Here’s my picks for Saturday’s big graded stake races. For the fun of it, we’ll assume that $2 win wagers are made on each top pick and $2 exacta box wages on all three picks are made (total $12\/race) as well as a similar $2 trifecta box wager is made on all three selections (also $12 total for each race). We’ll look later to see how the bets make out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
G3 THE STRONG LEADER New York<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 5 Start With Fire 5\/1-won seven in a row before faulting in last. Hit 120+ speeds three times this year. Hard to argue against this success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 9 Rebuked 6\/1-has been ITM in last 3 grade level runs with win three back. Speeds very competitive at 116+ in each trip, factors nicely in this race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3 Trippi of the Nile 9\/1-Been posting high speeds lately but coming at 7.5f which tend to have over inflated numbers. Still has been reliable hitting the board and moves up to grade level. Exotic player.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n G2 CARLTON FISK HANDICAP Delaware<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 9 House of Fortune 9\/1-put in very nice third when retruning to graded company in last and turf also. Closed 9 strides in final quarter of 12f race, race could be his with nice price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 Ursine Mammal 2\/1-favorite has the grade level experience with his last five races in this class, finished second three times and has the speed advantage. Not out of the picture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 8 Ancient Fog 28\/1-his last three wins all came at the 12f distance. Steps out of allowance company for first stake race and could take a spot in the top three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n G3 THE NOTTING HILL SPECIAL Surrey<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 Sea Stars Blush 9\/2-two year old won last two and beat by a neck first time out. Nice 89 speed in last and could elevate that here and walk away with a stake win in the process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 3 Blue Point Oyster 6\/1-early speedster has won three of four and has ability to break away from the field early on but will need to get away from top pick to earn the win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4 No Time to Sleep 7\/1-won twice on grass and throw out last race which was in huge 20-horse G1 race. Should recover and put in better race this time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n G3 THE FLOOR IT STAKES Paris<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 10 Flaws and Sins 6\/1-found a life of success running 12furlongs and up in July, 2020 and has only been off the board once, which was her last start. Late runner can catch the speedy bunny rabbits in this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 11 A City Inside 6\/1-has also found favor with the long distance races and is always on the board. She likes the front end but could benefit by laying off early on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7 Nineteensixtyseven 25\/1-is a midfield runner who has won last three allowance races at 14f and up. She might be the real thing for long distance running and might light the board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n G1 COXLESS STAKES Victoria<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 10 Prince Crossing 5\/1-late runner has been in top shape for quite a while, just missed third in photo in last. Might bring home third grade level win of the year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4 Worpedo 7\/1-front runner has been racing well of late with 110+ speeds over last five. Hard to keep him off the board.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7 Yarraville Justice 13\/1-also likes to run on the lead and will fight to the end. Capable of lasting to the line, may be nice payday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n G2 THE ASCOT VAIL Queensland<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 5 Cheltenham Dubpiv 5\/1-favorite won three straight listed stakes before losing in G3 race in last. looks to make amends in this one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4 Same Predators 14\/1-won 4 of 5 races this year including last in listed stake with 109 speed. May be underrated based on odds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 1 Kymare Spirits 11\/1-won 5 of 7 over career with pair of seconds. Enters off a win in listed company with 113 sizzling speed. Longshot with a shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n <\/p>\n\n\n\n G2 THE LYDIA TEST Italy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n 5 Sea My Girl 4\/1-has been on the attack scoring three seconds and a recent win over last four in listed stake class. Moves up the chain and will likely continue her attack.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 7 Mimosa Barbara 7\/2-nice mid-field runner who has pair of wins and second over last four races in mix of listed and grade level events. Had poor 10th finish in last….tossing that out and looking for a rebound.<\/p>\n\n\n\n 4 Magic of the Stars 7\/2-has been racing listed\/grade level since last December and only out of top three once, which was last race. Has been resting since last July and should be ready to resume success again.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Here’s my picks for Saturday’s big graded stake races. For the fun of it, we’ll assume that $2 win wagers<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":363,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-55812","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55812","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/363"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=55812"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55812\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":55813,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/55812\/revisions\/55813"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=55812"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=55812"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=55812"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}