{"id":6767,"date":"2008-10-23T00:38:14","date_gmt":"2008-10-23T00:38:14","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=6767"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=6767","title":{"rendered":"Suicidal Tendency and Idolatria Head Newmarket Betting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Race 15 on this week\u2019s <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags\" \/><st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:City w:st=\"on\">Newmarket<\/st1:City><\/st1:place> card is <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">The Turn Off The Alarm Stakes<\/I>. This Grade 3 turf sprint dates back to 2000, and the six furlong feature carries a prize pool of $150,000. Thirteen fillies and mares will look to add their names to the honour roll for this feature, a roll which contains both household sim names, (<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Elsinore<\/B>), along with a higher than normal mix of unfashionable bloodlines. This race has had it all over the years. We\u2019re sure to have a great race again this year, with plenty of chances, as shown in the early market. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Suicidal Tendency<\/B> and <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Idolatria<\/B> head the early betting at 4\/1, while more than half the runners are priced at single figure odds<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = \"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office\" \/><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Let\u2019s first revisit history with a quick look at the earlier winners of this event:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2000 <\/B>\u2013 <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">More Dare <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Blind Spot \/ Big Burn<\/I>) \u2013 Kicksave \u2013 1.10.2 \u2013 101 \u2013 $292k \u2013 Retired \u2018open to all\u2019 mare never used at stud.<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\"><o:p><\/o:p><\/I><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2001 \u2013<\/B> <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Arc Elocat<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Wavering Monarch \/ Blushing Groom<\/I>) \u2013 Dancer \u2013 1.10.2<SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u2013 99 \u2013 <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>Retired winner of $588k &#8211; Dam of five, including:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u2026\u2026<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Admiration<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sadler\u2019s Wells<\/I>) \u2013 SW x 9 \u2013 16\/73 \u2013 $817k. \u2013 Dam of two<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>\u2026\u2026<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Tacos And Burritos<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Dream Well<\/I>) \u2013SP \u2013 5\/39 &#8211; $39k &#8211; Active <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2002 <\/B>\u2013 <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:City w:st=\"on\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Seattle<\/B><\/st1:City><\/st1:place><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> Paster <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Jolly Jouster \/ Polish Numbers<\/I>)<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <\/B>\u2013 Con10der2 \u2013 1.09.4 \u2013 110 \u2013 Retired winner of <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>$1m. Dam of three. No black type thus far.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2003 \u2013<\/B> <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Polish Legend<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Polish Love \/ Vicksburg<\/I>) &#8211; Seppy \u2013 1.09.2 <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN>\u2013 114 \u2013 Retired winner of $438k. Dam of one. No black type<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2004 \u2013<\/B> <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Gaudenzia <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Rahy \/ Cozzene<\/I>) \u2013 2totango \u2013 1.08.8 \u2013 118 \u2013 Retired winner of $1.4m. Dam of two. No black type<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2005 \u2013 <st1:place w:st=\"on\">Elsinore<\/st1:place><\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Danehill \/ Pentelicus<\/I>) \u2013 Wombat \u2013 1.09.4 \u2013 104 \u2013 Retired winner of $2.6m. Dam of 2 but with no black type as yet<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2006 \u2013<\/B> <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Candy Cane <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Distant View \/ Lear Fan<\/I>) \u2013 Wally123 \u2013 1.09.8 \u2013 98 \u2013 Retired winner of $942k. Dam of one.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">2007 \u2013<\/B> <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Barb Dylan<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Falbrav \/ Sadler\u2019s Wells<\/I>)\u2013 Jakematt3 \u2013 1.09.0 \u2013 110 \u2013 Active Winner of 10\/20 &#8211; $431k.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Using history as a guide, we\u2019ll take a look at what we\u2019d expect from the race, and use these findings in our assumptions throughout the preview. Firstly, what sort of time will be looking at? The first two runnings were won in a tick over 1.10, but since then, every winner has broken that 1.10 mark. Although speed ratings have varied widely (99 \u2013 118), it\u2019s fair to expect a triple digit speed rating will be needed this year. The slowest winning speed, 1.10.2 was recorded in both 2000 and 2001. The race record, 1.08.8, belongs to <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Gaudenzia<\/B>, who saluted in 2004.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Let\u2019s work through the formguide for this year\u2019s event:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">The inside gate is the starting position for<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">Vixen<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Valley<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><\/B>. This highly consistent three year old is lining up in an attempt to secure her third consecutive win at Graded level. She certainly ticks all the boxes for this, having missed the podium just three times in her sixteen trips to the track. Two of those lower finishes were in Grade 1 contests, so her ability at this sort of level is well established. Her last start effort may prove to benefits ongoing as her career evolves. She did win her first two runs sitting just off the lead, but the next five came by leading all the way. This event looks as though there may a suicidal early charge for the early lead, and she established, in that Grade 2 win three weeks back, that she can take a sit a couple of lengths back, saving the winning run for the final couple of furlongs. That may possibly prove to be the strategy of this week\u2019s winner, and sitting back on the fence from the inside gate could be desirable. <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Vixen<\/B><\/st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Valley<\/st1:PlaceType><\/B><\/st1:place> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Orientate<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Vixen Prospector<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Capote \/ Mr. Prospector<\/I>), a Grade 3 winner herself and perhaps one of the sim\u2019s most successful foundation mares. In addition to this filly, she\u2019s also produced SW <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Mr. Big B<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Storm Cat<\/I>), who in turn begat third generation stakes placed runner <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Midnight Raider<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Kingmambo<\/I>). The mare\u2019s other issue includes SP <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Flying Foxes<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Flying Spur<\/I>) and GP, SW <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Canticle <\/B>(<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Orientate<\/I>), full brother to the subject of this article. While there is plenty of black type in the family, this <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Focusforce<\/B> trained filly is the greatest achiever. And she may well have plenty more yet to achieve.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Drawn 2 we have <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Toga Point<\/B>, a five year old mare currently racing in the best form of her career. Only twice in her life has she put two winning efforts together. Firstly a pair of allowances in mid 2007, then her two most recent outings, when both wins have both come at stakes level. She has a couple of questions to answer. Her most recent run saw her post a very impressive 107. That should be a positive, but the triple digit runs she\u2019s returned earlier have all been followed by a lesser effort. And this is the first time, at her thirty third run, that she\u2019s attempted to tackle Graded opposition. There is no question about her ability to go fast enough, but can she do so against a number of opponents who have the score on the board? The close-in barrier is sure to be an advantage. She won\u2019t get caught up in the early scramble, but will be near enough to the rail to ensure a good position in running. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Toga Point<\/B> is a scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Point Given \/ Summer Squall \/ Dr. Fager.<\/I> Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Newmarket1<\/B> has clearly seen enough improvement in her last couple of starts to justify the promotion. In a field with a lot of chances, she cannot be dismissed, but I feel she deserves to be at a bit more tempting quote, given her complete absence of prior racing at this level.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Gate 3 is the starting position for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Nothin\u2019 To Lose<\/B>, a four year old, million dollar earner, looking to regain the form which took her to Grade 1 winning glory just over a year ago. It\u2019s hard to believe that the winner of the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-Sun State Cup<\/I> last September would now be struggling to hit the board at allowance level, but such is the case with this filly. There can be no doubting that, at her best, she\u2019d be a real threat. But that best is currently a memory. Since winning her initial, ungraded outing to begin this year, she\u2019s missed the board in her last eight, reducing her superb strike rate from eleven of nineteen to a far less imposing eleven of twenty seven. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Nothin\u2019 To Lose<\/B> is a four year old scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Lemon Drop Kid \/ Dynaformer \/ Storm Bird<\/I>. Owner \/ Trainer <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Zewango3<\/B> has really tasted the ups and downs of racing with this one. At her peak she\u2019d walk all over most of this week\u2019s opposition. She\u2019s not at her peak. Training conglomerate, <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Black Label Stables<\/I>, has wisely chosen to run multiple entries here. While a surprise return to form is not impossible, the insurance of entering another runner is probably a very sound strategy.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Seven Bridges<\/B>, drawn 4, was a tad disappointing last time out, but prior to that her six furlong turf firm was most impressive. In four earlier tries over the conditions she faces this week, she\u2019d won three and finished second in the other. Lightly raced, with just the eleven starts, she\u2019s meeting plenty of seasoned competitors here and that\u2019s reflected in the generous odds on offer. She\u2019s one of those \u201cYes she can, no she can\u2019t\u201d types. \u201cA repeat of the 108 she registered three starts back gives her a great chance.\u201d \u201cBut that was ten points above her second best, so perhaps it was a fluke.\u201d \u201cShe\u2019s placed in a Grade 3 earlier in her career.\u201d \u201cBut that was against her own age group and she\u2019s taking on the older mares here.\u201d \u201cShe\u2019s beaten the older mares.\u201d \u201cBut that was an ungraded race.\u201d And so it goes on. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Seven Bridges<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Storm Cat<\/I> from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Dream Evil<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Forty Niner \/ Blushing Groom<\/I>), a stakes placed winner of six from twenty five. Dam of only two foals to date, both have registered black type, with younger brother <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Dirty Black Halo<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Silver Deputy<\/I>) already stakes placed. She\u2019s one of several who will be contesting the early lead, and with little early speed drawn inside her, she got the best gate of those speedsters. Having her \u2018stablemate\u2019 drawn immediately inside will also do no harm, although the stewards are sure to be on the lookout for team tactics. If the early breaks go her way, she may prove to be excellent value at the price on offer.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Suicidal Tendencies, <\/B>drawn 5, lines up once again with her frustrated connections hoping for an overdue change of luck. Looking at the formlines of those ranked higher in qualification order, her two ungraded victories from twenty starts would appear to be shy of the type of class we\u2019re looking for this week. But that bland statistic just tells part of the story. In twenty starts, she\u2019s gone home without a cheque just once, and that was more than a year and a half ago. She\u2019s won just five of those twenty, but has finished second an amazing ten times. Her two previous attempts at Graded racing have both landed podium finishes, including her latest run in a Grade 2. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Suicidal Tendencies<\/B> is a four year old daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Awesome Again<\/I>, based on <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Suicide King Too<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Deputy Minister \/ Alydar<\/I>), a Grade 2 winner. There is no doubt that, on her day, she has everything she needs to be a threat in this. She can run fast enough, she can mix it with the class and she\u2019s not likely to lead in this likely speed fest, which should be an advantage. If Owner \/ breeder <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">7cardstud<\/B> put a place ticket on her every time she runs around, it would ensure a handy income. The bookmakers are well aware of her capabilities, and as such have seen fit to install her as equal favourite in the early markets. She\u2019s a strong winning chance if she can dig deep enough to find a cure for her seconditis. <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">From stall 6 will jump<B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> Inflection, <\/B>an accomplished sprinting mare coming off an uncharacteristic sub-par effort. Her bad runs tend to create an interest of their own. There have been only half a dozen or so spread across thirty five starts, and when she doesn\u2019t make the podium, she puts in a shocker. One of those rare shockers was in this same race last year, and that was also the only time she\u2019s put two bad runs together. That will be enough of any excuse for those looking to undermine her chances, but we\u2019ll concentrate on the positives. She\u2019s a Grade 2 winner just four starts back, and was beaten less than two lengths when third in the <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">G1-The <st1:City w:st=\"on\"><st1:place w:st=\"on\">Hoover<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> Handicap<\/I> two races ago. Back in August she won a black type race over this trip in 1.09.0. That time in this event could well be fast enough to earn the trophy. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Inflection<\/B> is a scratchbred five year old daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Pivotal \/ Storm Cat \/ Halo<\/I>, bred and trained by <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Sanatarium<\/B>. She\u2019s racing in the best form of her career and has done enough, particularly recently, to be given a genuine winning chance here. Early tactics may be important. Like several of her opponents, she likes to set the tempo. She did take one race as a three year old after letting another head her early, but her preferred style is leading throughout. With several jockeys sure to be instructed to lead, the pace will be on from the outset, which may work to the disadvantage of one or all of the early speedsters. If she can win that early battle, the price on offer will look generous.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Gate 7 is the starting position for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">She\u2019s All Mystery<\/B>, a four year old filly who has returned to the grass and who looks more than happy to have done so. A fair allowance runner on the dirt, her last three runs have seen her victorious in two allowances, before running third under these exact conditions last start. She\u2019s yet to win any level of black type race, which should create concern in a field with plenty of black type included, but that last start third, along with three consecutive triple digits, underline her worthiness for this event. A daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Doneraile Court<\/I>, she\u2019s out of the Graded placed mare <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Bone Of Pegasus<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Fusaichi Pegasus \/ Seattle Slew<\/I>), also dam of stakeswinner <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Giant Strides<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Giant\u2019s Causeway<\/I>), who in turn has produced another generation of black type runners with <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Sherbet\u2019s Reign<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Dylan Thomas<\/I>). Back to <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">She\u2019s All Mystery<\/B>. Although she\u2019s had twenty two previous runs, she looks to be just now reaching her peak. She\u2019ll look to settle a couple of lengths of the pace, with the leaders sure to set a scorching pace, possibly setting the scene perfectly for this <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Quiggy<\/B> bred and trained runner. She\u2019s one of a number of genuine chances in a quality field.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Drawn in gate 8 we find <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Night Witch<\/B>. She\u2019s prepared for this race with two ungraded stakes wins from her last three outings, and as a recent placegetter in a Grade 2 competition, she ticks the \u2018class\u2019 box. If she does have a concern, it may be that the trip is not quite far enough. She runs on nicely late in her races, but opponents will be aware that of her seven wins, the shortest winning trip has been six and a half furlongs, while her two most recent have been a furlong longer than that. Having said that, we need look back just six runs to her career highlight thus far, at least in terms of Graded racing. Back in March she ran second in a Grade 2, and that was over this six furlong trip. With plenty of horses sure to be keen to take up the early running, the tactics could just make the race for a strong closer, so there\u2019s another positive. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Night Witch<\/B> is a half sister to the sim\u2019s only <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Triple Crown<\/I> winner, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">I <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">Seek<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">U<SPAN style=\"FONT-WEIGHT: normal\">.<\/SPAN><\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><SPAN style=\"FONT-WEIGHT: normal\"> By <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Pulpit<\/I>, she\u2019s the fourth foal of <\/SPAN>Prospect Dealing<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Unfuwain \/ Mr. Prospector<\/I>), dam also to <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Shaft Seeker<\/B>, a stakeswinning daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Mineshaft<\/I>. Owner \/ breeder <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Wemblem<\/B> knows this filly can run the sort of time which will be required here, knows she can handle the class and knows she deserves to add a Graded victory to her already solid formline. The bookmakers agree and are keeping her very safe. There is almost no doubt that she\u2019ll be motoring home, just a slight query as to whether the post will arrive too soon.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Awaiting the starter in stall 9 we see <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Champion Flower<\/B>, a three year old filly who has done most of her earlier racing on the dirt. She\u2019s taken to the grass twice previously, in juvenile contests at both Graded and ungraded levels. In both races she finished second, proving that the class of opposition should not prove too intimidating. Her last three efforts have produced the worst sustained patch in her sixteen start career, no doubt inspiring the change of surface. We know she can run the triple digits which are almost certain to be required here. We know that, although never a winner on the grass, she can handle the rarely visited surface. What we don\u2019t know, however, is whether the current form slump is about to be reversed. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Champion Flower<\/B> is a daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Flower Alley<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Champion Bubba<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Tough Knight \/ Bold Ruckus<\/I>). She\u2019s the third, and most successful issue of her dam, who was stakes placed on five occasions. Her preferred running style, close to the lead, but not too close, may prove an advantage as the leaders cut away at each other, giving her protection along with a good run. With a pair of seconds in Grade 2 races this year, she deserves to add a Graded win to her impressive black type scorecard. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Meguire2nd<\/B> will be trusting to a change in surface to reignite the spark.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">Barrier 10 is the starting gate for <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pyarmidiono<\/B>. This four year old filly had me heading straight to google after I\u2019d sorted out her spelling, and guess what? All the references there led me straight back to the BTB, so I haven\u2019t enhanced my knowledge by leaning some strange new foreign word. Perhaps the breeder could patent it and make a fortune! Back to the race in question. Based on minimum requirements, as discussed in the introduction, this four year old filly is a chance if she can replicate her most recent run. It\u2019s the \u2018if\u2019 that creates the question. It was by far the best run of her fifteen start career which, before then, had landed just two speed ratings in the low 90\u2019s. There\u2019s a school of thought that believes that many horses take fifteen or so runs to reach maturity, and if she fits into that category, she may well find that the allowance win was just the beginning of a good streak. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pyarmidiono<\/B> is a four year old daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Gold Tribute<\/I>, based on <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pyramidio<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Pyramid Peak \/ Yukon<\/I>), a winner of four low level races from forty two. We\u2019ve mentioned, again in the introduction, that this race is often taken out by runners of unfashionable bloodlines (and I have a very handy <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Pyramid Peak<\/I><\/st1:place> in my stables) so, I\u2019m refusing to rule her out on the breeding score. The bookmakers will be astounded if she features, but then they were last start, while <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Thegael<\/B> and those close to the stable who like a bet, are sure to be reinvesting some of the recent windfall at great odds once again.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Get Your Scurry On<\/B> lines up in barrier 11, as she looks to open her Graded winning account at what is possibly her favourite trip. She\u2019s had just the two earlier runs over the six furlongs, and took home the winner\u2019s share on both occasions. Two starts back she scored her second black type victory when she had nearly two lengths to spare in an ungraded stakes. At her only attempt against Graded company, she did all the pacesetting work, before finishing fourth. That was over an extra furlong, so she\u2019s sure to appreciate the drop back in distance. She\u2019s drawn wider than connections would hope for and her chances should be summed up very quickly after barrier rise. In all five of her wins, she\u2019s led the field from the outset, and she\u2019ll have plenty of competition for the lead in this. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Get Your Scurry On<\/B> is a three year old daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Monsun<\/I>, from <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Get You Scurry On<\/B> (<I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Zabeel \/ Green Desert<\/I>), herself a stakeswinner. Of some concern is the lack of a triple digit figure on the formpage, but she does appear to be one of those fillies who likes to go only as fast as she must. She\u2019s never gone home without a cheque in her dozen starts, and if she\u2019s left alone in front, she may well be able to advance that one step further than her dam, and at very nice odds.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">General Skydancer<\/B> alights from 12 and really does look to have been set a monumental task. On what she\u2019s done thus far, she really is an allowance runner, tilting at windmills in a field with more than its share of proven Graded contestants. She\u2019s one of only two who is yet to register a triple digit speed rating in her lifetime, and this race will need not only triple digits, but a healthy three figures. The best bit of form is perhaps that she won her maiden over this distance, but she did so in a time which would see her beaten a dozen lengths in this. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">General Skydancer<\/B> is a four year old scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Sky Mesa \/ Dance Brightly \/ General Assembly<\/I>. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Ecosse<\/B> has brought her along nicely at a lower level thus far. A bit more time working through the allowances and ungraded stakes classes could only be to her advantage. The bookmakers give her virtually no hope of attaining the increment needed to feature this week, and I\u2019m afraid I must concur. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\">From the outside stall jumps <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Idolatria<\/B>, a filly racing in great heart, and who comes into this off a pair of placings in Grade 1 contests. If current form is the main ingredient, this runner has it in spades. Her last five races have all been in Graded contests. She\u2019s won two of them and finished on the podium in the other three. It\u2019s hard to find anything to fault. She\u2019s run triple digit speed figures in ten of her last dozen, and in the other two she finished second in slowly run races. There\u2019s virtually no way this one will be slowly run, so we can almost pencil in another three figure effort. If she has any concern it may be the early tactical battle. There are at least four runners, including herself, who will want the lead. If they cut away at each other they may set the race up for those ridden more quietly, and being drawn widest of them all is no advantage. <SPAN style=\"mso-spacerun: yes\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Idolatria<\/B> is a four year old scratchbred daughter of <I style=\"mso-bidi-font-style: normal\">Buddha \/ Arazi \/ Topsider<\/I>. She\u2019s proven herself most capable at this level of racing and higher, which gives her an advantage over some of her opponents who, although looking capable, have yet to put the score on the board. She won her last two starts at this, the Grade 3 level, and her more recent runs have all been at a higher Grade, where she\u2019s acquitted herself admirably. The more you study her form, the better she looks. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Victoryrun<\/B> has every reason to saddle her up with confidence.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"><U>Summary and Selections:<\/U><\/B> <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN lang=EN-GB style=\"mso-ansi-language: EN-GB\">Thirteen runners and all bar a couple of them can produce the speed likely to be needed here, so it will surely come down to class and tactics. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Idolatria<\/B> (4\/1) is racing in career best form. <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Vixen<\/B><\/st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Valley<\/st1:PlaceType><\/B><\/st1:place> (9\/1) is looking for three in a row. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Inflection<\/B> (7\/1) is sure to rebound from an uncharacteristic poor run last start. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Night Witch<\/B> (5\/1) has won two of her last three. <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Toga Point<\/B> (7\/1) is on a hattrick, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Suicidal Tendency<\/B> (4\/1) is never far away, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Seven Bridges<\/B> (17\/1) only needs a repeat of her best, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Get Your Scurry On<\/B> (20\/1) has never been beaten at the trip, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">She\u2019s All Mystery<\/B> (8\/1) has grown an extra leg since returning to the grass, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Nothin\u2019 To Lose<\/B> (14\/1), has nothin\u2019 to lose as she tries to regain form, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Champion Flower<\/B> (8\/1) is the unknown quantity, <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pyarmidiono<\/B> (46\/1) has proven she has the speed, while only <B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">General Skydancer<\/B> (41\/1) looks to be aiming too high.<\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Vixen<\/B><\/st1:PlaceName><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\"> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Valley<\/st1:PlaceType><\/B><\/st1:place> to win. I love a good price, and with her current form and the perfect draw, she\u2019s great across the board value.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Suicidal Tendency<\/B> for second. Nothing is better at running second.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Pyarmidiono<\/B> for third. Let\u2019s throw some value into the exotics.<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><o:p>\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">The Market<\/B>:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">4\/1 \u2013 Suicidal Tendency, Idolatria<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">5\/1 \u2013 Night Witch<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">7\/1 \u2013 Toga Point, Inflection<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">8\/1 \u2013 She\u2019s All Mystery<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">9\/1 \u2013 <st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">Vixen<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Valley<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><B style=\"mso-bidi-font-weight: normal\">Qualification Order <\/B>&#8211; Class Rating Position:<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Idolatria \u2013 7<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><st1:place w:st=\"on\"><st1:PlaceName w:st=\"on\">Vixen<\/st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st=\"on\">Valley<\/st1:PlaceType><\/st1:place> \u2013 3 \u2013 3yo rating<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">Inflection \u2013 12<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">Night Witch &#8211; 17 <\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">Suicidal Tendency \u2013 31<\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt; TEXT-INDENT: 36pt\">Toga Point &#8211; 48<SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0<\/SPAN><\/P><P class=MsoNormal style=\"MARGIN: 0cm 0cm 0pt\"><SPAN style=\"mso-tab-count: 1\">\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Seven Bridges \u2013 45 \u2013 3yo rating<\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Plenty of Chances in Newmarket Grade 3<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6767","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6767","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/261"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6767"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6767\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6767"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6767"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6767"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}