{"id":57808,"date":"2022-04-01T07:10:00","date_gmt":"2022-04-01T07:10:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=57808"},"modified":"2022-03-31T23:52:17","modified_gmt":"2022-03-31T23:52:17","slug":"how-to-improve-your-chance-to-get-better-sire-cards","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=57808","title":{"rendered":"How to Improve Your Chance to Get Better Sire Cards"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A few weeks ago, I published an article on the odds of drawing sire cards, from the low of G, to the High of A. I started to track my card drawings a couple of years ago and have not picked an A-card since I started my analysis. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the end of my article, I said that I’d like to take a look to see if certain days had a better percentage of drawing the better cards. It seemed, at least to me, that I was picking better cards on Saturdays compared to other days in the week. I rolled up my sleeves to see if there was any truth to my assumption. I opened up my spreadsheet and fortunately, I kept track with dates. My first dilemma was to determine the day of week. So I went to the top of the spreadsheet and opened up my computer’s calendar and determined the first day I started was on a Monday. So I inserted a new column typed Monday in the first cell, and followed that with the rest of the week. Then I dragged it down the 2,000+ rows I have. Then sorted by days of the week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After scrolling down the sheet, I realized there were some dates where I did not have any runners. My first dilemma was in front of me. Actually, there were quite a few dates where I had no runners. So it took some time to go line by line and readjust everything.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Finally, I had my data corrected. Before I move on to my analysis, it’s important to see where the data started. Below is a chart where the first line reflects the data I collected on 3\/10 when I wrote my article earlier this week. The second part is the data as of 3\/30. Not much difference in the percentages with the addition of 330 races.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/td># of cards<\/td>G-Card<\/td>F-Card<\/td>E-Card<\/td>D-Card<\/td>C-Card<\/td>B-Card<\/td>A-Card<\/td><\/tr>
As of 3\/10\/222<\/td>       21,149<\/td>       17,669<\/td>             2,901<\/td>                488<\/td>                   71<\/td>                     15<\/td>                     5<\/td>               \u2013  <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.50%<\/td>13.70%<\/td>2.30%<\/td>0.336%<\/td>0.071%<\/td>0.024%<\/td>0.000%<\/td><\/tr>
As of 3\/30\/22<\/td>       21,427<\/td>       17,899<\/td>             2,943<\/td>                493<\/td>                   72<\/td>                     15<\/td>                     5<\/td>               –  <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.53%<\/td>13.74%<\/td>2.30%<\/td>0.336%<\/td>0.070%<\/td>0.023%<\/td>0.000%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Now to look at the data I stripped and sorted by the day of the week. I expected that Saturday would have the largest number of cards as that is the big race day each week. Roughly 43% of the cards I drew were on Saturday. As for the card selection….for each day of the week, the G, F, E and D cards are pretty much drawn in the same percentages as above. The C and B are much harder to pull and with only 20 of them to account for, I can’t say that there is any particular day that these would have a better chance of being drawn. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/td># of cards<\/td>G-Card<\/td>F-Card<\/td>E-Card<\/td>D-Card<\/td>C-Card<\/td>B-Card<\/td>A-Card<\/td><\/tr>
Sunday<\/td>         2,266<\/td>         1,896<\/td>                312<\/td>                  50<\/td>                     6<\/td>                       2<\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.67%<\/td>13.77%<\/td>2.21%<\/td>0.26%<\/td>0.09%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td> <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Monday<\/td>         1,339<\/td>         1,117<\/td>                185<\/td>                  33<\/td>                     4<\/td> <\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.42%<\/td>13.82%<\/td>2.46%<\/td>0.30%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td> <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Tuesday<\/td>         1,236<\/td>         1,036<\/td>                171<\/td>                  26<\/td>                     2<\/td> <\/td>                     1<\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.82%<\/td>13.83%<\/td>2.10%<\/td>0.16%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.08%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td> <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Wednesday<\/td>         1,597<\/td>         1,335<\/td>                218<\/td>                  37<\/td>                     5<\/td>                       2<\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.59%<\/td>13.65%<\/td>2.32%<\/td>0.31%<\/td>0.13%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td> <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Thursday<\/td>         2,756<\/td>         2,300<\/td>                382<\/td>                  60<\/td>                   10<\/td>                       3<\/td>                     1<\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.45%<\/td>13.86%<\/td>2.18%<\/td>0.36%<\/td>0.11%<\/td>0.04%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td> <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Friday<\/td>         2,987<\/td>         2,495<\/td>                409<\/td>                  66<\/td>                   13<\/td>                       3<\/td>                     1<\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.53%<\/td>13.69%<\/td>2.21%<\/td>0.44%<\/td>0.10%<\/td>0.03%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td> <\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td><\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Saturday<\/td>         9,246<\/td>         7,715<\/td>             1,265<\/td>                221<\/td>                   32<\/td>                       5<\/td>                     2<\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
 <\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>83.44%<\/td>13.68%<\/td>2.39%<\/td>0.35%<\/td>0.05%<\/td>0.02%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
Totals<\/td>       21,427<\/td>       17,899<\/td>             2,943<\/td>                493<\/td>                   72<\/td>                     15<\/td>                     5<\/td>               –  <\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

A little disappointing in a way but the analysis pretty much supports that the day of the week has no favoritism to a Saturday or any other day. I guess that the reason I believe that Saturday was a “Hotter” day to get the better cards is just solely that I drew so many more cards on that day.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I did get a little bit more curious about the data. So I reshuffled my data and cut\/pasted the data by year, side by side. Then ran totals to see if any particular dates might have something to it. And I stumbled on something. First date I looked at was Christmas Day. And to my surprise, I found that only 61% of the cards I drew on that day were G-cards. Meaning 39% were higher cards (compared to about 16.5% normally)! Were we, as players, getting a holiday present we did not know?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I looked further and found a few more. New Years day had 30% chance of drawing better cards…4th of July was about 34% and Armistice Day was nearly 29%. These percentages are roughly double the normal percentages. It appears that some holidays may be set up to generate a better chance to draw non-G rated cards. The chart below reflects my data. But…there is one date that does even better than these…nearly 50%<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/td># of cards<\/td>G-Card<\/td>F-Card<\/td>E-Card<\/td>D-Card<\/td>C-Card<\/td>B-Card<\/td>A-Card<\/td><\/tr>
Christmas<\/td>               60<\/td>               37<\/td>                  15<\/td>                     4<\/td>                     3<\/td>                       1<\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>61.67%<\/td>25.00%<\/td>6.67%<\/td>5.00%<\/td>1.67%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
New Years<\/td>               44<\/td>               31<\/td>                    7<\/td>                     5<\/td>                     1<\/td> <\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>70.45%<\/td>15.91%<\/td>11.36%<\/td>2.27%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
July 4th<\/td>               50<\/td>               33<\/td>                  11<\/td>                     5<\/td>                     1<\/td> <\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>66.00%<\/td>22.00%<\/td>10.00%<\/td>2.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr>
Armistice Day<\/td>               49<\/td>               35<\/td>                    6<\/td>                     4<\/td>                     3<\/td>                       1<\/td> <\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
<\/td>Percentage of Cards<\/td>71.43%<\/td>12.24%<\/td>8.16%<\/td>6.12%<\/td>2.04%<\/td>0.00%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Holidays do look like beneficial dates to race, at least if you aim to collect cards rated higher than a G-card. There is one date that you have a 50% chance of drawing better than a G-card. My results of this day are reflected below. Pretty incredible that over the 3-years of data that I reviewed, and each and every year, the data was consistent on this day. Year 1 was 52% for non-G cards, Year 2 was 47% and Year 3 was 51%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

# of cards<\/td>G-Card<\/td>F-Card<\/td>E-Card<\/td>D-Card<\/td>C-Card<\/td>B-Card<\/td>A-Card<\/td><\/tr>
               55<\/td>               28<\/td>                    8<\/td>                     9<\/td>                     5<\/td>                       4<\/td>1<\/td> <\/td><\/tr>
Percentage of Cards<\/td>50.91%<\/td>14.55%<\/td>16.36%<\/td>9.09%<\/td>7.27%<\/td>1.82%<\/td>0.00%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

I’m sure you are curious as to what day this is? I sit here contemplating whether or not I should share it. Part of me wants to be greedy and wants to keep this to myself. It would mean better chances for me to get desired cards and exchange them for hopefully better sires. And part of me says I should share this…I already put it out there. Ok…so I will share. The date that you can draw better cards is April 1st. Happy Picking (hope I gotcha!)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A few weeks ago, I published an article on the odds of drawing sire cards, from the low of G,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":363,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57808","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57808","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/363"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=57808"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57808\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":57809,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57808\/revisions\/57809"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=57808"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=57808"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=57808"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}