THE REDBOARD ROOM – Recapping NY 4967

15 top picks in the money
8 winners picked overall
5 boxed exactas
Race 15 – $1,869.60 Trifecta Box
RACE 1
2ND – TOUCH THE FLOWERS(NY) – finished third in
1ST – ON COCA(NY) – lone four year old in field has the speed figures to back her up here, but I have my reservations about 0-17 4/5shots
3RD – DIM ALL THE LIGHTS(NY) – 13-1 first time starter could make the exotics worthwhile
No surprises here…top two in inverted order as ON COCA bested TOUCH THE FLOWERS to the wire
RACE 2
3RD – DEAR WATSON(KY) – no match for 2011
2ND – EXTREMELY LOUD(KY) – undefeated in two starts could be dangerous if left alone on an uncontested pace
OUT– PIEREWIET(KY) – looked good when returning against limited winners in last
DEAR WATSON failed to respond when urged and settled for the Show
RACE 3
1ST – CIRCULAR ODYSSEY(KY) – very comfortable this level this distance and gets shortest distance to wire here
OUT – CAT GONE WEST(IRE) – Grade III winner this distance two back but last raises some flags
OUT – ROUGE WAVE(KY) – never off the board 8 starts this distance, 22-1 shot is worth using in the exotics
CIRCULAR ODYSSEY circled the field with a last to first move to reward his backers with an $11.80 payoff
RACE 4
3RD – THE JUST MAID(KY) – throw out last in the off going, freshened and could light up the board if ready
OUT – ONCE OR TWICE(IRE) – sibling to stakes winning PAUPER OF BEL AIR(KY) broke her maiden last out stretching out first time and could be this good
OUT – PERFECT RIFF(KY) – impressed favorably last out stretching out first time from stakes winning turf mare
Top pick THE JUST MAID loomed boldly in the stretch but hung when it counted as the 12-1 shot paid $7.90 for the Show
RACE 5
2ND – TYMINSKI(CA) – opened up a long lead against open company 40k claimers in last before getting edged at the wire; back against field she can boss around
OUT – PALFREY(KY) – late runner benefits from fast early pace in here
OUT – LUCIA(AUS) – twelve times first or second around two turns; can’t ignore
TYMINSKI opened up a clear lead into the stretch but couldn’t hold off the late charge of SHMALOM and had to settle for the Place
RACE 6
3RD – SPOOKY WILDCAT(KY) – the standout class of this field sits a perfect trip in here best despite winless this distance
2ND – FLOWERS ON TUESDAY(KY) – winner of three straight all in NY will be noticed when the real running starts
1ST – BOTTLE OF BUBBLY(KY) – has been keeping better company but will have to contend with TPC LAS VEGAS(IRE) in the early going
Top three picks hit the board in reverse order as BOTTLE OF BUBBLY put away all early challengers to wire the field. Tri-Box $79.80
RACE 7
3RD – MOROSO(KY) – overmatched in last, back with limited winners at a favorable distance for a big price
OUT – PURRFECT MOUSER(KY) – closet sprinter faced better in last and should move up in second consecutive sprint
OUT – H TWO O(AUS) – throw out last in off going, flat out dangerous this distance on dirt
Top pick MOROSO (11-1) was pressed at every fraction and finished third with a game effort
RACE 8
OUT – TOO CLEVER(KY) – seven times first or second in seven lifetime sprints, closer shortens up in a race loaded with speed, days best
OUT – HAWK SMASH(IRE) – winner of eight in the last year has tactical speed to lay close and take over when the front end softens up
OUT – DUTCH OVEN(GB) – turned in a huge effort in last when uncharacteristically coming from far back
Top three speeds raced together throughout leaving the closers out of the picture
RACE 9
1ST – TWENTY STORIES(KY) – gets weak vote in poor field; on the board 6 of 9 starts
OUT – MAGENTA DOG(NZ) – averages a 76 speed figure in 5 career starts, that’s good enough in here
TWENTY STORIES took over the lead willingly and won under a hand ride to pay $3.80
RACE 10
2ND– CAST(KY) – Bernardini filly is a sibling of graded stakes millionaire BLUE LETTER, and is coming off a strong effort LTO over this course
1ST– SKY HIGH POP UP(KY) – big run last out in first start as a three year old over this course when switched from turf
3RD – ON A SERIOUS NOTE(KY) – named appropriately, ESKENDEREYA x
Top two picks finish in reverse order with SKY HIGH POP UP carrying out of the ballpark. Tri-Box pays $101.20 – Exacta pays $51.10
RACE 11
2ND – THE BEGGAR KING(KY) – 2010 Eclipse winner is on parade at 2/5
Hardly a man is now alive that paid the mortgage at 2-5
RACE 12
2ND – WRITE DOWN(KY) – race written for him, enters race off the G1 Sterile Mile
3RD – ASPIRING FELLOW(KY) – gets his picture taken if top one falters
WRITE DOWN, in front by four only to get caught by the CAT N D HOUSE
RACE 13
1ST – THE BATTLE IS WON(KY) – turns back into a sprint and is out of the multi graded stakes winning mare BRAVE BIRDIE
OUT –
2ND– TALK THAT TALK(KY) – Tiznow filly has turned in a pair of solid efforts and should improve going forward
THE
RACE 14
3RD – DAN MISSES ML(GB) – Grade I winner passes them all in the stretch
2ND – ECR EMPIRE(KY) – sits chilly behind the pace setters but will have to hold off top choice in the stretch
Top pick DAN MISSES ML(GB), far back early on, never overcame the wide margin as the winner was left alone on the front end
RACE 15
1ST – BRIGHTLY SHINING(JPN) – first foal from sprinting graded stakes winning mare over the turf HOLY NIGHT out of recently bumped up sire Falbrav
3RD – TRICK OR TWEET(KY) – bred for turf out of frosh sire from graded stakes producing mare GLOBAL KING
2ND – SEEKING QUALITY(KY) – sire Elusive Quality set a NWR at the mile 1:31.63, out of a Rahy mare…turf first asking
BRIGHTLY SHINING makes our day turning in an 81 speed figure in his 2yo debut paying $18.80 and capping off a $1,869.60 Trifecta Box
RACE 16
1ST – LOST AND DAMNED(IRE) – race bidder opted for a Stakes race instead and may be the wiser for it…tough beat here
LOST AND DAMNED broke first and never looked back paying $2.80 for the win