{"id":6886,"date":"2008-11-14T19:37:20","date_gmt":"2008-11-14T19:37:20","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=6886"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=6886","title":{"rendered":"Parental Advisory"},"content":{"rendered":"


<\/span>Grade I
A mile and one eighth
Fast Dirt
$500,000
All horses, 3 years old and up<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Hello racing fans\u2026 I have to say it feels weird to be heading to the 7 smell state (Iowa<\/st1:state>) for a race that honors a comedian who was probably banned from the entire Midwest<\/st1:place>\u2026 I am certain most natives would not approve of his fascination with obscenity\u2026 The late great George Carlin would have had no problem telling you what the 7 smells of Iowa<\/st1:place><\/st1:state> are because all 7 are one of his famous 7 words you can\u2019t say on Television\u2026 I will relieve some of the curiosity by telling you that the 7 smells are all variations of the end waste product dropped by cows in the fields. Mr. Carlin was far funnier and might have even been able to get a laugh or two with better delivery of that weak routine. Since our wonderful sponsors are the very witty and generous folks at Comedy Central<\/b> I figure I will also tell that the Mr. Carlin was voted the second best stand up comic of all time. He trailed Richard Pryor and topped Lenny Bruce in the top three. Carlin was best known for his Political satire and his expressing his contempt for excess in modern culture. I am sure he would have held the sim in high regard. People gathering online to celebrate fake horses would really have had him apoplectic. Nobody said George Carlin knew everything. Here is a look at the weather leading up to race time from Mr Carlin: \u201cThe night before the race calls for darkness throughout most of the evening followed by scattered light as morning approaches.\u201d Mr Carlin died this past June and he will be missed\u2026 Unlike this rambling and highly boring prelim to a great race\u2026. Thanks again to the folks at CC for providing us with a great G1. Here is a look at the runners, jeezaloo did you guys know there were TWENTY of them? <\/p>\n

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THE FIELD<\/o:p><\/span><\/u><\/b><\/p>\n

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PP 1<\/span><\/b> FOLSOM BLUES(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>jimcougar<\/i> JKY O Parker ML 13\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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When the show horse from the Breeders Bowl Classic is being sent off at 13-1 you know you have a great race. Folsom Blues prevented a Triple crown winner this year with his fantastic closing effort back in the middle jewel stakes. The 3 year old son of <\/a>FUSAICHI PEGASUS x NUREYEV x BLUSHING GROOM(FR) has showed he does not fear older with his beautiful run in the classic. His big closing style and his love of this distance makes him a major player. His career best 113 spf last out shows that this guy may still be getting better despite his grueling campaign.<\/p>\n

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PP 2<\/b> TELLTALE SWAN(MD) TR <\/i><\/b>db<\/i> JKY M Haynes ML 35\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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This 4 year old son of <\/a>DANCE WITH RAVENS x NUREYEV x COASTAL is owned and trained by on of the sim\u2019s funniest comedians, but unfortunately the odds makers are saying it is his entry that is comical. His last start came in a starter and against this fearsome competition you might want to toss him out. A closer look reveals a career high spf of 109 and some solid races back in April and May. If he were to regain that form he could be a factor.<\/p>\n

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PP 3<\/b> PET VOLLEY TR <\/i><\/b>nab<\/i> JKY S Kozerski ML 13\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Pet Volley seems to have found his sweet spot at this distance and looked like a graded winner in his last start before getting nailed late. The 111 showed the 5 year old son of <\/a>AWESOME AGAIN x CRYPTOCLEARANCE x PLEASANT COLONY has big time talent. Pet Volley likes to be on the lead or stalk from just off and should have no problem finding position using his tactical speed. He has been consistently good at a mile and just over so I expect him to be the one the closers are gunning for after the third call. <\/p>\n

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PP 4<\/b> BELISARIO(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>fernando<\/i> JKY V McCloughan ML 13\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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The biggest question surround this guy is question mark as to whether he is a sprinter or a router.\u00a0 <\/span>His dance card seems to say this race is a furlong too long for him despite the reasonably short odds. The 4 year old son of <\/a>DIXIELAND BAND x A.P. INDY x MR. PROSPECTOR has run some steppy Spf\u2019s including a 114 back in February. His stalking style should have him right near the pace early and we will see what is left in the tank in the stretch. He has not had his best races when running at the graded level so beware.<\/p>\n

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PP 5<\/b> ERMINGTON PEGUSUS TR <\/i><\/b>pigeon3<\/i> JKY D Offenbacher ML 8\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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The legendary sim giant takes to the track after a disappointing effort in the BB Classic. It was his first race off a layoff so maybe the 5 year old son of <\/a>SKY MESA x FUSAICHI PEGASUS x SECRETARIAT merely needed to shake the cob webs off the race legs. This race comes at his best distance and he could break the 11 million mark in career earnings here if the last race was not a harbinger of bad tidings. Bet against him at your own risk as it has not been a good practice for those wanting to make money. Could be a thrilling stretch duel with the other late closer in the one hole. No lead is safe if EP has uncorked his best kick. <\/p>\n

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PP 6<\/b> BERNIE BERNIE(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>dpbstables<\/i> JKY O Brooks ML 21\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Bernie Bernie is another three year old in this field that seems to like a notch less than 10 furlongs. This son of BERNARDINI x NUREYEV x RELAUNCH does not have the same credentials\u2026 Yet\u2026 Racing back on just two weeks rest makes me really question the deep closers chances. Maybe he will wheel back on the muscle but more likely he will be missing some of his closing punch in a race where he will need to be his best. He did run big off three weeks rest back in March and his graded win three back was impressive. Might be just coming into his own now.<\/p>\n

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PP 7<\/b> SEVEN STRIKES(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>thereason<\/i> JKY M Barnes ML 38\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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The three year old son of <\/a>SMART STRIKE x SEPTIEME CIEL x DANZIG may be in a bit over his head judging by his 38-1 odds and his career best 103 speed number. He looked like a derby candidate back in April but has not lived up to that early promise. Seven Strikes is closer in a field full of some of the best late runners in the sim, so this might not be his best spot.\u00a0 <\/span>but ya gotta be in it to win it. All you need is a entry spot and a dream. Good luck.<\/p>\n

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PP 8<\/b> GO FOR PIT(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>sastable<\/i> JKY C Lyden ML 23\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Go For Pit looks like he is just a notch under the best in this field which is nothing to be ashamed of. After all some of the best 1 and 1\/16th<\/sup> horses in the sim are loading in for this race. The 4 year old son of <\/a>STRONG HOPE x PULPIT x JADE HUNTER has a very nice dance card but his career best Spf\u2019s are 8-10 points off the top speeds of the favorites in this one. Another one with a late running style so look for a major Calvary<\/st1:place> charge late and Go For Pit may be just behind those that are closing the fastest.\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n

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PP 9<\/b> TAHARKA(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>willyam47<\/i> JKY S Cadigan ML 10\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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If the race was going a mile and a quarter this guy would have to be among the top two picks. The fact that the race is a bit shorter may work against this supremely talented horse. A mid pack horse with some kick and that style might actually give him an edge on some of the later runners in this field if he can get the jump on them. The 4 year old son of <\/a>MEDAGLIA D’ORO x DUBAI MILLENNIUM (GB) x PRIVATE ACCOUNT has put together a great season so far the hi-light coming with the G2 score in his last race in 115. If his earlier struggles at this distance were about form and not length he could wind up in the winners circle.<\/p>\n

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PP 10<\/span><\/b> OLD PULPIT TR <\/i><\/b>sunkitten<\/i> JKY S Machu ML 22\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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If the going was sloppy this one would move well up the list and he has a real penchant for running big in the off going. However the track is fast and that seems to leave his chances dwindling to a long shot. The 6 year old son of PULPIT x SEEKING THE GOLD x DAMASCUS has been around the block so he won\u2019t be intimidated by the competition but he lacks the signature wins that so many of the top horses in here have. His best chances would seem to come with his flexible running style if he goes to the lead and gets loose who knows. <\/p>\n

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PP 11<\/span><\/b> GRAMID(CAN) TR <\/i><\/b>dogman65<\/i> JKY C Duncan ML 8\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Gramid is one of the better Canadian breds in the sim (if not the best) and certainly the best out of his somewhat obscure sire.\u00a0 <\/span>The 4 year old son of PEAKS AND VALLEYS x SLEWACIDE x SPEND A BUCK is proof that magic can be caught in bottles not labeled Storm Cat or AP Indy. He will be going a bit further than he has in his recent hot streak but has plenty of speed if he can carry it for an extra furlong. The knock on him has to be that despite running big in nearly every race he has not won since March. Maybe the stretch out gives his closing kick a little more room to work. Can\u2019t pick but can\u2019t dismiss him either. Since he has the race sponsor up, be very wary of any objections being held up … because C Duncan owns the stewards.<\/p>\n

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PP 12<\/b> BARB’S HOT COCOA<\/st1:city><\/st1:place>(IRE) TR <\/i><\/b>bbudgies2<\/i> H Newsome ML 10\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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That Barb sure has a lot of of stuff in the sim but her Hot Cocoa is certainly a top item. The 4 year old MANNDAR (IRE) x THEATRICAL(IRE) x WOODMAN has everything you want to see on his handicapping page big runs in big races and top spf\u2019s comparable to the top ones in the race. He lacks a signature win but his near the lead style might be right type to get him one here. Ran big (113 and 111) in his last two graded tries but could not get his picture taken. I fear he might wind up close but no cigar again on Saturday. <\/p>\n

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PP 14<\/b> FLYING BRYAN(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>ascot<\/i> JKY I Perry ML 22\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Back in July this 3 year old son of <\/a>ROYAL ACADEMY x DANZIG x STORM CAT looked ready to handle this level of foes with his near miss in the G1 Swamps Stakes but his last two have not been as good and thus the dismissal on the morning line. Looks like this is his best distance and if he runs back to that July performance he will be right in the thick of it. If he does not his chances are pretty thin. His style would seem to be an edge in here as he prefers to be close to the pace and most of the dangerous ones are late runners. If he gets the jump and turns in his best look out. <\/p>\n

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PP 15<\/b> NOWTHEYWILLFEARU TR <\/i><\/b>willyam13<\/i> JKY G Daniels ML 15\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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The first to be loaded into the auxiliary gate is this 5 year old son of <\/a>GONE WEST x NORTHERN DANCER x ROBERTO. Two entries and neither is by Broken Vow what is going on? Another one who would be more \u201cfeared\u201d with moisture in the track but he is no slouch on the fast dust either. The lightly raced horse has been having a great season but is this thin air too high an altitude for him? He should be allowed to set the fractions and that might let him bottom this field out with early speed. I expect to see him swallowed up at the third call but a check is not out of the question.<\/p>\n

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PP 16<\/b> TARA<\/b><\/st1:place> WORE GREEN TR <\/i><\/b>michaelbri<\/i> JKY Cu Williams ML 24\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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It seems like 5 pages or more ago that I first mentioned that there were a lot of horses in this race but I thought I would note it again here. This one is making a big jump up in class from low dollar allowance level but does have a long string of 100 plus spfs on the card. The 4 year old son of <\/a>STARCRAFT (NZ) x PRIVATE ACCOUNT x SEEKING THE GOLD would look to be in over his head despite the nice form. His career best spf is likely 10 or more off what it will take to win this race and the fact that the competition is so much tougher here I would have to say it is another lottery ticket entry.<\/p>\n

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PP 17<\/b> SUPERDRIVE II(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>sdmf7 <\/i>JKY T Brace ML 16\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Which Superdrive will show up? The one that ran some very impressive races in restricted stakes or the one that bombed at Smackdown? The speed figs in the restricted stakes races make the 4 year old son of <\/a>UNBRIDLED’S SONG x STORM BIRD x HALO a fit in here but those numbers don\u2019t always bear out against open competition. He likes the distance and certainly has the class to be a factor but question marks do loom. I think he will need to use to much to make an early lead from this far outside post, but there is not a ton of speed in the race so dismiss at your own risk. <\/p>\n

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PP 18<\/b> OTTO CAUSES(IRE) TR <\/i><\/b>verona<\/i><\/st1:city><\/st1:place> JKY A Little ML 18\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Talk about your late season runs\u2026 This 5 year old son of GIANT’S CAUSEWAY<\/st1:place> (IRE) x KINGMAMBO x BUCKPASSER was held over for drug testing after his last race a stunning 118 at 10f in an Open Stake race. He came up clean but where did that career best come from? Maybe he just likes the fall as this 118 is nearly a year to the day from his tremendous run in the 07 Breeders Bowl where he went 117. He is a millionaire and all kidding aside he has the talent to upset the apple cart in here if he can make the top with speed to his inside. At 18-1 he looks like a huge overlay.<\/p>\n

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PP 19<\/b> EMPTY<\/b><\/st1:placename> RIVER<\/st1:placetype><\/b><\/st1:place>(KY) TR <\/i><\/b>minnslew<\/i> JKY Ni Williams ML 21\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Certainly not coming in here on a high note but may be trying to juice this Empty<\/st1:placename> River<\/st1:placetype><\/st1:place> up with the old turf to dirt thing. The midpack running son of <\/a>POINT GIVEN x RAISE A NATIVE x DANZIG<\/st1:place> will need to work to find a spot and then hope to avoid traffic late. Back in June he had nice graded score and he has been running with the top tier of horses all year so the level should not be a concern. He likes the distance and if he is on his A game he fits with the top ones here. It just does not look to me like he is at the top of his game right now. <\/p>\n

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AND FINALLY<\/p>\n

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PP 20<\/b> MAMBO BONES TR <\/i><\/b>jrogue5<\/i> JKY E Pete ML 9\/1<\/o:p><\/span><\/p>\n

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Last but certainly not least is this very impressive son of <\/a>KINGMAMBO x DANEHILL x LE FABULEUX. I covered this one back in April and may have even chosen him the winner but I was wrong that time. I am not sure if this millionaire elder statesman does not prefer a bit more ground than is being offered, but the 1.3 in the coffers says he and his trainer know a lot better than some punk writer. Will the 20 post compromise his chances or will he add to his legend ala Big Brown and score from the far outside. If Mambo Bones is not feeling his age and can reach back to January and find his best form he could be a major threat. I would like his chances a lot better if there was another furlong. <\/p>\n

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THE PICKS<\/o:p><\/span><\/b><\/p>\n

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If you can remember back to the first horse of this preview you are less senile than I and you will remember that I really liked Folsom Blues and he will be the pick winning a great stretch duel with the legendary Ermington Pegasus with Tarharka and Bernie x 3 picking up the minor spoils. Remember that in horse racing and life in general there are usually just two choices; laugh or cry\u2026 I say check out the CC web site and get with the laughers they are much more fun! If you have a free moment tip one back for ole George Carlin\u2026 I am off to do that myself right now so CHEERS!!!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Despite The Warning I Kept It Clean… Sorry!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":318,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6886","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6886","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/318"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6886"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6886\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6886"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6886"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6886"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}