{"id":6777,"date":"2008-10-24T00:05:19","date_gmt":"2008-10-24T00:05:19","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=6777"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=6777","title":{"rendered":"Breeders Bowl Mare Sprint"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">A new tradition is born as fillies and mares get their own Breeders Bowl sprint.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The distaff sprint will cover seven furlongs for a $1,000,000 purse.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">With no race history to go on, it\u2019s tough to say how this will play out, but there will be no question who is best after this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The top four rated three-year-olds join eight of the top ten rated older sprinters.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">By late October, three-year-olds are expected to be able to run with their older sisters, but the oddsmakers don\u2019t agree.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>None of the six three-year-olds have morning lines under 10-1.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Most of the field prefers to rally from just off the pace, and we can expect to see the youngsters set that pace.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">With six of the runners assigned odds between 5-1 and 9-1, this looks like a tough race for anyone hoping to cash a pick 6 \u2013 it could be anybody\u2019s race.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Here is a look at the field:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 1 <STRONG>SONG OF THE HAWK(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(UNBRIDLED&#8217;S SONG x MACHIAVELLIAN x ALYDAR), 4yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">sheikabner<\/I><\/B> (Sheikabner Stables, 20%) style S, odds: 7-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She hasn\u2019t won since January, but she looks like she is rounding back into form.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She can\u2019t be happy to see the 5 horse in here \u2013 Hawk has been second to that mare in her past two races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She was making nasty moves late in those two races, and she\u2019ll be flying late again here.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With her improving form it would be no surprise to see her turn the tables on that one today with all the marbles on the line.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She\u2019s won the Grade I World Cup Ladies Long Sprint as a three-year-old, the Grade II Kentucky Lassie Stakes, the Grade III The That\u2019s My Baby Stakes, and the Grade III Kentucky Milady Stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She also has three other graded stakes finishes in the money.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Just a piece of the purse will put her over the $1 million mark in earnings.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Most impressively, at seven furlongs on fast dirt, she has seven wins in nine starts.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Sheikabner, better known elsewhere as Kingab, is having an outstanding year, winning at a 29% clip and capturing six wins in 21 stakes races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Sheikabner supports the CR Racers.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">In an interview, he felt that Song of the Hawk has been training beautifully and noted that she\u2019d be coming in off a three race win streak if not for 2 \u00be lengths in the past three races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Most impressively, he describes the \u201cgorgeous grey lady\u201d as one of his favorite mares of all time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That\u2019s saying a lot<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 2 <STRONG>MISCALCULATION(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(UNBRIDLED&#8217;S SONG x A.P. INDY x STORM CAT), 3yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">fanatical<\/I><\/B> (Circusham Stables, 27%) style P, odds: 11-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With her eight wins and two seconds in only eleven starts, this filly has roughly twice as many stakes points as any other runner in the field.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This scratch bred has rarely been tested, and her many fans are drooling over the double-digit odds.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She was second last time around two turns against the best three-year-old routers, but at this distance, few three-year-olds have been able to challenge her.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She did finish behind Vheissu back in June, and she disappointed as the favorite in the Smackdown.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Otherwise, it\u2019s hard to find a flaw.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>How will she do against older?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She won her lone race that was open to older fillies and mares, but it was a weak owner-restricted race, so she has yet to answer that question.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Fittingly, this filly with the mathematical name won both the Grade I Correlation Coefficient and the Grade I Cosine Cup.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She also won the Grade I Circusham Derby and the Grade II Yanta Snez.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has two other ITM finishes in graded stakes.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At seven furlongs, she has two wins in three starts.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The Trainer:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Fanatical has won an astonishing 37% of his races in 2008.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All of his graded races have been with Miscalculation, and she is four out of six.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He has also won one overnight stakes in five tries with other horses.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Fanatical is a member of GR Simsters.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 3 <STRONG>STIRLING FORM <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(A.P. INDY x DYNAFORMER x STORM BIRD), 5 yo, bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">tmica<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">jrogue2<\/I><\/B> (Jrogue Stables, 20%), style: P, odds: 8-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse: <\/B>She hasn\u2019t embarrassed herself &#8211; she\u2019s been running triple digit speed figures and finishing in the front half of some very tough fields, but she hasn\u2019t been able to close the deal in a while.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her form\u2019s been less than sterling as she hasn\u2019t won a race in over nine months and hasn\u2019t been in the money since March.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She likes to rally from off the pace, and those sorts can, from time to time, throw in an unexpectedly strong effort.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That appears to be her best hope.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She\u2019s run two graded stakes twice: The Unthinkable and the Dancer Cap.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Unfortunately her more recent runs in both races have been worse than her earlier.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Her dam was a router in her brief career and A.P. Indy is overwhelmingly a routing sire, and this shrewd trainer has tried a distance with her, but she showed she did not like it.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She has won the Grade II Unthinkable and the Grade II Dandelion, and she has three more graded finishes in the money.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Jrogue2 is winning 15% of his races this year, and is one of 13 in graded stakes and three out of 29 overall in stakes races this year.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With over 18,000 races and a consistently high winning percentage, Jrogue Stables is always a force to be reckoned with.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 4 <STRONG>LA VINOTINTO <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(MINESHAFT x KINGMAMBO x STORM CAT), 5 yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">venezolano<\/I><\/B> (Otto Haack (<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:country-region><st1:place>Venezuela<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region>), 18%), style: E, odds: 12-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse: <\/B>This mare, named in honor of the Venezuelan national football team, is one of the few in here that is coming in off a win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The fact that that was a track-restricted allowance win tarnishes the victory, but she has some other reasons to favor her.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is the only early speed horse among the older runners.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The race has a surprising lack of early speed, so her style may work in her behalf.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In three of her last five races she has run speed figures below 100, and today\u2019s race will certainly take a figure in excess of 110, so can we excuse them?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Well, last race she may have run only as fast as she needed to to dispatch weak competition.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In the other two slow races she was unable to get near the lead early.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This mare needs to be near, if not on, the lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Against this field, especially as all the other early speed is well outside of her, she should certainly be able to be at the front.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Dam was a turf specialist, and La Vinotinto has shown she likes the grass, but, then, she also likes dirt sprints.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At this distance, she has four wins and nine ITM finishes in ten starts.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She is a recent winner of the Grade II Delta Tau Chi Sprint and has two other seconds in Grade II stakes. <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The Trainer: <\/B>Venezolano is winning 25% of his races this year, and has three wins in 14 stakes races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The stable is a member of Hispano Parlante.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 5 <STRONG>DOCTOR DANZIG <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(SPEIGHTSTOWN x <st1:place>DANZIG<\/st1:place> x J. O. TOBIN), 5yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">manon<\/I><\/B> (Ace Stables \u2013 <st1:place>Great Plains<\/st1:place>, 12%), style: P, odds: 7-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cWhat a year,\u201d notes her trainer.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u201cShe began the year eligible for N4L, and comes into the Breeders bowl off a two race winning streak over Song of the Hawk.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>To have any horse beat that one is reason to celebrate, but to do it twice in a row with the same horse?\u201d<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Ace is a bit apprehensive about doing it three times in a row, but there\u2019s no real reason to think it won\u2019t happen.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">The recent success has vaulted the Doctor into the number two slot among older sprinters.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>And the success has been recent.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The five-year-old had not even tried a stakes race until April.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Now she has three wins in her last four starts, including wins in the Grade I Dancer Cap and the Grade III The Girls Just Right.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That\u2019s just astonishing for a horse that started her career with three less than awe-inspiring wins in her first 15 races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Maybe there\u2019s hope for some of my nags.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Ace, no stranger to huge wins, is going great with her manon stable this year.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The barn is winning 25% of its races and has won six stakes in just 14 starts.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 6 <STRONG>CLARK COUNTY(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(SEEKING THE GOLD x NIJINSKY II x HAIL TO REASON), 4yo, bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">lopiccolo<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">simsters3<\/I><\/B> (The Evil Empire, 17%) style: P, odds: 9-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lenny has two running in this race, and he gives the better chance to this one over Fifth Street.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><st1:place><st1:PlaceName>Clark<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType>County<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place>\u2019s lone graded win came as an upset Equinics victory.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If she can duplicate that effort she could turn the tables on Doctor Danzig and Song of the Hawk, who beat her in her last start.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lenny feels she\u2019s running well now and that the last two starts at 6.5 and 7.5 furlongs should prepare her for a top effort at today\u2019s seven furlong distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The ending of this race is going to be incredible, with so many strong finishers making a late charge.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>With the simsters3 stable, Lenny has won over 27% of his races and banked $1.2 million this year.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It\u2019s never a surprise to see him in the winner\u2019s circle.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 7 <STRONG>BLACK GOLD COAL <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(SUMMER SQUALL x ROBERTO x GRAUSTARK), 6yo, bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">mouskers<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">jrogue3<\/I><\/B> (Jrogue Stables, 19%), style: P, odds: 7-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse: <\/B>This one gave her trainer options.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The six-year-old is ranked 10<SUP>th<\/SUP> in both the sprint and the classic divisions.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She apparently doesn\u2019t want anything to do with longer than 8.5 furlongs, so this was the prudent choice, though she hasn\u2019t won a sprint since February, and she threw a real clunker in the Dance Cap, her last try at seven furlongs.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">She was late to the races, not making her first start until December of her four-year-old season, but she\u2019s been well worth the wait for her patient connections.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Her three wins and six in-the-money finishes in her ten graded stakes make her always dangerous.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This race might be a furlong and a half short for her, but it would not be a shock if she won anyway.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer: <\/B>The jrogue3 stable has been very strong in 2008.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>They have eight stakes wins in 24 tries, and overall they\u2019ve won $1 million and 19% of their races.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 8 <STRONG>MRS. STARK REALITY <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(MR. GREELEY x GRAUSTARK x IN REALITY), 6yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">stablebums<\/I><\/B> (Smubs Stables, 17%), style: S, odds: 5-1*<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse<\/B>:<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>How do you get to be the number one rated sprinting mare?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>One race that helped was her race two starts ago when she was second by a head to the boys in the Grade II Booker T.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Surprisingly, you can be the number one rated mare with but one graded win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In Mrs. S\u2019s case that win was the Grade II Unthinkable back in April.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She figures to be joining Song of the Hawk at the back of the field, and look for them to try their moves together.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The pace does not look blistering.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>We\u2019ll see if that hurts these two late chargers.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B> What a shrewd move they made in acquiring this mare.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She was racing in long turf races above her conditions when they claimed her and switched her to dirt sprints where she ran off five straight wins.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This year, their record is a 15% winning rate overall and 20% in stakes.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 9 <STRONG>SARACEN(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(STORM CAT x MR. PROSPECTOR x BUCKPASSER), 3yo, bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">temp1<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">dixiedotco<\/I><\/B> (Dixiedotco Racing, 26%), style: E, odds: 24-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At 24-1, she\u2019s the longest shot in the race, yet she\u2019s been up to all the challenges she\u2019s faced so far.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She already has a Grade I, II, and III win, and she\u2019s two for two at the distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The long odds are due to speed figures that don\u2019t stand up to what the older fillies and mares have been running.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>But, as Dixiedotco points out, her running style may be her salvation.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She does her best running on the lead, and there will be a surprisingly lack of a battle for that early lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s hoping she\u2019ll get brave.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He also sees hope in the distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s been running 6 and 6.5 furlongs lately, just because that\u2019s what was available.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer: <\/B>Year in and year out Dixiedotco maintains some of the most consistently high performance of anyone in the world.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This year, the stable is at 29% and eight of 27 in stakes.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP <\/SPAN><st1:Street><st1:address><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">10 <STRONG>FIFTH STREET<\/STRONG><\/SPAN><\/st1:address><\/st1:Street><STRONG><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">(KY) <\/SPAN><\/STRONG>(SILVER GHOST x DEPUTY MINISTER x A.P. INDY), 4yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">lenny30<\/I><\/B> (The Evil Empire, 27%), style: P, odds: 13-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B> There is exactly one filly in the races who comes in off a Grade I win, and only two that come in off a seven furlong win.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><st1:Street><st1:address>Fifth Street<\/st1:address><\/st1:Street> won the seven-furlong Grade I Second Wind Sprint last time.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That gives her two Grade I wins in four graded tries.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Had it rained, all the smart money would be on this 13-1 shot, but the dry track does not play to her advantage.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Not that she\u2019s helpless on it \u2013 anything but.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s making rapid improvement.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>To win today will take a speed figure north of 110, and she\u2019s on pace to make that a reasonable extrapolation.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Lenny says he\u2019d be satisfied to cash a check.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>That\u2019s a bit modest.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B> It\u2019s Lenny again.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Ho hum 25% wins this year. <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 11 <STRONG>VHEISSU(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(SPEIGHTSTOWN x SAINT BALLADO x ROUND TABLE), 3yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">astinator8<\/I><\/B> (<st1:Street><st1:address>Astins Place<\/st1:address><\/st1:Street>, 25%), style: S, odds: 15-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse: <\/B>What a fantastic start to this filly\u2019s career.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It used to be common knowledge that a strong two-year-old campaign would lead to a disappointing three-year-old season.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This filly just gets better and better.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She threw in one terrible race in an Equinics route, but otherwise she\u2019s never been out of the money.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She\u2019s the three-year-old that likes to come from well off the pace.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It remains to be seen how she\u2019ll do against the older fillies and mares, but she tried a decent overnight field last time open to older and she finished second.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Five wins and a third in six starts at seven furlongs? Clearly a mistake to dismiss this one\u2019s chances.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer<\/B>: Atinator8 has won five of his ten stakes races and over 30% of all his races this year.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is just depressing.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>How come I struggle to win 10% and to even get a stakes starter?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Please don\u2019t tell me.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 12 <STRONG>PULPRATS(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(PULPIT x DANEHILL x SAINT BALLADO), 3yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">darny<\/I><\/B> (Darnath Stables, 12%), style: E, odds: 16-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse: <\/B><SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>The last race was a huge one.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She took advantage of a field with a lack of early pressure to beat older, including Black Gold Coal, in the Grade III Pocahontas at 17-1.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Even though she\u2019s 16-1, she may be a big key to the race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She is the type that absolutely needs the lead to win \u2013 when she\u2019s challenged she gives up.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>As there are few other early speed horses here, she will definitely be gunning for that lead.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Because there are <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">some<\/I> early speed horses, Pulprats is just the sort to take them down with her if they battle it out.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>So here are the possibilities: 1. She gets an uncontested lead and scores a huge upset over older: just like last time. 2. She is hindered from the early lead due to the outside post or some other factor, and she fades to also-ran status early. 3. She gets engaged in a speed battle that destroys her chances and takes Saracen and La Vinotinto with her.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hmmm.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer: <\/B>The Minnesota Residency member darny is 14% overall and two out of four in graded stakes.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 13 <STRONG>MINISTER OF HUMOR(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(DISTORTED HUMOR x DEPUTY MINISTER x SECRETARIAT), 3yo, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">bandinni<\/I><\/B><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\"> <\/I>(Right At Home Stables, 13%), style: P\/E, odds: 11-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse:<\/B> Classy filly is unfortunate to have so much of the other early speed so near her, but she\u2019s shown more that once that she can fight off an early challenge, and she may have the best chance of all the three-year-olds.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Hard to find a chink in her armor other than age.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She has nine wins in her 12 races between six and eight furlongs, and seven furlongs look like her best distance.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is her first try against older, so we\u2019ll hold that against her, but we would not be shocked to see her make a gritty stand against the late charging mares.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B> Bandinni is a 22% trainer in 2008, capturing four of his 14 graded stakes tries.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>He\u2019s proven he can train against anyone.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"FONT-SIZE: 13.5pt\">PP 14 <STRONG>STAYS IN VEGAS(KY) <\/STRONG><\/SPAN>(<st1:place>GIANT&#8217;S CAUSEWAY<\/st1:place> (IRE) x <st1:place>DANZIG<\/st1:place> x FORTY NINER), 3yo, bred by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">lasix<\/I><\/B>, trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">texasace02<\/I><\/B> (Lone Star Racing, 32%), style: P\/E, odds: 16-1<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The horse: <\/B>She just missed in a couple key races.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last time she showed she could run with older when she was within a couple lengths at the end of the Grade III Heyman Sprint.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Two races before that she showed she can handle Grade I when she was a close second in an Equinics sprint.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>She does best on the lead, and that\u2019s unlikely, and her figures are a bit light.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Finally, her only race longer than 6.5 furlongs was her only bad race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>All that\u2019s fine, but it\u2019s tough not to give this trainer\u2019s runners every chance when they step out on the track.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\">Overall, she\u2019s been in the money in three of her four graded stakes, but has yet to win one.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The trainer:<\/B> Texasace has won his ridiculous normal 30% this year with this stable, but it\u2019s 0 for 10 in graded stakes.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Conclusion<\/B>.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Only a fool would try to predict the outcome of this race.<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Oh, did I hear my name called?<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Song of the Hawk \/ Doctor Danzig \/ <\/B><st1:Street><st1:address><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Fifth Street<\/B><\/st1:address><\/st1:Street><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">.<\/B> There. I said it.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Three-Year-Olds Try Their Elders.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":432,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/432"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6777\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}