{"id":886,"date":"2005-10-13T12:14:21","date_gmt":"2005-10-13T12:14:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=886"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=886","title":{"rendered":"Dancin In Seattle Back Off Of One Week Rest In The Canada Turf (G1)"},"content":{"rendered":"

There haven\u2019t been many predictable things in most divisions this year, but one thing you could count on, with reliable certainty, was that a G1 stake over 12 furlongs belonged to one of five horses: Sunnybank Memorial, Rain God, Allied Assault, Bristol Rovers, or Horseshoe Bay.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That won\u2019t be the case today.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>$1,000,000, 12 furlongs over firm turf, and no big horse to spoil the show.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Most of the top contenders today have spent the majority of their year chasing the big names listed above, and are looking for a chance to step into the light with a strong showing here.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While a trip in the Breeders\u2019 Bowl is seeming unlikely with the big dance just two weeks off, this is nonetheless a worthy consolation prize, and would rank as the crowning achievement for many of these runners.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P>

\u00a0<\/FONT><\/o:p><\/P>

Let\u2019s take a look at the field:<\/FONT><\/P>

\u00a0<\/FONT><\/o:p><\/P>

Canada<\/SPAN><\/B><\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> Turf<\/SPAN><\/B><\/FONT>
Grade I
A mile and one half
Firm Turf
$1,000,000
All horses, 3 years old and up <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P>

PP\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD>

Horse ID\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD>

Horse\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD>

Owner\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD>

Jockey\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD>

Odds\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD>

Comments<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/B><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

1<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

81195<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

DRUNKEN CAT <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

jbfarms <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

R Spring <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

6\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Making just his thirds lifetime start over the lawn, he\u2019s still winless over the surface, but gave a good account when third last time out in a G3.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It wasn\u2019t encouraging how he was retreating in the stretch, so he\u2019ll need a big reversal to get on track.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Can\u2019t get a solid read on his preferred style, as he seems to be able to do a little bit of everything, but I\u2019m still not sold on his abilities as a turf runner after one run in which he didn\u2019t disappoint but was far from impressing at the same time.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

2<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

6209<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

JUPITER’S MOONS(IRE) <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

coolk <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

B Renfroe <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

6\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

For the #2 ranked 3yo turf horse over 12+ furlongs, he has had a rough campaign.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Most of his time this year has been devoted to chasing Horseshoe Bay, to whom he was most recently 3rd<\/SUP> in the Owners Stakes (the pair was split by a colt named Princeton Lights, who has failed to hold up the form of that race), and must have been running for the hills when he traded out Horseshoe Bay for an even more formidable opponent in Sunnybank Memorial when 6th<\/SUP> in the Man Of War stakes last time out in his first start against older horses.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He should be prevelant from the start, tracking Dancin in Seattle the whole way, and the son of Galileo has a serious chance to finally take down a big one this term, especially if Dancin In Seattle starts to get leg-weary from his demanding schedule of late.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

3<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

15870<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

STORMY GOLD <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

jlracing <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

R Parker <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

33\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Will probably be in for a rude awakening when it becomes apparent that the speed needed to clear expensive claimers or cheap allowance company is nowhere near the speed you need to clear a field of G1 males early in a race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Its conceivable that she could contribute marginally to the pace of this race, to the possible detriment of Dancin In Seattle, but fate will ultimately see her putting up more of a fight for last place than for the win, and probably belongs in allowance company against her own gender.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

4<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

386<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

SEAT BACK FORWARD <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

studkenny2 <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

V Townsend <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

8\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Millionaire broke through in a big way last time out, winning by 4+ lengths, and I like the style switch; he\u2019s much more effective as a closer than as a speed type, though he may not appreciate losing a quarter mile from his last one here.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see this one making his presence known through the stretch, but we\u2019ll see if that can get him into the winners\u2019 circle.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The hunch here is that he\u2019s more of a threat to fill the bottom end of the trifecta.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

5<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

85770<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

GREEN STREET<\/SPAN><\/B><\/st1:address><\/st1:Street> II(IRE) <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

dancigar <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

B Coleman <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

22\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Talented runner, and I supposed this is a weaker G1 field than he could have found elsewhere, but with a career best effort he\u2019s still only looking at minor awards.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He could conceivably move forward in a huge way off of his last start, and he picks up what should be a much appreciated furlong of ground today, so he can\u2019t be completely forgotten for those of you that love a longshot.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

6<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

33752<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

NEWBERRY <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

barba <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

N Rhodes <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

10\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Fantastically consistent, but consistently just a cut below the speed numbers that it will probably take to win this race (~100).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Nothing to recommend him over some of the bigger contenders here except his consistency; you know he\u2019ll run a number between 92-99, but if he can get over the upper limit is something that has to be seriously questioned. <\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

7<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

44435<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

ED’S CIELO<\/st1:City> GA<\/st1:State><\/st1:place> <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

jambos <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

S Bahr <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

61\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

I\u2019m not sure what the motivation is behind putting a horse beaten by a sum total of 70 \u00bd lengths over his last three starts in ungraded stakes and allowance company into G1 stakes company, but the best that can be hoped for with this one is that he doesn\u2019t get in the way horses with a shot to win.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

8<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

29846<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

BIGTATE CHILD <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

bigtate02 <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

R Toral <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

49\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Comes in off of a long break, but this one is basically in the same boat as Ed\u2019s Cielo<\/st1:City> Ga.<\/st1:State><\/st1:place>\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Doesn\u2019t belong in these types of races, even though 800k in the bank indicates that at one time, he may have fit with these.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

9<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

367<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

SWINGSHIFT SAL <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

click <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

C Muncie <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

9\/2<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

The morning line favorite is a G1 winner this term, and though he\u2019s seen his share of ups and downs since that G1 win, he just seems like his bottom is above many of his opponent\u2019s top.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Barring a disaster, he\u2019ll be top five, but he is stretching out to 12 furlongs, and we\u2019ll have to see how he responds to that.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He handled it fine last year but hasn\u2019t seen that much ground in a long time.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

10<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

9222<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

DANCIN IN SEATTLE<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

eliza <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

V Luong <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

5\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

This one wheels back in one week; one can only supposed that he came back to the barn sharp after being thrashed for the 2nd<\/SUP> consecutive time by Sunnybank Memorial.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Two defeats to the division leader is enough to make anyone thing twice about a Breeders\u2019 Bowl spot, and it\u2019s a safe assumption at this point that whatever chance Dancin In Seattle may have had in the Breeders\u2019 Bowl is now effectively gone; running 3 races in 4 weeks would be overly ambitious for any horse, especially when that 3rd<\/SUP> race would be against the deepest field ever assembled.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All that said, he has a big shot here if he\u2019s not zapped from his effort last week.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019ll receive pressure up front, and may be getting a little weary late like he\u2019s done in his last few races, but I\u2019m thinking that its more likely that he\u2019ll replicate his run in the G1 Canada Gold Rush Stakes, which was run over this track and distance.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He set the early pace there before fading to third, but still stuck around for a piece of the action.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>May find Jupiter\u2019s Moons a little bit too much to handle if that one can track the pace that Dancin In Seattle will be pressed through if he\u2019s asked the tough question at the top of the stretch, and while one more horse may manage to run by him, he\u2019s classy enough that he won\u2019t completely cough it up against these.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

11<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

76548<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

SUGAR<\/SPAN><\/B><\/st1:PlaceName> MOUNTAIN<\/st1:PlaceType><\/SPAN><\/B><\/st1:place> <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

pole2pole <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

W Mafit <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

8\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

By the recently pensioned Mt. Livermore, who is more typically regarded as a sire of sprinters (but, obviously, has been known to get a little bit of everything), this one is in the form of his life and looks to be finally at a distance he\u2019ll relish.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Only concern is that his only recent tries in graded company have ended poorly; needs to hold his form from lesser races as he tests tougher water to have a shot here.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

12<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

57134<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

TREASURE OF ARMANA(IRE) <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

bezza1975 <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

N Linville <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

6\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

He\u2019s capable of a big one on occasion, but unfortunately, his last one may have been the big one that he would have done better to save for today. \u00a0<\/SPAN>He won a G3 race fairly convincing last time out over Drunken Cat (see above), and has the brilliant 21% jock N. Linville aboard, but his performances suggest he\u2019s still likely to turn in a speed number somewhere in the 90s, instead\u00a0 <\/SPAN>of a comparable number to the 105 he ran last time out, and that probably won\u2019t be good enough here.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Will need quite a riding miracle from Linville to get him home on top.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR>

13<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

47631<\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

SARATOGA<\/SPAN><\/B><\/st1:place><\/st1:City> SOJOURN <\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/FONT><\/P><\/TD>

sojourneys <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

Ji Hartel <\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/A><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

8\/1<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD>

His form has been going the wrong way in his last two races, and if he were likely to run near his peak, he\u2019d be dangerous, but he needs at least two races to work up to that kind of an effort.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A reasonable improvement still puts him mid-pack with a 95 speed number.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/TD><\/TR><\/TBODY><\/TABLE>

<\/FONT><\/SPAN>\u00a0<\/P>

Predictions: The pace will be hot, and Dancin In Seattle is classy enough to send the other speed horses packing, but that\u2019s going to leave Jupiter\u2019s Moons in a brilliant position chasing a weary leader as they turn for home.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I\u2019m willing to forgive Jupiter\u2019s Moons his last two and pick him to win here (If I\u2019m not mistaken, he was picked in the BTB to win the Man Of War as well, so hopefully we here at the BTB aren\u2019t cursing this talented colt!).\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Newberry seems to be in a great position to run on for 2nd<\/SUP>, and Dancin In Seattle is good enough to hold for 3rd<\/SUP> if his busy schedule doesn\u2019t catch up to him.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he starts to feel the effect of last week, I like Seat Back Forward as a viable alternative at the bottom end of the trifecta.<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><\/DIV><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dancin In Seattle 5\/1 on morning line; Swingshift Sal looms his as main challenger (9\/2) in a field of 13<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":369,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/369"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/886\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}