{"id":7421,"date":"2009-03-19T19:56:49","date_gmt":"2009-03-19T19:56:49","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7421"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7421","title":{"rendered":"Full Field of Fillies Down under"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP1-KHAI MACHI(KY)-8\/1, (confessor2) 7-4-2-1 175K<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">First up we have a scratch bred daughter of Mineshaft out of a Northern Dancer mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This lass has been doing most of her work lately on the dirt but returns to the turf after three on the dirt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She started on the turf and was quite successful, so the switch back is a non factor.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>8.5 furlongs has been her longest outing, but her breeding suggests she will be fine going 10f.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>What does need to happen though, is a pace duel out front.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She does her best work coming late, but needs that to be set up by some early speed.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is some speed in this race, so she might just get her wish.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Certainly has a shot here this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has three wins to her credit, although they have been in short fields.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her stakes losses she has been flying at the end, but has come up just short.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish-<\/B> 5<SUP>th<\/SUP><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Will be picking off tired horses at the end, but may not have the speed figures to run with this crowd.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Deep closer, she will not be close early.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP2- DYNACLASSIC(JPN)-21\/1, (cooma1) 8-2-2-0 72K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Next we have the product of a Dynaformer mare (G-rated) and Stravinsky.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This young lady has yet to win a stakes race, but is coming off of a conditioned allowance race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has gone faster as the races have gotten longer, but has yet to crack a 90+ speed figure and it might take a 100+ to win this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She seems to be on the improve, but this is probably too much at this stage of her career.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A dedicated front runner, she has won both times she has been able to grab the early lead, but there are some faster horses here this week and I do not see her getting away from anybody.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>10<SUP>th<\/SUP> Will be near the front early, but lack of past big race experience will hurt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her best days are in the future.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Front runner, will try to grab the lead, but there race faster horses here.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP3- ARTISTE(KY)-9\/2, (super7) 10-5-3-0 334K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">In the three hole we have the morning line favorite who is a daughter of Ghostzapper out of a Cryptoclearance mare (A-rated). <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Now this lady has been on quite a tear as of late winning her last four races, the last two were of the graded stakes variety.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her last effort of a 102 speed figure at nine furlongs puts the bulls eye squarely on her back as the horse to beat.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is no doubt that she is the class of this field, but could be looking at a bounce this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Actually she will bounce, but that may not matter as her B game might be good enough to win anyways.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She needs some pace up front as she is a deep closer and will be a mile back early.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With a horse that likes to come from the clouds there is always the danger of letting a horse steal a win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With the expected bounce I think she gets too far back early and doesn\u2019t quite get to the early speed<B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Predicted finish<\/B>&#8211; 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> she is the best horse but she has to bounce right??? RIGHT???<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Deep closer, will be a mile back early.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP4- SALUTE THE OIL(AUS)-6\/1, (lordpye5) 9-4-1-1 119K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Next up we have a<B> <\/B>daughter of<B> <\/B>Redoute\u2019s Choice out of an E-rated Charasmatic mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I really like this horse in this spot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her 98 speed figure last time out at 9.5 furlongs puts her in the top of the class in this race and she has a very nice flexible running style.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She can get the front if there is a soft pace but will most likely be stalking a somewhat hot early pace.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She had one previous graded stakes race which was less than impressive, but we can toss that race and blame it on the off turf track.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her last race was against some weakish competition in a short field so it is possible that I am reading too much into that race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She also has the added bonus of being able close also which may come in handy if a crazy speed duel breaks out, and that is a distinct possibility.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Not as talented as <B>Artiste, <\/B>but the race sets up perfect for her.<B> <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>1<SUP>st<\/SUP>, perfect set up.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Stalker is what she does best but could be anywhere depending on the pace. <o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP5- <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">KRUGER<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">PARK<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place>(KY)-22\/1, (wistful3) 6-1-2-1 30K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">We have the combination of <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Johannesburg and a Danehill mare (B-rated) up next in the five spot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This young lady is coming off of a second place finish in a listed stakes race at 9.5f.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That is good.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She finished in a six horse field with a speed figure of 85, that is bad.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a filly that might actually like some more distance, like 12 or 14 I think.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is a bit of a plodder that is not real fast, not real slow, but has difficulty making much of a move at all in a race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Most likely a bit overwhelmed this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She should be about middle of the pack early, but will not do much down the stretch.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Pretty tough spot to put a young horse in with nothing other than a maiden win to fall back on.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish-<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/B>13<SUP>th<\/SUP>, Just don\u2019t see how this can end well.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Middle of the pack, will be cruising in the pack early.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP6- AS YOU LIKE IT(KY)-12\/1, (udhens) 8-5-1-2 205K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Breaking from post six we have a daughter of Shakespeare out of a Danehill mare (D-rated).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is an intriguing filly.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has shown brilliant speed in the past, and been able to finish well, and jumped up speed wise after going longer with a 95.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The rub in all of this however, is she has been racing in very short fields on uncontested leads.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has won once stalking, but is generally a speed ball, but most likely will not be the fastest horse this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>On paper this horse looks very impressive, but I think she will struggle in a full field for the first time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Do not get me wrong, this horse has a shot and certainly could win, but I don\u2019t think so.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is an improving horse that is getting better as the distance is getting longer.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I expect great things in the future, but just not quite seasoned enough this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Predicted finish- <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">7<SUP>th<\/SUP> this is a tough call, could be first could be tenth.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Better finishes in the future.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Front runner, can stalk but will certainly be on or near the lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP7- EXXOTIC DANCER(ENG)-16\/1, (quikvett1) 10-3-1-0 46K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Next up we have a daughter of Lebettist out of a Coronado\u2019s Quest mare (D-rated) that is coming off of an allowance win at a mile.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The 88 speed figure she had puts her in a situation that she is going to have to top this career best by about 10 stretching out to ten furlongs, and that is a very tall order.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In looking at this girl\u2019s past performances it seems she might be a sprinter.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While she started wining when switched to turf it looks like he short distances speeds are consistently better than her routing starts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She normally is a closer, but can stay relatively close if there is no pace, but that should not be an issue.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The one stakes start she did have ended in a lackluster fifth out of eight.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think this horse becomes a beast at seven furlongs, but ten furlongs looks like a bit longer than she wants to go. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish-<\/B>12<SUP>th<\/SUP> a distance she will not appreciate.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Closer, should be seven or eight back early.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP8- COCKTAIL HOUR(KY)-8\/1, (super20) 10-5-1-1 137K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Next we have a scratch bred filly out of War Chant and a Fappiano mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a very nice young lady that won for fun last time out at 9.5 furlongs with a tasty 95 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Once again this comes with a caveat.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The 95 was in a four horse field, and is by far her best speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has yet to win a race with over seven horses finding the starting gate, and that could be a problem.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She should love the distance, and is a major player this week, but I have a hard time trusting her.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>While she has won her last two races pretty easy, she has only beat a total of six horses.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The fact is, it is time to see exactly how good this one is.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Could be great, could be a pretender, and frankly I am not sure which it really is.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>My gut tells me she is not going to like a full field and will wilt late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Should be back a good ways and will be coming late, but of the deep closers she is only third best.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In another week she would be a favorite in this race, but this week she is just another really good horse in a field full of em.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>6<SUP>th<\/SUP> Will be passing some tired horses late.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Closer, will be in the back, and moving late, but not the best deep closer this week.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP9- JOHANNIE CARA(KY)-9\/1, (zambaygo) 11-4-2-0 142K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">In post nine we have a daughter of Arch out of a Ghoastzapper mare (G-rated) that is coming off of a thrashing in the GII Jockey Club Oaks in Hong Kong.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She was no match for today\u2019s morning line favorite.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I do not see anything that makes me think that anything has changed.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has run in two graded stakes and it is the same scenario both times.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She simply drops out of contention early and can not get into the race. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>In races that are not so competitive she is able to stay closer to the lead and can make a solid run late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This week looks like the same song.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There is some serious speed this week, and she will probably be out of the race by the second call.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It is imperative that she stay within seven early this week if she wants to have any shot at all.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her top speed is a 90, but for the most part runs in the upper 80\u2019s.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a pretty tall order for this one at this time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is going to have to throw a freakish performance to have a shot.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Might be picking off some tired horses late, but no real threat to win. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>8<SUP>th<\/SUP> needs to stay closer than she has been in big races.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Closer and not nearly the best one.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP10- RARE GREEN RUBY(ENG)-14\/1, (fastracing) 10-4-2-0 141K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">The Ruby is a daughter of Green Desert out of Rock of Gibraltar mare (E-rated) coming off of a stakes win at a mile.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has won at nine furlongs, and won by seven, but it was in a four horse field and only ran a 77 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>What to make of this?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>An Interesting question that I do not have a good answer for.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I would say that this one is a miler that won going longer against a weak field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This poor girl does not have as much have a family tree as a family trunk having Danzig in every line.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I do no for see her liking ten furlongs much, and probably will be backing up down the stretch.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is not a ten furlong pedigree, it is a miler pedigree and I think she will find success at that distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0<\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>11<SUP>th<\/SUP>, Talented filly that is going longer than she wants to.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Pace: Closer, but will<B> <\/B>not be real far back.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP11- CATCH THAT MONTE(IRE)-9\/1, (monte1) 6-4-1-0 153K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Next we have a horse trained by yours truly.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is a daughter of Tiger Hill out of a Black Tie Affair he-mare (C-rated).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will be her second attempt at graded company, and the idiot trainer put her in a GI at one mile when her longest race had been 6.5 furlongs\u2026BRILLIANT.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has won both stalking and front running, but of the front runner she is the only one to do it in a full field in stakes company.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He last race she got away by five early and the race was over at that point posting a 98 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If she gets away that much again, it will be over again, but there is enough speed in this race that will most likely not happen.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The question is if she will get ten furlongs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I do not think so personally as she just does not have the breeding for it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Probably the best of the speed horse and will get caught late, but should have enough class to hang on for show. <B>Predicted finish- <\/B>3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, too much speed in this race for a steal.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Front runner, but can sit off an insane<B> <\/B>early pace.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP12- ENCOSTACAT(AUS)-6\/1, (muninn240) 10-2-3-2 105K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Next up we have a scratch bred daughter of Encosta De Lago out of a Storm Cat mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is the biggest wildcard in the race. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Of her ten starts she has nada on the turf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has yet to score a stakes victory on the dirt, but her breeding screams turf and she should move up significantly.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In her two wins she has been close to the lead, but has been further back as the competition improves.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think on the turf she will show more speed, but I am only guessing really.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>4<SUP>th<\/SUP> Take a flyer on this one moving up on the turf.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Mid pack, should close to the front, but not right on the lead.<\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN>\u00a0<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP13- PP-O TWO(KY)-38\/1, (honeylu2) 12-3-2-2 133K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">In the thirteen post we have a daughter of Mr. Greely out of an Awesome Cat mare (D-rated).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Where do I start?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This lady has won two stakes races in four horse field not yet breaking 80 in speed figures.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>There simply is not much this one can do against this field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is a solid allowance hose that can be competitive at that level, but this is simply too much at this point.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is normally near the back, but won\u2019t be passing anybody this week.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Needs to be placed in a better situation to be competitive. <B>Predicted finish- <\/B>14<SUP>th<\/SUP>, not a good spot for this one.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Closer, will be back early.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">PP14- TWICE AS LONG(KY)-11\/1, (borrow4) 7-4-0-0 113K<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Lastly we have a scratch bred daughter of Kingmambo out of a Danehill mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This lady is coming off of a dominating allowance win at 9.5 furlongs with an 83 speed figure.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has hit 90 only once and that was at one mile.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She does not seem to want this much distance but has won going long.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is going to have to top her career best speed figure by about eight to have a shot this week, and I do not see that happening.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her two cracks at graded company were less than impressive, but she is well bred, and has won some races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is another closer which is a problem since she is not the best of that group.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Looks like a middle of the pack finisher.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B>Predicted finish- <\/B>9<SUP>th<\/SUP>, likes like she might be over her head this week.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt\">Pace: <\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold\">Closer, will be coming from the back if she has a run against this group<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>10 furlongs is the first big test for 3yo turf fillies<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":297,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7421","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7421","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/297"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7421"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7421\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7421"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7421"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7421"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}