{"id":7023,"date":"2008-12-18T00:05:56","date_gmt":"2008-12-18T00:05:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=7023"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=7023","title":{"rendered":"Otto Tribute Heads Tight Solstice Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">The time honored <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Delpenn Day<\/B> is spreading its wings to <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:State w:st=\"on\">New York<\/st1:State><\/st1:place> this year, and four major Grade 1 events are taking place at the track this weekend. The first of those is the one we\u2019re covering here, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">The Solstice Oaks<\/I>. It\u2019s a mile race on the turf for three year old fillies, and one of them gets to take home the lion\u2019s share of a million and a half dollars, as well as enhancing her chances of an <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Eclipse Award<\/I> nomination, or even better, perhaps clinching the title. As we\u2019d expect from a race of this stature, and from the sponsors of one of the most significant carnivals on the sim calendar, the race has attracted the cream of the ratings division.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">The openness of the event is underlined by a look at the early market, and the rankings of the horses attracted to this feature. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Otto Tribute<\/B> is the shortest price on offer at 6\/1, while twelve of her thirteen opponents are listed at odds between 7\/1 and 16\/1. The top three ranked fillies of the division are lining up, as are two more ranked within the top ten. We look towards hard fought, competitive events in these major races, and there is no doubt that there will be plenty of hard luck stories in the aftermath of this one. <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">We\u2019ve no race history to look back on in search of clues, but a quick perusal of the formguide gives us an idea of what we may expect. A scant triple digit speed figure is hardly likely to be sufficient to earn the trophy. A sub 1.35 is almost a certainty, and with a proven speedster sure to set an honest pace from the outset, it\u2019s highly likely that 1.34 could be tested by one or more of these fillies, several of whom are still on the progressive phases of their careers.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Let\u2019s work through the formguide for this year\u2019s event:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Drawn in the coveted inside stall we find <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">El Gato Agudo<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This filly is making a huge jump here, having never contested a graded race previously, and having raced just twice in ungraded stakes events. That\u2019s where the worries cease, however, as she made the transition to black type with ease. Four starts back she was a talented allowance filly working her way through the conditions. Then in September she started registering times good enough to encourage connections to reassess her potential. She\u2019s won two of her last three, all contested over the mile, and broken 1.35 in each of the wins. That takes care of the speed factor. She may need to shave off another length or two to be a winning chance, but we know that she\u2019s running the times which will put her into the mix. It\u2019s now just the class question which she needs to answer. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">El Gato Agudo<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sharp Humor<\/I> from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">El Gato Fatso<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Storm Cat \/ Nijinsky II<\/I>). The dam was something of an underperformer on the track, but she\u2019s turned it around in the breeding shed. Two of her first three progeny were stakes placed. This one, number four, is the first black type winner and her two year old half sister is a winner from just three starts. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Theoqbarn <\/B>could find this filly doing much of the chasing, as she\u2019s one of few likely to settle handy, and will have no difficulty in taking up a nice spot from the inside gate. If she\u2019s got the class, she could run a great race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Briseida, <\/B>is<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>lining up in barrier 2. Like several of her opponents here, she\u2019s recently endured a bit of a dry spell, and connections have chosen to prep for this race with an allowance run. Unlike some of those opponents, she actually won that final tune-up. Current form being the best form, that\u2019s a positive. But there are plenty of questions. While most of the field consists of dedicated milers, this filly mixes distances with gay abandon. (And with quite degree of success, it must be added, as she\u2019s won five of eight sprints, won a graded race at a mile and a sixteenth and is Grade 1 placed at nine furlongs). Of some concern are her speed ratings. With just two triple digit numbers on the formpage, the higher being 102, she\u2019s going to need a substantial personal best if the more fancied opponents put their best feet forward (excuse the pun). And therein lies more hope. Virtually every runner suffers from a bit of inconsistent form, giving connections of all entries room for confidence. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Briseida<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Pulpit<\/I>, based on <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Glamour <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sadler\u2019s Wells \/ Busted<\/I>), winner of five from forty one and $173k. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Rioja<\/B> has already had better results with this one. With El Gato Agudo drawn inside and likely to be more prominent, she\u2019ll slide back and enjoy the rail early. Sadly, in a week where so many good jockeys are in town, she\u2019s not carrying one of the best. The bookies have her at the second longest price in the field, and while a win would be something of an upset, she\u2019s most capable of running a handy race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Gate 3 is the starting position for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Retribution Angel<\/B>. She\u2019s switching back to the grass after five runs on the dirt, four of which saw her register triple digit speed ratings. There\u2019s really nothing wrong with her form, it just doesn\u2019t seem to be quite up to the level it will need to be to take home the trophy for this. Class wise, she looks just that little bit shy of the top level. Her career highlight has been a third placing in a Grade 2, and while that is generally a nice form line, it was in a field of only six. True, the filly who won, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Briseida<\/B>, also lines up here, but there\u2019s that nagging feeling that overall it wasn\u2019t a terribly strong race. She\u2019s ventured into Grade 1 racing twice before, both times on the dirt, and both times she was well held. One ray of hope lies in her form over this trip, which is arguably her best distance. Four runs over a mile on the grass have netted three wins and a third. Countering that slightly is the fact that none of those races came against graded opposition. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Retribution Angel<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Seeking the Gold<\/I>, based on <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Once Wylde<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Touch Gold \/ Peintre Celebre<\/I>), a winner of five black type races. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Zewango<\/B> will expect that she\u2019ll find herself on or near the fence, somewhere among the big bunch of horses giving away substantial starts in the early furlongs, but she\u2019ll need her best if she\u2019s going to be matching strides with the closers.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">True Chant, <\/B>drawn 4, lines up off a most impressive run last time out, but with a recent form pattern which must be a slight cause of concern to connections. Three of her last five have been excellent, making her one of the more consistent runners in this event. But it\u2019s the other two which cause a little worry. They have been sandwiched in between the good runs, giving her a good, bad repeating pattern over her last seven starts. She\u2019ll be desperately looking to break that pattern this week.<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>However<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>the bottom line is that, from her last five, she\u2019s won<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>a Grade 2 and a Grade 3, as well as running a strong third in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-Sun State Cup<\/I>, over this trip, giving her one of the strongest recent formlines of any runner. A<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">War Chant<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">True Slew Again<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Miswaki \/ Seattle Slew<\/I>), she\u2019s the first foal of a three time Grade 2 winner, whose younger half sister, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Miss True<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">El Prado<\/I>) is also showing plenty of promise. Most of the field here like to settle further back, and with a noted speedster likely to set the pace, breeder \/ trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Tgi<\/B> will be content to have her top jockey give <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">True Chant<\/B> a handy sit within striking range of the lead, before closing the gap strongly in the stretch. Only she and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crime Beat<\/B> have ever returned a 111 speed figure. This girl did it last time out, so a repeat will see her right in the mix.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Gate 5 is the starting position for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crushing Ignorance<\/B>. A speed machine, she\u2019s just taken up the turf in her last three runs, having raced competitively on the other surface in her first dozen runs. After comfortably winning her first two efforts on the grass, she disappointed some (including this scribe, who tipped her to win) with her fourth placing at Grade 3 level in her most recent start. However, looking at speed ratings, the 105 she posted then was far from shabby, and in victory at the same level one start earlier, she registered a 110. She has a couple more points in her favor. The furlong less to travel will do her no harm. She gets out with such impressive leads, and maintains such a speed, that she takes a power of running down. This time they\u2019ve got a furlong less to achieve that sometimes impossible feat. She\u2019s stepping up to Grade 1 for the first time on this surface, but the class query is irrelevant when we look back at her third in the filly\u2019s dirt classic, the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-Black Middle Flower<\/I>. A scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Pulpit \/ Storm Bird \/ Nashua<\/I>, she\u2019s earned her tilt at this event. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crushing Ignorance<\/B> will give <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Zwango<\/B> and stable supporters a huge run for their money. With no pressure on her early, she\u2019ll open up a huge gap in the first half mile. She\u2019ll look the likely winner as they straighten, and it will surprise no-one if they simply can\u2019t catch her.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Drawn in gate 6 we find <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crime Beat<\/B>, a filly with a ton of ability, but with one apparent question mark hanging over her head. She\u2019s been in the money eleven of her seventeen runs, meaning, for the mathematically challenged, that she\u2019s missed the podium just six times in her career. The most recent four of those have been her four most recent starts in Graded races. On first analysis, it appears that she just doesn\u2019t like taking on the better classes. But let\u2019s look a little deeper. What was she doing at about this time one year ago. Oh Yeh: winning a Grade 1 at this meet. So much for that theory. So it\u2019s back to the drawing board. Like so many of the runners in this event. She\u2019s something of an enigma. Extremely capable, but also extremely capable of putting in a sub par run. Or two. Or three. If she repeats the 111 of two starts back, she\u2019s right up there. She failed last time out in an ungraded stake, but some of her fancied opponents prepped with unsuccessful allowance efforts. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crime Beat<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Danehill Dancer<\/I>, based on <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Simply Perfect<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Storm Cat \/ Sadler\u2019s Wells<\/I>), a winner of three minor races from twenty two. She\u2019s one of <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Lenny<\/B>\u2019s, so we know she\u2019s worth her slot in anything she contests. She\u2019ll settle back a bit and if she\u2019s on her game, she\u2019s as good a chance as any.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Miesques Gold<\/B> lines up in the 7 gate<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">. <\/B>The top ranked filly of this class has earned her elevated ranking through a couple of high class wins several months ago, plus a series of near misses at the highest level in more recent times. Perhaps a sign of the competitiveness of this group of fillies, is the fact that she still heads the division, despite not having tasted victory since January. Less than twelve months ago she was the measuring stick, having taken out the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-Breeders Bowl Juvenile Turf Filly, the G3-Panhandle Park Oaks<\/I> and <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">the G1-Loaded Charger Special<\/I> between October and January. Her form tapered off for a few starts, before she bounced back with three Grade 1 podium finishes in August and September. She\u2019s almost developed a recent pattern of three good, three bad. Well, if that\u2019s the case, she\u2019s just rounded out the three bad, and is due to return to something near her best this week. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Miesque\u2019s Gold<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Miesque\u2019s Approval<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Bride\u2019s Song<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Unbridled\u2019s Song \/ Coronado\u2019s Quest<\/I>). Her dam won four minor races from twenty nine, banking just over one hundred thousand dollars. This filly, her first issue, has far exceeded that, and despite that recent slump, would surprise no-one if she works home solidly from midfield to collect her overdue third Grade 1 trophy.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/B>Barrier 8 is the starting gate for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Otto Tribute<\/B>. Had she come into this without her most recent run, question marks could be raised surrounding her longevity at the top of the tree. Following an astounding beginning to her career, where she put together ten wins in her first eleven starts, she struck an unexpected snag, missing the podium in each of her next three runs. Had she run her race (so to speak)? She was still putting up good numbers, but had lost that early killer finish. Some, especially opposition trainers, may have been happy to write her off as a spent force. But she counted two grade 1 victories in that early onslaught, and top class runners rarely go off the boil so soon, and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Shadowclaw<\/B> just knew that could not be the case. Now let\u2019s look at her latest effort. True, only against Grade 3 opposition, but at the same distance she faces here, she proved she was far from finished. Not normally one to give away nearly ten lengths (her previous highest mid-race deficit, in a winning effort, was less than six lengths), she flew home from way back to stop the clock in 1.34.2, a time which will put her well in the mix here. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Otto Tribute<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Maria\u2019s Mon<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Fumascus<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Fusaichi Pegasus \/ Northern Dancer<\/I>), a Grade 2 winner and prolific producer of talent, with four black type progeny from five visits to the breeding shed. The bookmakers believe she\u2019s recovered from the form slump and have installed her as favorite, albeit at a tempting quote. She\u2019s back in town!<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">South Of Heaven<\/B>, drawn 9, is yet another who fits into the \u2018no she can\u2019t \u2013 yes she can\u2019 scenario. That first glance at her formguide would indicate that she can\u2019t. She hasn\u2019t won since March and she\u2019s managed just three ITM\u2019s in nine runs since. But let\u2019s go back to March. That last victory was in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-How Are You Gentlemen Cup<\/I>, over eight and a half furlongs. Since then, and with plenty of justification, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Fastvett1<\/B> has been running her over longer trips. The way she was finishing off her races entitled her to a tilt at the EAAA Derbies and Oaks races. She ran third over eleven furlongs in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-The <st1:place w:st=\"on\">Caribbean<\/st1:place><\/I> and in several of those longer events, she was doing her best work late. If she\u2019s better suited at the mile, then this is as good a test as any. If not, well, there\u2019s always the marathons. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">South Of Heaven<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">High Chapparal<\/I> from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Brindisi <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Nureyev \/ Rahy<\/I>), a stakes placed winner of three from twenty five, and she\u2019s a half sister to stakes placed <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Budweiser Girl<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Barathea<\/I>). She\u2019d probably prefer to race midfield, but may find herself settling a little further forward. She\u2019s not one to support with confidence, but she is capable of running a very good race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Gate 10 is the starting position for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pazjazz Prayer<\/B>, a promising filly who, since her Grade 1 victory at the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Equinics<\/I>, has been something of a cause of frustration for connections. Despite her recent slump the bookmakers are showing her plenty of respect. Up to and including that feature race day back in October, it had all been blue sky since she shifted from dirt to turf. Six runs had seen her take the podium every time. She\u2019d won and been placed in ungraded company, ran third at Grade 2 level and capped it off on one of the sim\u2019s feature days, with that win at the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Equinics<\/I> in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-United Cerebral Palsy<\/I>. Then the wheels fell off. Staying at the top tier of competition, she put in a couple of moderate midfield efforts, before dropping back unsuccessfully to ungraded competition. A further drop last start saw her run a solid, but not spectacular, second in an allowance, a far cry from the glories of less than three months ago. A scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">A.P. Indy \/ Sadler\u2019s Wells \/ Buckpasser<\/I>, and with a Grade 1 trophy sitting in the cabinet she can\u2019t be written off in any event, but I can\u2019t help feeling that <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Bongo<\/B> is experimenting to a degree here, and that the reduction in distance, back to the mile, is brought about more through desperation than through confidence. A <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pazjazz Prayer<\/B> pleading for an answer.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Auror Derby, <\/B>lining up in barrier 11, is a more than handy filly who has chosen a fairly tough assignment for her first tilt at a turf Grade 1. She has fronted up at this level once before, on the dirt, back in March, where she ran an inglorious thirteenth in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-California Oaks<\/I>. That was by far the worst run of her career to that point. She switched back to the turf soon after, and with two wins and a second from her next three at ungraded level, her star was on the rise. Elevated then to the graded ranks, she ran the race which she will want to at least repeat here. Beaten two lengths in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G2-Roberto Clemente Handicap<\/I>, and with the winner clocking 1.34.6, she produced the best run of her career. Notably, that was her most recent run at a mile on the grass, and she took the winner\u2019s prize at her only other start over the conditions she meets this weekend. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Auror Derby<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Gone West<\/I>. She\u2019s the first foal of the Grade 2 placed <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Auror<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sadler\u2019s Wells \/ Blushing Groom<\/I>). Her immediate recent form doesn\u2019t inspire a lot of confidence, but if trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Auror<\/B> can have her at her peak over her favorite trip, she may run a better race than expected. I feel she\u2019s harshly treated (and perhaps a good value play) as the distinct outsider in the race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Single White Pat<\/B> lines up in barrier 12. While she lacks the strike rate of many of this week\u2019s opponents, having won just three of her eighteen starts, she nevertheless has been running some very handy races against quality opposition. Her Grade 1 form as a three year old causes major concerns, but she did run third against full fields in both the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-Filly Grand Prix<\/I> and the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-Breeders Bowl Filly Turf Juvenile<\/I> around twelve months ago. She\u2019s taken home a check in six of her last eight, all in black type contests. It\u2019s the other two which cause the greatest concern. They are her only two races as a three year old in Grade 1 events, and she finished eleventh on both occasions. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Single White Pat<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Gone West<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Three D FX<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Deputy Minister \/ Danzig<\/I>), the second foal of a stakeswinning mare who racked up an astonishing eleven black type ITM\u2019s in her racing career. Her racing style varies a bit, but I\u2019d expect <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Casino<\/B> to plan for her to settle around midfield in this. While she can go fast enough to be a force if she puts in a top effort, she\u2019s never won at the mile and that question mark surrounding the elite company means she\u2019s hard to recommend with confidence against this star studded field.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Alayaya<\/B>, drawn 13, had us instantly visiting google for a geography lesson. Or was she named for the daughter of Chataya, in which case her breeder was perhaps a tad unkind. No matter, I digress to no useful purpose. On first impressions what do we have? A grade 1 winner five starts back, and a last start loser in an allowance. Not a good mix. Let\u2019s dig a little deeper. No slouch in her first four runs on the dirt, her speed figures took an immediate jump when switched to the grass, where she\u2019s remained for her nine subsequent runs. Winning at allowance and stakes level at her first two grass efforts, it wasn\u2019t long before she was making her presence felt in Graded company. When she took the trophy in June\u2019s <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-The Cremation Stakes<\/I>, she looked to have well and truly arrived. Sadly she couldn\u2019t maintain the momentum. Three more unsuccessful runs against the elite failed to secure a podium finish, so she was sent back to the allowance ranks for a hollow confidence booster. The bad news: that effort can only have boosted the confidence of opposing trainers. A scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">A.P. Indy \/ Awesome Again \/ Sadler\u2019s Wells<\/I>, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Alayaya<\/B> has that rare and coveted Grade 1 victory on the scoreboard, so she can\u2019t be taken too lightly, a point not missed in the early market. But I somehow feel that, unless things turn around soon, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Given<\/B> may looking to her future in the industry of her namesake.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Awaiting the starter in the widest gate, we see <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Moi Lolita<\/B>. I recall commenting before her previous race, that she appeared to be reaching out for a bit more ground. I was wrong. She\u2019s back to her pet distance here this weekend, and it would be wise to simply forget that most recent effort when analyzing her chances here. Concentrating on her \u2018second\u2019 career, (her first eight were on the dirt, where she was far from shabby), and omitting those two efforts over the extra furlong, we find a record more than appropriate for a challenge of this nature. Seven starts have supplied four wins, a second and a third. The highlight is her win at Grade 1 level at the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Equinics<\/I> in October, and she\u2019s taken home the winners share in three of four at the mile. A couple of her opponents have slightly better times over the trip, but if she repeats the 1.34.6 of the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Old Friends<\/I>, she\u2019ll be in the mix at the finish line. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Moi Lolita<\/B> is a scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Awesome Again \/ A. P. Indy \/ Kingmambo.<\/I> <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Ceclaim3<\/B> will expect her to settle around midfield, perhaps a tad closer to last than first, before providing her characteristic exciting finish. She\u2019s one of the genuine contenders<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><U>Summary and Selections:<\/U><\/B> <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\">It\u2019s one of those races where most runners have a solid for \/ against argument. Most are capable, on their day, of running great races. Virtually all of them have enough convictions to keep overconfidence at bay. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Miesque\u2019s Gold<\/B> is the top rated entrant, but hasn\u2019t won for a long time. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Otto Ttribute<\/B> boasts an amazing strike rate, but is she back? <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">True Chant<\/B> ran a blinder last start, but lately she doesn\u2019t put two good runs together. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Moi Lolita<\/B> returns to her favourite trip, but ran an uncharacteristic race last start. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">South Of Heaven<\/B> may appreciate the drop back in distance, but has forgotten how to win. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pazjazz Prayer<\/B> is proven Grade1 quality, but a bit of a punt at the trip. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Alayaya<\/B>, also proven at the class, is in somewhat of a slump. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Briseida<\/B> has plenty of ability, but hasn\u2019t produced the time likely to be needed here. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Single White Pat<\/B> can run the time, but needs to reclaim the ability to compete at this level. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crime Beat<\/B>, also runs the time, but struggles against the best. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Crushing Ignorance<\/B> goes very fast, but didn\u2019t sustain it last start. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Auror Derby<\/B> likes the conditions, but needs to prove herself at the standard. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Retribution Angel<\/B> loves the trip, but what about the class and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">El Gato Agudo<\/B> is fast and advancing rapidly, but untested in Graded waters.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\">Crushing Ignorance<\/SPAN><\/B><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\"> to win. With no early pressure she\u2019ll set the tempo. While opposition jockeys are stressing about the lead she\u2019s built, she\u2019ll bound away with a commanding gap, and keep going. Across the board.<o:p><\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Otto Tribute<\/B> for second. I\u2019m sure she\u2019s back, and had she not been favorite, she may have got the nod for first<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">El Gato Agudo<\/B> for third. Well drawn and consistent. When was the last time she went home without a check?<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The Market<\/B>:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">6\/1 \u2013 Otto Tribute<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">7\/1 \u2013 Crime Beat<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">8\/1 \u2013 El Gato Agudo, True Chant, Alayaya<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">9\/1 \u2013 Crushing Ignorance<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Qualification Order <\/B>&#8211; Class Rating Position:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Miesque\u2019s Gold &#8211; 1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Otto Tribute \u2013 2<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>True Chant &#8211; 3<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">Moi Lolita \u2013 9<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">South Of Heaven &#8211; 10 <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">Pazjazz Prayer \u2013 13<SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Superb Field To Contest Delpenn\u2019s Solstice Oaks<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7023","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7023","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/261"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=7023"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7023\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=7023"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=7023"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=7023"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}