runs from the back
Starts: 9:4-2-1
Money: $426,600
Dist Starts: 1:0-0-0
Class Starts: 1:0-0-0
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 20
Average speed by last 5 starts: 88
Best Run: 18/2/12 Vermont GRP1 1400m sp94 3rd-13
Last 5 Starts: 10123
Days Since Last Raced: 28 days

This filly is coming off a strong third placing in a GRP1 over 1400m. Has only the one start at the distance and class for no placings, and this is her first start at the track. This filly is well placed here and look for her to be storming home as she looks like she will be suited to the extra distance. This one has got to be considered as one of the main chances.

PP#4 90822 SABILI (TUR) tlozon1999 S Nightingale $12
3yo Chestnut filly by SABIRLI x A.P. INDY
Running Style: Runs from the back or mid-field
Starts: 8:4-1-1
Money: $156,950
Dist Starts: 1:0-1-0
Class Starts: First Start
Track Starts: 1:1-0-0
Ranking: 338
Average speed by last 5 starts: 81
Best Run: 21/1/12 Victoria Allow 1700m sp88 1st-4
Last 5 Starts: 12431
Days Since Last Raced: 56 days

This filly is having a big step up in class, but has placed at the distance and has won at the track. Her last start was at the track where she won in an 1700m allowance, but this will be a big ask today.

PP#5 98970 HUSUNDER (AUS) omroiwalmo R Bailey $6
3yo Light Grey filly by HUSSON (ARG) x UNBRIDLED’S SONG
Running Style: Runs from the back or mid-field
Starts: 7:2-3-1
Money: $87,860
Dist Starts: 4:0-2-1
Class Starts: First Start
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 50
Average speed by last 5 starts: 90
Best Run: 21/1/12 Upper New York STKS 1600m sp93 3rd-6
Last 5 Starts: 52132
Days Since Last Raced: 28 days

This filly has just onced missed the placings from her 7 starts. This will be her first start at the track and class, and she is also yet to win at this distance. Nearly won a GRP1 as a 2yo and has just improved from there. I think this one is a good each-way bet.

PP#6 55759 CROOKED ROAD (KY) super1 J Kohlmorgen $3.5
3yo Chestnut filly by DISTORTED HUMOR x GIANT’S CAUSEWAY (IRE)
Running Style: Runs mid-field
Starts: 8:3-2-0
Money: $113,660
Dist Starts: 3:3-0-0
Class Starts: 1:0-1-0
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 79
Average speed by last 5 starts: 90
Best Run: 28/1/12 Hong Kong GRP3 1700m sp98 2nd-9
Last 5 Starts: 27712
Days Since Last Raced: 49 days

This filly is having her 3rd start on the turf, but her other 2 starts were a second and a win. Is a classy runner and is yet to lose at this distance. Finished second from her only start at this class and she is the second favourite here today. I think she will be hard to beat.

PP#7 164066 STRETCHIN GRETCHIN (AUS) jetlife N Hartel $8
3yo Brown filly by SHARMARDAL x DANEHILL DANCER (IRE)
Running Style: Runs off the pace
Starts: 8:3-2-1
Money: $108,879
Dist Starts: 2:2-0-0
Class Starts: 1:0-0-0
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 96
Average speed by last 5 starts: 84
Best Run: 31/12/11 Norway STKS 1600m sp94 1st-8
Last 5 Starts: 42110
Days Since Last Raced: 35 days

This filly was well beaten at this class last start, but that was probably cause she wasn’t ready for the 2000m. She is dropping back in distance here today and she is yet to lose at this distance, but this will be her first start at the track. Not sure about this one she could go either way so take her at your own risk.

PP#8 62569 CHEF SAVARIN (AUS) ajerkens J Cox $7
3yo Chestnut filly by SEBRING (AUS) x EMPIRE MAKER
Running Style: Runs behind the pace
Starts: 10:4-3-0
Money: $288,215
Dist Starts: 4:2-1-0
Class Starts: 2:0-0-0
Track Starts: 2:1-1-0
Ranking: 18
Average speed by last 5 starts: 85
Best Run: 24/12/11 Maryland GRP2 1600m sp94 2nd -11
Last 5 Starts: 04128
Days Since Last Raced: 35 days

This filly has good record over the distance and is yet to miss a placing at the track. The owners have gone with J Cox to ride today and as it just happens to be he was the first jockey to ever ride her where she put in a good race to finish second. The owners will be hoping she can go one step better here and I think she’s a good place chance.

PP#9 35622 ARC A COMIN’(GER) broohar3 D Evans $3
3yo Brown filly by MONSUN (GER) x DANEHILL
Running Style: Runs mid-field or behind the pace
Starts: 11:4-3-0
Money: $554,735
Dist Starts: 3:1-1-0
Class Starts: 1:0-0-0
Track Starts: First Start
Ranking: 5
Average speed by last 5 starts: 92
Best Run: 14/1/12 China STKS 1600m sp101 1st-6
Last 5 Starts: 22817
Days Since Last Raced: 35 days

This filly is our favourite today and not hard too see why as she is fifth ranked in this division. Does well at the distance but this is her first start at the track. This one has some great speed figures and is definately the one to beat.

My Tips:
PP#9 35622 ARC A COMIN’(GER)
PP#6 55759 CROOKED ROAD (KY)
PP#3 21776 WHOSON CAT (AUS)

Good luck to all.