Quality of Breeding in the game has seen a significant increase since last year\u2019s 2yo crop. If you frequent Slack chat or Twitch streams, I am sure you\u2019ve heard both Mike and I reiterate that the level of competition in the game has gone up significantly. While we still have roughly 3 months left in the year, I do not expect the quality of breeding to take a dive from this year to get back in line with the normal levels, if anything with Open Mares coming up, I\u2019d expect this number to potentially tick higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ALERT, BORING DATA PART<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The numbers I am pulling are from 1999 and beyond in the game. It looks at the breeding quality based on sire\/ds\/dds ratings in the game at the time they were bred. Overall, the average increase increase\/decrease between breeding value from one year to the next is .16 points. The jump from 2022 to 2023 saw an all-time high of .23 points increase. While I understand that this number seems small, the game typically works in fractional numbers. The closest the game has ever come to producing talent levels like this was in the early years of 2001 & 2002 when the game wasn\u2019t as polished as it is today. If we want to drive it down even further, since the rewrite in 2012, the highest increase from year to year that we had ever seen was from 2019 to 2020 where the levels increased .10. The increase from 2022-2023 blows that out of the water.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Stats:<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Against the overall average (Since 1999) we are seeing a 31% increase this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Against the last high of .10 (Since 2012 rewrite) we are seeing an increase of 67% this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Against the overall average 2012 rewrite we are seeing an increase of 87% this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Average Breeding Value (since 1999) 3.75.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Average Breeding Value (since 2012 rewrite) 3.81.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Average Breeding Value for this year\u2019s 2yo Crop (4.07).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Highest Breeding Value for 2024 (5.8)<\/p>\n\n\n\n Lowest Breeding Value for 2024 (1.2)<\/p>\n\n\n\n WHAT DOES ALL THAT BORING STUFF MEAN?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n In a nutshell people are utilizing better rated mares and scratch bred DS\/DDS with the more popular sires. I am not going to go into detail on the elite breds as it should go without saying players use the best with the best. However, there are some talented sires that don\u2019t get the same level of mares and\/or DS\/DDS combos and there are some lesser rated sires who do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n COMPARING SPECIFIC SIRES<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Recently on the forum there were a couple of sires brought up that folks believe were not rated properly or seem to get the short end of the stick. The argument here is that some sires who perform well in real life are not rated high enough in the game to compete. Now we are not perfect when it comes to rating the sires, but what I can tell you is that if they are winning graded races regularly in real life, chances are we have them rated to do so in-game. What we can\u2019t control is the player\u2019s behavior with certain sires. A lot of the time when a player purchases a cheaper sire, they tend to play loose with it. For example, they are more likely to run a cheaper purchased horse in claimers or send it to the auction when the eye-popping numbers do not show up right away. (I am guilty of this as well.) The two examples from the forum were STARSPANGLEDBANNER & SAVABEEL. I have several examples from these sires where players either didn\u2019t figure out the distance, didn\u2019t give time to mature, or just flat out gave up on the horse too early. Whereas with the elite breds folks will usually hold on to them as long as they can because of the amount of BPs\/Creds invested.<\/p>\n\n\n\n DISCLAIMER: I drew a fake line in the sand based on talent rating. Good trainers can certainly get more out of lesser talented horses by finding the right spots for them.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n STARSPANGLED BANNER<\/strong> \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 70 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 4.2 for perspective. Allowing for full maturity, if you look at this sire\u2019s top 5 runners (all of which are rated just as good as the best horses that come out of any elite breeding) only 1 out of 5 earned graded honors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n SAVABEEL (AUS)<\/strong> \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 148 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 4.6 for perspective. Allowing for full maturity, if you look at this sire\u2019s top 5 runners (all of which are rated just as good as the best horses that come out of any elite breeding) only 1 out of 5 earned graded honors.<\/p>\n\n\n\n TWIRLING CANDY<\/strong> \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 138 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 4.5. Allowing for full maturity, if you look at this sire\u2019s top 5 runners (all of which are rated just as good as the best horses that come out of any elite breeding) only 3 out of 5 earned graded honors. One of the horses only earned one win which baffles me along with the other who is only a 50K Allowance winner to this point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n STANFORD<\/strong> – Progeny could have potentially produced 38 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 3.6. Allowing for full maturity, if you look at this sire\u2019s top 5 runners (all of which are rated just as good as the best horses that come out of any elite breeding) 0 out of 5 earned graded honors. In all cases these horses were never run in optimal conditions and in some cases were given up on very early and retired.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n A MORE PRACTICAL EXAMPLE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n The four sires above are rated much differently from one another, so to put this further in perspective these next few will be the same rating from the same year. The sire ratings used for this were the retro ratings from 2018 and it only looks at horses who were bred in that year. I chose this year as most horses would have found their full maturity already or mostly been retired. Please keep in mind this is from 2018 so the ratings mindset would have been drastically different than it is today.<\/u> (DISCLAIMER: Fractional Points are significant; I am doing a large amount of rounding to simplify the visual representation.)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Significantly Higher Rated<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n NOT A SINGLE DOUBT (AUS) – <\/strong>Progeny could have potentially produced 18 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 4.9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Slightly Higher Rated<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n ALL TOO HARD (AUS) \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 3 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 4.4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Same Rated<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n OASIS DREAM (GB)<\/strong> \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 62 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 5.5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n EXCEED AND EXCEL<\/strong> \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 38 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 5.2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n DUKE OF MARMALADE<\/strong> \u2013 Progeny could have potentially produced 5 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 4.6.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Slightly Lower Rated<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n GOLDEN HORN (GB) – <\/strong>Progeny could have potentially produced 30 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Significantly Lower Rated<\/u><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n DAWN APPROACH (IRE) – <\/strong>Progeny could have potentially produced 26 graded winners. Overall Average Breeding is 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n The purpose of this is to show that even sires rated less than their counterparts if paired up with better quality stock frequently produce just as good if not better runners. Now I didn\u2019t look up which of these sires for the 2018 year actually won the graded races, but the concept of having talented enough horses was there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n CONCLUSION<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n I want to point out I am not criticizing the player base in any manner, hell I am guilty of some of this behavior myself. However, the point that I am making is graded winners come in all shapes and sizes. Just because something costs cheaper doesn\u2019t mean the output will always be less talented. Now I am not saying that these horses have as good a chance at breeding the best horses like the elites, but what I am saying is that they do have their fair share of really good horses, however most players are looking for that instant gratification and when they don\u2019t find it, its off to the auction, claimers, or retirement. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Quality of Breeding in the game has seen a significant increase since last year\u2019s 2yo crop. If you frequent Slack<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":124228,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-63830","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63830","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/124228"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=63830"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63830\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":63832,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/63830\/revisions\/63832"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=63830"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=63830"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=63830"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}