This is of course the Chevel, a G1 race over 6 furlongs for a massive purse of $500,000.\u00a0 Sure wish one of my horses was good enough to race in this.\u00a0 Still there are 10 runners here who are good enough and while some may look better than others, the main reason for that is that they probably are.\u00a0 Which means they have an excellent chance of winning this unless something untoward happens and the longshot gets up.\u00a0 Which is the beauty of racing – any one of these can win.\u00a0\u00a0 I can see you all nodding and saying yes yes – I see what you mean – etc…\u00a0 Which of course nonsense.\u00a0 Rarely does the longshot get up – would be great if someone could do the stats for me, say the last 20 years for all races across the world, longshots vs favourites.\u00a0 Anyone?\u00a0 The favourite for me here has to be Keep On Running over the tote favourite of Crosby.<\/P>
1 INSTRUCTION(AUS)\u00a0 ozlodge\u00a0 K Bedwell\u00a0 19\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0 <\/P> Out of Commands, highly respected and proven sire from Australia is Instruction, 2yo girl trained by ozlodge.\u00a0 Having got her maiden win in August of this year with a speed of 73 over 5.5 furlongs she backed that up with a 5th and fading run over 6 furlongs in the Swain’s Babe(IRE) Challenge Stakes and a drop in speed to 67.\u00a0 Now jumping up again in class bigtime to G1 level, she is going to find this very hard as she has really not proven herself at Allowance or Stakes level yet much less this.\u00a0 Still the exciting thing about 2yo’s is that anything can happen so if you want a surge of excitment running in your veins, back this one as she is the longshot of the race. A very lively start to her career with a 2nd place on debut followed quickly by two wins in her maiden and then allowance company.\u00a0 Speeds increasing all the time culminating in an 82 in a G3 over 7 furlongs last time out for a third place finish after leading early but then fading in the run to the line.\u00a0 Still a good effort though and dropping back in distance to 6 furlongs should help her although she is jumping in class to G1.\u00a0 Interesting runner – looks promising today. The Crosby out of Mr. Sidney, a new sire this year who looks potentially good out of Storm Cat. After this years racing is finished will show better how his runners are performing.\u00a0 Swapping around from dirt to turf and back again, looks far more promising on the turf at this level.\u00a0 Definitely likes longer distances – dropping back to 6 furlongs here would suggest that she is not going to like it.\u00a0 In fact I would expect her only to be starting her windup as she crosses the line.\u00a0 Favourite of the race but I think it is way too short for her.\u00a0 Would much prefer to see her over the mile. Started extremely well in her first two races grabbing two wins on the run both over the 5.5 furlong range. Has increased in speed with each outing as well with her last run being also at G1 level over 7 furlongs and a speed of 82. She finished 4th across the line but really starting to flag so the drop in distance to 6f here should only help her.\u00a0 That said she was not outclassed at all at this level and should be very very competitive. One to watch and is probably aiming for a place finish at worst.<\/P> 5 AWESOME COLAC(KY)\u00a0 alishan\u00a0 A Breadfan\u00a0 5\/1<\/STRONG><\/P> Has had 5 runs on the turf for 3 wins with all three of those wins coming from her last 4 starts.\u00a0 After a disappointing start to her career really she is starting to come to life now.\u00a0 Although two races back she raced in the highest level yet in Stakes company over 7 furlongs and could only manage a 5th place finish and not really challenging the leaders at all.\u00a0 Up again in class here will prove to be hard for her although the distance is probably better for her being back to the 6f mark.\u00a0 A chance maybe. This one is looking very very classy after running a 2nd place finish in her last race over 6 furlongs in the G2 The Lowdown and a speed of 83. In fact that is the longest she has ever run and while she was winning comfortably in her maiden and allowance races over this distance (3 from 3 starts) she did fade a bit when she jumped up to graded racing in her last race.\u00a0 May be a sign of tiredness or just the extra level of pace needed for that class.\u00a0 Jumping up again here but she definitely looks like she can handle this.\u00a0 Very big chance here again today. Only the one run to date for this mare out of Sebring who just happens to also be Aussie registered so for those of you who have read my articles more than once (there are some of you out there I know) then you will know that I am automatically geared to Aussie registered horses.\u00a0 Anyways, the one run to date, speed of 66 for the win over 5.5 furlongs and she came from near the rear of the field too which might show she can handle a bit longer which she has today.\u00a0 Half a furlong longer in fact!\u00a0 Big jump in class though and will need to really adjust her speed to cope with this level.\u00a0 Midfield finish maybe… Started excellently well this german girl out of Tale of The Cat.\u00a0 I say German because of the name Fredericka. Looks germanish to me.\u00a0 Feline of course is another name for a cat which just shows that the trainer is remarkably clever.\u00a0 Or does it?\u00a0 Having started off her career with a bang of 3 wins in a row, she then followed that up with a smash in the G3 finishing 7th and fading and basically out of it altogether over 7.5 furlongs.\u00a0 Back in distance here which will only help her but up to G1 level which probably won’t.\u00a0 Second long shot of the race – probably a bit harsh on the odds – she can do better than what they suggest.\u00a0 Place finish at best I believe. Well one of my major fears, superstitions, just downright shivers is anything to do with the occult which includes Ghosts!!!\u00a0 So I won’t stay too long on this gal.\u00a0 Out of Clodovil has been running sensationally just like some others in this race until she hit Graded racing last time out which proved to be too hard.\u00a0 Speed of 77 (down), 6th place finish (bad), G3 Fifth of Jack Stakes.\u00a0 So the solution of course is to put her into an even harder race which is exactly what the trainer has done so that is great isnt it?\u00a0 Probably finish towards the rear of the field. Too hard for her. Having made a disappointing start in a maiden in August finishing 7th over 6.5 furlongs and a speed of only 67, followed that up with her last run over 8 furlongs in another maiden with a win and an excellent speed of 80.\u00a0 Now of course she makes the jump from a maiden race to a G1 race which is a pretty big jump.\u00a0 The thing though which might make her perform well here is her pace.\u00a0 Back in distance too which means she can give it all she has from the jump.\u00a0 Definitely a chance to win this.\u00a0 The Chevel <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8546"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8546\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
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2 STRATTER JIST(IRE)\u00a0 foxon\u00a0 D Aniel\u00a0 6\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0 <\/P>
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3 CROSBY(FR)\u00a0 biggray\u00a0 R Harzheim\u00a0 4\/1<\/STRONG> <\/P>
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4 KYOTO CAFE(JPN)\u00a0 john3540\u00a0 C Spoerer\u00a0 6\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P>
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6 ZUZETTE(IRE)\u00a0 lennoxlove\u00a0 R Whisper\u00a0 6\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0 <\/P>
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7 JAY AND SILENT BOB(AUS)\u00a0 papasmurt\u00a0 R Poulin\u00a0 11\/1<\/STRONG><\/P>
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8 FREDRICKA FELINE(KY)\u00a0 dullah99\u00a0 K Marky\u00a0 14\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P>
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9 GHOSTLY GAEL(IRE)\u00a0 saltire2\u00a0 B Christopher\u00a0 8\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0 <\/P>
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10 KEEP ON RUNNING(IRE)\u00a0 sdmf4\u00a0 J Plumber\u00a0 5\/1<\/STRONG>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P>
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