{"id":7897,"date":"2010-03-25T22:16:05","date_gmt":"2010-03-25T22:16:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7897"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7897","title":{"rendered":"Sand Castle Classic"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">This is it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I doesn&#8217;t get any bigger than this anyway.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Along with the Bluegrass Derby and the Breeders&#8217; Bowl Classic, no race is more prestigious than Dubai&#8217;s Grade I Sandcastle Classic, a mile and a quarter for $6 million.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">In its ten year history, it&#8217;s been won by Hall of Famers <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Stormy Prospector<\/B><\/SPAN><FONT face=Calibri> <\/FONT><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt\">and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Solar Song<\/B>, and by likely future Hall of Famers <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Awesome Force <\/B>and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Ermington Pegasus<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>And its list of losers is also full of Hall of Famers. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Duke Ali, New Slew, Dusty Dance, <\/B>and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">I Seek U <\/B>all failed to win in eight tries between them.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt\">This year&#8217;s field is as strong as ever.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The lowest ranked horse in the field is still number 31 in the world, and the top two rated horsed, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Jeepster<\/B> and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Rock Hard Korn<\/B> are both in the race, the latter to defend his crown as last year&#8217;s winner. <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt\">The last two editions of the race have been won at long odds, and no one here is without a legitimate shot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is truly it.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt\">Here is a look at the field:<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP1 <STRONG>ROCK HARD KORN(KY) <\/STRONG>(ROCK HARD TEN x SEATTLE SLEW x NIJINSKY II) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">korn<\/I><\/B><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\"> <\/I>(Qwikvett Stables, 14%) Style: P, Odds: 7-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">History has not been kind to horses trying to repeat.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Stormy Prospector<\/B><\/SPAN><FONT face=Calibri>, <\/FONT><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt\">Solar Song. <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt\">and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Ermington Pegasus <\/B>all tried twice more after their Sand Castle wins and none were successful.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>But no one has told this five-year-old, one of four in the field named co-favorites.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He gets a six-week freshening after a terrible Equinics race last time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has a remarkable history of bouncing back from poor races, so don&#8217;t toss him because of that race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>After an 11 length loss, he ran second in 2008&#8217;s Breeders&#8217; Bowl Classic, and, even better, in his race last year, just before his winning Sand Castle race, he was a distant tenth.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP2 <STRONG>DEMECO(KY) <\/STRONG>(AWESOME AGAIN x BROAD BRUSH x SECRETARIAT) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">trifecta<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">fatattack<\/I><\/B> (LIVESTRONG Stables, 25%) Style: P, Odds: 13-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Ran here last year and lacked a rally, finishing a distant 8th.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He&#8217;s not at the top of his form cycle.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He hasn&#8217;t won since last June, and in his two races this year he hasn&#8217;t topped 96 for a speed figure. Moreover no horse has won the Sand Castle off of an allowance race since 2000. So, what&#8217;s to like?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Actually, his high-percentage trainer has shown he knows how to handle this horse.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Demeco has only run two bad races in his career. His first was last year&#8217;s Sand Castle.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He was trained to a third place finish in his next race, and then won his next two in fast times.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His other poor race was the Grade I Glenn.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He ran a second after that, and now this is his next race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The pattern says he should be ready for a good effort.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP3 <STRONG>ALYDAR AGAIN(KY) <\/STRONG>(AWESOME AGAIN x NORTHERN BABY x ALYDAR) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">fatattack<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">texasace04<\/I> <\/B>(Theavenger&#8217;s F&#8217; A.R.S.E. Stables, 21%) Style: S, Odds: 7-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">The second of the 7-1 horses, he looks to be off form.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He just ran around the track in his last two races, never menacing.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His respect from the line maker is due to a couple impressive seconds a few races back.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He was second in a DelPenn race and second in the Breeders&#8217; Bowl Classic.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A repeat of those races would make him a factor here, but a minor piece of the purse seems more likely than a win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He had three graded wins last year, but his lone Grade I win came as a two-year-old.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP4 <STRONG>JEEPSTER(KY) <\/STRONG>(SEEKING THE GOLD x STORM CAT x DANZIG) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">super25<\/I><\/B> (More Evil Than The Evil Empire, 17%) Style: S, Odds: 10-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Reigning Horse of the Year and number one ranked divisional runner is only the eighth choice out of fourteen in the morning line.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That doesn&#8217;t sound right.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>And it isn&#8217;t.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>After a grueling end to an historic three-year-old season some regression was predictable.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It occurred, but now it&#8217;s been four months since his Breeders&#8217; Bowl win, and that&#8217;s about the right amount of time to recover.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he&#8217;s going to be an outstanding older horse, and repeat what he showed his sophomore season, now is the time to start showing it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It never hurts to have the jockey he has in the irons today.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP5 <STRONG>HAIL THE EMPIRE(KY) <\/STRONG>(FUSAICHI PEGASUS x LYPHARD x HAIL TO REASON) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">icbomber6<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">simsters7<\/I><\/B> (THE EMPIRE &#8211; 100 GI WINS AND COUNTING, 22%) Style: P, Odds: 12-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">He exits two allowance races, which doesn&#8217;t fit the profile of previous Sand Castle winners.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He hasn&#8217;t won a graded stakes in almost a year, and in his last three graded tries he&#8217;s finished behind five horses that he meets again today.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All of that sounds bleak, but did you catch what Lenny has renamed his stables?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>You can never be comfortable tossing his horses in a race of this caliber.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP6 <STRONG>SILVERGORE(KY) <\/STRONG>(SILVER DEPUTY x NUREYEV x CARSON CITY) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">steelewolf<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">bigamie<\/I><\/B> (Jrogue Stables, 19%) Style: E\/P, Odds: 8-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">He usually likes to run near the lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There are a couple in here that have quicker early foot than he does, so he figures to sit in the first wave behind them.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last summer he proved he can win from just off the pace, so he is certainly eligible to do that in this field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In fact, it might be good news for him that there are a couple of quicker early ones in here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In recent races he has had a tendency to get too involved early and has faded late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has a dangerous running style, is entirely capable of winning this, and is likely to be overlooked by bettors.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP7 <STRONG>DISTORTED STORM(KY) <\/STRONG>(DISTORTED HUMOR x STORM CAT x MILL REEF) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">latinlover<\/I><\/B> (Latinlover Stables, 23%) Style: S, Odds: 13-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Dangerous longshot edged out <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Jeepster <\/B>for show in the Bluegrass and now is 1-0-2 in four Grade I races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His lone bad race was two back in the Grade I Toilet Scrubbers.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the preview for that race published in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">BTB<\/I>, some god-awful handicapper picked him to win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Whether that is the reason for the colt&#8217;s failure to fire<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>is up for debate.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He did bounce back, however, to defeat a pretty tough field in an overnight last time and run his record up to 11 wins in only 16 lifetime starts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Doubters will note that eight of those wins came in allowance company, often against small fields.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His last graded win was almost a year ago.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Does he still have the class at four-years-old that he had in the middle of his three-year-old campaign?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If he does, the 13-1 odds are a bargain.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP8 <STRONG>OL SUKIE JONES(KY) <\/STRONG>(EMPIRE MAKER x HALO x DEPUTY MINISTER) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">sdmfstc<\/I><\/B> (Black Label Stables, 22%) Style: S, Odds: 16-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">In September Ol Sukie beat Bluegrass Derby winner <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Hot and Spicy <\/B>to win the Grade I Their Law, but his other Grade I tries are not encouraging.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He hasn&#8217;t finished within 12 lengths of the winner.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his last six races, he&#8217;s displayed an alternating good-race bad-race pattern.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We can&#8217;t tell if that&#8217;s a running pattern or the fact that the bad races have been in Grade I races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Either way, it&#8217;s not good news for today.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>On the bright side he has twice before put together back-to-back wins, so his connections hope he can do it again.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP9 <STRONG>SCREAMING FOR(KY) <\/STRONG>(BERNARDINI x FORTY NINER x NIJINSKY II) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">foxon3<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">4gone<\/I><\/B> (Shamrock Stables, 13%) Style: E, Odds: 9-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">All seven of his lifetime wins have been wire to wire.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He clearly needs the early lead, and even a clear early lead hasn&#8217;t been enough lately.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He&#8217;s been having a hard time holding late leads, and there is some very serious early speed in a few of the gates just to his outside, so even getting that lead might be a problem.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Just who has the best early speed is tough to judge sometimes. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>His best race was last September&#8217;s Grade I Woodward, where he beat <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Alydar Again<\/B> and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Robust<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>at odds and conditions similar to today&#8217;s.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>He&#8217;s a sentimental favorite since being picked up in a $4000 maiden claiming race, and he&#8217;s been expertly handled to bring him to his current number nine ranking.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP10 <STRONG>SISSON&#8217;S DE CRAFTY(AUS) <\/STRONG>(ENCOSTA DE LAGO (AUS) x CRAFTY PROSPECTOR x LEE DAVID) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">patriots <\/I><\/B>(Binzaman Stables, 10%) Style: E, Odds: 11-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">A winner of half of his races, he&#8217;s always at or near the front.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>What&#8217;s impressive is how often he wins despite getting caught up in battles.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Like most front-runners he&#8217;ll fade late from time to time, as he did last time in an allowance race, but we like that he looks classier at four than he was a three.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his lone graded three-year-old try he ran like he didn&#8217;t have<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>a clue.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He&#8217;s tried two more graded races since the beginning of the year and won the Grade I Glenn, over 20 lengths in front of <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Demeco<\/B> and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Robust<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a tougher field than he faced in the Glenn, but it&#8217;s good to see he can handle the class level.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jockey is off to a poor 2010 start.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP11 <STRONG>ROBUST(IRE) <\/STRONG>(HIGH CHAPARRAL (IRE) x PEINTRE CELEBRE (IRE) x HOIST THE FLAG) bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">cobrakai<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">pilgrim5<\/I><\/B> (Pilgrim Stables, 9%) Style: S, Odds: 36-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">The maker of the morning line pays a lot of attention to the last speed figure, and when this horse was distanced last time, it easily tripled his odds for today.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The good news is that he&#8217;s recovered from bad races before.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>After losing by 20 lengths, he came back the next time to finish second in the Bob Woodward last summer.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>After losing a residency race by double digits, he came back the next time to win a Grade III race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It needs to be said that even without the odds&#8217; inflation due to the terrible race last time, he would still be one of the longer shots in the race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His good races are spread out and tend to be slower than what the main contenders here run.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP12 <STRONG>SILVER STAR ROAD(KY) <\/STRONG>(SILVER TRAIN x ALYDAR x ROBERTO) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">onyourmark<\/I><\/B> (Onyourmark Stables, 8%) Style: S, Odds: 9-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">He finished second in this race a year ago, and while his odds are similar to last year&#8217;s, his form is not.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last year he came in off <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>a 117 speed figure earned in a second in the Grade I Cal &#8216;Cap.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This year he comes in off a double-digit loss in an overnight.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>(An overnight with a field stronger than many graded stakes, it must be noted.) <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>He&#8217;s been a serious closer with a great career, but he hasn&#8217;t seriously closed since August.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>After 31 races he appears to be in decline.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Meanwhile, he&#8217;s been by far the best Silver Train in the Sim.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP13 <STRONG>SYMONDITE(KY) <\/STRONG>(KINGMAMBO x STORM CAT x HABITAT) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">upgrade<\/I><\/B> (Tulloch Stables, 14%) Style: E, Odds: 7-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">The third of the four co-favorites, this veteran is still a bit of a newcomer at the class level.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He tried a graded stakes 18 months ago and faded badly late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He tried again last October with the same result.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Third try was a charm when he entered the<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Equinics and easily wired a field that contained <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Rock Hard Korn, Screaming For<\/B>, and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Alydar Again<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A repeat of that performance looks formidable.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The Equinincs this year were notorious for upsets and for races that did not run to form.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>(That&#8217;s my way of saying I couldn&#8217;t pick very many winners.) The jury is out on how those winners go in their subsequent races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Speed of the speed?<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">PP14 <STRONG>THIS CALLING(IRE) <\/STRONG>(SADLER&#8217;S WELLS x ALYDAR x BUCKPASSER) bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">arse2007<\/I><\/B> (Black Label Stables, 18%) Style: S, Odds: 7-1<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Beat <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Silvergore <\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Jeepster<\/B> in a quick Grade I win last time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That was his first ever graded win and it came in his 34th start.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That doesn&#8217;t happen often.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even when he doesn&#8217;t win, he makes his connections happy.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He&#8217;s picked up a check in every race over the past year.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Do they bounce in the Sim? If you think they do, he&#8217;s a prime candidate.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If not, notice he has the best last-out speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Obvious contender despite tough post and struggling jockey.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 10pt\" class=MsoNormal><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">Summary<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 12pt\">.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I remember when I used to occasionally correctly predict winners in these articles.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>You younger players may have to ask your grandparents about that.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lately my picks seem to be jinks, and I hate to do that to the trainers here, so I won&#8217;t make a prediction. <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"LINE-HEIGHT: 115%; FONT-FAMILY: 'Times New Roman','serif'; FONT-SIZE: 5pt\">(Just kidding. You read it here first: <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Symondyte\/Jeepster\/Rock Hard Korn.)<o:p><\/o:p><\/B><\/SPAN><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This is it!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7897\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}