{"id":7994,"date":"2010-04-22T19:08:22","date_gmt":"2010-04-22T19:08:22","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7994"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7994","title":{"rendered":"The Grade I Good Day"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><FONT face=Calibri>The Grade I Good Day<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p><\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p><FONT face=Calibri>\u00a0<\/FONT><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #ff3300; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\"> 6-1 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">ICECHASER- VT Overeasy(ENG) homebred 4yo colt<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Echo of Light x d-rated Buist\u2019s Return (Forty Niner x Sadler\u2019s Wells)<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">22-10-4-2<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>285K career earnings<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Icechaser (18.1%- 46%) brings a beast of a four year old to France this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He is coming off a career best performance and speed figure in the Grade III Winter Derby last time out.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He simply ran a perfect race just getting up at the wire while running an eye popping 113 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That was his first graded win in his first graded try which is not necessarily an easy thing to do.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I love the form that this horse is showing right now, but I think there might be a bit of a regression this week after that monstrous effort last time out.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy is a deep closer coming from the clouds in most of his starts and that is the trip I would expect this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is not a ton of speed so he might have some problems if he leaves too much work to do late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>When a horse bounces he just isn\u2019t quite as sharp as normal which leaves this guy closing in the end, but not quite getting the job done.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This might be the best horse in the race, but probably not this week, although winning would be no shock at all.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Look at the form though, in his last six races he has won four and had two second place finishes, although all but one were in listed stakes races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hard to pick against this guy, but that last race might have been a little too good.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed-113<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- 108<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- deep closer, will be coming from the clouds<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, but if he runs his last race back he wins, probably bounces though.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #d9d9d9; FONT-SIZE: 26pt; mso-themecolor: background1; mso-themeshade: 217\">2 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">6-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">CECLAIM21- Gormenghast(IRE) scratch homebred 5yo horse<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Danehill Dancer x Fappiano x Roberto<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">26-10-5-5<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>1.6 million career earnings<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Ceclaim21 (14.7%- 45.6%) has a multiple graded winning son of Danehill Dancer to throw into the mix this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a very nice horse that has had some trouble finding the winner\u2019s circle lately as his last win came back in October of last year in the Grade I Coffeefields cup.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The fact is while he has had a couple of decent third place finishes he has also thrown two absolute bombs in there as well.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his last three grade one tries he was beaten a combined 52 lengths, that is right 50+ lengths.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Not sure what is going on with this guy right now, but he isn\u2019t right.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is no reason for him to finish a well beaten third place in an open allowance three back.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Enough of what I don\u2019t like let us talk about why after all of this he still has a shot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While he has not run this short of a race in almost two years he seems to run a tad better at eleven furlongs than twelve and the shortening up just a bit more might be what the doctor ordered.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His last race he was showing some signs of life with a closing third place and a 109 speed figure in the Grade II Winter Derby.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His top speed figure of 112 puts him in the class of horse that can certainly win this thing.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He is another deep closer that will most likely be ten plus lengths back early.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The more that I write, the more I like this guys chances.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It looks like he might be out of his funk and could run a huge race this week and get the win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Not going to pick him, but I do reserve the right to say I saw this coming later. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed-112<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- N\/A<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- Deep closer, should be coming from the clouds<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>, but upside is big enough that a win would not surprise me at all.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #0070c0; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">3 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">7-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> TOTE- Jubbly(IRE) homebred 5yo horse<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Shamardal x C-rated Burchell Hollandia (Red Bullet x Seattle Slew)<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">27-10-5-6<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>401K career earnings<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Tote (20.8%- 53.4%) takes the ferry across the channel and arrives with a nice son of the undefeated on turf Shamardal.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The first thing I see when looking at this guys past performances was his last race in the Grade III Winter Derby.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well that race was so unlike him and such an outlier that I am crossing it out and am not even going to look at it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He had a bad day and nothing more.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Unlike most of the other horses in this race that are dropping in distance, this guy has been doing almost all of his running at ten furlongs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As a matter of fact his last nine races have been at ten.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has won a stakes race at this distance so the extra half furlong should have no impact on his ability to win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has one graded win and that was two back, but was on an off track.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The fact is his last stakes win on a firm turf course was way back in January of 2009.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That is a long fricking time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His best speed figure of 112 says he can win, but when he runs his best races he still can not win, and I do not see this changing this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If this was an off track this would be my guy, but alas it is not.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has shown a lot of versatility in the past as to his placement and I really have no idea where he is going to sit this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>My gut tells me he might be on the lead this week with the lack of overall speed in this race, and he has shown some zip in the past wiring a field back in 2008.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If not on the lead I would expect a stalking trip.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 112<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- 106<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- stalking trip, but could be on the lead if no one else wants it.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- 5<SUP>th<\/SUP>, but back class could mean a much higher finish.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: yellow; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">4 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">10-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> BUFFY8- Fall Schirmjagger(KY) homebred 4yo colt<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Rock Hard Ten x D-rated Buda on the March (Dixieland band x Sadler\u2019s Wells)<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">16-5-6-1<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>327K career earnings<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Buffy8 (22.2%- 46.9%) has a nice four year old son of Kentucky bred Rock Hard Ten.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This horse has not had to travel this week as they raced in France last time out.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That race was a great one indeed as he scored his first graded victory in the Grade III Night at the Exbury.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Once again though we see that was on an off track and his performances in graded starts on a firm course have been ok, but not great.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy\u2019s speed figures are just a tick below the top horses in this race which means that he will most likely need a career best effort to score a win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As a four year old however, he still is getting better and maturing so that is certainly possible.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>To show that point, one need only look at his last two races which happened to be his first and second best speed figures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is exactly the kind of horse that can come in under the radar blast out a great race and score the big upset.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hard to say exactly what his best distance is at this point, he can run pretty darn well at ten or twelve, so distance is not an issue this week at all.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In short fields this guy prefers a close up stalking trip, but in full fields he has shown that he prefers to close from pretty far back.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would expect him to be a deep closer this week, but not way back, maybe six or seven back.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he runs his normal race he will finish somewhere midpack, but if he can step it up a bit and improve on his last race he has a legitimate shot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 107<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- N\/A<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- Deep closer, but not too far back.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- 5<SUP>th<\/SUP>, needs to improve on his best so far. <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #00b050; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">5 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">5-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> SINNER- Winter Quest(ENG)<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>homebred 5yo horse<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Rainbow Quest x C-rated Winter Storm II (Deputy Minister x Storm Bird)<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">26-9-3-3<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>1.1 million career earnings<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Sinner (11.8%- 33.4%) ships in from the desert with their multiple graded stakes winning five year old.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is another of the horses this week that is dropping in distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has run his last 14 races at 11 furlongs or longer with almost all of them at 12 or 14 furlongs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This might be a sign of a little desperation because since he won back to back graded stakes races back in July and August of last year he has been unable to find the winners circle, and really has not been all that close.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A look at the pedigree says that this one may not really like a drop in distance as he is bred to run all day and part of the next.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He generally is a deep closer, but a look back at the Grade I Canada turf back in October of last year shows him going to the front and opening up by seven before fading late and finishing fourth beaten six.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A drop in distance with another front running race might leave him enough in the tank to get the job done.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Than angle might be the most interesting one to play out this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he does not get on the engine early he will most likely be sitting way off the pace as this might be the deepest of the deep closers and could be 20 back early.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That might work at twelve furlongs, but I do not see that happening at 10.5.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 111<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- N\/A<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- Deepest of the deep closers, but might just be up on the lead<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Out of top 5, distance drop looks like desperation.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: black; FONT-SIZE: 26pt; mso-themecolor: text1\">6 9-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> PINCAY- Khartoum Killer(IRE) scratch homebred 4yo filly<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Sadler\u2019s Wells x Diesis x Irish Ruler<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">14-6-4-2<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>770K career earnings<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Pincay (15.5%- 41.6%) ships in from Japan this week with the only lady that is willing to take on the boy, and a four year old at that.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a filly that has taken on the boys at the top levels and won.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In December of last year as a three year old she stepped in against older open company and promptly crushed them in the Grade I Los Angeles Turf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She should be the speed in this race, and is the only horse this week that has shown pretty consistent speed every race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She does not necessarily need the front to win as she has won multiple times sitting in a close up stalking position, but he only graded win was wire to wire.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Once again we have a horse that is dropping in distance as this gal has done almost all over her running as of late at 12-16 furlongs since last July.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It is very hard to say exactly how she is going to react to this since the last time she ran less than eleven furlongs was way back in June of her three year old campaign.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As much as I love this filly, there are so many unknowns to deal with this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be her seventh graded start in a row for a young horse, her fifth start against the boys in her last seven races, and she is coming of a very short four weeks rest off of a very salty grade II.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is a very talented filly, but I think she just has too many things working against her this week. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 110<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- N\/A<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- on the engine, gunning for the lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If not will be stalking<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- Out of the top five, awful lot for a young filly to handle.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #ffc000; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">7 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">6-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> ELCHEAPO- Not So Cheap(KY) scratch homebred 5yo horse<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Forestry x Pulpit x Gone West<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">31-13-7-3<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>1.8 million career earnings<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Elcheapo (13.8%-42.3%) brings in a grizzled veteran of the graded stakes scene.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy has three graded victories that I can see in the past performances, and is really crossing up his pedigree to run the distances that he does.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is not a whole lot of stamina in any part of his pedigree but has consistently won at distances up to a mile.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has run only four races at ten or 10.5 furlongs and has two wins and two seconds to show for it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Like a whole bunch of fellow competitors he is dropping drastically in distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Four of his last five races have been at twelve and 16 furlongs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In February he ran at this week\u2019s distance in an open allowance and finished a closing second place, but never was threatening beaten a solid three.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Like the other horses trying this angle, he is a deep closer that may not quite have the pop in his pedigree to get up in time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy is a proven winner with a ton of class, but I think that a race this short takes him out of his element just a bit too much.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he was a speed horse I would like this move a little more, but closing from where he will be is asking a bit much for a horse like him.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would look to see him around fifteen lengths back early and while I do think he might make up some ground late I do not think he is the best closer and probably will be in the mix, but not enough track to close the show. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 112<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- 109<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- deep closer, will be coming from the clouds<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, just don\u2019t think he can win at this distance. <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #ff6699; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">8 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">19-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> DESIMSTER6- Higher Calling(KY) homebred 4yo colt<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Awesome Again x C- rated Seeking Pie (Seeking the Gold x Theatrical) <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">14-4-3-1<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>116K career earnings<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Desimster6 (12.8%- 39.6%) brings in the longest shot in the field this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This horse is pretty lightly raced and will be making his first graded stakes attempt and his second stakes race in total.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His last race was his first stakes try and he ran a decent second place at 9.5 furlongs in only a five horse field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He is in very good form right now winning two of his last four with two second place finishes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While this form looks really good, he has been racing against much softer company than he will se this week and he has been protected in very short fields since last July.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Those types of lines in the PP\u2019s do no inspire much confidence.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He is regally bred and certainly has the blood lines to run with this crew, but his previous races say he can not.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He normally runs at between nine and ten furlongs, but has gone longer and his pedigree says distance should not be an issue.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy has shown nice tactical speed in the past sitting off of whatever pace is there.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He needs to be up close because in the past when he has not gotten involved early he packs in and does not run at all.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is a chance that happens this week as he is going to see some good old fashioned graded horse speed this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 105<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- N\/A<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- close up stalker<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- Out of top five.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hard to imagine how he can be competitive. <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #4bacc6; FONT-SIZE: 26pt; mso-themecolor: accent5\">9 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">8-1<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> ARMINARM- Tudor Manor(ENG) scratch homebred 5yo horse<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Doyen x Strawberry Road x Tudor Minstrel <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">17-7-3-2<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>148K career earnings<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Arminarm (20.8%- 54.1%) ships in from the kiwi land this week with a nice horse that is still looking for that elusive first graded stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy has raced in four graded starts with so so results with a third place finish as his best result.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This horse has crushed some allowance fields and won his only listed stakes race, but simply is not the same horse when he steps up to graded company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His one start that was longer than ten furlongs was at 16, and that was an unmitigated disaster getting beat by 21 lengths.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think he will handle the 10.5 furlongs easy enough; it is the class of the competition that bothers me.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A four race sampling is pretty good evidence that this guy simply is a notch below grade one competition.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy generally sits pretty close in a stalking position, but has difficulty getting up front when he steps up in class.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is a chance that happens again this week with one legit speed horse, and how he reacts early will dictate how the race finishes up for him.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think he will end up mid pack and will have to try and close from there as I don\u2019t think he can run right off of the pace this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This horse has an outside shot, but will have to run better than he has in the past when he steps up. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 110<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- N\/A <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- Stalking, but may have to go to plan B and sit midpack.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- Out of top five, has not shown he can run with this type yet.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"COLOR: #7030a0; FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">10 <\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 26pt\">7-2<\/SPAN><\/B><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\"> THETHUMB- Fallout Shelter(KY) scratch homebred 6yohorse<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Ghostzapper x Nikinsky II x Buckpasser<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">34-16-5-1<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>838K career earnings<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Thethumb (24.1%- 51.2%) ships in from Germany with the morning line favorite and a big shot at a grade one win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy started his career with 16 races on the dirt where he produced decent enough results, but was then switched to turf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Since that switch to turf he has found his groove with his best form being in the last five months.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Normally horses hit the wall at this stage in their career, but he running his best races right now at this moment.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The thing that I really like about this guy is that he is a proven commodity at this distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He blasted a staggering 117 speed figure back in August of last year at this distance in a listed stake.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he runs anything close to that race this week he is gonna win in a laugher, and will not be challenged.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would expect to see him in the first flight of horses early sitting somewhat close, maybe five off of the front.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has three graded wins in eight starts, but I really think this is the class of the field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I rarely pick favorites, but I simply did not like anybody else close to this one.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His last two races were wins with one being the Grade III Grand Prix and I think he makes in three in a row.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed- 117<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Best speed at distance- 117<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Race trip- Stalking to midpack<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: normal; MARGIN: auto auto 0pt; mso-add-space: auto\" class=MsoNormalCxSpMiddle><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Predicted finish- 1<SUP>st<\/SUP>, pretty hard to not love his chances.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Morning line favorite tries to make it three in a row<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":297,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7994","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7994","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/297"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7994"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7994\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7994"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7994"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7994"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}