LOTS OF SPEED IN GRADE III JUVY TURF ROUTE
The 2 year olds stetch out to 9 furlongs on the turf in The Grade III Apparently Juvenile Stakes, the feature race at Hong Kong this weekend. A full field of 14 have entered the race and will be chasing the top share of the $150,000 purse.
Let’s take a look at today’s field:
1)KING MONSUN(GER)—19/1—snappa8 sends this colt out of MONSUN(GER) with a record of 6-2-0-1 and lifetime earnings of $37,825. He is out of the mare GROOM DIXIE who was 2/9 at the track and who has 5 foals on record, all winners including 1 Graded stakes winner and another stakes winner. This divisional unranked colt races for the unafilliated Snappa Racing Syndicate. This colts sire has a 42.8% winners rate with a 0.7% stakes winners rate. This year 29.2% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt has won back to back races in his last 2 starts, both allowance runs posting his lifetime best 79 speed rating in both starts. This closer starts his move in the final turn and has already posted a 9 furlong turf win in his career. He makes his stakes debut in this start today. The rider for today’s race will be Brett (8.6%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—79.
2)FEEDLOT COWBOY(TX)—9/1—dwightski sends this colt out of GOLD LEGEND with a record of 8-4-2-0 and lifetime earnings of $184,090. This 112th divisional ranked colt races for the unafilliated Hellum Farms. This colt’s sire has a 48.5% winners rate with a 7.1% stakes winners rate and a 2% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 22.2% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt broke his maiden on the turf in his first lifetime start and also picked up a win on the dirt in his 3rd start this year. After trying the dirt for a few more starts he has returned to the turf where he has picked up a pair of stake wins in 3 starts. He posted his lifetime best 87 speed rating last time out while finishing 2nd in an overnite stakes turf long sprint and he makes his Graded stakes debut today. This horse has shown speed on occasion and should either be on the front end or pressing the pace today in what will be his first route start in his career. The rider for today’s race will be Shinkle (9.8%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—86.
3)GHISCARI(KY)—11/1—yunkai sends this colt out of DYNAFORMER with a record of 5-3-1-0 and lifetime earnings of $66,820. This 51st divisional ranked colt races for Givens Fire and Blood stables based at the GR Simsters. This colt’s sire has a 76.8% winners rate with a 9.2% stakes winners rate and a 2.2% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 50% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt has won 3 of 4 starts on the turf after making a debut on the dirt this year. In his last start on a good turf he won The Total Choice Memorial in DC posting his lifetime best 88 speed rating over the 8.5 furlong race. His closing style suggest that he will have no problem with the extra ground in today’s race. The rider for today’s race will be Harbert (11.7%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—83.
4)DYNA IN DUBAI(KY)—17/1—hardygirl sends this colt out of DYNAFORMER with a record of 9-2-1-1 and lifetime earnings of $52,489. This 391st divisional ranked colt races for Belair Stud based over at the GR Simsters. This colt’s sire has a 76.8% winners rate with a 9.2% stakes winners rate and a 2.2% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 50% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt broke his maiden in his lifetime debut and then quickly came back in a Graded stakes race where he struggled in the second half of the race. He posted his lifetime best 84 speed rating in September in 2nd place 8 furlong allowance race placing and did win his last start in a NW2L turf allowance sprint. While he closed well in his start last time out this colt has yet to show any consitancy from start to start and has not performed very well in any of his stakes starts to date. The rider for today’s race will be Mitchell (6.9%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—79.
5)ARCTIC WIND(KY)—22/1—kevoman3 sends this colt out of COZZENE with a record of 4-1-0-1 and lifetime earnings of $21,323. He is out of the mare BLEW BY YOU who was 1/7 at the track and this is the only foal on record to date. This divisional unranked colt races out of the Coolk stables that form the management team at the EAAA racing residency. This colt’s sire has a 74.1% winners rate with a 7.7% stakes winners rate and a 1.7% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 31.6% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt started on the turf for a pair of MSW starts before trying the dirt 2 starts back. He came back to the turf last time out and posted a wire to wire win with a lifetime best 76 speed rating over the 9 furlong race. He makes his stakes debut here today. The rider for today’s race will be Stokes (11.3%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—73.
6)MISS SUPERIORITY(KY)—29/1—loves3 sends this filly out of ELUSIVE QUALITY with a record of 2-1-0-0 and lifetime earnings of $20,880. She is out of the mare PHANTOM’S HOME who was 8/40 at the track and who has 2 foals on record with this filly the only winner to date. This filly races for the Corza stables based over at Queensland. This filly’s sire has a 74.8% winners rate with a 8.3% stakes winners rate and a 1.4% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 44% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This filly broke her maiden in her lifetime debut posting a life best 75 speed rating in the 7 furlong turf race. She came back against the boys last time out in an overnite stakes race 6.5 furlong turf sprint where she displayed speed but tired in the stretch drive. She stretches out today suggesting she would be better off laying of the early pace and saving her best stride for the latter half of the race but her speed will have to significantly improve today for her to have a chance against the colts in her Graded stakes debut today. The rider for today’s race will be Rice (10.1%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—75.
7)WAR GAME(KY)—7/1—wistful2 sends this colt out of MR. GREELEY with a record of 6-2-2-0 and lifetime earnings of $88,535. This 97th divisional ranked colt races for the GR Simsters division of the Topicount stables. This colt’s sire has a 70.5% winners rate with a 7.1% stakes winners rate and a 0.4% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 35.4% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt broke his maiden in his lifetime debut on the dirt and ran on that surface for his first 4 starts this season. He switched to the turf 2 starts back where he won The Ransom For Sal Challenge in Nevada over 7 furlongs on the turf and posted his lifebest 89 speed rating last time out while stretching out to a mile in The Vanilla Dancer Bonanza where he settle for 2nd place after losing a little ground in the stretch drive. His last race makes it still unclear as to whether he will prefer the route distances or the sprints so today’s race will be a factfinding mission for his connections. His only prevous Graded start was on the dirt where he was not a factor in the race. The rider for today’s race will be Ching (14.9%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—87.
8)STONEBRIDGE KNIGHT(KY)—9/1—marsattack sends this colt out of BELONG TO ME with a record of 7-4-1-0 and lifetime earnings of $114,490. He is out of the he-mare STONEBRIDGE SQUIRE who was 2/26 at the track. This 22nd divisional ranked colt races for the Great Plains divsion of the Nextbonus stables. This colt’s sire has a 72.1% winners rate with a 7.3% stakes winners rate and a 2% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 36.8% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt broke his maiden in his lifetime debut on the dirt but was switched to the turf in his 4th start this year. Since then he has won 3 of 4 starts on the turf including a pair of stake races. He posted his lifetime best 88 speed rating 2 starts back while winning The Character A.P. Challenge over 8 furlongs in Jamaica. This front running colt should be out of the gate quickly looking to cut the early fractions in this race today and with his stretch drive results of late looks to not have the least bit of worry with the extra ground in today’s race. The rider for today’s race will be Aldridge (10.9%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—86.
9)SMART OFF(KY)—9/1—cdragon sends this colt out of SMARTY JONES with a record of 6-2-2-0 and lifetime earnings of $179,635. He is out of the he-mare BALTIC PRINCE who was 4/24 at the track. This 142nd divisional ranked colt races for the GR Simsters division of the Twoofus stables. This colt’s sire has a 71.3% winners rate with a 11.1% stakes winners rate and a 2.8% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 41.9% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt has raced exclusively on the dirt so far in his career and will be making his turf debut in this race today. He has picked up an MSW and a Grade II win so far in his career. He won The Grade II The BTB Cup, part of the sim history day festivities, over 8 furlongs in the slop where he posted his lifetime best 88 speed rating. He struggled in the BB Juvenile race recently and is being given a shot on the turf considering his fondness of off track situations. The rider for today’s race will be Goldsbury (12.9%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—NA.
10)CRAB BE APPLE(IRE)—9/1—hilofarms sends this colt out of HIGH CHAPARRAL(IRE) with a record of 5-3-2-0 and lifetime earnings of $76,115. He is out of the mare RAKIDA’S ROAD who was 18/66 at the track and who has 4 foals on record, all winners including 1 stakes winner. This 157th divisional ranked colt races for the unafilliated Sansanfams. This colt’s sire has a 71.7% winners rate with a 12.6% stakes winners rate and a 2.4% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 29.4% of his 2 year old runners have found the winners circle. After debuting with a pair of 2nd place finishes in MSW races, one on the dirt and another on the turf, this colt comes into this race with a 3 race allowance winning streak including his last where he posted a 90 speed rating over the 8 furlong turf race in China. This speedy colt usually gets away loose on the lead and then holds on for the win at the wire and hopefully will be able to handle the extra furlong in his stakes debut here today. The rider for today’s race will be Ly (7.5%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—85.
11)ZAMTRICAL(KY)—8/1—zambaygo sends this colt out of THEATRICAL(IRE) with a record of 7-2-4-0 and lifetime earnings of $148,920. He is out of the mare ZAMSHAFT who was 6/25 at the track and who has 2 foals on record of which this colt is the only winner to date. This 54th divisional ranked colt races for the NWRC division of the Rafa stables. This colt’s sire has a 78.6% winners rate with a 13.6% stakes winners rate and a 4% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 37.9% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. AFter debuting in a pair of dirt races this colt broke his maiden in his 2nd start on the turf. He has picked up another allowance win on the turf and has has a 2nd place finish in The Grade III Flying Saucer Stakes in Ontario where he posted his lifebest 89 speed rating over 8.5 furlongs and in the NWRC Cavalcade Cup Juvenile last time out. He is another who likes to run on the front end and will be joined by a few others ensuring a lively pace in this race today. The big question for this colt is whether or not he can handle the distance as he has tended to give up the lead in the late stretch. The rider for today’s race will be Reid (10.1%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—86.
12)THE STARDUST(ENG)—6/1—greatnames sends this colt out of GENEROUS(IRE) with a record of 9-3-1-3 and lifetime earnings of $277,036. This 5th divisional ranked colt races for AJM Racing based in Ireland. This colt’s sire has a 67.1% winners rate with a 10.1% stakes winners rate and a 2.3% Graded stakes winners rate. This year 29.1% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt broke his maiden on the dirt in his debut race and after a 5th place finish in a Grade III race on the dirt was switched to the turf for his last 6 starts. He has won 2 stakes races on the turf and has had a pair of top 3 finishes in Graded stakes on the green surface. In his last start he tried the Grade I BB Juvenile Turf but faded in the stetch to finish in 13th place. His lifetime best speed rating on the turf is a 91 posted in the 8.5 furlong Grade I Knick Knack Juvenile in Queensland. He joins many others here today with early speed suggesting that the pace may be very quick and could set the race up for one of the closers today. The rider for today’s race will be Scroggins (8.5%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—86.
13)IDOL WORSHIP(ENG)—9/1—stormboot2 sends this colt out of SHIROCCO(GER) with a record of 7-3-1-1 and lifetime earnings of $226,650. This 14th divisional ranked colt races for the Dixiedotco racing based in Vermont at The Pastures of Green. This colt’s sire has a 34.7% winners rate with a 4.1% stakes winners rate and a 2% Graded stakes winners rate in this his first season standings at stud. This colt broke his maiden in his 4th lifetime start and then went on a 3 race win streak capped by a win in The Grade III Flying Saucer stakes in Ontario over 8.5 furlongs on the turf. He came back last time out in The Grade I BB Juvenile Turf where he rallied from the back of the pack to finish 4th posting a lifetime best 90 speed rating in the 8.5 furlong race. His closing style should be set up very well here with what is expected to be a quick pace here today. The rider for today’s race will be Brewer (24.9%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—88
14)GOLDFRIARS(AUS)—6/1—fortune500 sends this colt out of BLACKFRIARS(AUS) with a record of 7-5-1-0 and lifetime earnings of $219,610. He is out of the he-mare GALILEO SEEKING(IRE) who was 12/41 at the track. This 15th divisional ranked colt races for the Fortune500 racing residency. This colt’s sire has a 34.7% winners rate with a 2% stakes winners and Graded stakes winners rate. This year 38.9% of his 2 year old starters have found the winners circle. This colt won his first 3 lifetime starts capped off by The Grade III Feeling Bad Stakes in N California. After breaking his streak he came back to win another pair of overnite stakes and then ran in The Grade I BB Juvenile Turf last time out where he finished 6th posting a lifetime best 87 speed rating. This colt usually runs a closing or stalking style race and should be sitting just off the group of frontrunners in today’s race. The rider for today’s race will be Kelly (15.7%). PROJECTED SPEED RATING—86.
Well there is alot of speed in this race today and barring a bounce off the BB Juvenile Turf race I am going to go with the closer #13 IDOL WORSHIP(ENG) to run them all down in the stretch drive.
GOOD LUCK AND GOOD RACING
THEO