{"id":76604,"date":"2026-09-11T18:33:01","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T18:33:01","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=76604"},"modified":"2026-09-11T18:33:05","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T18:33:05","slug":"beyond-the-wire-the-walnut-tree-stakes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=76604","title":{"rendered":"Beyond the Wire-The Walnut Tree Stakes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><em>Where Every Race Has a Story.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The Great Unknown: Twelve Fillies, 8\u00bd Furlongs, and a Grade I Question<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>California \u2014 Sunday, September 13, 2026<\/strong><br><strong>Walnut Tree Stakes \u2014 Grade I \/ Group 1<\/strong><br><strong>$750,000 | 8\u00bd Furlongs | Fast Dirt | 2-Year-Old Fillies<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At two years old, potential is everywhere.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Proof is considerably harder to find.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s what makes Sunday&#8217;s <strong>$750,000 Walnut Tree Stakes<\/strong> such an intriguing Grade I test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Twelve juvenile fillies will line up in California, and nearly all of them arrive carrying an unanswered question. They&#8217;ve won at five furlongs. Six. Seven. Some have won stakes. Some are undefeated. Several have produced performances suggesting that something considerably bigger may be coming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But Sunday isn&#8217;t six furlongs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">It&#8217;s <strong>a mile and a sixteenth<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Only three members of this field have already won around a route, while several of the most accomplished entrants will attempt one for the first time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So forget what they&#8217;ve already earned for just a moment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sunday is about discovering what they might become.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#1 FINAL DIRECTIVE \u2014 Looking for Another Gear<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner:<\/strong> asrasr<br><strong>Breeder:<\/strong> winningday<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Gun Runner \u00d7 Danzig \u00d7 Mr. Prospector<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Tactical speed<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 6\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Final Directive started her career looking like a filly with places to go.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She went directly to the front in her April debut at 6\u00bd furlongs and never looked back, widening through the stretch to win by <strong>7\u00be lengths<\/strong> with a 76 speed figure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Since then, the competition has gotten tougher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She finished second at seven furlongs in June while improving to a <strong>79<\/strong>, then stepped into The Sorgento in July and finished fifth with an <strong>80<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The progression \u2014 <strong>76 to 79 to 80<\/strong> \u2014 is encouraging. So is a pedigree headed by Gun Runner, with Danzig and Mr. Prospector behind him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But this is something entirely different.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Final Directive has never raced beyond seven furlongs, and Sunday&#8217;s additional 1\u00bd furlongs will ask her to turn steady development into a genuine Grade I breakthrough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> She has improved every time she&#8217;s raced. Now we find out whether added distance unlocks the next step \u2014 or finally finds her limit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#2 X&#8217; AWESOME ANNA &#8216;X \u2014 One Race, One Statement<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> abigzstables5<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Annapolis \u00d7 Awesome Again \u00d7 Seattle Slew<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Closer<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 9\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There may not be a more fascinating filly in the field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">X&#8217; Awesome Anna &#8216;X has raced exactly <strong>once<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And she certainly made it count.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Debuting at a mile in Kentucky on August 8, she was ninth early in a twelve-horse field and nearly seven lengths behind. Then she started coming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Fourth at the next call.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">First at the finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">By <strong>five lengths<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the speed figure was <strong>91<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s the highest figure shown by anyone in this field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now comes the difficult part. She goes from a debut victory directly into a $750,000 Grade I and stretches another half-furlong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is no long r\u00e9sum\u00e9 to examine. No pattern of three or four races telling us who she is.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There&#8217;s simply one race \u2014 and it was awfully impressive.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Sometimes a horse needs months to tell you she might be special. X&#8217; Awesome Anna &#8216;X needed one afternoon. Sunday tells us whether we should believe her.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#3 SEPARATION MASS \u2014 Speed Meets Distance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> cork4<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Locked \u00d7 Symboli Kris S \u00d7 Nijinsky II<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Front-runner<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 18\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Separation Mass has spent very little time wondering what the horse in front of her looks like.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In her debut at five furlongs, she went directly to the lead and remained there until the final stages before tiring to fifth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two months later in Japan, she tried six furlongs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This time nobody caught her.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Separation Mass controlled the race throughout and won by <strong>3\u00bc lengths<\/strong>, improving dramatically from a 68 debut figure to a <strong>78<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now comes a monumental change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Six furlongs becomes 8\u00bd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the filly accustomed to controlling races on the front end will have plenty of company interested in that same piece of real estate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her pedigree provides reason to give the experiment a chance, but Sunday&#8217;s Grade I represents an enormous jump in both distance and competition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> We already know Separation Mass has speed. The Walnut Tree asks whether she can turn that speed into stamina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#4 DIA DE LAS MADRES \u2014 Catch Her If You Can<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> ivanyamil<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Justify \u00d7 Medaglia d&#8217;Oro \u00d7 Tapit<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Front-runner<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 5\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And very little suspense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dia De Las Madres debuted at seven furlongs in New York and immediately went to the front. She led by a quarter-length, then one, then 3\u00bc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At the wire?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>6\u00bc lengths.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The figure was an excellent <strong>88<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now look at the pedigree.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Justify. Medaglia d&#8217;Oro. Tapit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If you&#8217;re searching this field for a filly whose bloodlines suggest that stretching from seven furlongs to 8\u00bd shouldn&#8217;t automatically be a problem, you&#8217;ve found one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But pedigree isn&#8217;t proof, and Sunday&#8217;s circumstances won&#8217;t resemble that debut. Separation Mass, Skeptic Quality and others have shown early speed of their own.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dia De Las Madres may not get to dictate everything on her terms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s the test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> She has already shown us brilliance. Sunday asks for something more difficult \u2014 whether she can still be brilliant when another horse looks her in the eye.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#5 SHAM&#8217;S CODE \u2014 The One Who Has Already Answered<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner:<\/strong> bigrick9<br><strong>Breeder:<\/strong> crandyv<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Honor Code \u00d7 More Than Ready \u00d7 Sham<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Stalker<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 11\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">While most of this field arrives wondering about two turns, Sham&#8217;s Code already knows the answer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Yes.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her five-race career has been remarkably consistent: <strong>two wins and three seconds<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She began with three consecutive runner-up finishes while steadily improving from 71 to 74 to 77. Then came her breakthrough in Virginia, where she won a six-furlong race by 4\u00be lengths with an <strong>82<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Next came the important one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eight furlongs in Louisiana.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sham&#8217;s Code sat second, remained there through much of the race, took over when it mattered and drew away by <strong>3\u00bd lengths<\/strong>, recording an <strong>86<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s five races and five improved speed figures:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>71. 74. 77. 82. 86.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nobody needs to guess whether she can route.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> In a race filled with questions, Sham&#8217;s Code brings something valuable: an answer. And at 11\/1, proven route form may be getting overlooked.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#6 STAY INN EL CAJON \u2014 Three Starts, Three Countries, Three Wins<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner:<\/strong> scotchnrocks<br><strong>Breeder:<\/strong> sandiego<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Stay Thirsty \u00d7 Uncle Mo \u00d7 Arch<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Closer<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 14\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stay Inn El Cajon&#8217;s passport is already getting crowded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Thailand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Germany.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then Germany again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Three starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Three wins.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her career began with victories at 4\u00bd and 5\u00bd furlongs, but after nearly six months away she returned August 8 facing thirteen horses at a mile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She was dead last early.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eleventh at the second call.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then fifth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then <strong>first by 4\u00bc lengths<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And she did it with an <strong>85<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s the kind of performance that deserves attention here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Stay Inn El Cajon has already demonstrated that she can settle, conserve energy and finish a route \u2014 exactly the qualities several of Sunday&#8217;s more brilliant sprinters still have to prove.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now she stretches another half-furlong and faces Grade I company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Three races haven&#8217;t told us how good Stay Inn El Cajon is. They have told us one thing: nobody has beaten her yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#7 DORO RAIDER \u2014 Perfect and Progressing<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner:<\/strong> millview19<br><strong>Breeder:<\/strong> lightng109<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Stage Raider \u00d7 Medaglia d&#8217;Oro \u00d7 Distorted Humor<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Stalker<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 12\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Doro Raider hasn&#8217;t done anything wrong.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two starts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two victories.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She debuted at 6\u00bd furlongs in Maryland, sat third early, took over before the stretch and won by two lengths with an <strong>82<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Five weeks later in Texas, the distance increased to seven furlongs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The result didn&#8217;t change.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Third early. First when it mattered. Another two-length victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This time the figure moved to <strong>83<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There&#8217;s nothing flashy about the progression, but there doesn&#8217;t need to be. Doro Raider has shown tactical speed, the ability to settle behind horses, and the willingness to finish.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sunday&#8217;s 8\u00bd furlongs represents her first route and easily her biggest test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But a Medaglia d&#8217;Oro\u2013Distorted Humor influence underneath Stage Raider gives her an interesting foundation for trying it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Doro Raider hasn&#8217;t shown us her ceiling yet because nobody has forced her to. Grade I company probably will.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#8 VILLAIN ERA \u2014 Built for the Fight<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> asrgun<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Tapit \u00d7 Gun Runner \u00d7 Deputy Minister<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Front-runner<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 7\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Villain Era has spent almost every meaningful moment of her young career in front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She led throughout her debut at 6\u00bd furlongs before being caught late and finishing second.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She returned at seven furlongs in Indiana and made sure it didn&#8217;t happen again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Villain Era took command immediately, controlled every call and won by <strong>2\u00bd lengths<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her figures \u2014 <strong>76 and 77<\/strong> \u2014 don&#8217;t match the biggest numbers in this field yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But this is where pedigree enters the conversation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tapit \u00d7 Gun Runner \u00d7 Deputy Minister.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If Sunday&#8217;s race becomes a test of which juvenile filly is genetically equipped to keep going when the sprinters begin asking for the finish line, Villain Era has an intriguing case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The problem may be the pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She isn&#8217;t the only filly who wants the front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Her speed figures say she needs to improve. Her pedigree says 8\u00bd furlongs might be exactly where that improvement arrives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#9 NON RUNNERS \u2014 Battle Tested<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> stalbrabant14<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Almanzor \u00d7 Gun Runner \u00d7 Seattle Slew<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Closer<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 9\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nobody in this field has seen more racing than Non Runners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sunday will be start <strong>number nine<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She&#8217;s already won twice, placed six times overall, and earned <strong>$168,145<\/strong> \u2014 second only to Skeptic Quality among the entrants with complete earnings shown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">More importantly, she comes here from serious competition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In The Sorgento, Non Runners sat well back before rallying to third with an <strong>82<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then came the Dell Computer Futurity at seven furlongs. Again she dropped far back \u2014 twelfth early \u2014 before producing a substantial late run to finish <strong>third<\/strong>, just 1\u00bc lengths from the winner, while jumping to an <strong>88<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That is the performance that makes her dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She has never routed, but her running style suggests additional ground may be something she welcomes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Some fillies arrive with mystery. Non Runners arrives with experience \u2014 and an 88 last time says all those lessons may be starting to pay off.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#10 SKEPTIC QUALITY \u2014 Four Races, Four Wins<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> amir1766<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Essential Quality \u00d7 Street Sense \u00d7 Unbridled<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Front-runner<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 8\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">If winning is a habit, Skeptic Quality has developed a very good one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Four starts. Four victories. $371,580 earned.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ireland, Germany, Norway and the UAE have all produced the same result.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She goes to the front.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Everybody chases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nobody gets there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her progression has been impressive: <strong>72, 82, 82, 83<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Most recently, she captured the Red Fish Blue Fish Stakes at 6\u00bd furlongs, leading throughout and winning by 1\u00be lengths against eleven rivals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But now we reach the great unknown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Every one of those victories came at 6\u00bd furlongs or shorter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sunday asks for <strong>8\u00bd<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Essential Quality over Street Sense and Unbridled certainly doesn&#8217;t scream &#8220;sprinter only.&#8221; The pedigree gives her every right to try this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But the pace situation could make the distance feel even longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Four countries have tried to beat Skeptic Quality. None succeeded. The fifth opponent isn&#8217;t a horse \u2014 it&#8217;s 8\u00bd furlongs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#11 RUBY SEEKING GOLD \u2014 Two Starts and Getting Better Fast<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner\/Breeder:<\/strong> ddstables26<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Nyquist \u00d7 Tapit \u00d7 Sadler&#8217;s Wells<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Stalker\/closer<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 5\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Ruby Seeking Gold&#8217;s r\u00e9sum\u00e9 is short.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her trajectory isn&#8217;t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She debuted at seven furlongs in Kentucky, settled seventh early, moved to third and then swept past the field to win by 1\u00be lengths with a <strong>78<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Six weeks later she stretched to 7\u00bd furlongs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This time she sat third, moved into the lead and exploded away to win by <strong>4\u00bd lengths<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The figure jumped to <strong>86<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s exactly the kind of progression worth noticing in a two-year-old approaching her first Grade I.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She&#8217;s getting faster as the races get longer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And with <strong>Nyquist \u00d7 Tapit \u00d7 Sadler&#8217;s Wells<\/strong>, there isn&#8217;t much about the pedigree that makes another furlong look unreasonable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She still has to prove it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But unlike some of the speed-oriented fillies here, Ruby Seeking Gold&#8217;s first two races look like preparation for exactly this kind of assignment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Two races have produced two victories and an eight-point improvement. The scary question is what happens if there&#8217;s another step coming.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#12 PASSED NIGH \u2014 Proven Class, New Distance<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Owner:<\/strong> tucsongp<br><strong>Breeder:<\/strong> eminc<br><strong>Pedigree:<\/strong> Quality Road \u00d7 Bernardini \u00d7 Awesome Again<br><strong>Running Style:<\/strong> Stalker<br><strong>Morning Line:<\/strong> 9\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Passed Nigh brings something several of these fillies do not:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>stakes-winning form.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">She has raced three times, all at six furlongs, and has never finished worse than second.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Her debut produced a runner-up finish with a <strong>76<\/strong> speed figure after she raced just behind the leaders throughout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">One start later, she improved to an <strong>81<\/strong>, sitting sixth early before moving into contention and drawing away to win by <strong>3\u00bd lengths<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Then came the real test.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Passed Nigh stepped into the <strong>Grade III Schoolerville<\/strong> in July, faced thirteen rivals, settled fifth early, and steadily worked her way forward before taking over and winning by <strong>half a length<\/strong> with an <strong>80<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So while the distance is new, the pressure isn&#8217;t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And the pedigree \u2014 <strong>Quality Road \u00d7 Bernardini \u00d7 Awesome Again<\/strong> \u2014 gives her every reason to handle more ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Beyond the Wire:<\/strong> Passed Nigh has already proven she can win when the company gets tougher. Sunday asks whether that class can travel another 2\u00bd furlongs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>RACE SHAPE \u2014 The First Turn May Tell the Story<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is where the Walnut Tree gets complicated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">There is <strong>a lot of speed<\/strong> in this field.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Dia De Las Madres<\/strong> wired her debut.<br><strong>Skeptic Quality<\/strong> has essentially built an undefeated career on controlling races from the front.<br><strong>Separation Mass<\/strong> won her last race wire-to-wire.<br><strong>Villain Era<\/strong> wants to be there.<br><strong>Final Directive<\/strong> has shown she can race prominently as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Now ask all of them to go farther than they&#8217;re accustomed to going.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That creates a fascinating opportunity for the fillies sitting immediately behind them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sham&#8217;s Code<\/strong> has already demonstrated that she can stalk and win a mile.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Doro Raider<\/strong> has twice shown the ability to sit behind the speed and take over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Ruby Seeking Gold<\/strong> has done the same while improving sharply.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Passed Nigh <\/strong>gives the second flight another dangerous stalker. She has shown she can sit just off the pace or settle a few lengths farther back, then begin advancing before the stretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And then there are the two horses who may be licking their chops if the opening fractions get uncomfortable:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>X&#8217; Awesome Anna &#8216;X<\/strong> and <strong>Stay Inn El Cajon<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Both have already shown the ability to come from well behind and win routes decisively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">And don&#8217;t forget <strong>Non Runners<\/strong>, who came from twelfth to third in the Dell Computer Futurity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This doesn&#8217;t necessarily have to become a pace collapse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">But with this many young fillies stretching their speed farther than ever before, <strong>who relaxes may matter just as much as who runs fastest.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>HORSES TO WATCH<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Most Likely Winner \u2014 X&#8217; AWESOME ANNA &#8216;X<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This is aggressive after only one start, but that debut is impossible to ignore. She won a <strong>mile by five lengths with a 91<\/strong>, already the best speed figure shown in this field. Most importantly, she did it from off the pace. In a race filled with speed horses trying a route for the first time, that&#8217;s a powerful combination.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Main Challenger \u2014 RUBY SEEKING GOLD<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Undefeated, improving from <strong>78 to 86<\/strong>, and getting better as the distances increase. Her pedigree and running style both suggest that 8\u00bd furlongs may be an opportunity rather than an obstacle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Best Value \u2014 SHAM&#8217;S CODE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At <strong>11\/1<\/strong>, this may be the filly the morning line is underestimating. She&#8217;s improved in <strong>every single start \u2014 71, 74, 77, 82, 86<\/strong> \u2014 and she&#8217;s already won a mile by 3\u00bd lengths. We don&#8217;t have to guess whether she can route.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Live Longshot \u2014 STAY INN EL CAJON<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>14\/1 on an undefeated 3-for-3 filly<\/strong> who just came from last in a thirteen-horse field to win a mile by 4\u00bc lengths? Yes, please. She&#8217;ll have to step forward again, but if the pace heats up, she could be the one coming hardest late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>FINAL THOUGHTS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two-year-old Grade I races give us champions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sometimes they give us something even more interesting.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The first glimpse of one.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maybe it&#8217;s X&#8217; Awesome Anna &#8216;X, whose lone performance produced a 91 and a five-length route victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maybe Ruby Seeking Gold continues climbing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maybe Sham&#8217;s Code&#8217;s steady improvement carries her straight into Grade I company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Maybe undefeated Stay Inn El Cajon comes flying from the back again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Or perhaps Skeptic Quality simply does what she has done every time somebody has opened the starting gate:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>go to the front and refuse to lose.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">That&#8217;s the beauty of the Walnut Tree Stakes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We know what these twelve fillies have done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">We don&#8217;t yet know what they <strong>are<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">At approximately 3:00 Sunday afternoon in California, they&#8217;ll have <strong>8\u00bd furlongs to begin telling us.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>We&#8217;ll see you&#8230; Beyond the Wire.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Where Every Race Has a Story. The Great Unknown: Twelve Fillies, 8\u00bd Furlongs, and a Grade I Question California \u2014<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7109,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-76604","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76604","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/7109"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=76604"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76604\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":76608,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/76604\/revisions\/76608"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=76604"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=76604"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=76604"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}