Sunday, August 2, 2020 — 5:00:00 PM EST
Vermont – Grade I – Purse : $1,250,000
8 Furlongs – Fast Dirt – Restricted to 4 Year Olds and Older, Fillies and Mares Only

Watch Race – 3D Viewer   –   Watch Race – 2D Viewer

Post 1 – CAYMAN JACK – 9/2

CAYMAN JACK is sired by MINESHAFT and is running for the derekcarlson4 stable.  CAYMAN JACK has won in 8 times in 23 starts for a 35% win rate and will be ridden by jockey D Carlson (137 16-20-16 12%) from Pennsylvania.

12 Month Top Speed: 120 (1)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: UNIVERSAL RACING CLUB

CAYMAN JACK is nearing the end to her illustrious career that is highlighted by a commanding victory at the ‘Orange Blossom’ (G1) just over four months ago. With this being her 24th start, retirement isn’t far away, however she is also just three races off of her career high speed and less than $3,000 away from a million in career earnings.

Post 2 – CODE OF SECRETS – 15/1

CODE OF SECRETS is sired by HONOR CODE and is running for the zkingab3 stable.  CODE OF SECRETS has won in 6 times in 14 starts for a 43% win rate and will be ridden by jockey N Ambrose (1383 297-232-196 21%) from New Jersey.

12 Month Top Speed: 112 (12)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender
Residency: EMPIRE STATE RACING

CODE OF SECRETS is just coming into her own as a four year old, consistently improving over the last year and posting a career best speed in her first stakes win in the ‘Georgia Pearl Dirt Mare Mile’.

Post 3 – AMERICAN DANE – 9/1

AMERICAN DANE is sired by AMERICAN PHAROAH and is running for the deyoto stable.  AMERICAN DANE has won in 7 times in 18 starts for a 39% win rate and will be ridden by jockey GD Mate (1459 385-233-216 26%) from New Zealand.

12 Month Top Speed: 117 (4)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: MIDAS

AMERICAN DANE is one of the favourites in this field, coming in hot off her second career graded victory last time out having been victorious at the ‘Steadhemp / Mike Phipps Handicap’ (G1) along with having won the ‘lool Oaks’ (G1) in March 2019.

Post 4 – WAR BREAKER – 12/1

WAR BREAKER is sired by WAR FRONT and is running for the harrylanlow11 stable.  WAR BREAKER has won in 6 times in 13 starts for a 46% win rate and will be ridden by jockey E Bernstein (1470 315-261-226 21%) from Germany.

12 Month Top Speed: 114 (10)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender
Residency: ELITE RACING CLUB

WAR BREAKER is coming off her first graded victory at the ‘Bumblebee Classic’ (G2) where she posted her career best speed.

Post 5 – MOONLITE HONOR – 15/1

MOONLITE HONOR is sired by ANIMAL KINGDOM and is running for the hoosier7 stable.  MOONLITE HONOR has won in 4 times in 11 starts for a 36% win rate and will be ridden by jockey A Scheper (1621 325-315-324 20%) from Delaware.

12 Month Top Speed: 112 (12)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender
Residency: HOOSIER RACING

MOONLITE HONOR will be looking for her first graded win after posting a third place finish in her graded debut last time out at the ‘Wizzer Stakes’ (G2).

Post 6 – FARWIND – 18/1

FARWIND is sired by MEDAGLIA D’ORO and is running for the wolfmoonranch stable.  FARWIND has won in 5 times in 18 starts for a 28% win rate and will be ridden by jockey E Seifert (1617 390-290-230 24%) from Argentina.

12 Month Top Speed: 111 (14)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender
Residency: NORTH WEST RACING CIRCUIT

FARWIND has been contending in the graded circuit since the second half of her 2yo campaign, consistently finishing among the leaders. She has posted two graded victories at ‘The Adam’s Apple’ (G3) and ‘The Jersey Oaks’ (G3), she will be looking for her first grade one victory Sunday.

Post 7 – BATTLE OF DOOTSIN – 13/1

BATTLE OF DOOTSIN is sired by ARCHWARRIOR and is running for the oldmoonelite5 stable.  BATTLE OF DOOTSIN has won in 8 times in 15 starts for a 53% win rate and will be ridden by jockey M Grunhard (1842 401-339-260 22%) from Ohio.

12 Month Top Speed: 118 (2)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: ONLY STAYERS

BATTLE OF DOOTSIN has stumbled in her last two races and will be looking to rebound to the form from graded victory at ‘The Azeri Breeder’s Bowl’ (G3), her second graded victory along with the ‘South Bend Oaks’ (G3).

Post 8 – READY FOR SEATTLE – 11/1

READY FOR SEATTLE is sired by MORE THAN READY and is running for the sjmeola3 stable.  READY FOR SEATTLE has won in 8 times in 21 starts for a 38% win rate and will be ridden by jockey T O’Conner (1069 206-194-151 19%) from Indiana.

12 Month Top Speed: 113 (11)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender
Residency: EAST-WEST CONNECTION

READY FOR SEATTLE is coming in off an allowance win and career high speed in her last race, with three stakes wins under her belt she will be hoping to bring home her first graded victory.

Post 9 – LA TIA MARIA – 6/1

LA TIA MARIA is sired by UNCLE MO and is running for the maclones stable.  LA TIA MARIA has won in 10 times in 20 starts for a 50% win rate and will be ridden by jockey O A Haack (2708 559-472-370 21%) from Florida.

12 Month Top Speed: 118 (2)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: LATINOS DEL MUNDO

LA TIA MARIA is coming in looking for her third graded victory, and had posted a very respectable 2-3-0 record through seven career graded races. Her speeds have come down a little since their peak in mid 2019, however she has still managed to finish second in her two graded starts of 2020.

Post 10 – OTTO PAUNCHI – 6/1

OTTO PAUNCHI is sired by TAPIT and is running for the kaner6 stable.  OTTO PAUNCHI has won in 10 times in 20 starts for a 50% win rate and will be ridden by jockey F Gossett (4370 1101-779-643 25%) from California.

12 Month Top Speed: 117 (4)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: GR SIMSTERS

OTTO PAUNCHI is coming in scorching hot on a five race winning streak, including being 2 for 2 in graded races having won ‘The Very Vane’ (G1) and the ‘Wizzer Stakes’ (G2). In the most recent win OTTO PAUNCHI was over two lengths ahead of the nearest competitor by the finish line.

Post 11 – LUCERNE – 11/1

LUCERNE is sired by DANSILI (GB) and is running for the gowans2016 stable.  LUCERNE has won in 5 times in 12 starts for a 42% win rate and will be ridden by jockey T Small (1839 450-317-262 24%) from Germany.

12 Month Top Speed: 115 (8)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: BLAZING SADDLES

LUCERNE is making her graded debut, coming off a career best run last time out winning the ‘Master And Command Dirt Mare Special’.

Post 12 – CONSERVATIVE VALUE – 12/1

CONSERVATIVE VALUE is sired by EXAGGERATOR and is running for the testbarn12 stable.  CONSERVATIVE VALUE has won in 6 times in 29 starts for a 21% win rate and will be ridden by jockey T Barn (827 127-101-120 15%) from California.

12 Month Top Speed: 115 (8)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: MINNESOTA TESTBARN RESIDENCY

CONSERVATIVE VALUE will be making her 30th career start, tied for the most experienced runner in the field. She will be looking for her second career graded victory, having won ‘The Jersey Oaks’ (G3) almost two years ago as a 3yo.

Post 13 – ROSA MELTROZO – 9/1

ROSA MELTROZO is sired by DISTORTED HUMOR and is running for the triscay stable.  ROSA MELTROZO has won in 8 times in 20 starts for a 40% win rate and will be ridden by jockey K Ledwith (2567 614-473-340 24%) from Japan.

12 Month Top Speed: 116 (6)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: HISPANO PARLENTE

ROSA MELTROZO is coming into her graded debut on a six race win streak, including a solid run in her stakes debut at the ‘Polisaria Dirt Mare Mile’ last time out.

Post 14 – OH WELL WHATEVER – 22/1

OH WELL WHATEVER is sired by TAPIT and is running for the asrtapit stable.  OH WELL WHATEVER has won in 7 times in 29 starts for a 24% win rate and will be ridden by jockey H Artack (1523 364-299-215 24%) from Turkey.

12 Month Top Speed: 116 (6)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite
Residency: ALL-STARS RACING

OH WELL WHATEVER is the other horse in this field making her 30th start, and appears to be ageless as she won her first graded race earlier this year at the ‘Original Margarita Invitational’ (G1) in her 26th career start. She’s the Kegger Holeshot pick. The question remains whether anyone can catch her, or will she go wire-to-wire again as she did in a dominant $10K Open Allowance Hot race last time out.

Kegger’s Pace Projection

#	Horse	C1	C2	C3	Fin
14	OH WELL WHATEVER	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	0.00
6	FARWIND	-0.25	-0.13	0.00	0.00
13	ROSA MELTROZO	-0.54	-0.63	-0.08	0.00
5	MOONLITE HONOR	-0.81	-0.94	-0.06	0.00
9	LA TIA MARIA	-0.85	-1.10	-0.25	0.00
4	WAR BREAKER	-1.30	-1.65	-0.55	0.00
12	CONSERVATIVE VALUE	-1.50	-2.08	-0.50	0.00
11	LUCERNE	-2.71	-3.83	-1.71	0.00
1	CAYMAN JACK	-3.25	-4.75	-1.94	0.00
10	OTTO PAUNCHI	-3.50	-4.75	-1.13	0.00
2	CODE OF SECRETS	-3.55	-5.00	-2.65	0.00
7	BATTLE OF DOOTSIN	-4.55	-6.50	-3.10	0.00
8	READY FOR SEATTLE	-5.44	-7.81	-4.38	0.00
3	AMERICAN DANE	-9.00	-13.13	-8.00	0.00

Kegger’s Predictions

Holeshot: OH WELL WHATEVER (22/1)

Favourite: OTTO PAUNCHI (6/1)

Longshot: BATTLE OF DOOTSIN (13/1)