{"id":7354,"date":"2009-03-06T06:01:06","date_gmt":"2009-03-06T06:01:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7354"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7354","title":{"rendered":"Road to the Derby – All Saints Lock is Mud Wrestling Tourney!"},"content":{"rendered":"

All Saints Derby \u2013 Derby Lock Prep<\/strong>
Grade I
A mile and one sixteenth on the Sloppy Dirt Course
$600,000
All horses, 3 years old
Stakes record \u2013 2008 \u2013 Trading Jack(KY), 1:41-2\/5, SPF 109.544<\/font><\/p>\n

\n

Here we are in Louisiana for the very first step on the Road to the Derby. This is our first Lock Race of the year where the winner gets an automatic bid in the Bluegrass Derby the first Saturday in May. There are only two of the top ten 3 year olds and five of the top twenty entered so that will leave a good shot for a horse that might not otherwise qualify for the Derby to get in. The real story though is the weather. It has poured for a couple of days in a row and more rain is forecast for Saturday so it appears that we will have a run in the muck. Very few of these top colts have run in on an off track and that could really change things around and give an owner a real chance to get a Derby horse that might not have happened otherwise. I don’t thing anyone will challenge the record time turned in here last year by TRADING JACK. I got down here a few days early to head to New Orleans for some great food and a few parties so I am fat a sassy and ready to take on this fine field. A lot of hopes and dreams of trainers will be dashed or reinforced by this race and it should be a lot of fun so let\u2019s take a look:<\/font><\/p>\n

\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>1 – BLACK TIDE(JPN) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Zombie Stables<\/TH><\/font>18\/1<\/TH><\/font> STCzzombie <\/TH><\/font>13.9%<\/TH><\/font> X.Turner<\/TH><\/font> 25 – 3 – 0 – 1 – 12%<\/TH><\/font> 93<\/TH><\/font> $ 91,805<\/T><\/font>41<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( RULE OF LAW x BLACK TIE AFFAIR(IRE) x PLUGGED NICKLE out of RUSTIC NOTE) After a couple of near misses at a mile in two Stakes races, trainer STCzzombie stretched this colt out to 9.5F in the Vermont G1 and things didn\u2019t work out well at all. He is back at a more familiar distance now but hasn\u2019t yet run over 93 SPF so he will definitely have to bump it up to compete here. Jockey Turner has made the most of limited mounts this year and he should help some. This colt likes the early lead and the inside post should help there. His only off track run was a near miss in his maiden outing. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>2 – KAT CALL(KY)<\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Super Stables<\/TH><\/font>11\/1<\/TH><\/font>Nathndtroi<\/TH><\/font>11.4%<\/TH><\/font> D.Hogin<\/TH><\/font> 145 – 25 – 26 – 16 – 17%<\/TH><\/font> 99<\/TH><\/font> $ 292,840<\/T><\/font>13<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( STREET CRY (IRE) x A.P. INDY x STORM CATout of STORM\u2019S FLAG) This number 13 ranked colt has beautiful breeding and looks like he is really maturing nicely for trainer Nathndtroi and the Super Stables. His last two races, both at a mile were 2nds but with quick high 90 SPFs. He is already a two time Graded winner but this will be his first race on an off track. He has Hogin in the leather and he has been really solid all year. This colt likes to be on or just off the lead and that sets up perfectly for him here. If he can handle the mud he could be dangerous.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>3 – TAPTRICAL TED(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Youngnhung Stables<\/TH><\/font>9\/1<\/TH><\/font>Youngnhung<\/TH><\/font>27.2%<\/TH><\/font> P.Sullivan<\/TH><\/font> 97 – 4 – 8 – 11 – 4%<\/TH><\/font> 98<\/TH><\/font> $ 269,710<\/T><\/font>11<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
(TAPIT x THEATRICAL(IRE) x SADLER’S WELLS out of TECHNICALLY T) This pretty light grey colt has looked really solid his last four races for trainer Youngnhung. All have been in the 90\u2019s SPF \u2013 wise and he has three Stakes wins to his credit. He is still looking for that first Graded win but came close last time out with a 4th place in the Thousand Islands G3. They have Sullivan holding the reins and he has been struggling a bit this year but he\u2019s always been solid and should come back. This colt is another that likes it near the front and has never run on an off track. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>4 – E FIVE(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Fortune 500<\/TH><\/font>9\/1<\/TH><\/font>Cardinals<\/TH><\/font>18.5%<\/TH><\/font> F.Oxon<\/TH><\/font> 152 – 34 – 28 – 20 – 22%<\/TH><\/font> 97<\/TH><\/font> $ 273,040<\/T><\/font>9<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( E DUBAI x RED RANSOM x COZZENE out of IDEALLY SUITED) You may want to put a couple of dollars on the nose of this chestnut colt as he ran for the first time in the mud last time out and it was his best race to date with a 97 SPF. He has hit the board in all ten of his races and seems to keep getting better for trainer Cardinals and the Fortune 500 Stables. He likes to run from the back and he has the tracks best jockey on board in F.Oxon who loves to bring them back with that hard charge at the end. He should be in the mix. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>5 – HOT AND SPICY(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Kevoman Stables<\/TH><\/font>9\/1<\/TH><\/font>Londoner<\/TH><\/font>25.0%<\/TH><\/font> R.Romero<\/TH><\/font> 30 – 7 – 2 – 6 – 23%<\/TH><\/font> 98<\/TH><\/font> $ 427,686<\/T><\/font>5<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( AWESOME AGAIN x A.P. INDY x KINGMAMBO out of A.P.SUPERWOMAN) After changing hands last May, this chestnut colt took off capped by his Grade I win in the ERUPTION HANDICAP last December. After a month and a half layoff he threw a quick 98 SPF last time out but didn\u2019t have that last gear at the end to finish fourth. That tune up race may have done him good and his come from behind style may work well here for trainer Londoner. They have Romero in the irons and he has been fantastic so far this year winning nearly a quarter of his 30 races. It will be the first time on an off track for the colt so we will have to watch that. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>6 – NO HEALTH NUT(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Deadinthelane Stables<\/TH><\/font>12\/1<\/TH><\/font>Steller2<\/TH><\/font>22.4%<\/TH><\/font> N.Hobby<\/TH><\/font> 21 – 2 – 3 – 4 – 10%<\/TH><\/font> 100<\/TH><\/font> $ 283,405<\/T><\/font>44<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( STREET SENSE x PULPIT x DANEHILL out of PREACHER\u2019S LADY) This Street Sense offspring finished off last year with three straight wins that ended with a win in the G3- PLEASURE Stakes. He had a nice layoff from trainer Steller2 and ran an uninspired race last time out to finish fifth. This will be his first off track outing and he will have Hobby holding the reins who has had a solid if unspectacular season so far. This team would love to get back to that triple digit SPF again and put some pressure on the leaders after stalking through the first half of the race. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>7 – TO THE OTHERSIDE(JPN) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
SJMeola Stables<\/TH><\/font>9\/1<\/TH><\/font>Flurgen3<\/TH><\/font>12.3%<\/TH><\/font> T.Campy<\/TH><\/font> 127 – 13 – 14 – 19 – 10%<\/TH><\/font> 100<\/TH><\/font> $ 269,216<\/T><\/font>20<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( AFLEET x REFUSE TO BEND (IRE) x KRIS S. out of MIDNIGHT SEDUCTION) After a 100 SPF and a near miss last December in the G3 PLEASURE Stakes losing to NO HEALTH NUT who is also in this race, this big colt came back with a vengeance in his first race of this year with a win at the wire in the G3 GIANT SLAYER Stakes. He looked great at this distance and trainer Flurgen3 has to be excited about the prospects for this colt. They have Campy in the saddle and he has been solid this year but will have to guide the big guy through his first off track. If he can navigate it he could be in the mix. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>8 – SNAKE STRIKE(KY)<\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Given Stables<\/TH><\/font>12\/1<\/TH><\/font>Salamander<\/TH><\/font>24.3%<\/TH><\/font> O.Euler<\/TH><\/font> 24 – 3 – 1 – 2 – 13% <\/TH><\/font> 96<\/TH><\/font> $ 150,365<\/T><\/font>37<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( SMART STRIKE x AWESOME AGAIN x DANZIG out of WHITESNAKE) This will be the first race longer than a mile and the first off track for this colt but he has been improving nicely speed-wise of late for trainer Salamander. Although his speeds have improved he was run down at the wire in his last two races and with lots of inside speed here he may be in a battle for the lead early. Hopefully jockey Euler can rein him in and leave something for the end in this race especially in the mud. He will need a big effort to contend here. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>9 – SILVER TONGUED(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Jpritchett Stables<\/TH><\/font>9\/1<\/TH><\/font>Grantp<\/TH><\/font>9.5%<\/TH><\/font> D.Coleman<\/TH><\/font> 21 – 2 – 1 – 4 – 10%<\/TH><\/font> 100<\/TH><\/font> $ 117,522<\/T><\/font>38<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( PULPIT x SILVER DEPUTY x SEEKING THE GOLD out of PAY N PLAY) Another speed horse here that may be in a war at the front and will need something at the end after battling through the muck. He likes this distance and finished ahead of a couple of other solid horses that are in this race at the PLEASURE G3 but he will have to overcome his first race in the mud and that affinity for not leaving enough at the end. Jockey Coleman will have to be on top of his game to pace this big colt with so much going against him. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>10 – DANSAAR(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
TGI Stables<\/TH><\/font>19\/1<\/TH><\/font>TGI<\/TH><\/font>9.4%<\/TH><\/font> C.Wall<\/TH><\/font> 23 – 3 – 2 – 2 – 13%<\/TH><\/font> 97<\/TH><\/font> $ 121,794<\/T><\/font>60<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( SAARLAND x SARATOGA SIX x PULPIT out of SARATOGA\u2019S PULPIT) After a solid but unspectacular two year old campaign, this SAARLAND colt ran his first race as a three year old and really raised some eyebrows with an easy win and a nice 97 SPF in an early season Stakes race. Trainer TGI immediately pointed him toward this Lock race and had to think about how great it would be to watch Derby Week from inside the stables in Kentucky. He\u2019s a bit tough to read as his last race was a big jump speed-wise and I would like to see him duplicate it before too many accolades. They have Wall in the leather and he has been making the most of his limited rides this year. Could be an interesting add on to your Tri ticket. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>11 – TALKIN’ BASEBALL(KY)<\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Universal Racing Club<\/TH><\/font>7\/1<\/TH><\/font>esagin<\/TH><\/font>9.4%<\/TH><\/font> Bo. Ryan<\/TH><\/font> 78 – 9 – 7 – 9 – 12%<\/TH><\/font> 104<\/TH><\/font> $ 564,000<\/T><\/font>22<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( GRAND SLAM x CLEVER TRICK x PRIVATE ACCOUNT) After an amazing run in his two year old campaign with 5 of 6 wins including two G1 wins, one of which was the Breeder\u2019s Bowl this colt just missed winning 2 year old dirt colt of the year in the Eclipse Voting. He then started off this year by stretching out to 8.5F and winning fairly easily in a tune up Stakes race in January. Trainer esagin has been very careful not to over race him and one draw back is that he has had a six week layoff coming into this race. Another problem is that he has never run on an off track and there are a ton of speed horses in this race and he loves the front. Jockey Ryan is good and should be able to guide this top flight colt to a finish on the board. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>12 – PHOTONIC ANDRO(IND) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Photonic Stables<\/TH><\/font>11\/1<\/TH><\/font>Craterus<\/TH><\/font>7.6%<\/TH><\/font> R.Richard<\/TH><\/font> 23 – 1 – 1 – 0 – 4%<\/TH><\/font> 98 (T)<\/TH><\/font> $ 628,750<\/T><\/font>48<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( MARCUS ANDRONICUS x APALACHEE x LE FABULEUX) An interesting entry here as his past three races have all been on the grass and he seems to have developed an affinity for it. Of course turf runners quite often make good mudders and that may be behind the strategy of trainer Craterus. This chestnut colt also ran quite well on the dirt with a second in last falls NORTH FORK G2 to show for his efforts. This could be quite and intriguing pick although I would feel better if someone other than jockey Richard were holding the reins. He has been struggling mightily this year with only one win in his pocket. This team may make a good Trifecta addition but you really have no idea what he will do. The colt doesn\u2019t even have a clear cut running style as he has run from both the lead and the rear. Should be interesting.<\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>13 – SEATTLE EXPLOIT(KOR)<\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS <\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
WJOB Sportsradio Farms<\/TH><\/font>7\/1<\/TH><\/font>Radioguy<\/TH><\/font>11.4%<\/TH><\/font> RJ. Rehberger<\/TH><\/font> 37 – 2 – 4 – 2 – 5%<\/TH><\/font> 104<\/TH><\/font> $ 251,070<\/T><\/font>28<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( EXPLOIT x SEATTLE SLEW x SADLER’S WELLS) On any given week, this colt would be the one everyone was talking about coming into this one. He has won two in a row including the RISEN STAR G3 just three weeks back with a sizzling 104 SPF. He is the only Graded winner from sire EXPLOIT with Stakes winners few and far between. It will also be the first off track running for this colt. There is just something special about him though that makes you want to choose him in this race. He seems to have that spark in his eye and would make a great story of a three year old that is maturing at just the right time. Trainer Radioguy has to be very excited about the prospects of making a trip to Kentucky in May with this guy. Jockey Rehberger is in the leather and hasn\u2019t had a sterling season but may have to just hold on here and let the colt do the rest. <\/p>\n

\t\t\t\t\t
<\/font><\/TH>14 – RIPPERBEAST(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t \tODDS<\/TH><\/font> STABLE<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> WIN%<\/TH><\/font> TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> EARNINGS <\/TH><\/font>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t
Qwikvett Stables<\/TH><\/font>9\/1<\/TH><\/font>Pincay<\/TH><\/font>15.1%<\/TH><\/font> C.Morris<\/TH><\/font> 44 – 4 – 6 – 6 – 9%<\/TH><\/font> 102<\/TH><\/font> $ 377,000<\/T><\/font>36<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE>
( POINT GIVEN x MR. PROSPECTOR x SEATTLE SLEW) The chestnut colt with the short ID number has been all over the map distance wise for trainer Pincay. He has raced at several different distances in his young career and seems to like the shorter races a bit better leaning toward seven furlongs. Add that to the fact that he is parked way outside on a muddy track and you can be sure that the trainer will be telling jockey Morris to make sure that this colt is paced and has something for the end of the race. He likes to come from behind and lots of times you find that these youngsters don\u2019t like getting mud in their face for the first time. Could be a challenge for this team. <\/p>\n

Morning Line = 11-13-3-4-5-7-9-14<\/strong>
Paz Picks = 4-13-11-12-9-10<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

With so much on the line it is a shame that the weather hasn\u2019t cooperated but Spring in Louisiana is sometimes like that. With that in mind it makes it almost impossible to handicap a race with so many top horses that have never run in the muck. It could end up as a great big mud wrestling even. But the BTB pays me the big bucks to make my picks so here I go. I like PHOTONIC ANDRO <\/b> to finish fourth just because of his switch from the turf for this off track race. He has run well on the clay too so it really makes for an intriguing choice. TALKIN’ BASEBALL <\/b> could easily win this race and might be my top choice on a fast track but I worry about him here a bit but I feel he has too much talent to take off of the board so I have him third. I\u2019m just playing a hunch on SEATTLE EXPLOIT <\/b>, there is just something about that colt that is screaming at me to pick him. And for our winner and the first entry into the Bluegrass Derby, I am going out on a bit of a limb with E FIVE <\/b> as I think his off track experience will translate well here and he could just win the whole thing.<\/p>\n

Good luck to all runners!<\/p>\n

Email your comments to pazjazz.btb@gmail.com<\/font><\/a>I love to hear from you!<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Can an unknown steal a spot in the Derby?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":321,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7354","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7354","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/321"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7354"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7354\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7354"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7354"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7354"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}