Sunday, July 12, 2020 — 2:30:00 PM EST
Spain – Grade II – Purse : $375,000
6 Furlongs – Fast Dirt – Restricted to 2 Year Olds

Watch Race – 3D Viewer   –   Watch Race – 2D Viewer

Post 1 – MILITARIZATION – 9/2

MILITARIZATION is sired by UNION RAGS and is running for the songbird stable.  MILITARIZATION has won in 3 times in 3 starts for a 100% win rate and will be ridden by jockey T Small (1839 450-317-262 24%) from Germany.

12 Month Top Speed: 84 (1)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite

Post 2 – BONE SAXON WARRIOR – 10/1

BONE SAXON WARRIOR is sired by SAXON WARRIOR (JPN) and is running for the whalebones stable.  BONE SAXON WARRIOR has won in 2 times in 3 starts for a 67% win rate and will be ridden by jockey GD Mate (1459 385-233-216 26%) from New Zealand.

12 Month Top Speed: 75 (5)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 3 – BILL PRADO – 14/1

BILL PRADO is sired by BELGIAN BILL (GB) and is running for the georgiastud stable.  BILL PRADO has won in 4 times in 5 starts for a 80% win rate and will be ridden by jockey E C Doyle (2469 386-370-337 16%) from Ireland.

12 Month Top Speed: 74 (6)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 4 – L DOUBLE E – 19/1

L DOUBLE E is sired by LEA and is running for the daveraw stable.  L DOUBLE E has won in 1 times in 3 starts for a 33% win rate and will be ridden by jockey T Littleton (70 7-13-11 10%) from Belgium.

12 Month Top Speed: 70 (12)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 5 – JUSTIFIED STORM – 9/2

JUSTIFIED STORM is sired by JUSTIFY and is running for the beerkeg2 stable.  JUSTIFIED STORM has won in 2 times in 2 starts for a 100% win rate and will be ridden by jockey D Brock (918 181-165-137 20%) from Thailand.

12 Month Top Speed: 78 (4)
Kegger’s Projection: Contender

Post 6 – KIRSTENBOSCH – 10/1

KIRSTENBOSCH is sired by TRIPPI and is running for the gmen stable.  KIRSTENBOSCH has won in 2 times in 3 starts for a 67% win rate and will be ridden by jockey M Kiprusoff (772 172-133-122 22%) from Denmark.

12 Month Top Speed: 73 (8)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 7 – ONCE WAS ENOUGH – 9/1

ONCE WAS ENOUGH is sired by BISMARCK TULLIO and is running for the tjm2 stable.  ONCE WAS ENOUGH has won in 3 times in 3 starts for a 100% win rate and will be ridden by jockey M Bia (1004 222-198-132 22%) from Czech Republic.

12 Month Top Speed: 82 (2)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite

Post 8 – OTZERIMENDI – 50/1

OTZERIMENDI is sired by INNS OF COURT (IRE) and is running for the bets6 stable.  OTZERIMENDI has won in 0 times in 2 starts for a 0% win rate and will be ridden by jockey S Ayers (89 10-16-14 11%) from Spain.

12 Month Top Speed: 53 (14)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 9 – BUY OR SELL – 68/1

BUY OR SELL is sired by KINGFISHER (IRE) and is running for the auctionclass1 stable.  BUY OR SELL has won in 1 times in 5 starts for a 20% win rate and will be ridden by jockey R Zerr (64 5-9-3 8%) from Spain.

12 Month Top Speed: 73 (8)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 10 – SLEW SUPER JOHN – 5/1

SLEW SUPER JOHN is sired by MENDELSSOHN and is running for the sirronny stable.  SLEW SUPER JOHN has won in 2 times in 3 starts for a 67% win rate and will be ridden by jockey JK Dekeyser (105 15-16-15 14%) from Belgium.

12 Month Top Speed: 81 (3)
Kegger’s Projection: Favourite

Post 11 – FLAME SAMURAI – 14/1

FLAME SAMURAI is sired by MAGICIAN and is running for the rocksters12 stable.  FLAME SAMURAI has won in 1 times in 3 starts for a 33% win rate and will be ridden by jockey M Zeus (1095 232-185-146 21%) from Spain.

12 Month Top Speed: 74 (6)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 12 – TIZ CONGRATS – 18/1

TIZ CONGRATS is sired by TIZ WONDERFUL and is running for the kroth5 stable.  TIZ CONGRATS has won in 2 times in 5 starts for a 40% win rate and will be ridden by jockey J Wilson (1142 277-207-191 24%) from Czech Republic.

12 Month Top Speed: 71 (11)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 13 – KLASSIC EMPIRE – 7/1

KLASSIC EMPIRE is sired by CLASSIC EMPIRE and is running for the deepesr stable.  KLASSIC EMPIRE has won in 1 times in 2 starts for a 50% win rate and will be ridden by jockey D Evans (1615 381-248-216 24%) from Victoria-AUS.

12 Month Top Speed: 73 (8)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Post 14 – SAZARU – 13/1

SAZARU is sired by BODEMEISTER and is running for the oakridge13 stable.  SAZARU has won in 1 times in 1 starts for a 100% win rate and will be ridden by jockey O Hanson (264 51-39-36 19%) from Spain.

12 Month Top Speed: 57 (13)
Kegger’s Projection: Long Shot

Kegger’s Pace Projection

#	Horse	C1	C2	C3	Fin
4	L DOUBLE E	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
5	JUSTIFIED STORM	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
13	KLASSIC EMPIRE	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
14	SAZARU	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00
2	BONE SAXON WARRIOR	-0.13	-0.25	0.00	0.00
10	SLEW SUPER JOHN	-0.13	-0.13	0.00	0.00
3	BILL PRADO	-0.56	-0.75	-0.13	0.00
8	OTZERIMENDI	-1.25	-2.13	-2.63	-3.13
9	BUY OR SELL	-1.50	-2.00	-1.00	0.00
6	KIRSTENBOSCH	-1.63	-2.38	-1.13	0.00
11	FLAME SAMURAI	-1.75	-2.75	-1.50	0.00
1	MILITARIZATION	-2.17	-3.08	-1.75	0.00
12	TIZ CONGRATS	-3.13	-4.75	-3.38	0.00
7	ONCE WAS ENOUGH	-3.33	-4.92	-2.83	0.00

Although a full 14 horse field has come together, this projects to be a three to four horse race. Co-Favourite MILITARIZATION comes in as the #1 ranked dirt runner early in the 2yo campaign coming off a graded victory at the ‘ Vermont BB Juvenile’ to leap out to a three race undefeated start to its career. Of the many entrants only three look to have the speed to challenge MILITARIZATION: JUSTIFIED STORM, ONCE WAS ENOUGH, and SLEW SUPER JOHN.

The early lead projects to be highly contested, having six in the field who have averaged starts within 1/8th of a length from the lead and all will be making their push for a wire to wire outing. Of these six, co-favourite JUSTIFIED STORM has pulled ahead early and never let up in two strong victories. JUSTIFIED STORM is my pick to take the holeshot, however there will be a lot of pressure coming from the other favourites and it will take a big step forward for JUSTIFIED STORM to hold on to the wire.

SLEW SUPER JOHN is another expected to make an early push, and has taken the lead out of the gate in two of three career starts. There would be little surprise if SLEW SUPER JOHN took the holeshot, however this colt has proven successful stalking a half length off the lead, and with so much early speed in the field that may end up being the best move for SLEW SUPER JOHN to have its best shot at success. Either way I would expect SLEW SUPER JOHN and JUSTIFIED STORM to fight tooth and nail from wire to wire.

With all the pressure up front, the top ranked 2yo MILITARIZATION is expected to hold back a few lengths in hopes that the leaders tire themselves out by the stretch. MILITARIZATION has come from as far as four lengths back to win in prior runs, however with the quality of the favoured front running duo jockey T Small will need to be careful when balancing conserving energy while remaining in striking distance as both front-runners have proved more than willing to keep stretching out the lead through the stretch if allowed.

The final of the favoured four is ONCE WAS ENOUGH, who will be expected to sit back and watch the race unfold from the back, having sat at the back of the field in all three career starts at the 2nd call. In all three starts ONCE WAS ENOUGH has been able to close out strong, pulling away to 3/4 to a length from the second place runners. ONCE WAS ENOUGH will need to be careful not to sit too far back as the projected leaders are likely to put up a much stronger push down the stretch than what has been seen in prior runs.

All in all this should be an exiting race to watch from wire to wire with a strong contender running in all race styles, expect to see this one come down to the wire, be warned not to put too much focus on the battle up front between JUSTIFIED STORM and SLEW SUPER JOHN as you might just risk miss an epic stretch drive from MILITARIZATION and ONCE WAS ENOUGH.

Kegger’s Predictions

Holeshot: JUSTIFIED STORM (9/2)

Favourite: MILITARIZATION (9/2)

Longshot: ONCE WAS ENOUGH (9/1)