So you want to win a Breeder\u2019s Bowl? Join the club, it is probably the 2nd most coveted sim accomplishment after winning a Triple Crown race. If you believe history is doomed to repeat itself what can we take away from the 2010 edition of the Breeder\u2019s Bowl? <\/p>\n
Lesson #1 \u2013 Hire a Harzheim.
The Harzheims had a Breeder\u2019s Bowl for the ages with P Harzheim winning an amazing four Breeder\u2019s Bowl races. His relative H Harzheim was no slouch either finishing with three wins himself including the big daddy The Breeder\u2019s Bowl Classic. Some players claim jockeys do not matter much and this is not exactly statistical proof either way but it sure was a banner day for the Harzheim\u2019s.<\/p>\n
Lesson #2 \u2013 Light prepping is OVER RATED
Eleven of 2010\u2019s Breeder\u2019s Bowl winners ran in graded races their race right before the big dance. The remaining 3 winner\u2019s all prepped in an open stakes, so no horses prepped with an allowance conditioner found glory. That is not to say that strategy can\u2019t work but it does not appear necessary.<\/p>\n
Lesson #3 \u2013 3 YR olds of both sexes can win and in fact dominate
Three year olds thrived in the 2010 Breeder\u2019s Bowl winning 6 of 10 events open to them. If you have a good three yr old in 2011 have no fear and in fact rejoice. Three year olds are at no disadvantage against older and fair quite well Breeder\u2019s Bowl day. I have noticed this trend over my few years of sim playing and I do not believe it is an anomaly<\/p>\n
Lesson #4 \u2013 If your not 3 be lightly raced and no more then 5
The 4 older then 3 yr old winner\u2019s and no more then 34 lifetime races going in to the Breeder\u2019s Bowl with an average of 24. Particularly intriguing is 5 year old Strike When Ready the Turf sprint winner who was an extremely lightly raced 5 year old with just 23 lifetime races. <\/p>\n
Lesson #5 \u2013 Top Sires are worth the cost
Top flight Sunday sires A.P. Indy (2 wins) and Montjeu (2 wins) both had stellar days on the big stage. Fellow Sunday sires Unbridled\u2019s Song, Awesome Again, Distorted Humor, and now deceased El Prado also scored wins on the day.<\/p>\n
Lesson #6 \u2013 Non Sunday sires can also win on the big day
Big wins by solid value sires who regularly open were scored by Tiznow, Tapit, and More than Ready. As further proof that you can get a big runner by extreme value sires Bertrando, T.M Opera O, and Graeme Hall all had offspring who scored big wins.<\/p>\n
Lesson #7 \u2013 If you want to win a Breeder\u2019s Bowl Juvenile race you need to have 6 or 7 races going into the Breeder\u2019s Bowl.
Lightly raced horses likely have a harder time gaining entry or lack the pts necessary to make the competitive field. That is quite a workload however so could explain why many top juveniles fail to carry their form into their 3 yr old campaigns.<\/p>\n
Lesson #8 \u2013 Good form is ESSENTIAL
Nearly all of the winners displayed excellent current form with strong races the race before the Breeder\u2019s Bowl. None of the winners were horses that coasted to the big day off of early season form alone.<\/p>\n
Lesson #9 \u2013 It is nice if an offspring of your sire wins the real life equivalent of a Breeder\u2019s Bowl race
This lesson is a bit of a stretch but I did find it interesting that both in real life and the sim offspring of A.P Indy (The Marathon) and Awesome Again (Dirt Juvy Fillies) won those races in the same year. Coincidence? Probably\u2026<\/p>\n
Lesson #10 \u2013 Take this with a grain of salt
It is just a one year limited sample and you don\u2019t have to be a test tube inspired offspring of Kaif to realize that while they are interesting observations they may be rendered meaningless in 2011.<\/p>\n
Congratulations again to all of the Breeder\u2019s Bowl winners! <\/p>\n
Data Set:
F&M Turf \u2013 Ketaring \u2013 3yr old (El prado)
Prep: Off a G1 win
Form Going in: Excellent
P Harzheim<\/p>\n
Turf \u2013 Seventh Sense 3 yr old (Montjeu)
Prep: 5th well beaten in Arc
Form: Very off previous two (off track could be excuse for one)
P Harzheim<\/p>\n
Turf Sprint \u2013 Strike When Ready (More than Ready) \u2013 5yr old (lightly raced just 23 lifetime races going in)
Prep: 3rd in a G2
Form: Good
Jock: H Harzheim<\/p>\n
Turf Mile \u2013 Dooty Da Doo (T.M. Opera O) \u2013 3 yr old
Prep: Off a G2 win
Form: Excellent
Jock: O Osbourne<\/p>\n
Marathon – COYOTE SMUGGLER (AP Indy) -5 yr old (30 races going into BB)
Prep: G3 win
Form: Excellent
Jock: K Ledwith<\/p>\n
Breeders’ Bowl Sprint \u2013 PINCHINGDALE 52.70 Graeme Hall 3 yr old colt
Prep: 2nd in an open stakes
Form: Ok
Jock: O A Haack<\/p>\n
Breeders’ Bowl F&M Sprint \u2013 Extended Power \u2013 3 yr old Unbridled\u2019s Song
Prep: G2 win
Form: Excellent
Jock: A Rolling<\/p>\n
Dirt Mile- THE BEGGAR KING \u2013 3 yr old Tiznow
Prep: Open stakes win
Form: Excellent
Jock: J Caves<\/p>\n
Distaff – SKIDMORE INDY \u2013 AP Indy \u2013 5 yr old (34 lifetime races prior)
Prep: 3rd in a G1
Form: Off but improving
Jock: P Harzheim<\/p>\n
Classic- DISTORTED STORM \u2013 Distorted Humor \u2013 4 yr old (21 lifetime races)
Prep: 2nd in a G2
Form: Ok
H Harzheim<\/p>\n
2 yr old races:
Filly Juvy Turf \u2013 SJ\u2019s Carsonado \u2013 Bertrando 7 races going into BB-
Form: Excellent of an open stakes win
O A Haack Jock<\/p>\n
Juvy Turf – THE SEVEN SEAS \u2013 Montjeu \u2013 7 races going into BB
Form: Decent 4th in a G2 got his bounce out of the way
P Harzheim Jock<\/p>\n
Juvy filly dirt \u2013 LINDY HOP – Awesome Again
Form: Good
Prep: g2 win \u2013 6 going into the BB
Jock: D Evans<\/p>\n
Juvy dirt \u2013 OPEN PIT TED- Tapit \u2013 6 going into the BB
Form: Ok
Prep: 3rd in a G1
Jock: H Harzheim<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
MTK’s Ten Tips from the 2010 Case Study<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":300,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8649","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-general"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8649","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/300"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8649"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8649\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8649"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8649"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8649"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}