{"id":64527,"date":"2023-11-02T00:44:56","date_gmt":"2023-11-02T00:44:56","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=64527"},"modified":"2023-11-02T00:44:59","modified_gmt":"2023-11-02T00:44:59","slug":"2023-breeders-bowl-turf-mile-3m","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=64527","title":{"rendered":"2023 Breeders Bowl Turf Mile &#8211; $3M"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Welcome to the 2023 Breeders Bowl Turf Mile here at Santa Anita racetrack in Arcadia, California, featuring a star-studded field that includes 12 Grade 1 winners! We\u2019re all set for a beautiful day here at the track for the biggest day of the year. Track conditions are fast and firm so let\u2019s stop messing around and take a look at the TURF MILE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">*Much like last year, we will be using the state-of-the-art PBVRP (PadreBri Virtual Race Projections) to break down the race at certain key moments based on my projected pace calculations. Pace notes are indicate in <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">&#8216;red&#8217;<\/span>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53304198380_1f4eb82208_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#1 FOUR MOVES AHEAD<\/strong> \u2013 4YO gelding, sired by Le Havre(IRE) and out of the amazing Hall of Fame mare Mumbai (Sadler\u2019s Wells x Kingmambo). He is currently the #1 ranked runner in this immensely competitive division and the morningline favorite at 5\/1. He has had an incredible season as a 4YO, running in 6 graded stakes races (4 G1 &amp; 2 G2) with a record of 6 (3-2-1). FOUR MOVES AHEAD has also run his 2 fastest career speed figures this year, an impressive 123! <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees FOUR MOVES AHEAD sitting about 3-4 lengths back at the half mile pole before unleashing one of the stronger kicks home in the race.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303721121_742e852009_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#2 DEL MAR TIME<\/strong> \u2013 a 4YO colt, sired by Air Force Blue an out of the Grade 3 placed mare Haack\u2019s Ray (Ghostzapper x Rainbow Quest). Del Mar Time earned entry to this race via his victory in the G1 Cobbler Mile over a good course at this very track back in May when he posted a career high 119 speed figure on the off going. Del Mar Time\u2019s connections were probably hoping for the 40% chance of rain to hit California since his lone G1 win and fastest career speed figure came on an off track, but the precipitation has stayed away for today\u2019s race. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees DEL MAR TIME being patiently ridden towards the pack of a tightly grouped pack about 4.5 lengths back of the leader and should start his move for home when the horse to his inside makes his move.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53302857642_761c9dbe01_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#3 FANCY LIKE<\/strong> \u2013 a 4YO scratch bred Gelding, sired by Galileo with an elite back end of Kingmambo x A.P. Indy. FANCY LIKE has spent his entire career running in the turf route division except for one run at 12f in the G1 Derby de English which resulted in this colt\u2019s worst career race. He has made 5 starts this year, all in G1 company, but with very mixed results. He has a pattern of a bad race, then a good race and fortunately he possibly sitting on a good race if everything holds to form. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees FANCY LIKE forwardly placed, about 2.5 lengths behind the early leader and then not quite being able to keep up down the stretch. A mid-pack finish is expected here.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303721086_ea26bc7d8e_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#4 MARRIAGE<\/strong> \u2013 a scratch bred 5YO horse, sired by Not A Single Doubt with the back end of Gone West x Sadler\u2019s Wells. After what must have been a bit of a disappointment in last year\u2019s running in this race, trainer Gowans gave MARRIAGE a very light campaign as a 5YO. He started the year with 2 conditioned allowances races before tackling the G3 Hess Mile in July, and then sealed his entry into this race with a victory in the G1 Maudlin Cup in September with a 119 speed figure. This very fast pace setting runner is in great form coming into his biggest race of the year. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees MARRIAGE sitting right inside of Fancy Like, about 2.5 lengths from the leader at the half mile pole. We project that she runs evenly down the lane but not quite being able to able to hit the board. A paycheck is very possible though.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53302857622_a0b431873c_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#5 SOVEREIGN END<\/strong> \u2013 a 4YO Gelding sired by Siyouni and out the stakes place mare Howl in the Colony (Street Cry x El Prado). SOVEREIGN END started this year off in the allowance ranks and after 2 solid, yet unspectacular races, he was sent to the shed for some minor \u201csurgery\u201d. After recovering, he came back with another solid allowance victory which prompted trainer Lenny to try the stakes ranks. Again, he put in 2 solid, but not jaw dropping efforts before trying the G1 Sourball Mile in late September. In that race, SOVEREIGN END earned his way into today\u2019s race with a victory and a career high 117 speed figure. He might be a notch below the best here, but it looks like he might be finding his best stride at the absolute best time. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees SOVEREIGN END hanging out about 4-4.5 lengths back early and then using his strong closing kick to try and power home. We think he\u2019s in with a chance but might have to settle for a minor award or paycheck.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303721136_fd35d34956_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#6 AWESOME FINALE<\/strong> \u2013 a scratch bred 6YO Horse, sired by Awesome Again with a back end of Seeking The Gold x Seattle Slew. This versatile duel surface runner started his career off as a late 3YO on the dirt (understandably based on the pedigree) and managed to run a 113 speed figure in only his 2<sup>nd<\/sup> career start. He has since been switched to the grass and found G1 success late last year on New Year\u2019s Eve in the G1 New Years Magic Mile. He earned a career high 119 speed figure that day. AWESOME FINALE has only managed one on the board finish this year, coming in his most recent race, a 3<sup>rd<\/sup> in the G1 Liz Stakes. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees AWESOME FINALE moving nicely in mid-pack and sticking with race favorite Four Moves Ahead in the early going, probably about 3 lengths back. We see the \u201cold guy\u201d giving it his all down the lane in what could be his final race in a fantastic career.<\/span> This hard knocking, consistent veteran might need to find a bit more if he\u2019s to go out with a \u2026.wait for it\u2026..AWESOME FINALE.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303964193_7549b08e92_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#7 SOMEWHEREINASMILE<\/strong> \u2013 3YO colt, sired by Zoustar and out of the G2 winning mare SLEEPSWHENITRAINS (Ghostzapper x Danehill). He is the lone 3YO taking on elders here. SOMEWHEREINASMILE got into this race mostly because of his late season 2YO G1 victory in the Japanese Futurity as he hasn\u2019t been able to find the winner\u2019s circle as a 3YO. In his 4 runs as a 3YO he does have 2 2<sup>nd<\/sup> place finishes at the G1 level though. It does look like this mile distance is where he does his best running as he\u2019s faded late in his two 9 furlong attempts. His top speed figure is 114, so he\u2019ll undoubtedly need to take his game to a new level to compete in this one. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees SOMEWHEREINASMILE trailing the field early despite quite decent early speed. We see her sitting about 6 lengths back at the halfway point. Our projections don\u2019t think this immensely talented 3YO is quite ready to knock off the big boys in one of the hardest divisions in the game. We expect to him back here next year.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53302857612_af9d021c2f_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#8 MERRY MAMBO<\/strong> \u2013 a 4YO colt, sired by Galileo and out of the stakes placed mare Merry Dancer (Kingmambo x Northern Dancer. One of 3 runners in this race from Galileo\u2019s final crop, he has been the busiest this year, running in 8 races in 2023. He did his best running of the year this spring while posting back-to-back 116 speed figures in the G2 Bourbon Mile and the G1 Locksmith. MEER MAMBO ran a mere 20 days ago in the G1 DiCaprio Handicap in Italy, where he was an uninspiring 9<sup>th<\/sup>&nbsp; and now is been sent all the way to California for today\u2019s race. Maybe that race in Italy was just a leg stretcher, but he\u2019ll have to show more today to reach the podium here. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees MERRY MAMBO rating toward the rear early and trying to rally home. Her kick might not be quick enough to handle some of these others though.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303964233_d17ceef300_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#9 ANCHORING BIAS <\/strong>\u2013 5YO horse, sired by the incomparable Galileo and on out the G1 winning mare Recency Effect (Smart Strike x Broad Brush). This lightly raced runner (only 19 career starts) has made 4 starts this year producing G1 and G2 victories. He ran a sizzling 121 speed figure back in April winning the G2 Frisco Mile and in his most recent start ran a 118 speed figure when winning the G1 Canada Mile. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees ANCHORING BIAS pressing the quick pace early, sitting about 2 lengths back at the mid-race point. This is when we think the \u201canchor\u201d might drop and we foresee ANCHORING BIAS finishing about 4.5 lengths back at the finish line.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53302857657_7b2b7b9eff_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#10 BEST INJECT<\/strong> \u2013 a 4YO scratch bred colt sired by Galileo with a back end of Kingmambo x Seattle Slew, BEST INJECT was the surprise 2<sup>nd<\/sup> place finisher in this race last year as a 3YO. He took the lead in the stretch only to be caught by FOREVER DUE NORTH and posted an impressive 177 speed figure. His 4YO season has been a mixed bag regarding results, but he\u2019s never really been out of any of his races. Two back he won the G2 Celebration with an impressive front running score while earning his best career speed figure of 120. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees BEST INJECT vying for the early lead without being hurried and settling in nicely behind the front runner. The wicked pace looks like it might rear its ugly head though and we feel BEST INJECT might fade late.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53304198360_b7fac9a67d_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#11 GO LEFT<\/strong> \u2013 4YO Colt, sired by Dubawi and out of the G3 winning mare Left Alone (Giant\u2019s Causeway x Distorted Humor). Despite showing some ability on the grass as a 3YO, GO LEFT had found most of his success on the dirt as evidenced by his stellar record of 11 (7-0-1) on that surface. However, back in April, GO LEFT tried a G2 mile on the grass and ran away with an easy 2 \u00bd length victory. He then proceeded to run 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in his next three outings in graded company while posting speed figures of 120, 118 and 114. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees GO LEFT showing some early speed in hopes of crossing over on the field and securing a nice stalking position without running too wide. This expenditure of early energy may end up being his downfall as we think GO LEFT will come up just short but still vie for an on the board finish.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53302857617_0999ac2746_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#12 TOMMY ZOUPER STAR<\/strong> \u2013 4YO colt, sired by Zoustar and out of the G2 winning mare Tommy (Danzig x Nijinsky). Is one of only 2 runners in today\u2019s race that has yet to win a G1 race, so he\u2019ll be looking to join that club while springing an upset here. TOMMY ZOUPER STAR started the year off with a bang, winning the G2 Gas Station Mile with a career best 120 speed figure. He\u2019s had trouble producing his top effort at the G1 level as his 2 slowest races this season have been in the only G1\u2019s he\u2019s tried. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees TOMMY ZOUPER STAR shooting out of the gate to try and secure the best position possible up front without killing his chances. It will be a tall task from his #12 post. Despite leading at the half mile pole, we think TOMMY ZOUPER STAR will feel the effects of the quick early pace and fade late to finish mid-pack.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53304087544_a402766f6f_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#13 LAND OF FRANK OZ<\/strong> \u2013 4YO colt, sired by Kingman and out of the G3 winning mare Never Satiated (Frankel x Seattle Slew). LOFO is the #2 ranked turf runner in this division. He has gone to the post 5 times this year, producing a stellar record of 5 (3-1-1) which includes 2 G1 wins and a G2 score. LAND OF FRANK OZ has produced speed figures of 119 twice this year. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP sees LAND OF FRANK OZ breaking sharply and then doing his best to find a way to move closer to the rail as the speed inside him shoots off to the front. He should settle about 3 lengths behind frontrunner TOMMY ZOUPER STAR around the midway point. Using his strong late kick, LAND OF FRANK OZ should put himself right in contention for the Win, or at least a top 3 finish.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303964228_2827851df0_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>#14 FOREVER DUE NORTH<\/strong> \u2013 a 5YO horse, sired by No Nay Never and out of the G3 winning mare Frankly Due North (Frankel x Unbridled). The winner of last year\u2019s running of this race, the defending champ has had a difficult go of it this year in terms of results, despite earning very solid speed figures. He is winless in 2023, including a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> place finish two races back in an open allowance, but has run speed figures of 115, 117 and 118. He\u2019ll probably need to get back to his 120 SF form to repeat here. <span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">The PBVRP FOREVER DUE NORTH rating early from his outside post position and dropping over toward the rail as quickly as possible. He should find himself about 4-5 lengths back at the half mile pole when the dash for the wire begins. It\u2019s tough to envision him making a serious threat based on his form this year andhe might only beat a couple home to the wire.<\/span><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Let&#8217;s Examine the PBVRP Pace Projections<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This shows how the PBVRP predicts the pace and running order at the 4 furlong pole (mid-point) of the race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53303721146_2fa5b1cbe0_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">And this is how we project the BB Turf Mile to finish&#8230;..<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/live.staticflickr.com\/65535\/53304079269_fb8579fb90_b.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\">PBVRP &#8211; Projected Order of finish<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center has-huge-font-size wp-block-paragraph\"><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-red-color\">1st &#8211; #1 FOUR MOVES AHEAD<br><\/span><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-cyan-blue-color\">2nd &#8211; #13 LAND OF FRANK OZ<br><\/span><span class=\"has-inline-color has-vivid-green-cyan-color\">3rd &#8211; #2 DEL MAR TIME<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Welcome to the 2023 Breeders Bowl Turf Mile here at Santa Anita racetrack in Arcadia, California, featuring a star-studded field<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1104,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-64527","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64527","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1104"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=64527"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64527\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":64540,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64527\/revisions\/64540"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=64527"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=64527"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=64527"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}