{"id":5670,"date":"2008-03-27T02:25:13","date_gmt":"2008-03-27T02:25:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=5670"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=5670","title":{"rendered":"Many Chances in Malaysian Grade 3"},"content":{"rendered":"

Race 15 on this week\u2019s Malaysia<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> card is the Llama Enforcer Stakes<\/I>. This Grade 3 classic dates back to 2001, and has been conducted annually here at the Malaysia<\/st1:place><\/st1:country-region> track each year since. Carrying a purse of $125,000 the seven furlong dirt sprint has attracted a field of eleven three year olds, all of whom are bound to have plenty of support in a most evenly matched field.<\/P>

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First, however, we\u2019ll revisit history with a quick look at the earlier winners of this event:<\/P>

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2001 <\/B>\u2013 Seeking The Sun <\/B>\u2013 jsimpson \u2013 1.22.2 \u00a0<\/SPAN>\u2013 107 \u2013 Retired winner of $242k.<\/P>

2002 <\/B>– \u00a0<\/SPAN>Whatsmyname <\/B>\u2013 retired owner \u2013 1.22.8 \u2013 100 \u2013 winner of \u00a0<\/SPAN>$1m. <\/o:p><\/I><\/P>

2003 \u2013<\/B> Atakachaw<\/B> \u2013 cadiz<\/st1:City><\/st1:place> \u2013 1.22.2 \u00a0<\/SPAN>\u2013 109 \u2013 Active winner of $1.7m. <\/P>

2004 \u2013<\/B> Black Cielo<\/B> \u2013 gene \u2013 1.22.4 \u2013 105 \u2013 Active winner of $328k. <\/P>

2005 \u2013 Strike\u2019em Slew<\/B> \u2013 emanone \u2013 1.22.2 \u2013 102 \u2013 Active winner of $338k. <\/P>

2006 \u2013<\/B> Narayan<\/B> \u2013 eternity \u2013 1.22.8 \u2013 96 \u2013 active winner of $225k. <\/P>

2006 \u2013<\/B> Top Notch Hero<\/B> \u2013 tmaria \u2013 1.23.0 \u2013 94 \u2013 active winner of $177k. <\/P>

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Historically this race has been won in very smart time, although the last two years have seen, for the first and second time only, the winners greeting the judge without registering triple digit speed ratings. Although the roll of honour is not littered with household sim names, the race is invariably taken out by a capable, consistent runner, and we should expect no less from this years renewal.<\/P>

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Let\u2019s work through the formguide for this year\u2019s event:<\/P>

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The inside gate will be occupied by Paradise Cove, <\/B>a superbly bred, lightly raced up and comer who has never failed to occupy the podium thus far in his six start career. Scratchbred by his trainer Lawyerron<\/B>, and carrying the blood of A.P. Indy \/ Seeking The Gold \/ Pleasant Colony<\/I>, his formcard is evenly balanced across the primary finishing positions, with two wins, two seconds and two thirds. He\u2019s edging closer to the inevitable black type win, having run third in an ungraded stake two starts back, and going one better last time out when impressively finishing second, beaten only by the extra smart Sardini<\/B>, the winner of California<\/st1:State><\/st1:place>\u2019s G1-Movieland Futurity<\/I> last December. The distance here looks made to order, as he was closing over six in that race two starts back (the only time he hasn\u2019t led) and his two runs over the route trips have seen him fading late. Split the difference and there\u2019s a good chance connections have found the ideal trip. He\u2019s knocking on the door of the triple digit speed rating, having returned a 98 at his most recent appearance, and he\u2019s improving steadily enough to suggest the target rating is imminent. I\u2019d expect Paradise Cove<\/B> to take full advantage of the inside draw and lead once again. He has the services of a capable hoop in H. O\u2019Connell<\/I> and is sure to give his supporters plenty to cheer for in the run.<\/P>

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Barrier 2 is the starting place for Mach Pelican<\/B>, a lightly raced colt with untapped potential. With just five runs under his belt, he\u2019s graduated from maiden, to dual stakes winner and then to a graded placing when second last time out, behind I Don\u2019t Get It<\/B> in Florida<\/st1:State><\/st1:place>\u2019s G3-Swale Stakes<\/I> four weeks ago. As we\u2019d expect from a young colt on the way up, the speed figures just keep getting better. His last run saw him run under 1.22.4, beaten less than two lengths when the winner ran 1.22 dead. That\u2019s the sort of time we\u2019ll be expecting the winner to post this week, so a repeat of his last run sees him in with a genuine chance. Natural improvement could well see him taking home the major share of the cake. Mach Pelican<\/B> is a son of Ghostzapper<\/I> from Salubrious<\/B> (Storm Cat \/ Forty Niner<\/I>), a grade 3 winner herself and also dam of the stakes winning Salmon Hater<\/B>. Breeder \/ trainer Newastin1<\/B> looks to have the best of the mare\u2019s four progeny to date, here with this colt, as he looks set to go from strength to strength. Accustomed to settling back in his races, it will come as no surprise to see him bring up the rear in a race where most of his opposition tends to settle closer to the lead. It will also come as no surprise to see him storming home in the closing stages.<\/P>

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Cheap Thrillers<\/B> alights from barrier 3. More than most of his opposition, he has current form concerns, having faltered at each of his last five attempts, after having looked capable of anything earlier on in his juvenile career. Balancing those concerns, however, is the fact that he returns to sprinting, where his record reads two wins, a second and a third from four races. To an independent observer, it may appear that connections gave him too many chances to develop into a Derby<\/st1:City><\/st1:place> prospect, and assessors who look just at his most recent races, without taking his sprinting credentials into account, may well rue their decision. Cheap Thrillers<\/B> is a scratchbred son of Danehill Dancer \/ Fappiano \/ Northern Dancer<\/I> and as a member of the Worldwide<\/B> stable, he\u2019ll race in the famous super<\/B> silks. His speed numbers and recent form are both measures for concern, but his sprinting record may point to value, particularly in the exotics. He established his class with his juvenile win the G3-Montana Futurity<\/I>, and ran a strong second behind the talented Ghost In A Dancer<\/B> at Grade 2 level last September. He\u2019ll settle off the pace and while many may expect him to falter, I\u2019m not among them. The 13\/1 looks top value for a colt with such a strong sprinting record.<\/P>

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Gate 4 is the starting position for Quincy<\/B>, a winner of three from four since being transferred to dirt racing. He steps up to some solid opposition here, but with quality victories at each of his last two, an allowance and an ungraded stake, he\u2019s earned the chance to add some graded black type to the form page. His first three races on the grass were solid enough, but he improved many lengths instantly when shifted to the dirt. While his exposed times are still four or five lengths shy of this week\u2019s likely requirement, there are no bonuses for winning margins, and you only need to go faster than the horses you line up against. Quincy<\/B><\/st1:City><\/st1:place> is a son of Vindication<\/I>, the first progeny of Salek<\/B> (Mr Greeley \/ Silver Deputy<\/I> \u2013 and I couldn\u2019t help but smile when I browsed the breeding of this colts little sister: good luck with Tuginda<\/B>). This smart colt has by far surpassed his maiden dam on the track, and he\u2019s taken each step convincingly for breeder trainer Disturbed<\/B>. Connections haven\u2019t fared all that well in the jockey lottery, and perhaps that goes part of the way to explain how this colt has ended up as the outsider of the field at 18\/1. It takes a brave bettor to ignore a last start stakeswinner with a career record of three wins from four dirt runs. He could easily add plenty of value to the exotics.<\/P>

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From 5 comes Cat N D House<\/B>, and there will be no shortage of stable followers lining up to give the bookies a serve if they open their boards at the pre-post price of 15\/1. Yes, he\u2019s an unknown quantity at this level. But he\u2019s also the only unbeaten runner in the field. With just the two runs over the six and a half, he shaved four fifths of a second of his initial winning time when competing in allowance company five weeks ago, and it will require only a tad of natural maturity for the Mirasol<\/B> bred and trained colt to advance to the triple digit speed rating likely to be asked for from the winner of this event. Cat N D House <\/B>is from the initial crop of the high performing Storm Cat<\/I> sire Bluegrass Cat<\/I>, and is the first foal of the well bred but poorly performed Bold Cr\u00e8me<\/B> (Seeking the Gold \/ Housebuster<\/I>). His jockey hasn\u2019t started the year in a blaze of glory, winning just once from forty nine mounts, but he\u2019s a far better rider than that. D. Howard<\/I> should be able to find a spot a length or so behind the leaders, and if he can duplicate the tactics applied in the colts first two runs, then he may be able to improve this years woeful figures. It\u2019s a big jump from allowance to Graded racing, but this bloke has handled his initial tests with such authority that this may well be the last time such a generous price is offered about his chances.<\/P>

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Belong to Who<\/B> takes his place in barrier 6. He boasts the most impressive strike rate of nine wins from his thirteen trips to the races, and we can virtually call that nine from a dozen, given that he was clearly uncomfortable is his only attempt at the route journey. His versatility is a handy problem for his connections to have, considering that he\u2019s won four on the dirt and five on the grass. Interestingly, he\u2019s unbeaten on the green stuff, but that doesn\u2019t deter his trainer from running him on this surface, where he\u2019s accumulated the majority of his prizemoney. As suggested in his name, Belong to Who<\/B> is a son of Belong to Me<\/I>, from the Crafty Prospector \/ Sadlers Wells<\/I> mare Cover Glass<\/B>, a winner of three from twenty four. His career highlight thus far is his victory as a two year old in the G2-High Roller\u2019s Juvenile<\/I>, and his top speed rating to date is a winning 99, underlining his ability. He\u2019s unlikely to want to lead the field in the run, but, again stressing his range of capabilities, he\u2019s proven equally adept at either camping just off the pace, or settling well back in the field and unwinding a solid finishing burst. Dundey4<\/B> is spoilt for choice with the options open for the future, he\u2019ll be superbly ridden by a top jockey and stable supporters should have no qualms about putting the money up again this week.<\/P>

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In gate 7 we find Awesome Nugget, <\/B>a colt who has been given every chance to establish himself at the ungraded stakes level, before retuning to the graded ranks. In a career of eight starts, his only finish beyond second place came at just his third run, when he ran fifth behind Storm Empire<\/B>, in a full field of two year olds in Maine<\/st1:State><\/st1:place>\u2019s G3-Abstract Juvenile<\/I>, back in June 2007. Million dollar earner Pyralis<\/B> ran third in that race, just a length ahead of this fellow, so that one glitch on the form page can hardly be described as a failure. Since then he\u2019s had five runs in ungraded stakes races, finishing second in each of the first three, and winning both of his most recent outings, steadily improving his speed ratings along the way and clocking a 99 at his latest win six weeks ago. Awesome Nugget<\/B> is a son of Awesome Again<\/I>, based on Empire Seeker<\/B> (Seeking the Gold \/ Danzig<\/I>), a stakeswinner who greeted the judge four times in twenty eight runs, banking in excess of $110,000 for the Sanchez<\/B> stable. The colt displayed a liking for early speed in his initial outings, but has settled midfield in his last two wins, indicating that he\u2019ll be comfortable in the run, regardless off how the early shuffle pans out. The only possible question mark surrounds his lack of established graded form, but we\u2019ve already discussed that and I can\u2019t see it as being relevant. Expect a huge effort once again.<\/P>

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Barrier 8 holds Procedure<\/B>, a winner of four from seven, and boasting immediate recent form which only enhances his chances this weekend. He\u2019s finished off the podium just once in his career, and that was when he ran fourth of eleven at just his second start when contesting the G2-Dell Computer Futurity.<\/I> He continues to increase his speed figures on a regular basis, as he improves with maturity, and the massive drop in class here will certainly be in his favour. At his most recent outing he ran a solid third behind De Fu<\/B> and Folsom Blues<\/B> in Nevada<\/st1:State><\/st1:place>\u2019s half million dollar G1-The Ring of Fire Special<\/I>. Either of those colts would be likely to start at short odds here, and that effort was clearly good enough for the oddsmakers to install him as early favourite in a tough field. Further underlining his ability are the consecutive triple digit speed ratings he\u2019s posted in his two most recent trips to the track, a feat not yet accomplished by any of this week\u2019s opponents. Procedure<\/B> is a scratchbred son of Fusaichi Pegasus \/ Danzig \/ Damascus<\/I>, and lines up for the Super1<\/B> barn. A natural leader in his early races, he\u2019s learnt to settle just behind the leaders in more recent times, and that\u2019s where we\u2019d expect to see him again this week. He\u2019s simply never run a bad race, and there\u2019s no reason to expect that fact to alter any time soon.<\/P>

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Sisson\u2019s Alley<\/B> lines up in 9, and after initially struggling in his first two attempts at black type racing, he stepped up to mark last start, when second in an ungraded stake behind the very handy Folsom Blues. V8mullet<\/B> has given him a freshen up since that event eight weeks ago, and last time he had a few weeks away from the races, he bounced back with a victory over this distance. Interestingly, he\u2019s taken home the winner\u2019s cheque at each of his two races at this seven furlong trip. Of some concern will be the fact that he is yet to salute in three tries in stakes races, and he steps up higher to graded competition this week. Balancing that question mark is his steadily improving form and his liking for the trip. Sisson\u2019s Alley<\/B> is a son of Flower Alley<\/I>, and the third of four progeny of Keytothepass<\/B> (Storm Cat \/ Buckpasser<\/I>). His dam was a winner of four from forty three and is also mother of the still active stakes placed Sisson\u2019s Smarty<\/B> (Smarty Jones<\/I>) from Binzaman\u2019s<\/B> companion stable Anzstable<\/B>. Although Sisson\u2019s Alley<\/B> won his maiden on debut by leading all the way, his best recent efforts have come when settling further back. From the widish gate, and with a fair bit of speed in the race, I\u2019d expect him to settle just beyond midfield, saving his best for the home straight.<\/P>

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From 10 comes Stockbroker, <\/B>a smart <\/B>young colt who has <\/B>been set an ambitious program since winning his maiden at his fourth trip to the races. Although he took four tries for that initial victory, he was never far away, running third once and twice second in big fields during his maiden campaign. He obviously showed connections plenty in those early encounters, as trainer \/ breeder Southwest<\/B> had no hesitation in stepping him straight up to graded company, where he acquitted himself admirably at his only subsequent start. Missing the podium for the first time ever four weeks ago in Florida, he nonetheless stamped himself as a runner of the future when fourth, less than three lengths behind Brave Birdie<\/B>, in the G2-Hutchingson Stakes<\/I>. Stockbroker<\/B> is a scratchbred son of Exchange Rate \/ Mt. Livermore \/ Clever Trick<\/I>. I can\u2019t see the capable jockey A. Summors<\/I> wanting to give away the same half dozen lengths Torres<\/I> did last start, so he\u2019ll be looking to cross no more than three off the pace, and have himself in a better position to unwind with the colt\u2019s customary solid finish. The bookmakers agree with me in that they\u2019d rather see this runner prove himself in a stakes race, before rating him a winning chance, but The Bear<\/B> has been at this caper long enough for us not to underrate the chances of any of his runners<\/P>

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Pyrrhic Victory<\/B> starts from the outside stall and is a winner of six from eleven. His speed figures show that he is still on the improve, and his last start victory underlines his current form. Although he\u2019s been meeting generally smallish fields of late, you can only beat the opposition which turns up, and he\u2019s accomplishing that on a regular basis. Like most talented young colts, he was stretched out with the hope of developing into a triple crown prospect. A couple of sub-par efforts may have thwarted his progress, although he appeared overall to be making steady improvement in that direction. Of course, when we consider just his sprinting record, his chances here look even better. With five wins and a third from six runs, his sprint scoreboard is almost faultless. Phyrrhic Victory<\/B> is a son of Victory Gallop<\/I>, based on Catharsis <\/B>(Danzig \/ Forty Niner<\/I>), a moderatlely performed winner of four from twenty two for owner trainer Kf<\/B>. This colt has already outperformed his predecessor, and looks set to widen the gap even further in the near future. Four of his five sprint wins have been all the way victories, and last start he set up a massive margin mid-race, so it will come as no surprise to see this colt contesting the lead soon after barrier rise. He looks a big chance to finally score an overdue win at graded level. <\/P>

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Summary:<\/U><\/B> A tough race where some sort of case can be made for every runner. Paradise Cove<\/B> has done nothing wrong. Mach Pelican<\/B> looks to have enormous upside, Cheap Thrillers<\/B> returns to sprinting, where he\u2019s done his best work, Quincy<\/B> has found top form since switching surfaces, Cat N D House<\/B> is unbeaten, Belong to Who<\/B> has the score on the board, Awesome Nugget<\/B> is in awesome form, Procedure<\/B> drops from a top run at a higher level, Sisson\u2019s Alley<\/B> loves the trip, Stockbroker<\/B>\u2019s last run held a promise of a bright future and Pyrrhic Victory<\/B> is an established quality sprinter.<\/P>

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Forced into selections \u2013 15\/1 for a fast, unbeaten colt is too good to go past. Cat N D House<\/B> to win. Belong to Who<\/B> doesn\u2019t run bad races, so we\u2019ll give him the nod for second, and Awesome Nugget<\/B> also puts in every start, so he\u2019s the third pick.<\/P>

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The Market<\/B>:<\/P>

7\/2 \u2013 Procedure<\/P>

9\/2 \u2013 Mach Pelican<\/P>

5\/1 \u2013 Belong To Who<\/P>

6\/1 \u2013 Paradise<\/st1:place> Cove<\/P>

7\/1 \u2013 Awesome Nugget, Pyrrhic Victory<\/P>

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Qualification Order <\/B>(Class Rating Position):<\/P>

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>BelongTo Who \u2013 11<\/P>

\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Procedure – 20<\/P>

Pyrrhic Victory \u2013 23<\/P>

Awesome Nugget – 27 <\/P>

Cheap Thrillers – 52\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Procedure Heads Betting in Malaysia<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":261,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5670","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5670","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/261"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5670"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5670\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5670"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5670"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5670"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}