{"id":7972,"date":"2010-04-15T12:21:11","date_gmt":"2010-04-15T12:21:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7972"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7972","title":{"rendered":"The Grade II Cold Plate"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Cold Plate\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Grade II<\/o:p><\/FONT><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/FONT><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

1<\/SPAN><\/B> 4-1 <\/SPAN><\/B>KELA-\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Beezal(NZ) homebred 4yo colt<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Zabeel x C-rated Club Wondering (Sadler\u2019s Wells x Explosive Bid)<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

14-5-0-3\u00a0 <\/SPAN>985K career earnings<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Kela (15.7%- 38.8%) brings in a graded winning son of Zabeel to Germany this week.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I am not quite sure what to make of this one.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has shown instances of brilliance, but his last three races were truly abysmal.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The race in January at sixteen furlongs was not terrible, and he did finish a decent third in the Grade II Fitness Cup.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That was a very salty group to run against and although the 97 speed figure won\u2019t open too many eyes that was a useful race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is the only horse that I am sure will like thirteen furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The one race that I love was back in November in the Grade I Vickey Derby.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He crushed by almost three at this week\u2019s distance and won with a very nice 106 speed figure.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That is the race that sets him up for this week.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would expect him to be closing as usual this week, but he shouldn\u2019t be too far back, and will have first jump on all of the deep closers.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>4-1 is a steal on this guy if you are willing to do some archeology in his past performances.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His pedigree is stamina top to bottom, and I think he can turn it around and pull the upset.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed-106, three times, might be his best<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed at distance- 106<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Race trip- Closer, but should not be too far back<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Predicted finish- 1st<\/SUP>, looks like he can get it done<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

2 <\/SPAN><\/B>5-1<\/SPAN><\/B>FLYINGTAIL- Beating the Odds(MD) homebred 6yo horse<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Oratory x G-rated Ice Exault (Gulch x Vice Regent)<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

44-15-8-6\u00a0 <\/SPAN>797K career earnings<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Flyingtail (12.3%- 34.9%) has a guy used to sprinting trying to go longer than nine furlongs for the first time ever.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Yikes, this is a tough spot for this one.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has been racing mostly between six and seven furlongs, and is making a huge jump in distance to thirteen furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His one try at nine furlongs was not the kind of performance that is inspiring me about the distance this week.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He was beaten by 17 lengths, finishing a dull fourth.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A closer look at the pedigree offers some more bad news.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Oratory right now is producing sprinting purses at 67% over Gulch which is another sprinting influence.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I simply do not see how this guy can get thirteen furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be his fifth try with graded company with his best finish a third back in 2006 as a two year old.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He does not have take your breath away speed, but I would expect to see him out front this week at this distance for good or bad.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I suppose if he can get out front in some crawling fractions and have something left he might be able to steal it, but that is a very big question.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At this point in his career it might be a bit hard to teach an old horse new tricks.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed-111<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed at distance- N\/A<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Race trip- Stalker, but should be up front in this one<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Predicted finish- 6th<\/SUP>, I just don\u2019t think he can get the distance at this point in his career.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

3 <\/SPAN><\/B>EVEN<\/SPAN><\/B> WISPER2K8- No More Monsters(ENG) scratch homebred 4yo colt<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Green Desert x Fappiano x Habitat<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

17-5-2-2\u00a0 <\/SPAN>429K career earnings<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Wisper2K8 (9.7%- 31.5%) has the even money favorite and what looks to be a monster.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>But as you noted I did not pick this one.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>So let us look at what I think are tiny chinks in this one\u2019s armor this week.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Since he began running with older horses he was just about untouchable at ten furlongs winning most everyone he entered.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At twelve furlongs things change.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He was beatable, losing two graded races at twelve furlongs by a combined 40 lengths.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>So he turns four and continues racing at between ten and eleven furlongs against older horses and what happens?\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Four fourth place finishes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even with an eye popping 110 speed figure in the G II Victoria Cup, that was not enough.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>So what to make of a horse that was closing in all of those races except one where a on the lead experiment was tried.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hell, I don\u2019t know, this is by far the best horse in the field, but I think we see the same things this week.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He will be closing, but just won\u2019t get there.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think one of the things that might have a clue to what appears to be a distance limitation is on the dam side.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is no doubt Fappiano can be a stamina influence, but anytime Mr. Prospector is on the dam side there can be distance limitations.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would expect to see him very far back and closing at the end, but just run out of race track as Beezal<\/B> gets first jump.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Great horse that will be fine, but think it\u2019s at ten furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be his seventh graded try, and I think he will need and eighth try for that first win, but then again his class could show through and win by five. \u00a0<\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed- 111<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed at distance- N\/A<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Race trip- Deep closer, but has been closer in the past<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Predicted finish- 2nd<\/SUP>, best horse, but not his best distance.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

4 <\/SPAN><\/B>4-1<\/SPAN><\/B> VERONA- Otto Platinum(KY) scratch homebred 8yo mare<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Mineshaft x Saint Ballado x Unbridled<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

46-15-7-7\u00a0 <\/SPAN>887K career earnings<\/SPAN><\/B><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Verona (18.4%- 47%) brings in a grizzled veteran lady of the graded stakes circuit.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This old gal will be making her 16th<\/SUP> graded start with one win and several seconds and thirds.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Running against the boys is nothing new to this mare as this will be her eighth try with three seconds and a win, with a second in a grade II at 16 furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her form has been falling off as of late with her last win coming in July of last year.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has been avoiding the longs races as of late as she last ran over 10.5 furlongs in October of 2008.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At one point in her career she might have had a legitimate shot in a race of this distance against the boys, but at this point she is really going to have to turn it around.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With her breeding and career record she has a very bright future as a broodmare if she never wins another race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She can show some speed, but I think she will most likely sit a stalking second and try to move when the early speed falters, which it should.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has to sustain that move which has been a bit of a problem lately.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has been in positions to win, but has flattened out, and unable to close the show.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>What a great old race mare though.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed- 106<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed at distance- 96<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Race trip- stalking two or three back<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Predicted finish- \u00a0<\/SPAN>3rd, not quite sure she has it in her any longer<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

5 <\/SPAN><\/B>8-1<\/SPAN><\/B> LIP- Bad Magic(WA)\u00a0 <\/SPAN>homebred 5yo horse<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Trail City x C-rated Boca Ciega (In the Wings x Kingmambo)<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

22-7-1-4\u00a0 <\/SPAN>166K career earnings<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Lip (15-5%- 40.4%) brings a Washington bred across the pond this week for his shot at two graded stakes wins in a row.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This guy is in very good form right now since he has been running a bit longer with most of his efforts being between twelve and sixteen furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While his last race was a graded win, it might not be quite so good on paper.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His 96 speed figure probably will not get it done this week, as his last race had no graded winners and a field of only four.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has run in the 90\u2019s at sixteen furlongs so he can get this distance, but can he run a big race to beat graded winners? \u00a0<\/SPAN>Of that I am not so sure.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His pedigree is stamina from top to bottom, and if lip can keep flying him all over the world to race in short fields he will be successful, but I just think he is a step below the elite horses.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He does have speed and might be able to get the lead but most likely will sit a stalking second as he lacks sprinter speed.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A nice horse, but this field looks a bit too salty. \u00a0<\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed- 101<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed at distance- N\/A<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Race trip- up close stalking should be within two early<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Predicted finish- 4th<\/SUP>, not sure how he will race against a couple of really good horses.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

6 11-1<\/SPAN><\/B> GR8WHITE- Empty Cage(SAF) scratch homebred 4yo colt<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Hinton Wells x Event of the Year x Pharly<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

25-10-7-3\u00a0 <\/SPAN>354K career earnings<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P>

Gr8white (18.3%- 57.4%) shows up in Germany this week with a South African bred four year old colt.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is another horse that has been protected throughout his career running in field over eight just three times in 25 starts.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well the good news is this is another short field.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His pedigree is somewhat obscure, but is stamina top to bottom one generation off of Sim royalty in Sadler\u2019s Wells and Seattle Slew.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is another speed horse that could be setting up some ding dong action up front setting up the closers perfectly.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even as much speed as this guy possesses I am still not sure he can get the lead away from Beezal <\/B>who is a sprinter.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be his third graded stakes try with fifth place being his best finish.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has won at eleven furlongs and has a decent finish at twelve so he should get the distance.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has won from the lead, but his stalking trips might be his best trip and he should be right around there.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The one thing he doesn\u2019t need is to get into a speed duel with a sprinter that has no shot.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN>\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed- 102, but on dirt, 98 on turf<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Best speed at distance- N\/A<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Race trip- on the engine, gunning for the lead, but don\u2019t think he can get it<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P>

Predicted finish- 5th<\/SUP>, not sure graded stakes races are going to be sources of much success.<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Fives and one old race mare go long on the turf<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":297,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7972","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7972","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/297"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7972"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7972\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7972"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7972"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7972"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}