{"id":6042,"date":"2008-05-24T09:31:47","date_gmt":"2008-05-24T09:31:47","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=6042"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=6042","title":{"rendered":"Field considers mutiny in a muddy Captain Hook renewal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!DOCTYPE HTML PUBLIC \"-\/\/W3C\/\/DTD HTML 4.01 Transitional\/\/EN\"\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/TR\/html4\/loose.dtd\"><html><head><title>Untitled Document<\/title><meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text\/html; charset=iso-8859-1\"><\/head><body><\/p>\n<p>New York has drawn a nice field of  good 3yo dirt routers for the tenth running  of the G2 <strong>Captain Hook Stakes<\/strong>. This is the first time the  $200k race has been run on a sloppy track, which turns out to be great for  some entrants and not so wonderful for others. The record time for the event  was set by <strong>Extortionist<\/strong>  in  2004; he was clocked in 1:47.1 for 9f. <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The 9-2 favorite is <strong>Fu Ming<\/strong>, a strapping son of Fusaichi  Pegasus. <em>Learfan55<\/em> (aka <em>Dundey<\/em>) has trained the colt to a  four-race win streak, including the G3 Barbara Walters Special last out. The  colt is a perfect 2 for 2 at a mile but has yet to run longer. With that lovely  108 he earned in the Walters, however, he has to be considered a serious threat  despite stretching out and running just his second graded race ever here. As  if his speed was not enough, Fu Ming likes to run in the rain. He&#8217;s got a win  and a pair of places on wet tracks. Dangerous horse.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Don&#8217;t often see <em>Foxon&#8217;s<\/em> horses running in this division of grades,  but he&#8217;s brought an excellent one in <strong>Change Of Scenery<\/strong>. He  pulled off a great win in the G3 Bluegrass Derby Trial with a 107SP. Add that  to the 104 he earned in the G3 Transylvania the race before for a fourth place,  and the Diamond Green colt has clearly earned his way to this race. Never tested  on an off track, but he&#8217;s still well-accomplished on fast and so far there  is no reason to doubt he&#8217;ll handle the mud. The <em>Foxon4<\/em> stable has  a live runner in this 6-1 colt. <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Unostable<\/em> (aka Snyder) has the 7-1 entry <strong>Storm Duck<\/strong>.  Also riding a four-race win streak, the Rahy colt just won his first stake  last out and jumps all the way up to G2 company today. Normally a big leap,  but Storm Duck has been winning easy enough to make this a no-brainer entry.  Have to like a horse stringing together three straight 100 SPs. He too is untested  on off, but again, no reason yet to think he&#8217;ll have a problem with the track  condition. <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Lucky&#8217;s Carpet<\/strong> took a couple of shots at a Bluegrass Derby  entry via lock preps, but couldn&#8217;t quite make it despite a huge second in the  G2 All Saints. The Kingmambo colt, owed by the <em>Naracing2<\/em> stable (aka <em>Mr  Lucky<\/em>)  starts at 9-1. Carpet&#8217;s last win was way back in October in an 85f listed stake.  Since then he was third in the G1 Arizona Diamond at 9f and of course did well  in the All Saints. He had a horrible outing in the Florida derby, but the colt  has two major advantages. First, lots of rest &#8211; he&#8217;s been off since the end  of March. Second, he&#8217;s a proven performer on a wet track. The Arizona Diamond  was run on a good surface, and he ran a then-excellent 93 and stuck it out  for third. not in top form now, but could well sneak in for a piece of the  pie.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><em>Stoners<\/em> has a very nice entry in his 9-1 <strong>CatCreeper<\/strong>. Running for the <em>Champions4<\/em> stable, the Tale Of The Cat coltpopped a huge 108 two back in an 8.5f listed stake. He immediately went for aderby lock prep as most sane trainers would, but alas the colt faced too-toughcompetition in the Corkscrew. May horses do much better their second shot atgraded company, and he&#8217;ll face an easier crowd here anyway. Perfect record ona good track, albeit a 7f allowance last December. Crafty trainer knows how toplace his 3yos for maximum success, keep an eye on this colt.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>At 10-1 is <strong>Tough Guy<\/strong>, running for the <em>Zbayou<\/em> stable  owned by <em>Lsumark<\/em>. The Macho Uno colt just earned a 102 in placing  second in the G2 Texas Derby last month. He&#8217;ll be stepping up in distance,  but with higher SPs the longer he&#8217;s been allowed to run I suspect he&#8217;ll handle  that just fine. The track condition, however, does not bode well. he&#8217;s run  fourth on a good track once, slowing down and posting a lower than normal SP. <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s not a graded event without a <em>Super<\/em> entry. <em>Super7<\/em> enters  the 12-1 <strong>Good Bad Ugly<\/strong>. The Unbridled&#8217;s Song colt has been  particularly effective at a mile, wining a pair of stakes and running third  in another. Anything longer and the colt just hasn&#8217;t performed all that well.  Granted, he was fourth in the G2 All Saints at 8.5f with a 101, but he was  clearly tiring in the stretch and ran well below par in a G1 at 9.5 and a DelPenn  stake at 10f. Shortening up will help, but is it short enough? Further, he  struggled on a good track in the Arizona Diamond. Would love to see what he  does when dropped back to a mile on a fast track.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The <em>Lurch<\/em>  stable (owned by <em>Ace<\/em>) enters the 13-1 <strong>Zaraki<\/strong> as  a confirmed mudlover. Zaraki won an Ireland stake at a mile on a good track  in December, then last out took third in the G2 Arkansas Derby at 9 on a good  track with a nice 96SP. He also took an 8.5f listed stake in February with  a 103. What I like about this colt is his enjoyment of a little rain and his  ability to change running styles when needed. He prefers to be on the lead,  but can also threaten from off the pace. <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also at 13-1 is <strong>Flying Bryan<\/strong>, trained by <em>Ascot<\/em> (aka <em>Euroalien<\/em>).  The Royal Academy colt went from wining a mile allowance to winning the G2  Federico at 9f with no problems. He looks like he might even want a bit more  ground, but classwise clearly belongs here. On an off track he does have a  perfect record. With a top SP of 100 Bryan&#8217;s a tad slower than his peers but  it&#8217;s clear he has significant room for improvement. One to watch.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The final 13-1 entrant is <strong>Shamalangadingdong<\/strong>, entered by <em>Stormcat55<\/em> (aka <em>Foxon<\/em>).  Not nearly as talented as his co-entry Change of Scenery, Shama nevertheless  earned entry via a solid second in the Federico last out. His loss by a mere  nose To Flying Bryan had to hurt. For racefans a rematch sure will not be an  unhappy occurrence. He is gradually improving SPs with each race, and appears  to have more to show as he is offered new challenges. Untested on a wet track,  so we&#8217;ll see how how Shama handles that. Would like to see him add a bit more  distance eventually.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Suited Ak<\/strong> was an early horse on the Bluegrass Derby trail  but a pair of 11th place finishes in killed that dream for owner <em>Chilichili<\/em> (aka <em>Chilimac<\/em>).  The colt actually did have the stakes points for entry, but after a mere third  in the Federico, bypassing the big dance made some  sense. So, the David Junior colt comes into this one decently rested and potentially  on an upswing. Was second by a nose in the G1 Arizona Diamond last year, so  has proven he can handle some mud in his face, and although inconsistent he&#8217;s  more than capable of running a big race for a win at 14-1 odds. <\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The <em>Tyedye<\/em> stable (owned by Big Oil &#8211; aka <em>LordPye<\/em>) enters  the 15-1 <strong>OfA Revolution<\/strong>. He is undefeated in three starts on an off dirt track,and even stakes-placed on a good turf track. This is a perfect place, then, torun the Rock Hard Ten colt for his 15th start. Revolution is a stakes winnerat 8.5, but in his lone 9f start pretty much stayed home, losing by over 10.If his love for mud overcomes his disdain for distance, he could pull off a shocker.High SP of 99 puts him within reach of the best of this field.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Also at 15-1 is <em>Otto&#8217;s<\/em> <strong>Perfect Haack<\/strong>. The quiet  American colt has an enviable 8:6-1-0 record, his only blemish an unusual sixth  in the G1 California Derby last out. Haack likes to run up on the lead, or  as close to it as he can manage, but he&#8217;s got the speed to make that work most  races. Despite the Cal Derby loss, I suspect he can handle the 9f distance,  but mud is another question he till has to answer. Top SP of 98 is good, and  backed up by a decent 96 as second-best effort.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The final entrant is the 22-1 <strong>City Fortress<\/strong>. <em>Crawford<\/em> runs  the City Zip colt from the <em>Fevolution<\/em> stable. Was fourth in the G2  Texas Derby last out at 8.5 after gradually moving up down the stretch. Fortress  is the only runner to have semi-succesfully (he was second in a listed stake)  negotiated 9.5f, indicating distance is not a big deal for the colt. odds would  be a lot better were it not for an uncharacteristic 66SP in a 9f stake in March,  so don&#8217;t write the Fortress off just yet. Untried on off dirt so have a hard  time giving him super support.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Have to really like the favored <strong>Fu Ming<\/strong> for his combination  of fast speeds and mud ability, but taking a chance on <strong>Zaraki<\/strong> or <strong>Flying  Bryan<\/strong>  also makes sense. If you&#8217;re looking for some value, take a close look at <strong>Of  A Revolution<\/strong>; you rarely get such long odds on a horse that has repeatedly  shown he likes mud. <\/p>\n<p><\/body><\/html><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Favored Fu Ming enjoys rain, but faces good mud lovers<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":373,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/373"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6042"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6042\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}