2020 Freshman Sire Profile – Audible

We’re starting the annual freshman sire profiles a little early this year in order to accommodate more profiles.  Search 2020 Freshman Sire Profiles for a tag that will take you to all of the sires profiled for this coming year.

Audible

Into Mischief – Blue Devil Bel, Gilded Time

Enters Stud 2020 at WinStar Farm for $25,000

RACE RECORD

Audible was a very consistent racer with a 10-5-1-2 record. He didn’t start his career until late in his two year old season but won a maiden special weight and an allowance optional claimer at Aqueduct in the fall season. Trainer Todd Pletcher shipped him to Florida and immediately jumped him into graded stakes action. He was second in the Grade Three Harlan’s Holiday before winning the Grade Two Holy Bull and the Grade One Florida Derby. In those races he defeated grade one winner Free Drop Billy and eventual grade one winners Catholic Boy and Promises Fulfilled, among others. He entered the Kentucky Derby (G1) as one of the favorites and finished a solid third behind Triple Crown winner Justify over a terrible track. Audible skipped the Preakness with the idea of running in the Belmont Stakes but in a somewhat controversial move he missed the Belmont with an undisclosed setback. It was controversial because Audible would have been one of Justify’s biggest challengers but he had a similar ownership group. That said Audible did not run again until the fall at Churchill Downs where he resurfaced to win a listed stakes at seven furlongs. Audible raced twice as a four year old without hitting the board but he was fourth in the Dubai World Cup.

PEDIGREE

Audible’s sire Into Mischief is one of the great success stories of recent times. He was the first grade one winning foal for eventual Broodmare of the Year Leslie’s Lady who later produced multiple champion Beholder and the young sire Mendelsohhn. Into Mischief is a son of Harlan’s Holiday, a Storm Cat line stallion whose sire and grandsire both died young after showing some flashes of brilliance with their early crops. Into Mischief started his career at a rock bottom price but as his offspring have proved to be runners his fee has skyrocketed to $175,000 for 2020 and he is reportedly booked full at that price. Currently he is the leading sire in North America with over $17,000,000 in earnings.

Into Mischief is also making a nae for himself as a sire of sire with his first son to stud Goldencents making waves. In 2018 he was the second highest ranked first crop sire and currently in 2019 he is the leading second crop sire. The two time Breeders’ Cup Dirt Mile (G1) winner has a reputation for fast and precocious two year olds but recently he has sired Mr. Money, winner of the Grade Three West Virginia Derby at a mile and an eighth and second in the Grade One Pennsylvania Derby at the same distance. He also has a grade two winning filly at that distance. That tendency mirrors Goldencent’s own career that saw him run seven furlongs in 1:20.99 but also win the Santa Anita Derby (G1) at a mile and one eighth. Like his sire his fee started low but he’s climbed to $25,000 for 2020. Like Audible he has a less than stellar female family. Goldencents was out of a Banker’s Gold mare, a sire with a solid pedigree who did little in his career.

Audible’s dam is by Gilded Time who was a great racer who was named Champion Two Year Old Colt in 2002. He won the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile that year and due to a number of setbacks did not return to the races until the following years Breeders’ Cup Sprint where he finished an amazing third. Gilded Time started his career in Kentucky but after doing little he moved to Canada where he turned into a solid regional sire. Gilded Time was one of the few tail-male sources of the Damascus sireline. Damascus is still found in pedigrees in female families, most notably in Medaglia D’oro’s pedigree. Audible is Blue Devil Bel’s third foal and first stakes horse. You won’t find another graded winner in this pedigree until fourth dam Classy Cathy, a grade one winner who produced one group two winner during her career. She is also the granddam of Noble Causeway, a grade one placed runner who became a regional sire in New York.

IN THE SIM

As in real life Into Mischief did not start out as a powerhouse sire in the game. He was publicly upgraded for the 2015 breeding season and judging by his stats he may have had a silent upgrade since then. Arguably for the leading sire in North America he should be throwing elite numbers and it is possible that he gets another announced upgrade for 2020. Fourteen of his fifteen graded winners have come since 2015 so there is certainly a move forward. His best foal is Champion Into Being Nice who was produced from a grade two winning Street Cry x Dynaformer mare. He was her first foal, the earlier three being stakes winners so it may be that he piggy-backed on his dam’s successes. Into Mischief’s other grade one winner is out of a Nureyev mare who also produced a grade two winner albeit out of ten other foals (two of which were also listed winners). Into Mischief has done very well when paired with Mr. Prospector-line mares. In addition to Into Being Nice he has two listed winners from Street Cry mares. Of his graded winners one is out of an Elusive Quality Mare, another from a Kingmambo mare. He also has listed winners from mares by Distorted Humor, Unbridled’s Song, Zensational and Seeking the Gold. Another line he crosses well with is Deputy Minister’s from whom he has a grade two winner and listed winners by daughters of his son Awesome Again and grandson Ghostzapper. Lastly he has two listed winners from daughters of War Front and a third from a daughter of Danzig. Eight of Gloldencents’ fourteen stakes winners, including his only graded winner descend from mares with Mr. Prospector in their tale-mail families. Three of them come from Dixieland Band and his son Dixie Union.

BREEDING RECOMMENDATIONS

Audible’s foals will only have one cross of Mr. Prospector in the fifth generation. Given the obvious success Into Mischief and Goldencents have had with this line it seems a no brainer to head in that direction when looking for a mare. Audible’s racing success and decent starting price suggest that he would be worth a strong look for a good mare by Unbridled’s Song, Empire Maker or Pioneerof The Nile if you want to try for a stamina based offspring. Gulch, Forty Niner and his son Distorted Humor would be good sources of speed. If you choose to go with a different source of speed the Danzig-line is full of speedy sires and Dixieland Band and Dixie Union go well too. The last thought on Audible is breeding him to a mare with Easy Goer in her pedigree. Easy Goer was highly rated in the game and is still a potent source of class in breedings (perhaps more so than he deserves given his limited success in real life).

6 thoughts on “2020 Freshman Sire Profile – Audible

  • November 12, 2019 at 7:33 pm
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    Into Mischief is currently one of the worst values in the SIM. He repeatedly goes for high credit amounts commiserate with elite sires but his results continue to be pedestrian. Remember he has a total of 2 G1 winners from 851 runners. That’s atrocious. His SW % has actually gone down every year since 2015 going 7% 6.3% 5.4% 3.5%. Cairo Prince’s SW % in 2018 is double that of Into Mischief. Double! Goldencents is average in the SIM running a career 3.5% SW. Practical Joke, Into Mischief’s other top son at stud had 2% SW in year one although he is up to 4% with 2yos this year in a smaller sample size. I wouldn’t expect Audible to have much of a rating and we can likely expect 2-4% SW from him. Until Into Mischief gets an upgrade he remains a resources sink in terms of racing although it may be advantageous to have Into Mischief mares if you’re a betting person and think he will one day be rated as a top 20 sire.

  • November 12, 2019 at 9:17 pm
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    I’m not sure you understand how the sire stats work. Each year represents a foal crop NOT the cumulative performances for that sire’s offspring in that year. I would anticipate Into Mischiefs 2018 percentages to increase as those horses turn into four and five year olds.

    • November 12, 2019 at 10:26 pm
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      Yes, I’m well aware of that. Will his 2018 class get more SWs? Probably but he’s still getting trounced by Cairo Prince who goes for 1/5 of the price. And that doesn’t help Into Mischief for his 2017 and 2016 stats which are pretty much set at this point. He simply isn’t a good sire in the SIM if you’re trying to get SW. His G1 winners to the number of runners are one of the worst I’ve ever seen.

  • November 16, 2019 at 1:02 am
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    LOL – you all are welcome for the Cairo Prince tip. Lots of activity on him this week.

  • November 16, 2019 at 7:38 pm
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    I would like to commiserate with your anguish, but my Into Mischief disdain is not commensurate with yours.

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