{"id":692,"date":"2005-09-23T13:01:06","date_gmt":"2005-09-23T13:01:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=692"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=692","title":{"rendered":"G2 EARLY MONTH STAKES SHOULD BE DANDY"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">New South Wales-<\/B>It should be a beautiful day Down Under when thirteen three year old colts meet to race in the $350,000, Grade II, Early Month Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Coolerk\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">New Storm <\/B>is the 4-1 early morning favorite of this ten furlong turf affair, but I have a feeling that an upset is going to happen.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As always, for your pari-mutuel enjoyment, Official Hong Kong Track Handicapper, Pete \u2018The Hatchet\u2019 Wang will break down each horse and attempt to find a nugget of gold amongst the silt.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP1, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Noia\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Red <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:place w:st=\"on\">Loop<\/st1:place><\/B>(21-1, Phillips).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cWe are starting to run out of big three year old only stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Many of the leading colts are skipping these kinds of races to see how they will fair against their elder brethren.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This race features two top twenty colts and the rest are looking to establish their credentials.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Most of these colts do not have much experience at today\u2019s distance so much of our analysis is guesswork.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In my initial examination of the past performances I was surprised by the lack of early speed in this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That void could encourage some strange racing results.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Now Red Loop is an interesting colt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A son of Red Ransom, he\u2019s cutting back in distance after racing competitively at the eleven and twelve furlong distances.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has a pair of stakes wins, including a 96 speed rating when he won the 9.5 furlong Pine Ransom Stakes over this course.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In general, Red Loop\u2019s best times are not competitive with the best in the field, but ten furlongs could be this stalker\u2019s best distance and we could see a huge speed rating increase.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s raced well at 9.5 furlongs, and he\u2019s never raced at ten furlongs before, but his pedigree suggests that he might enjoy that distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even though he is being ridden by a 5% jockey, I\u2019m going to include him in my exotics by using him underneath.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP2, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Dinomite\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Go For Bull<\/B>(12-1, Disher).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cGo For Bull is six of eighteen in his career, but the son of Holy Bull has been struggling as of late.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In week 2461 he won a 9.5 furlong stake with a 99 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Since that race, he really hasn\u2019t raced back to that level.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Perhaps 9.5 is his optimum distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s a very nice colt at that particular distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s raced ten furlongs in two of his last three races and really hasn\u2019t fired.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His first ten furlong race was over a good track that saw him finish second versus a field of five.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In that race he missed by a head and had a 95 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>His last try at ten furlongs came in the G1 Big Red stakes and in that race he finished 10<SUP>th<\/SUP> with a speed rating of 90.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think 100+ speed rating wins this race and Go For Bull hasn\u2019t yet demonstrated that he can put up that kind of number at the distance.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP3, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Highfive\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Colorado Force<\/B>(13-1, <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:City w:st=\"on\">Kirkland<\/st1:City><\/st1:place>).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cThis son of <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">Royal<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Academy<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> is five for eleven in his career and has earned over $232,000.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his last start he won the Grade II Choo Choo at twelve furlongs with a 100 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the race prior to that race he won a nine furlong stake with a 100 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I think we could see a big speed number out of this stalker who shoots for fourth consecutive win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I\u2019m using him as my Tsing Tao longshot and I\u2019m betting him on top and underneath in my exotics wager.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP4, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sherwood\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Redsadky<\/B>(8-1, Bangs).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cI believe that this is the colt to beat.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Redsadky has won four of his first five races and is already rated 19<SUP>th<\/SUP> in the Division.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He tasted defeat in his last race, the ten furlong, G1 Big Red Stakes when he finished a game second with a 105 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This son of Red Ransom is just learning the game and should improve even more in this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even though he has never grabbed an early lead, you might see him do so in this race and try to win from gate to wire fashion.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Best lifetime speed rating is a 109 which is the second best in the field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I\u2019m using him on top in my wagers.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP5, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Fab19\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Sky Turn To Black<\/B>(7-1, Ridenour).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cStalking Son of Sky Mesa boasts a 106 speed rating back in week 2440 when he won a 9.5 furlong stake in <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:State w:st=\"on\">South Dakota<\/st1:State><\/st1:place>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Has two wins since that big effort, but his speed ratings have remained constant at around 100.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Never raced ten furlongs before so new distance could spark a new top speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>More distance could be just what he\u2019s looking for.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I\u2019ll include underneath in my exotics.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP6, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Bagpuss\u2019 <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">American Quest<\/B>(5-1, <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:City w:st=\"on\">Walker<\/st1:City><\/st1:place>).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cSon of <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:City w:st=\"on\">Coronado<\/st1:City><\/st1:place>\u2019s Quest is a consistent performer.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>When racing nine furlongs his speed rating is always between 100 and 107.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has never attempted ten furlongs, but his breeding suggests he could really enjoy the distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lifetime this stalker is five of twelve and has earned over $180,000.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This race is his graded debut.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A horse to include if you can afford to do so.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP7, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Dowelly\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Classic Dowelly<\/B>(14-1, Fontain).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cClassic Dowelly is the son of sim great <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Amanda Jane<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>8<SUP>th<\/SUP> ranked Classic Dowelly had a bang up two year old season, but has struggled as a three year old, only winning one time as a sophomore.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>New longer distance may spark a revival of good fortune.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Top jockey aboard.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP8, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Bobo\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Keplar Of Rock(Ire)<\/B>(8-1, Baxter).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cThe hottest colt in the field is looking for his sixth consecutive score.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>During this streak he did have a ten furlong win in an allowance race, however his speed rating in that race was only a 93.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He won that race by over 7 lengths so I believe he is capable of putting up a 100+ speed rating at this distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This stake winner does have some graded experience as in week 2468 he ran in the 12 furlong G1 Sydney Derby and was fifth.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Overall he is ten of sixteen and has earned over $289,000.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Use him under, though a win by him would not shock me.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP9, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Husky\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Savage Frontier<\/B>(10-1, <st1:place w:st=\"on\">Clark<\/st1:place>).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cSon of Esperero won his last start, a twelve furlong Grade III.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Prior to that win, Husky had Savage Frontier make five consecutive dirt wins that saw one third place finish.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last start\u2019s win marked the first time that Savage Frontier had won when routing.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A very nice bargain bred that shows some nice versatility both to distance and surface (as he did have a 102 on the dirt).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I do not know if he can win this race, but based on his last race, I think long distance races, on either surface, will be exciting prospects for his connections.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Use him under.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP10, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sksutton\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Wells Of Endurance<\/B>(20-1, Perkins).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cSon of Sadler\u2019s Wells might be the early speed and lone speed.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Cuts back in distance and does have a win at the distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Might be able to control the pace and steal the race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We have seen stranger things happen.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP11, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Laq\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Cycle Like Bayley<\/B>(14-1, Butcha).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cSon of Broad Brush makes his second turf try.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He was unplaced in his prior attempt.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Cycle does have some success on the dirt with a pair of 11 furlong stake triumphs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Tough spot to break your turf maiden.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP12, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Lenny271\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Beyer Beware<\/B>(8-1, Beckistan).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cDeep closing son of Dayjur has raced pretty well in his last three starts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his last race he won a nine furlong stake with a 105 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the race prior to that race he was a game third in the DelPenn Gr Simsters Smack Down.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Never tried the distance, but I can\u2019t see were he wouldn\u2019t be successful racing at it.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Use under.\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">PP13, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Coolerk\u2019s <\/I><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">New Storm<\/B>(4-1, Berger).<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cThe favorite is a son of Storm Cat out of a Nureyev mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his last race he was 5<SUP>th<\/SUP> in the Big Red with a 100 speed rating.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I\u2019d like his chances much better if conditions were off.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In his life, he\u2019s won four races and three of those wins came when he raced over \u2018off\u2019 tracks.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A monster when it\u2019s wet he is much more ordinary on firm turf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Wait for that good deluge and bet him with both hands!\u201d<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Until next time, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">may the racing Gods favor you.<o:p><\/o:p><\/I><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Wide Open Affair Could See Upset<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":415,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-692","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/415"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=692"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/692\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=692"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}