{"id":7394,"date":"2009-03-13T12:45:10","date_gmt":"2009-03-13T12:45:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7394"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7394","title":{"rendered":"Will One of the Long Shots Win?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P><BR>Mr Anderson Special<BR>Grade III <BR>Seven furlongs <BR>Firm Turf <BR>$100,000 <BR>All horses, 4 years old and up <\/P><P><BR><STRONG>1 LEGENDARY LEMON(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: hardnfast <BR>Record: 27-12-4-4<BR>Earnings: $1,048,804<BR>Jockey: S Elswick\u00a0 <BR>Odds: 14\/1<\/EM>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P><P>12 wins out of 27 outings is a pretty good run so far.\u00a0 That includes a G3 win back in June last year. Since then a win at Stakes level over 7.5 furlongs and another second place finish two runs back.\u00a0 Tried his luck at G1 level last time out but that was disappointing to say the least fading throughout the race to finish 10th and nowhere near the leaders.\u00a0 Not in the best of form.<BR>\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>2 WHY NOT TRY AGAIN(IRE)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: trazi4u <BR>Record: 24-6-6-3<BR>Earnings: $106,027<BR>Jockey: S Pinkston <BR>Odds: 13\/1<\/EM>\u00a0 <\/P><P>From out of form to one that is in form and very much so.\u00a0 On a streak of 3 consecutive wins they have all been at allowance level but posting good speeds of 107,101 and 104.\u00a0 This is a step up here but I think he is up for it.\u00a0 Finishes well after sitting about midfield for much of the race could surprise here and good odds if he does. Worth looking at anyway.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>3 VICTORY BUDA(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: lacostra <BR>Record: 30-6-7-6<BR>Earnings: $493,729<BR>Jockey: K Bown <BR>Odds: 7\/1<\/EM>\u00a0 <\/P><P>Consistent runner of late has got some pretty good finishes too. Recent runs of note include a fast finishing fourth place finish in the G1 Penn Dash over 7 furlongs with a speed of 111. Last time out was a win at Stakes level over 7.5 furlongs and again posted a good speed of 110.\u00a0 I think he prefers a bit more distance than here and may find wanting that extra few lengths down the straight.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>4 ARRIVERDERCI G<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: wassie <BR>Record: 45-8-10-6<BR>Earnings: $235,963<BR>Jockey: J Ohlmann <BR>Odds: 6\/1<\/EM>\u00a0 <\/P><P>Arrive somewhere &#8211; can&#8217;t say the rest of the name.\u00a0 Had a few runs this 6yo now at 45 outings all up.\u00a0 Only 8 wins in all those runs but has been posting a few good speeds of late.\u00a0 In particular two wins at Stakes level with speeds of 114 and 112.\u00a0 Dropped off a bit in his last two runs speed wise and was reall pushing it in the G1 Vermont Is 4 Lovers over 7 furlongs last time out but was closign well.\u00a0 More distance maybe?\u00a0 Definitely I think.\u00a0 I&#8217;d like to see him run over 8 furlongs while he is in this sort of form.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>5 HASGOTTHESIMTALKIN(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: austrainer <BR>Record: 24-9-3-6<BR>Earnings: $668,721<BR>Jockey: J Harzheim <BR>Odds: 9\/1<\/EM>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P><P>In form and got the sim talking now with 5 of his 9 wins out of his last 8 outings.\u00a0 That includes a win in the G1 Because I Said So Stakes over 6 furlongs late last year.\u00a0 Two wins since that run both at Stakes level means he gets another chance here at Graded company and deservedly so too.\u00a0 Posting good 100+ consistent speeds, distance is probably fine and has a good chance to trouble the favourites.\u00a0 <BR>\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>6 ZEDITAL(ENG)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: hellafied <BR>Record: 16-7-1-3<BR>Earnings: $147,650<BR>Jockey: L Deacon\u00a0 <BR>Odds: 15\/1<\/EM>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P><P>This one has sort of come out of nowhere.\u00a0 Debut at Graded level here.\u00a0 Up until two races ago he looked like an ordinary runner you can find anywhere in the sim. Few good wins at Allowance level, hit the 100 speed once, had a few goes at Stakes level early on with a couple of third place finishes.\u00a0 Good horse to have in your stable but not a superstar thats for sure.\u00a0 His last two races though are something else.\u00a0 Big jump in speed to 110 at Allowance level over 7.5 furlongs and then a 112 over 7 furlongs at Stakes level. Both his last two runs were wins.\u00a0 Both were also his first as a 4yo.\u00a0 And thats the difference, a year older and he looks strong and fast.\u00a0 Big odds but I think he has a genuine chance to take this out.\u00a0 Definitely one to back in my book.<\/P><P><STRONG>7 THE FAST LAYNE(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: seacadet <BR>Record: 31-8-4-4<BR>Earnings: $1,167,110<BR>Jockey: M Awbey <BR>Odds: 19\/1<\/EM>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P><P>Big earnings in his career to date, over a million bucks! However the odds on the tote tell a different story. He prefer the longer distances and this is going to be too short I think.\u00a0 Also very much out of form.\u00a0 Hasn&#8217;t really been figuring in any of his races.\u00a0 Trainer even tried him over to dirt recently but that did nothing either.\u00a0 Back in distance here and why not &#8211; have to try something to get his form back.\u00a0 Not likely to figure here though. Maybe a stint back in Allowance will get his form back.<\/P><P><STRONG>8 CREDIT CASTLE(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: brentuk <BR>Record: 21-8-6-1<BR>Earnings: $770,115<BR>Jockey: A Tazdevil <BR>Odds: 8\/1<\/EM>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P><P>Coming back into good form again this is not his first time at Graded level. Has a win at G2 level in Sep last year and most recently, in fact his last run was a second place finish in the G1 Vermont is 4 Lovers over 7 furlongs.\u00a0 Still closing too which is a good sign of finishing well in the straight.\u00a0 May well be wanting a tad more distance but has certainly proven himself at this level.\u00a0 Could go the whole way.<BR>\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>9 WONDERBOY DA VINCI(IRE)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: wonder4 <BR>Record:<BR>Earnings:<BR>Jockey: B J Bergen <BR>Odds: 11\/1<\/EM> <\/P><P>Out of Theatrical(IRE) and with 12 wins from 43 outings, this is the oldie of the race at 7 years old.\u00a0 So based on that alone has no chance whatsoever. Not true as he appears to be in form with his last three runs which is why I suspect his trainer has put him back into Graded company.\u00a0 Had a go at a G1 in August last year but failed there fading in the straight.\u00a0 Hasn&#8217;t run since Dec so has had a good spell.\u00a0 Not sure if that will help or hinder him but watch for his comeback here.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>10 UH OH CHONGO(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: mav1763 <BR>Record: 16-5-3-2<BR>Earnings: $232,115<BR>Jockey: C LeBlanc <BR>Odds: 6\/1<\/EM> <\/P><P>Straight up the distance here is going to be too long for this 4yo colt out of Gone West.\u00a0 Has been running almost exclusively at 7 furlongs and every race bar one has faded at the end and been overtaken.\u00a0 Has had a few placings in the top three but that is after having led for much of the race. I&#8217;d be inclined to try him over 6 furlongs and see how he performs there.\u00a0 <BR>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>11 SCARLET REAPER(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: sunshine34 <BR>Record: 29-7-6-5<BR>Earnings: $272,843<BR>Jockey: N Lawless <BR>Odds: 11\/1<\/EM>\u00a0 <\/P><P>Running well at allowance level got a chance at G2 three runs back which he couldn&#8217;t perform in over 8 furlongs.\u00a0 In fact the distance was too far in the end.\u00a0 Followed that up with a win over 7.5 furlongs at Stakes level and a great speed of 110.\u00a0 Last run was a measly 94 in the G1 Vermont Is 4 Lovers &#8211; few horses here have run in that race &#8211; which again he failed in.\u00a0 I think Stakes level might be his limit although he has posted a couple of recent good speeds. Hard to judge how he will go here.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>12 PERFECT PRESENCE<\/STRONG>\u00a0 <\/P><P><EM>Owner: lgbost9a\u00a0 <BR>Record: 45-8-8-6<BR>Earnings: $622,309<BR>Jockey: D Manuel <BR>Odds: 14\/1<\/EM><\/P><P>Ran a good race at the end of August last year where this now 6yo got a good win over 6 furlongs in the G2 Cane Toad Stakes.\u00a0 Since then though it has been all downhill.\u00a0 Has been running in big races including 2 G1 and 2 G2 but still hasn&#8217;t been able to perform at that level at all. This will be too hard too I think. Might need to push him back to allowance I think.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>13 BLASPHEMY(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: leesnyder <BR>Record: 14-5-1-0<BR>Earnings: $124,385<BR>Jockey: To Bates <BR>Odds: 17\/1<\/EM>\u00a0\u00a0 <\/P><P>Very lightly raced 4yo. Only 14 runs for 5 wins.\u00a0 Another which is trying to get to Graded level and may well be able to if he runs like he has never run before.\u00a0 In fact better than that.\u00a0 Also I think he may want 8furlong plus distances as he seems to have been closing well but run out of room. Maybe he can make Graded level but not at this distance.<BR>\u00a0 <BR><STRONG>14 FREEKY&#8217;S V(KY)<\/STRONG> <\/P><P><EM>Owner: freeky <BR>Record: 19-7-4-3<BR>Earnings: $509,365<BR>Jockey: Do Tyrrell <BR>Odds: 8\/1<\/EM>\u00a0 <\/P><P>In good form and performing well.\u00a0 Ran in the G2 Delpenn Turf Monsters over 7 furlongs and finished there well with a superb speed of 113 and a fast closing second place finish. Was gaining in the G1 Penn Dash over 7 also but ran out of room again finishing 6th across the line.\u00a0 Something of a unknown as to how he will perform here.\u00a0 Again I&#8217;d like to see him over a much longer distance 8 to 9 furlongs.\u00a0 <\/P><P>So a nice big field here of 14 runners. Few hopeful&#8217;s thats for sure.\u00a0 One for me that stands out is <STRONG>6 ZEDITAL(ENG)<\/STRONG> &#8211; I know big odds but he just looks ready to take this one away. Can&#8217;t wait to see how he goes here.<BR>\u00a0\u00a0 <BR><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mr. Anderson Special<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":34,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7394","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7394","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/34"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7394"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7394\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7394"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7394"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7394"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}