<\/p>\n

Over the last four weeks, the Retired Mare Series has taken a look at some of the top sim broodmares for 2008. Now, the style of the series will shift from prose to statistics. To make it a little more interesting for the reader, I will work to include little snippets about some of the retired mares and their children when applicable. For the first of these statistical articles, we will focus on the sires of the retired mares, heretofore known as the broodmare sire.<\/p>\n

Much like the real sire stats that anyone can read at bloodhorse, the results of the sim statistical analysis will be for the 2008 year only. Using these criteria, and a list of horses which were active on January 9, 2009, there were 3,920 broodmare sires used in the sim (once again, a note: “Broodmare Sire” in this article refers to Sires of Retired Mares – Not necessarily Dam-Sires of horses. All “broodmare sires” are dam-sires, but not all dam-sires are “broodmare sires”). These 3,920 were sires of 34,656 mares, which in turn were broodmares of 54,625 horses in the sim. In total, there were 178,027 active horses in the sim. This means that 31.98% of the sim were children of retired mares. There are currently 19,367 sires in the sim, meaning that 20.24% of the sires were used as broodmare sires (note: not all 19,367 sires are eligible to be a broodmare sire). The analysis will be for the 3,920 broodmare sires in the sim.<\/p>\n

Although there are a large number of broodmares, many of them have small numbers of runners in the sim. Therefore, there will be several different analyses on broodmares listed below. To help minimize confusion, I am going to give a brief outline of the sections of analysis, as well as the limitations of each.<\/p>\n

Pure numerical analysis (Raw data, rather than percentage data. A broodmare sire with more runners will likely have more winners, which will affect this data)<\/li>\n
Overall percentage analysis (Percentage data for all 3,920 broodmare sires. A broodmare sire with less runners will likely be in the extremes, closer to either 100% or 0%; Example: A broodmare sire with 1 race will have a 100% win percentage if the horse won, and a 0% win percentage if the horse lost)<\/li>\n
Minimum Qualification Percentage Analysis (Percentage data for 843 broodmare sires that had at least 5 active horses in 2008 and had at least 25 races run in 2008. A broodmare sire with fewer runners will likely be in the extremes, closer to either 100% or 0%)<\/li>\n
Maximum Qualification Percentage Analysis (Percentage data for 399 broodmare sires that had at least 100 races run in 2008, regardless of the number of runners. This limits the impact of a small number of races, but restricts the overall data to the most popular sires)<\/li>\n

Combined Data (Will include various combinations of the previous 4 data; Methodology will be provided within the analysis)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

——-<\/p>\n

Pure Numerical Analysis<\/u><\/p>\n

Methodology:<\/u> Broodmare sires were ranked from 1 to 50 in 6 categories. These 6 were Wins, ITM, Graded Wins, Graded ITM, Stakes Wins, and Stakes ITM. Ties were given the ranking of the highest tie (for example, if horses ranked 27^{th<\/sup>, 28^{th<\/sup>, and 29^{th<\/sup> all had 7 wins, they were all given a 27^{th<\/sup> ranking. 6 wins would then be ranked 30^{th<\/sup>). Each horse was then given 50 points for every 1^{st<\/sup> place ranking, 49 points for every 2^{nd<\/sup> place ranking, and so on, down to 1 point for a 50^{th<\/sup> place ranking. The points from each of the six categories were added up, and the horses were ranked based on this total.<\/p>\n}}}}}}}}

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\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n

Raw Data Rank<\/b><\/td>\n

Broodmare Sire<\/b><\/td>\n

Raw Data Score<\/b><\/td>\n

2008 Races<\/b><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

SADLER’S WELLS<\/td>\n

SEEKING THE GOLD<\/td>\n

253<\/td>\n

4785<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

10<\/td>\n

DEPUTY MINISTER<\/td>\n

249<\/td>\n

4453<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

11<\/td>\n

FUSAICHI PEGASUS<\/td>\n

MR. PROSPECTOR<\/td>\n

232<\/td>\n

3271<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

14<\/td>\n

THEATRICAL(IRE)<\/td>\n

UNBRIDLED’S SONG<\/td>\n

AWESOME AGAIN<\/td>\n

GIANT’S CAUSEWAY (IRE)<\/td>\n

159<\/td>\n

2998<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

23<\/td>\n

MACHIAVELLIAN<\/td>\n

SUMMER SQUALL<\/td>\n

RAINBOW QUEST<\/td>\n

DIXIELAND BAND<\/td>\n

IN THE WINGS(GB)<\/td>\n

FOREST WILDCAT<\/td>\n

GALILEO (IRE)<\/td>\n

53<\/td>\n

1312<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

44<\/td>\n

IRISH RIVER(FR)<\/td>\n

51<\/td>\n

905<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

45<\/td>\n

VICTORY GALLOP<\/td>\n

45<\/td>\n

610<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

45<\/td>\n

MT. LIVERMORE<\/td>\n

45<\/td>\n

1293<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

47<\/td>\n

CHESTER HOUSE<\/td>\n

EVENT OF THE YEAR<\/td>\n

1533<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n

<\/p>\n

Results:<\/u> Based on the rankings, Storm Cat<\/b> is the best broodmare sire, having been ranked 1^{st<\/sup> in 5 of the 6 categories (and 2^{nd<\/sup> in the one remaining category, Graded Wins). However, a closer look will show that he has actually had 1600 more races run than any of the other horses. With that in mind, it makes Danzig<\/b>‘s ranking that much more impressive. <\/p>\n}}

Danzig has by no means had a small number of races. His 6,230 races in 2008 put him 4^{th<\/sup> on the list. Danzig is ranked 3^{rd<\/sup> in wins, 4^{th<\/sup> in ITM finishes, and 2^{nd<\/sup> in Stakes wins, stakes ITM, and Graded ITM. It also includes the Graded Wins category, which he leads with a sim-high 25 Graded Stakes Wins, spread over 17 horses. One of the biggest winners is Doctor Danzig<\/b>, a 6yo mare by Speightstown out of Danzig mare Doctor J. O.<\/b> Her 3 wins include the G1 Dancer Cap, and do not include a thrilling 2^{nd<\/sup> place run in the Breeders Bowl Mare Sprint. But that’s not all for Doctor J. O.<\/b> A second child, 7yo mare The Teacher<\/b>, also earned a graded stakes win on the year. Doctor J. O. is owned by stable manon<\/i>, which is one of the Ace<\/i> stables.<\/p>\n}}}}}

Two of the biggest surprises on the top part of this list are Kris S.<\/b> and Awesome Again<\/b>, ranked 19^{th<\/sup> and 20^{th<\/sup> overall. Meanwhile, they are ranked 31^{st<\/sup> and 39^{th<\/sup> in races run in 2008, respectively. Kris S.<\/b>‘s rankings range between 17^{th<\/sup> and 28^{th<\/sup>, with the 17^{th<\/sup> ranking a tie in Graded Wins with 4. Each of these wins is by a different horse, and from a different mare. Awesome Again<\/b>, meanwhile, has rankings between 15^{th<\/sup> and 33^{rd<\/sup>, with the 15^{th<\/sup> ranking coming from 30 Stakes wins in 14 horses. Two Awesome Again mares have had multiple stakes winners in 2008. Both Check Your Head<\/b>, part of the Lenny<\/i> syndicate, and Allursion<\/b>, a mare belonging to techranger<\/i>, have each had 2 babies earn a total of 3 stakes wins for their mares. One of Allursion’s children, 4yo filly Mont Allure(IRE)<\/b>, captured the G1 Queen of the Hill<\/u> as one of her 2 wins.<\/p>\n}}}}}}}}}}

Coming in at t-40^{th<\/sup> on the list, Lure<\/b> has to be the most shocking of the group, as his 325 races run is tied for 183^{rd<\/sup> most of the 3,920 sires. His ranking points came from the Graded Stakes categories, where he tied for 17^{th<\/sup> in Graded Stakes wins with 4 (coming from 2 horses, Mind Eraser(ENG) <\/b>and Wishing Well G(IRE)<\/b>), and 27^{th<\/sup> in Graded ITM finishes with 8 (from the same two horses). <\/p>\n}}}}

The highest on the Top 50 list above that is not in the Top 50 in races run for the year is Diesis(GB)<\/b>, who is 32^{nd<\/sup> ranked. Diesis(GB) is ranked in the top 5 in each of the six categories, including 7 Graded Stakes wins (from 4 horses), good enough for a 14^{th<\/sup> ranking. Other broodmare sires which are at least 10 places higher than their ranking in number of races, and have not already been mentioned, are Wild Again, In The Wings(GB), Aptitude, Forest Wildcat, Irish River(FR), Victory Gallop<\/b>, and Chester House<\/b>.<\/p>\n}}

The most disappointing of the list is the t-40^{th<\/sup> ranked Carson City<\/b>, who was 23^{rd<\/sup> on the list of most races run in 2008. His lack of Graded Stakes placings and mere 8 stakes wins in 2,209 races caused him to fall. Others who are at least 10 places worse than their number of races are Dixieland Band, War Chant, Forestry, <\/b>and Cat Thief<\/b>.<\/p>\n}}

———-<\/p>\n

Overall Percentage Analysis (also known as No Qualification Analysis)<\/u><\/p>\n

Methodology:<\/u> Broodmare sires were ranked from 1 to 100 in 6 categories. These 6 were Win Percentage (wins\/races), ITM Percentage (ITM\/races), Graded Win Percentage (GW\/races), Graded ITM Percentage (G ITM\/races), Stakes Win Percentage (SW\/races), and Stakes ITM Percentage (S ITM\/races). Ties were given the ranking of the highest tie (for example, if horses ranked 27^{th<\/sup>, 28^{th<\/sup>, and 29^{th<\/sup> all had 70% wins, they were all given a 27^{th<\/sup> ranking. 60% wins would then be ranked 30^{th<\/sup>). Each horse was then given 100 points for every 1^{st<\/sup> place ranking, 99 points for every 2^{nd<\/sup> place ranking, and so on, down to 1 point for a 100^{th<\/sup> place ranking. The points from each of the six categories were added up, and the horses were ranked based on this total.<\/p>\n}}}}}}}}

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