{"id":5681,"date":"2008-03-28T10:25:34","date_gmt":"2008-03-28T10:25:34","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=5681"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=5681","title":{"rendered":"Crazy Possiblities in SAND CASTLE Derby Lock!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\" http:\/\/farm1.static.flickr.com\/216\/521053580_b8a6c52453.jpg \" align=\"left\" Width=\"400\" height=\"250\"><Font color=#006400><strong>Sand Castle Derby &#8212; Derby Lock Prep Stakes<\/strong><br \/>Grade I<br \/>A mile and one eighth on the Sloppy Dirt Course<br \/>$500,000 <br \/>All horses, 3 years old<br \/>Stakes record \u2013 2003 \u2013 Wolf Of Queensland, 1:48 3\/5, SPF 103.067<\/font><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><font color=#006400>Besides the obvious story that the winner here gets an automatic bid to the Bluegrass Derby we have lots of sub plots. One may be a bit of surprise to you.  In all of the races that I\u2019ve written up for the BTB and that is a substantial number, I\u2019ve never had a race where every participant was bred to a retired mare.  I thought that this might be the first one but <b>EXTERMINATE<\/b> is our only horse entered without a \u201cMommy\u201d so to speak.  It was close but not quite.  The other big story here is the fact that it looks like we are going to continue to see rain in Dubai.  The course is a mess right now and doesn\u2019t look to be getting any better and that should really throw a wrench into the plans of many of these trainers.  Most of these youngsters have never run on an off track and no one really knows how they will react.  It could be a mud wrestling match for the winner with no real idea of who will overcome that obstacle. So throw out the Morning Line and it could be anyone\u2019s race. One other side bar to the race is the fact that we have some of the best known trainers in the Sim with an entry in this race. That always makes it fun, it is great to race against the best in the business.  One way or another, rain or not, the crowd will be crazy and the racing may match so let\u2019s take a look:<\/font><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p><PP#1><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>1 &#8211; CRAZED(KY)<\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>10\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> MalekFarms <\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>16.6%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>T.Tippett<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 51 &#8211; 0 &#8211; 3 &#8211; 6 &#8211; 0%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>103.40<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$113,774<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>127<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>(EMPIRE MAKER x FORTY NINER x STORM CAT GOLD out of TRAVIS BICKLE)   One of only four horse that has performed on Sloppy tracks in the race, this beautifully bred colt showed last time out that he loves the mud.  He ran his best race and won going away with a sizzling 103 SPF in the rainy REVIRADO CHALLENGE over nine panels. That was his first Stakes win in five tries but has to really put a smile on the faces of both trainer MalekFarms and the well known AFC Stables. Whether that race was a three year old coming of age or one that just found out that he really likes an off track, he has a very real chance here of stealing a spot in the Bluegrass.  One worry is jockey Tippett who is still looking for his first win in over 50 races of trying this year.  Hopefully he won\u2019t catch too much mud in the saddle and weigh this horse down! <PP#2><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>2 &#8211; PLAYOFFS(KY)<\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#00640011\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>2ToTango<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>15.1%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>G.Ayso<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 122 &#8211; 7 &#8211; 13 &#8211; 17 &#8211; 6%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>97.38<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$100,740<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>75<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>(A.P. INDY x SEEKING THE GOLD x IN REALITY out of HIDE AND CHIC)  This lightly raced big chestnut colt has steadily improved for trainer 2ToTango and the TwoOfUs Stables.  He seemed to tire last time out over nine furlongs and may be better at a bit shorter distance. This will be his first outing on an off track and has never run on the grass either which can sometimes be a good indicator of performance in the mud.  Ayso is in the irons and has been struggling this year even though he gets plenty of good mounts.  All in all, this race could be a tough spot for this talented colt. <PP#3><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>3 &#8211; LIFELESS PULP(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>12\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>Rori<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>18.3%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>F.McNabb<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 28 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 4 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 7%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>99.75<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$92,315<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>68<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400> (SMART STRIKE x DANZIG x SECRETARIAT out of DAN\u2019S QUEEN)  Fortunately, this pretty brown filly has raced much better than her name sounds for trainer Rori and the Pierchinski  Stables. This will be her second race against the boys, she finished a very respectable third last time out in the GIII TOMMY WAYNE JOHNSON STAKES with a nice 99 SPF.  This will be her first time on an off track which is unfortunate as I think she has a chance to sneak in there on a fast track.  She is a deep closer that may have a problem slogging through the muck.  She is ridden by McNabb who has been riding like they are all through muck this year as he has disappointed his backers on his mounts this year.  It looks like a lot for this filly to overcome. <PP#4><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>4 &#8211; GARDEN SOCIETY(ENG) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>8\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>DarthMaul<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>15.0%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>Q.Cassell<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 173 &#8211; 25 &#8211; 19 &#8211; 24 &#8211; 14%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>99.74<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 285,240<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>22<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( GREEN DESERT x WOODMAN x STORM BIRD out of SOCIALLY CYRRIUS)  This big brown colt has made a habit of wining every other race since his second outing so he has won exactly half of his ten races.  Unfortunately for trainer DarthMaul and my boss\u2019s SnowChief Stables, he won last time out so if his form holds true he won\u2019t hit the circle this time.  It will be his first time out on the sloppy stuff as well and it is hard to predict how he will react to that problem.  Fortunately for this team they have Cassell in the leather and he is a jockey that knows how to overcome this sort of thing.  This colt ran his best SPF with a 99 last time out and he looks to be ready with his come from behind style but I\u2019m afraid to back him with the unknown reaction to the mud and his bounce back history. <PP#5><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>5 &#8211; HIPPIE GRASS(ENG)<\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>19\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>Jockster2<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>7.1%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>Q.Belfatto<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 35 &#8211; 1 &#8211; 5 &#8211; 4 &#8211; 3%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>99.75<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 123,498<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>83<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( GENEROUS(IRE) x RAINBOW QUEST x DEVIL&#8217;S BAG out of FAST AS A FEATHER)  At first glance you might wonder if this chestnut colt is ready to run with the favorites in this race.  As a matter of fact he is getting no love from the Morning Line at all.  I guarantee that trainer Jockster has a big grin on his face this week though as the rain continues to pour down. He knows that this colt is a \u201cmudder\u201d with a perfect two for two record in the muck.  Granted those wins were both against smaller and less talented fields than this crew but nonetheless it certainly gives pause for hope for the JPritchett Stables that they could possibly have a runner in the Bluegrass Derby this year.  Jockey Belfatto is holding the reins and he has only one win this year in limited action, that certainly won\u2019t help the cause.  We will have to watch this colt and see if he can get enough speed to compete in this race on his beloved mud. <PP#6><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>6 &#8211; LUCKY&#8217;S MASH(ENG) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>14\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>OhioRacing<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>24.3%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>V.Byrd <\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 32 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 0 &#8211; 5 &#8211; 6%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>97.65<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$92,830<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>115<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( WITH APPROVAL x KRIS(GB) x DAMASCUS out of DANDY DELIGHT)  Until his last race, this beautiful light grey colt had been on a nice roll with continued improvement and seven straight on the board.  He took a bit of a step back in that last race though with a bit of a bounce in SPF and a fifth place finish in the GII FELIPE ALOU Hdcp.  He is an extremely deep closer that may have a bit more trouble catching up against more talent but looks like he should be able to compete.  This will be his first trip in the mud for trainer OhioRacing and if his one turf race is any indicator he may be able to handle it.  He is running under the colors of the leader of the Ohio Rez, Mr. Lucky and will be ridden by Byrd in the race who is having one of his worst statistical years of his fourteen in the saddle. Perhaps he is slowing down a bit but this team hopes he doesn\u2019t slow down this talented colt. <PP#7><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>7 &#8211; JESUS WALKS(KY)<\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>6\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>Milesius<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>10.6%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>H.Harzheim<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 213 &#8211; 63 &#8211; 33 &#8211; 31 &#8211; 30%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>102.37<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$441,635<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>4<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( CAME HOME x PULPIT x MEADOWLAKE out of WALKING ON WATER)  An interesting story for you here as I ran into trainer Milesius of the CV Bear Racing Empire and asked about his favored colt in this race.  He told me, &#8220;Officially, Jesus Walks is off the Derby Trail. However, this week&#8217;s races came up very limited in places I can run and prep him for the long-range goal of the Cosmopolitan Handicap on Memorial Day weekend. This field seems less tough, plus the slop can only help him train better for that race two months down the line. But even if he wins, I don&#8217;t think the Derby will be his next start. In fact, his next race is scheduled to be the Derby TRIAL, instead. I&#8217;m not trying to stop anyone from getting to the Derby in this &#8220;lock&#8221; race, but my options for what I&#8217;m trying to do with the horse are limited, and I&#8217;m not prepared to turn him back to a mile just yet. I&#8217;m not that enthusiastic about him getting nine furlongs, but one way or another, I&#8217;m thinking of my long-range plan. <\/p>\n<p>If he wins, I&#8217;m probably still not going to the Derby with him. But unless he really loves the muck in Dubai, I don&#8217;t think I have to worry about it. I expect that he&#8217;ll go to the Derby Trial off this effort ready to score big, and prepared to do great things through the rest of the spring.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>So there you have it, even if he wins he may pass on the Bluegrass. He is a two time Graded winner with the tracks best jockey in the saddle.  Can he overcome the mud and \u201cmuddy\u201d up the Derby field?  Stay tuned!!<PP#8><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>8 &#8211; PRO MON(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 font color=#006400>11\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>MardiGras<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>20.4%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>G.Harmon<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>84 &#8211; 8 &#8211; 9 &#8211; 4 &#8211; 10% <\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>97.01<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 80,440<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>69<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( MARIA&#8217;S MON x STORM CAT x MR. PROSPECTOR out of PRO CAT)  The bad news is that this nice looking cream colored colt has not won a race in just under a year.  The good news for trainer MardiGras and the Pierchinski Stables is that the win was on an off track. He has been competitive at the top levels since that race but couldn\u2019t quite find the circle.  Wouldn\u2019t this be a great place to turn that around?!?  They have the capable if unspectacular hands of jockey Harmon on the reins and it will be interesting to see if this colt can remember back to that maiden race in the muck to win once again.  He finished strong in his last race with a late close and may be ready to turn the corner here.   <PP#9><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>9 &#8211; FANTASTIC MIX(FR)<\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>9\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>SpadeRacin<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>12.7%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>V.Carpenter<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 35 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 6%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>104.04<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 363,605<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>148<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( LINAMIX(FR) x FANTASTIC LIGHT x AFFIRMED out of DAD IS CRAZY) An interesting strategy here for trainer SpadeRacin and the Worldwide Stables.  They have a lightly raced colt that has never raced on the dirt but is number eight ranked on the turf in his five races.  He is a Grade I winner at this distance and many times good turf runners do well in the mud.  Could this team sneak in here and steal a spot in the biggest dirt race of all?  They may be hampered by the anchor that jockey Carpenter has become this year with his dismal stats.  This colt certainly knows how to win and he is loaded with talent but it remains to be seen if he can translate all of that speed on the green stuff to a win in the deep brown stuff. <PP#10><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>10 &#8211; PANTALAIMON(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>10\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>BunSay<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>19.3%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>J.Cool<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 36 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 4 &#8211; 3 &#8211; 6%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>96.75<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 79,110<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>169<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( SMARTY JONES x DEPUTY MINISTER x STEPHEN GOT EVEN out of DEMON SOUL)  This colt is obviously named for the Daemon in the <i>\u201cHis Dark Materials\u201d<\/i> trilogy and is known for changing forms, ranging from a leopard to a dragon, but his favorite forms are a snow-white ermine, a moth, a wildcat, and a mouse.  It remains to be seen if he can change back into the colt that won his only race on a sloppy track in the MINE DEVASTATION BONANZA Stakes last November for trainer BunSay and the Super Stables. He will have to overcome the evil ridings of jockey Cool who seems more like he\u2019s been riding dinosaurs this year than horses with his poor stats.  This colt is a bit of an enigma with an up and down career in both Stakes races and off tracks. He looks to have the talent but like his namesake, he keeps on changing.<PP#11><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>11 &#8211; EXTERMINATE(ENG) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>12\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>YoungGroup<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>18.9%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>T.Miller<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 36 &#8211; 5 &#8211; 2 &#8211; 1 &#8211; 14%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>100.58<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 106,110<\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>67<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( RED RANSOM x FUSAICHI PEGASUS x RAISE A NATIVE)   As mentioned earlier, this is the only colt in the race that hasn\u2019t been bred from a retired mare. His nice pedigree is all his own.  To races back, this colt ran a sizzling triple digit SPF then bounced a bit last time out with a ninth place finish in the GIII TOMMY WAYNE JOHNSON Stakes well behind a couple of other horses in this race.  Trainer YoungGroup is certainly hoping that race was an aberration and he is ready to get back to his more consistent finishes on the board.  Jockey Miller has been having one of his best years amongst his fourteen of experience and will be proudly wearing the colors of the Tees Stables from Australia.  If this colt can get it back on track he will still have to contend with the off track for the first time in his career.  Lots of questions with this colt that hope to be answered in this race.  <PP#12><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>12 &#8211; BLUEGRASS MYSTERY(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>9\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>Correction<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>27.8%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>B.Friedrich<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 27 &#8211; 3 &#8211; 1 &#8211; 1 &#8211; 11 %<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>102.94<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 111,100 <\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>114<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( BLUEGRASS CAT x MINESHAFT x SADLER&#8217;S WELLS out of INTO THE DARKNESS)   After a solid but undistinguished career as a two year old, this colt seemed to have turned on the switch around Christmas of last year.  In his last three races he has two wins and a third and one of those wins was on an off track although admittedly it was in an allowance and only on a GOOD rated track but had a nice 96 SPF.  Last time out he threw a 102 SPF and may be ready to really make some noise in this three year old campaign.  Trainer Correction and the famous DixieDotco Stables would like nothing better than to see him make a whole lot of noise here.  He has Friedrich in the leather and he\u2019s been capable if unspectacular this year.  This team has all the making of pulling a bit of a surprise in this race. <PP#13><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>13 &#8211; PYRALIS(KY) <\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF> EARNINGS <\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>10\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>KBSweet<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>12.0%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>S.L.Ledwith<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 202 &#8211; 39 &#8211; 42 &#8211; 20 &#8211; 19 %<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>100.05<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 1,075,460 <\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>9<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400>( BANDINI x FOREST WILDCAT x WILD AGAIN out of HOLLYWOOD CATFIGHT)  Popular trainer KBSweet has had a ball with this award winning colt.  He narrowly missed winning both the World Cup and Breeders Bowl last year with second place finishes in each then dispelled any thoughts of a sophomore slump with a GIII win in the SILVER FENCE DERBY with a triple digit SPF earlier this year. He has more than a $million in earnings and a top ten ranking to flash around for the Keely Stables and their green and white silks. He is a mid pack stalker that may be able to stay ahead of the late closing crowd in this race.  He will be facing an off track for the first time but has the gaudy stats of jockey S.L.Ledwith to help him out in that regard.  You certainly can never count this colt out in any race he enters and Keely would love to see him lock up a spot in the Derby early. <PP#14><\/p>\n<p><TABLE BORDER=5 >\t<TR>\t\t<TH ROWSPAN=2 bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>14 &#8211; INDY PROSPECTOR(FL) <\/<\/font><\/TH>\t    \t<TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>ODDS<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>OWNER<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor==#FFFFFF>JOCKEY<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>WIN%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>TOP SPEED<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>EARNINGS<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#006400 fontcolor=#FFFFFF>RANK<\/TH><\/font>\t<\/TR>\t<TR>\t\t<TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>7\/1<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>MayFlowers<\/TH><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>24.8%<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>D.Lakencher<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400> 107 &#8211; 21 &#8211; 10 &#8211; 14 &#8211; 20 %<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>99.54<\/TH><\/font> <TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>$ 578,530 <\/T><\/font><TH bgcolor=#66CC00 fontcolor=#006400>32<\/T><\/font><\/TR><\/TABLE><br \/><font color=#006400> (INDY KING x BROAD BRUSH x MR. PROSPECTOR out of BLING BLING)  Our only colt here that also ran in the ALL SAINTS Derby Lock and few weeks ago where he finished a rather disappointing ninth. He has finished first or second in nine of twelve races with two Graded wins and two additional Stakes wins but seems to like the shorter distances better.  Trainer Mayflowers and the Fortune 500 Stables are really trying to get this guy into the Bluegrass and surely hope here that he takes to the off track which he has never run on previously.  He is just outside the rankings to get into the big race and need something to happen soon to move up in the rankings.  They have Lakencher in the irons and he knows how to bring them home.  I worry about both the distance and the mud with this colt but perhaps he can pull a big surprise from the outside post and get his owners through to Derby week. <Font color=#006400><\/p>\n<p><strong> Morning Line = 7-14-4-9-12<\/strong><br \/><strong> Paz Picks = 1-9-7-13-5<\/strong><\/p>\n<hr>\n<p>With the weather forecast I am throwing out my Daily Racing Form and really going out on a limb with my picks. I like <b> HIPPIE GRASS <\/b> to finish fifth just because he seems to really like to mud wrestle.  In fourth I have the super talented colt of Miss Keely,  <b> PYRALIS <\/b> who I may have chosen to win this thing on a dry track. <b> JESUS WALKS <\/b>  could throw a monkey wrench into the entire thing with a win here and I think he has enough to finish in the top three.  That leaves my top two picks and I am sure that several of you will laugh at these.  I have  <b> FANTASTIC MIX <\/b> who had never even run on the dirt in my number two slot. I just have a feeling that his turf experience will translate into a good run in the mud.  That leaves my really \u201ccrazy\u201d pick for  <b> CRAZED <\/b> who has the off track experience and the speed to burn in this race.  A 1-9 Exacta will give you some rent money for awhile and really shake up the Bluegrass Watch Standings that Trotter does such an excellent job with.  I can\u2019t wait to see how this one pans out!<\/p>\n<p><b>Good luck to all runners!<\/p>\n<p>Email your comments to <a href=\"mailto:pazjazz.btb@gmail.com\"><font color=blue>pazjazz.btb@gmail.com<\/font><\/a>I love to hear from you!<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/darsebay.homestead.com\/PazJazz_Logo.gif\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Weather could be a big factor!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":321,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5681","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5681","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/321"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5681"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5681\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5681"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5681"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5681"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}