{"id":5515,"date":"2008-02-28T11:07:57","date_gmt":"2008-02-28T11:07:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=5515"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=5515","title":{"rendered":"Nehi Orange Favored In California Oaks"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><P align=center><B>CALIFORNIA OAKS<\/B> <\/P><P align=center><B>CA, 8.5F dirt, $400,000, 3yo Fillies<\/B> <\/P><P align=center><B>Stakes Record: 1:41 4\/5<\/B> <\/P><P><B>WELCOME!<\/B><\/P><P><I>This is the 10<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> running of the California Oaks.\u00a0The inaugural running of the stakes race was March 13<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I>, 1999 and showcased a short field of 7 runners.\u00a0For the last six years, however, the field has been nothing short of 14 fillies.\u00a0As a prep race for the Bluegrass Oaks, surprisingly enough, this race has only produced four Bluegrass Oaks winners, and only one filly has won both races, <\/I><B><I>Armed With Money (2006)<\/I><\/B><I>.\u00a0The current stakes record of <\/I><B><I>1:41-4\/5<\/I><\/B><I> is held by two talented fillies: <\/I><B><I>Livvi\u2019s Lass (2003)<\/I><\/B><I> and <\/I><B><I>Edge Hopper (2004)<\/I><\/B><I>.\u00a0<\/I> <\/P><P><B>Let\u2019s take a look at past California Oaks runners to see where it led them:<\/B> <\/P><P><B>1999<\/B><I>: Virginia Well \u2013PP4 (7).\u00a0The filly led throughout to win by 4 with a 97sp.\u00a0Was 4<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> choice at the betting window. 1:43 3\/5<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks:\u00a0was not run in 1999<\/I> <\/P><P><B>2000<\/B><I>: Wooden Vice \u2013 PP5 (12).\u00a0Wired the field to win by 4, 102sp.\u00a0Betting favorite.\u00a01:43-<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing: 2<\/I><SUP><I>nd<\/I><\/SUP> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner: DNR in the CA Oaks<\/I> <\/P><P><B>2001<\/B><I>: Newbie\u2019s Dream \u2013 PP 8 (10).\u00a0Stalked early, won by 2 \u00bd with a 106sp. 2<\/I><SUP><I>nd<\/I><\/SUP><I> choice at the windows.\u00a01:42 3\/5<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a04<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> <\/I><\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner:\u00a0Jeremy\u2019s Nijinsky, 2<\/I><SUP><I>nd<\/I><\/SUP><I> in CA Oaks<\/I><\/P><P><B>2002<\/B><I>: Madreach\u2019s Fnas(gb) \u2013 PP6 (14). Stalked early, won by 5 \u00bd with a 111sp. 10\/1 odds. 1:42-<\/I><\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a0DNR<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner:\u00a0DNR in the CA Oaks <\/I><\/P><P><B>2003<\/B><I>: Livvi\u2019s Lass \u2013 PP 5 (14).\u00a0Came from mid-pack, won by 1 \u00bc with a 113sp, Betting favorite. 1:41 4\/5<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a012<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> <\/I><\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner:\u00a0DNR in the CA Oaks<\/I> <\/P><P><I>Note: CA Oaks runner-up, Wolf Of Queensland ran 3<\/I><SUP><I>rd<\/I><\/SUP><I> in BG Derby<\/I> <\/P><P><B>2004<\/B><I>: Edge Hopper \u2013 PP3 (14). Came from mid-pack, won by 2 with a 114sp, Betting favorite. 1:41 4\/5<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a0DNR<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner:\u00a0Texas Tornado, 3<\/I><SUP><I>rd<\/I><\/SUP><I> in CA Oaks<\/I> <\/P><P><I>Note: Edge Hoper ran 6<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> in BG Derby<\/I> <\/P><P><B>2005<\/B><I>: Lovaluce \u2013 PP3 (14). Stalked early, won by 1 with a 103sp, Betting favorite. 1:42 3\/5<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a07<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> <\/I><\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner:\u00a0Swift Kick, 5<\/I><SUP><I>th<\/I><\/SUP><I> in CA Oaks<\/I> <\/P><P><B>2006<\/B><I>: Armed With Money \u2013 PP3 (14). Closed from way back to win by 1 with a 102sp, 10\/1 odds. 1:42 2\/5<\/I><\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a01<\/I><SUP><I>st<\/I><\/SUP><I> <\/I><\/P><P><I>Note: only filly to win both races<\/I> <\/P><P><B>2007<\/B><I>: Zarallana(ire) \u2013 PP1 (14). Stalked early, won by 2 with a 94sp, 10\/1 odds. 1:43 2\/5<\/I> <\/P><P><I>BG Oaks placing:\u00a03<\/I><SUP><I>rd<\/I><\/SUP><I> <\/I><\/P><P><I>BG Oaks winner:\u00a0DNR in the CA Oaks<\/I> <\/P><P><B>OVERALL<\/B><I>:<\/I><\/P><P><B><U>Most winningest PP<\/U><\/B><I>: 3 (produced 3 winners), PP: 5 (produced 2 winners)<\/I> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<I><U>Other winning posts<\/U>: 1, 4, 6, &#038; 8<\/I> <\/P><P><B><U>Best Odds<\/U><\/B>: 4 winners were favorites, 1 was 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>-choice, 3 were 10\/1, and 1 was 4\/1.<\/P><P><B><U>Winning move<\/U><\/B><I>: 6 of the winners have either led or been within 3 of the lead.<\/I> <\/P><P><B><U>Best Pick Jockeys<\/U><\/B><I>:<\/I> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0F Ford (1<SUP>st<\/SUP> &#038; 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>) \u2013 <B>No mount<\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0M Staples (2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>) \u2013 Dreamy Cat 15\/1<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0E Land (2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> &#038; 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>) \u2013 Battle Music 15\/1<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0N Bonus (2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> &#038; 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>) \u2013 <B>No mount<\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0T Bates (2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> &#038; 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>) \u2013 Bellissima G 5\/1<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0R Simcox (1<SUP>st<\/SUP>) \u2013 Annana 24\/1<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0F Gossett (1<SUP>st<\/SUP>) \u2013 Nehi Orange 9\/2<\/P><P>In 2008, the California Oaks has 4 graded winners loading into the gate on Saturday.\u00a0There are some very talented frontrunners in this race, which could set up perfectly for the deep closers of the field.\u00a0Let\u2019s check out the horses (listed in order of rank).<\/P><P><B>NEHI ORANGE <I>(Light Grey 3yoF by Unbridled\u2019s Song, out of <U>Windham County<\/U>, A.P. Indy x Alleged): Rank: 1, G1 Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Nehi Orange<\/B>\u2019s 2yo season up to the Breeder\u2019s Bowl was fairly average.\u00a0She broke her maiden at first asking \u2013 dueling on the lead and winning a head bob.\u00a0Her next two starts came in overnight stakes where the filly proved headstrong, again battling on the lead only to fail near the wire, finishing 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> in both.\u00a0Many trainers would look at those performances and fear that the filly couldn\u2019t handle stretching out.\u00a0Trainer <I>Hillhouse<\/I> knew better.\u00a0<B>Nehi Orange\u2019s<\/B> fourth start came in a restricted 8F allowance.\u00a0The filly broke well and quickly got down to business, opening up a comfortable lead.\u00a0She held off challenges and crossed the wire first.\u00a0With a 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> victory notched on her belt, <B>Nehi Orange<\/B> was placed in another overnight stakes.\u00a0As predicted, the quick-footed filly jumped to the lead, but she had company this time.\u00a0After burning herself up she could only manage 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>-best at the wire.\u00a0<I>Hillhouse<\/I> was still hopeful.\u00a0The filly was showing her trainer something special in the morning sessions\u2026 <I>Hillhouse<\/I> just had to figure out how to get the filly to produce on the track.\u00a0A third in the 8.5F <I>Margarine Stakes-G2<\/I> earned her a birth into the <I>BB Juvenile Filly-G1<\/I>.\u00a0There was a lot of early speed in the race so jockey P Munoz decided to take her back in an attempt to rate her.\u00a0<B>Nehi Orange<\/B> wanted nothing of it, fighting the hold.\u00a0As the pack turned for home, P Munoz nudged <B>Nehi Orange<\/B>.\u00a0The filly responded momentarily, but quickly ran out of steam.\u00a0She had nothing left, finishing 5<SUP>th<\/SUP>, 3 lengths behind <B>Ten Year Storm<\/B> (<B>Dreamy Cat<\/B>, 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>).\u00a0A short 4 weeks later, <B>Nehi Orange<\/B> was entered in an 8F overnight stakes.\u00a0The jockey was instructed to let the filly have the lead.\u00a0<B>Nehi Orange<\/B> won by 1 length.\u00a0Her final 2yo start came in the 8F <I>Mother Story Hcp-G1<\/I>.\u00a0The filly replicated her performance for her prior race, this time winning by 1 \u00bd lengths.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Nehi Orange<\/B> was given a well-deserved 7 weeks rest.\u00a0<I>Hillhouse<\/I> picked out the 8.5F <I>Vermont Is 4 Lovers-G1<\/I>.\u00a0Mile and sixteenth had been her most unfavorable distance to-date, but this day in February would be different.\u00a0The filly broke sharply from the gate.\u00a0She took command and held an authoritative lead throughout.\u00a0<B>Nehi Orange<\/B> won the race by 1 \u00bd lengths with a 105sp.\u00a0The race notched a 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> G1 victory and boosted her to the #1 spot. <\/P><P><B>DREAMY CAT <I>(Bay 3yoF by Bluegrass Cat, out of Northern Dancer x Secretariat): Rank: 10, G3 Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Dreamy Cat<\/B> debuted as a 2yo on the turf, but after a lackluster run trainer <I>Elzid<\/I> quickly switched to the main track.\u00a0The filly finally broke her maiden in her 4<SUP>th<\/SUP> start.\u00a0The filly led throughout, but the race was a short 5F.\u00a0<I>Elzid<\/I> knew that the filly would need to learn to rate if she was going to get more ground.\u00a0Three weeks later <B>Dreamy Cat<\/B> was entered in the <I>Lean Machine-G3<\/I>.\u00a0The filly beautifully 3 lengths back before making a winning move in the 6.5F stakes.\u00a0<I>Elzid<\/I> gave the filly 7 weeks to rest and train before running in the 7F <I>Getaway-G1<\/I>.\u00a0This time the filly sat even further back (7 lengths) before running at the leaders.\u00a0She closed swiftly, but came up short, finishing 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, beaten 1 \u00bd lengths.\u00a0Following the theory, if it\u2019s not broke, don\u2019t fix it, <I>Elzid<\/I> entered the filly into the <I>World Cup Juvenile Filly Sprint-G1<\/I> off of 3 weeks rest.\u00a0Unfortunately, <B>Dreamy Cat<\/B> struggled to find favorable footing on in the Minnesota dirt; jockey <I>V Drosos<\/I> smartly reserved the filly for another day.\u00a0Five weeks later, that day came in the <I>Breeder\u2019s Bowl Juvenile Filly-G1<\/I>.\u00a0After her poor World Cup run, the crowd had lost a little love, sending her off as a 15\/1 longshot.\u00a0That didn\u2019t bother the filly.\u00a0She sat coolly 7 lengths off the pace in 13<SUP>th<\/SUP>, bidding her time.\u00a0As they neared the final turn, <B>Dreamy Cat<\/B> made a run at the leader.\u00a0The winner was too good that day, however, and <B>Dreamy Cat<\/B> was good for 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, 1 \u00be lengths beaten.\u00a0Her final 2yo start came in the <I>Movieland Futurity-G1<\/I>.\u00a0The filly was fresh and rank.\u00a0She battled her jockey throughout.\u00a0When it was time to run there wasn\u2019t much left.\u00a0<B>Dreamy Cat<\/B> finished 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, beaten by 6 long lengths.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0The filly will be making her 3yo debut on Saturday.\u00a0I suspect she\u2019ll be a bit fresh off a 3-month layoff.\u00a0She\u2019ll need this race plus 1 or 2 more before we see her best as a sophomore.<\/P><P><B>PORN STARR <I>(Bay 3yoF by Empire Maker, out of Mr. Prospector x Nijinsky II): Rank: 12, G1 Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Porn Starr<\/B> was hot from the get-go.\u00a0The tall filly rated nicely in her 2yo debut over 5.5F on the main track, finishing 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, beaten by 1 \u00bd lengths.\u00a0Her next start came in a 6F MSW.\u00a0This time <B>Porn Starr<\/B> played hard to get, leading the field of 13 others gate to wire in taunting fashion.\u00a0Trainer <I>Korn<\/I> knew he had something good and entered the <I>Empire Maker<\/I> filly in an overnight stakes 5 weeks later.\u00a0The filly was even money at post-time.\u00a0When the gates opened she leisurely broke in 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, relaxing behind the leader before making her winning bid.\u00a0The <I>Hoserhead Juvenile Fillies-G1<\/I> was next on the list.\u00a0<B>Porn Starr<\/B> rated well, but wasn\u2019t quick enough on that day in July.\u00a0She finished 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, beaten 1 \u00be lengths.\u00a0After another quick trip to the winner\u2019s enclosure in an overnight stakes, <I>Korn<\/I> sent his filly to the starter in the <I>Margarine Stakes-G2<\/I>; it was her first time around 2-turns.\u00a0The race was a disaster for <I>Korn<\/I> and company; <B>Porn Starr<\/B> struggled throughout.\u00a0Back in the shedrow, <I>Korn<\/I> had the vet check the filly over after feeling warmness in her right fetlock.\u00a0The vet diagnosed her with a minor sprain and suggested a little time off.\u00a0<I>Korn<\/I> did just that.\u00a0<B>Porn Starr<\/B> returned to the track two months later, winning another overnight stakes as the even money favorite.\u00a0Five weeks later <B>Porn Starr<\/B> started in the 6F <I>Thxmsslew Handicap-G1<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Porn Starr<\/B> rated beautifully in route to becoming a G1 winner.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0As a 3yo, <B>Porn Starr<\/B> is winless in 2 starts.\u00a0She finished 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> in an 8F overnight stakes against colts where she was being taught to come from far back, proving that she was more than just a one-trick pony.\u00a0Last time out was in the 8.5F <I>Vermont Is 4 Lovers-G1<\/I>.\u00a0The filly laid off the pace 6 lengths back.\u00a0She was persistent in her drive to the wire, but not good enough that day, finishing 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, beaten 3 \u00bd lengths with a career best 100sp.\u00a0Rumor has is that she may have the <I>Bluegrass Derby<\/I> on her agenda.<\/P><P><B>IT\u2019S RATHER CLOUDY(eng) <I>(Bay 3yoF by Pivotal, out of Storm Cat x Seattle Slew): Rank: 18, G2 Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> is by a hot-upcoming sire, <I>Pivotal<\/I>.\u00a0She was nothing less than perfect as a juvenile, winning her maiden debut at even money.\u00a0The race took place around 6.5F on the main track.\u00a0<B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> made it look like a cake-walk, winning by 3 lengths.\u00a0Seven weeks later, trainer <I>Borrow<\/I> placed her in her proper conditions, a restricted allowance around 7.5F.\u00a0The filly was again even-money by race time.\u00a0She made a game of the event, taunting the field with a 4 \u00be length victory.\u00a0<I>Borrow<\/I> was excited at this point, but kept a level head and placed <B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> in an overnight stakes, going 8F for the first time.\u00a0The filly was the 3\/1 favorite.\u00a0She was shuffled back in the early going, but she remained calm and collected, listening to her jockey\u2019s knowing hands.\u00a0On cue, the filly began picking off fillies in front of her.\u00a0At the top of the stretch she was 6<SUP>th<\/SUP>, 5 \u00bd lengths behind the leader, but was in full flight.\u00a0Momentum propelled the filly down the lane, past the leader, to win by 2.\u00a0It was time to make an appearance in graded company.\u00a0<I>Borrow<\/I> picked out the 8.5F <I>Boca Stakes-G2<\/I> 6 weeks down the road.\u00a0The filly had trained brillantly up to the race.\u00a0Once again, <B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> left that starting gate as the 3\/1 favorite.\u00a0She replicated her previous race, except in exaggerated fashion:\u00a0she sat further back, she began picking off tiring fillies, she was further back at the top of the stretch, and she won by more daylight while posting a higher speed figure.\u00a0She was a perfect 4 for 4 at 2. <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Her connections had high hopes for her sophomore season.\u00a0Unfortunately, even the best fall down, and <B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> had her relapse last time out in her 3yo debut.\u00a0The race was the 8.5F <I>Sunny Florida-G1<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> and <B>Rattyburg<\/B> ran 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> and 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> in the race while <B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> struggled home 10<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0<B>It\u2019s Rather Cloudy<\/B> has a chance to redeem herself this Saturday.<\/P><P><B>JUSTIFY <I>(Chestnut 3yoF by Distorted Humor, out of <U>Vicious Circle<\/U>, Wild Again x El Gran Senor): Rank: 19, Stakes Winner, Graded Placed<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> is a very talented sprinting filly, but she has been a bit questionable around 2-turns.\u00a0The first of the two Distorted Humor fillies entered in Saturday\u2019s race made her 2yo debut in a restricted allowance race.\u00a0The filly broke on top and didn\u2019t look back, pulling away with each stride to win the 5.5F event by an easy 1 \u00be lengths.\u00a0Trainer <I>Zwango1<\/I> entered <B>Justify<\/B> in an overnight stakes around the same distance next.\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> broke fast, but not fastest.\u00a0The filly had to work every step of the way, finishing 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, beaten \u00be of a length.\u00a0The race told a lot about the filly, she had heart and courage.\u00a0Her next two starts came in more overnight stakes, going 6F and 7.5F \u2013 she won both, wiring the fields and winning comfortably.\u00a0Seven-weeks later, <I>Zwango1<\/I> placed <B>Justify<\/B> in the 8.5F <I>Margarine Stakes-G2<\/I>.\u00a0It would be her first attempt around 2-turns.\u00a0The filly hooked up with <B>Nehi Orange<\/B> right out of the gate.\u00a0The two of them matched strides for the first 7 panels of the race.\u00a0As the field turned for home, <I>Zwango1<\/I> could see his filly was beginning to get leg-weary.\u00a0<B>Ten Year Storm<\/B> picked up the pieces to scoop up the win.\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> held on for 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>, beaten by 5 lengths.\u00a0The <I>Breeder\u2019s Bowl<\/I> was a no-go.\u00a0Instead, the filly was nominated to the <I>DelPenn Breeder\u2019s Cup Juvenile Fillies<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> prevailed throughout, winning by nearly 4 and proving she could handle 8.5F.\u00a0<I>Zwango1<\/I> gave <B>Justify<\/B> 2 months off.\u00a0In late December she was nominated to another restricted DelPenn race.\u00a0This time the race was over a shorter 8F.\u00a0The filly raced similarly, but wasn\u2019t good enough off an 8-week layoff, only managing 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0<I>Zwango1<\/I> knew what he was doing, though.\u00a0It was the new year that he was preparing the filly for.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> made her sophomore appearance in the warming climate of Florida.\u00a0Her chosen race was the 8.5F <I>Sunny Florida-G1<\/I>.\u00a0The field had a lack of early speed, leaving the lead to <B>Justify<\/B>.\u00a0The filly had her way, but as they turned for home she couldn\u2019t hold off <B>Lovestruck<\/B>.\u00a0<B>Justify<\/B> finished 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> with a 97sp.\u00a0It\u2019s been 5 weeks.\u00a0If the filly can withstand <B>Nehi Orange<\/B>, then she will be tuff. <\/P><P><B>BELLISSIMA G<\/B> <B><I>(Bay 3yoF by Dixie Union, out of <U>Cantpassthiscat<\/U>, Storm Cat x Buckpasser): Rank: 21, Stakes Winner, Graded Placed<\/I><\/B><\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Bellissima G<\/B> began her career on the turf, but that was a bit short-lived.\u00a0In her second career she was placed on the dirt, and she won immediately.\u00a0The next three starts all came in restricted allowance races; <B>Bellissima G<\/B> showed versatility in her ability to race on or off the lead.\u00a0She won 2 of the 3 races.\u00a0Trainer <I>Buxpasser<\/I> was happy with what he was seeing and jumped straight into graded company with his filly.\u00a0Her 6<SUP>th<\/SUP> start came in the 7F <I>Getaway Stakes-G1<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Bellissima G<\/B> rated well, but didn\u2019t have enough to wear down the leader, finishing 4<SUP>th<\/SUP> (<B>Dreamy Cat<\/B>, 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>).\u00a0Next up was an attempt at routes.\u00a0<I>Buxpasser<\/I> brought the filly back down to the allowance level.\u00a0The filly sat back in 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> before making a winning move to take the race by nearly 3 lengths as the even-money favorite.\u00a0<B>Bellissima G\u2019s<\/B> final 2yo start came in the 8.5F <I>Golden Red Stakes-G2<\/I>.\u00a0She broke alertly and sat 3 back in 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>.\u00a0As they turned for home <B>Bellissima G<\/B> was on the move, taking the lead as they entered the stretch.\u00a0Right behind her was <B>Azza Muss<\/B>.\u00a0The fillies hooked up, but <B>Azza Muss<\/B> was too much.\u00a0<B>Bellissima G<\/B> placed 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0After 6 weeks rest, <B>Bellissima G<\/B> debuted as a fresher filly.\u00a0<I>Buxpasser<\/I> placed her in an 8F overnight stakes.\u00a0The filly rated in 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, 4 lengths back.\u00a0Turning for home she kicked into a whole new gear, soaring past the leader for the win.\u00a0She posted a 103 speed figure, a career best.\u00a0Last time out was another quick victory in another 8F overnight stakes.\u00a0In this one, however, the filly dictated the lead and coasted home with ears pricked.\u00a0She comes into Saturday\u2019s race off 4 weeks rest and could easily pick up the pieces if <B>Justify<\/B> and <B>Nehi<\/B> <B>Orange<\/B>, among others, battle early on.\u00a0She\u2019s my pick to win.<\/P><P><B>RATTYBURG<\/B> <B><I>(Chestnut 3yoF by Johannesburg, out of Wild Again x Saint Ballado): Rank: 35, Stakes Winner, Graded Placed<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Rattyburg<\/B> debuted as a 2yo in Minnesota going a short 4.5F on the dirt.\u00a0The filly trailed early on, made a move, but ran out of ground, finishing 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>.\u00a0Her next race was similar, but over 7F.\u00a0With a little time off, the third time was the charm as trainer <I>Darnath3<\/I> entered <B>Rattyburg<\/B> in her first turf start.\u00a0The chestnut filly relished the green stuff, winning the 6.5F by 1 \u00bd lengths.\u00a0A brief 4 weeks later, <I>Darnath3<\/I> gave the filly her first taste of routes in Eastern Kentucky going 8F.\u00a0<B>Rattyburg<\/B> ran sluggishly throughout and could only manage 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0<I>Darnath3<\/I> wasn\u2019t discouraged.\u00a0Another 4 weeks went.\u00a0<B>Rattyburg<\/B> had been training well at Eastern Kentucky so she was entered in another restricted allowance, again over 8F.\u00a0This time she ran more alertly, staying within 2 lengths of the frontrunner before taking the race by 2 \u00bc lengths.\u00a0The filly\u2019s first stakes race had been circled on the calendar.\u00a0<I>Darnath3<\/I> shipped his filly to New York where she won another restricted allowance by daylight.\u00a0Next was the 8.5F <I>Minnesota Miss Juvenile<\/I> stakes.\u00a0<B>Rattyburg<\/B> rated 5 lengths back in 8<SUP>th<\/SUP>, bidding her time.\u00a0As the field of 19 approached the final turn she had picked off horses and was sitting pretty in 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, just 3 lengths back.\u00a0A few urges from her jockey was all she needed as she changed leads and took over the lead.\u00a0The filly won her 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> straight race finishing out her 2yo season strong.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<I>Darnath3<\/I> appeared to riding on cloud 9 with his filly\u2019s success.\u00a0Overeager, the trainer entered the filly in his first graded race just 3 weeks later.\u00a0<B>Rattyburg<\/B> went to the starter as the 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> choice in the 8.5F <I>Santa Jezebel-G3<\/I>; the favorite was <B>Black Flag Flying<\/B>.\u00a0<B>Rattyburg<\/B> didn\u2019t relax, struggling throughout the race and finishing a dull 6<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0Two weeks later she was entered in the 8.5F <I>Sunny Florida-G1<\/I>.\u00a0The filly fell back in 11<SUP>th<\/SUP> early on, racing further back than she had in any other race.\u00a0In the stretch run she managed to pass tiring horses to gain 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, but was beaten 5 \u00bc lengths.\u00a0It\u2019s now been 5 weeks and I\u2019m sure the filly will appreciate the longer break.\u00a0I suspect that she will perform much better this time around.<\/P><P><B>TRAIL AND TREASURE <I>(Chestnut 3yoF by Mineshaft, out of <U>Indy Connection<\/U>, Forty Niner x Storm Cat): Rank: 42, G2 Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Trail And Treasure<\/B> won her 2yo debut like a pro.\u00a0She started next in a restricted allowance race, but after dueling on the lead, she didn\u2019t have much left in the tank to hold off challengers, finishing 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>.\u00a0Her next two starts came in overnight stakes.\u00a0<B>Trail And Treasure<\/B> won both in wire-to-wire fashion.\u00a0Trainer <I>Oaklawn88<\/I> knew she was ready for her graded debut.\u00a0The lanky chestnut was shipped out to California for the 6.5F <I>Dazzling Daisies-G2<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Trail And Treasure<\/B> was just that, dazzling in her wire-to-wire performance upping her record to 4 wins in 5 starts.\u00a0Unfortunately, that would be her last trip to the winner\u2019s circle.\u00a0Her next 4 starts came in various graded races and overnight stakes all ranging from 6.5F to 8F.\u00a0The filly struggled to find the lead in each one and looked to be discouraged, throwing in the towel.\u00a0The best she could manage was a 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> and three 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>\u2019s.\u00a0<I>Oaklawan88<\/I> gave the filly another shot at 8F in her final 2yo start: the <I>Reflection Futurity-G3<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Trail And Treasure<\/B> battled for the lead, gaining it.\u00a0She attempted to pull off, but wasn\u2019t quite good enough to hold off a late challenger, finishing 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> beaten by 2 lengths with a career-best 90 speed figure.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Trail And Treasure<\/B> is a consistent filly, but it\u2019s been 7 months since she has visited the winner\u2019s enclosure.\u00a0Another negative is her past speed figures are low in comparison to many of the other fillies in this field.\u00a0She will be making her 3yo debut on Saturday after a 9-week layoff, so I don\u2019t expect to see her best race, but she will be fresh.\u00a0She will have two classy speed fillies to battle with on the lead.\u00a0Hopefully she can be rated.<\/P><P><B>BATTLE MUSIC <I>(Dark Grey 3yoF by Unbridled\u2019s Song, out of <U>Battle Song<\/U>, War Chant x Seattle Slew): Rank: 48, Allowance Winner, Graded Placed<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Battle Music<\/B> began her career on the turf.\u00a0The near-black filly ran well to finish 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, but not well enough.\u00a0Her trainer <I>2ofus<\/I> switched her over to the main track in her next start.\u00a0<B>Battle Music<\/B> closed to finish 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0It appeared that 6F was not enough ground.\u00a0In her third start, <B>Battle Music<\/B> was entered in an 8F maiden race.\u00a0The filly relished the extra 2 furlongs, making up ground to win the race by daylight.\u00a0Six weeks later the filly replicated her performance in an 8F open-allowance.\u00a0Next up, <I>2ofus<\/I> placed her in the 8.5F <I>Frickazee Stakes-G1<\/I>.\u00a0A win would place her in the <I>Breeder\u2019s Bowl<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Battle Music<\/B> wasn\u2019t gaining much love at the windows, entering the starting gate at 17\/1.\u00a0When the gates opened, <B>Battle Music<\/B> found herself behind a wall of 11 horses, the furthest back she had ever been.\u00a0Traffic was thick and as the field of 14 fillies rounded the corner for home, <B>Battle Music<\/B> was still in 9<SUP>th<\/SUP> 6 \u00bc lengths back.\u00a0Her jockey swung her out to the middle of the track and the filly lengthened out, passing horses like they were standing still.\u00a0She drove home 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, losing by 2 lengths.\u00a0It wasn\u2019t enough for a birth to the <I>Breeder\u2019s Bowl<\/I>.\u00a0Another six weeks went by; <I>2ofus<\/I> entered <B>Battle Music<\/B> into the 8.5F <I>Mistaken Soda Identity-G2<\/I>.\u00a0Oddly enough, the sunny skies of Arizona opened up.\u00a0Torrential rains soaked the track.\u00a0Sent off at 17\/1, <B>Battle Music<\/B> had not gained any respect.\u00a0This time around she found herself even further back in 13<SUP>th<\/SUP>, 12 \u00bd lengths behind the leaders.\u00a0Turning for home, <B>Battle Music<\/B> was 10<SUP>th<\/SUP> still 10 lengths back.\u00a0Suddenly a spot opened on the rail and <B>Battle Music<\/B> dragged herself and her jockey through.\u00a0Daylight ahead, <B>Battle Music<\/B> put her head down and dug in.\u00a0At the wire she was 4<SUP>th<\/SUP>, just 2 \u00bc lengths behind the leader with a career-best 93sp.\u00a0<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0With the closing kick that <B>Battle Music<\/B> had been demonstrating it was natural that <I>2ofus<\/I> would find a 9F spot for the filly\u2019s sophomore debut.\u00a0The filly struggled a bit, appearing to not like the surface, finishing 5<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0<B>Battle Music<\/B> is a question mark in my opinion; she\u2019s not as consistent as a lot of the top fillies in this field.\u00a0She will need to improve her speed figures and performance greatly to get a top 3 finish.\u00a0A positive, however, is that there are at least 3 fillies that will be on the lead setting honest fractions for <B>Battle Music\u2019s<\/B> closing drive.<\/P><P><B>STORM E MESA <I>(Bay 3yoF by Sky Mesa, out of <U>Raider\u2019s Wedding<\/U>, Secret Claim x Storm Cat): Rank: 65, Stakes Winner, Graded Placed<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> broke her maiden in her February 2yo debut.\u00a0After a showing in a restricted allowance, trainer <I>Bmr003<\/I> entered the filly in a couple of overnight stakes.\u00a0<B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> produced a 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> and a 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> respectively.\u00a0Her fifth and sixth starts came in G3 sprints.\u00a0The filly laid back 5 or 6 lengths in each one before making a bid for the lead.\u00a0She closed well, finishing behind by 1 \u00bd lengths for 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> and 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> respectively<B>.\u00a0<\/B> After those performances, <I>Bmr003<\/I> placed <B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> in an overnight stakes to give the filly some confidence and another victory. The filly rated well and pushed on for the win with a career-best 88 speed figure.\u00a0Four weeks later she made her routing debut in the 8F <I>Walnut Tree Stakes-G2<\/I>.\u00a0<B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> raced well early on.\u00a0As the field turned for home she made a bid for the lead, but the 1-2 finishers had too much left in the tank.\u00a0<B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> had to settle for 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> beaten by 6.\u00a0Her next race occurred in the 8.5F <I>Mistaken Identity Soda-G2<\/I>.\u00a0The race came up listed \u2018good.\u2019\u00a0The filly hated the going, managing to pass only a handful of tiring fillies for 9<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0<I>Bmr003<\/I> gave the filly the rest of the year off to grow.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0After a 9-week layoff, <I>Bmr003<\/I> picked the 7F <I>Santa Ynez-G2<\/I> for the filly\u2019s sophomore debut.\u00a0<B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> stumbled out of the gate and found herself in dead last.\u00a0Her jockey collected her and got her settled into an easy stride.\u00a0Turning for home, the filly was still in 14<SUP>th<\/SUP> and not moving anywhere.\u00a0McGriggs forced her to change leads and with some heavy whipping the filly made up 3 lengths at the wire.\u00a0She was 9<SUP>th<\/SUP>.\u00a0<B>Storm E Mesa<\/B> is another inconsistent filly in terms of finding the winner\u2019s enclosure.\u00a0It\u2019s been 6 weeks since that start.\u00a0I doubt she\u2019s ready to perform to her best ability just yet.\u00a0And with an 88 speed figure rated as her best to-date, she will need to pick up the pace a bit more to catch these.<\/P><P><B>THOUGHTFUL TYPHOON <I>(Roan 3yoF by Stormy Atlantic, out of <U>Nethereal<\/U>, Unbridled\u2019s Song x Saratoga Six): Rank: 74, Stakes Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> comes into this event as the least experienced filly in the field with a mere 3 starts under her belt.\u00a0The filly debuted as a 2yo in November in an 8F maiden special weight.\u00a0The race drew a full field of 14 fillies, and <B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> received 8\/1 odds.\u00a0When the gates opened, the roan filly broke smartly.\u00a0She settled into 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> just behind the pacesetters.\u00a0As they field approached the turn for home she pinned her ears and sailed past the two fillies on the rail.\u00a0The filly extended out nicely down the lane, winning the race in a hand ride by 1 \u00be lengths.\u00a0Her trainer <I>Optimal<\/I> was impressed with how well the filly had raced and placed her in stakes company in her next start.\u00a0The 8F overnight stakes drew only 5 other fillies.\u00a0<B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> broke fastest and dared the rest to catch her.\u00a0Once on the lead the filly pricked her ears and started looking around.\u00a0Late in the stretch a challenger came up on the outside before <B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> was able to respond.\u00a0The filly had to settle for 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> by a length.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<I>Optimal<\/I> placed <B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> in another 8F overnight stakes for her sophomore debut.\u00a0This time the filly would face only 4 other horses.\u00a0She was named the even-money favorite.\u00a0The jockey rated her behind the frontrunner this time around.\u00a0They had decided that the filly needed something to run at to keep her engaged.\u00a0The plan worked.\u00a0As they turned for home, <B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> had taken command, but she had a challenger come up on the rail trying to get by.\u00a0The two of them ran on together, <B>Thoughtful Typhoon<\/B> holding out for the win by a \u00bc length.\u00a0I feel it may be a bit premature for a start in graded company against some of the best fillies, but the filly is coming in off a nice prep 5 weeks ago.\u00a0The filly will need to improve to place in the top 3 on Saturday.<\/P><P><B>AUROR DERBY <I>(Bay 3yoF by Gone West, out of <U>Auror<\/U>, Sadler\u2019s Wells x Blushing Groom): Rank: 81, Stakes Winner<\/I><\/B><\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Auror Derby\u2019s<\/B> first 5 career starts came on the turf.\u00a0The filly won at first asking and was then quickly placed in the 6.5F <I>Fast Lane Stakes-G3<\/I>.\u00a0The filly attempted to lead, but couldn\u2019t keep up after being pressured in the first half.\u00a0Her next starts came in an open allowance and two overnight stakes in which she finished 1<SUP>st<\/SUP>, 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, and 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> respectively.\u00a0Trainer <I>Auror<\/I> wasn\u2019t satisfied with what the filly was demonstrating on the turf.\u00a0In her 6<SUP>th<\/SUP> start she received her first taste of dirt as well as an increase in distance (7.5F).\u00a0<B>Auror Derby<\/B> attempted to wire the overnight stakes field, but again, was challenged early on for the lead and couldn\u2019t keep up the pace.\u00a0She faded down the stretch to place 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>, beaten by 2 \u00bd lengths.\u00a0The filly had improved speed figures-wise, but <I>Auror<\/I> wasn\u2019t decided on what the filly\u2019s best distance was.\u00a0In what was her final 2yo start, <B>Auror Derby<\/B> ran in a 5.5F overnight stakes.\u00a0The field drew only 3 other fillies (a common them in 5 of her 8 career starts).\u00a0<B>Auror Derby<\/B> was given even-money odds at the windows.\u00a0This time she was rated in last before making a run at the 3 fillies in front of her.\u00a0The strategy paid off.\u00a0<B>Auror Derby<\/B> won by \u00be lengths.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Currently, the filly has made only one start as a sophomore.\u00a0It was the first time the filly traveled around 2-turns.\u00a0The filly relished the extra distance, wiring the field in easy fashion.\u00a0It\u2019s been 7 weeks since that race.\u00a0That may (or may not) have a negative effect on the filly\u2019s performance.\u00a0She\u2019ll have to rate off the lead to get the best of the 4 other frontrunners in the field.<\/P><P><B>ANNANA<\/B> <B><I>(Dark Grey 3yoF by Kitten\u2019s Joy, out of <U>Song Wood<\/U>, Unbridled\u2019s Song x Woodman): Rank: 86, Stakes Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<B>Annana<\/B> is the another filly that has minimal career starts \u2013 four to be exact.\u00a0From that, however, she has 3 victories.\u00a0Her 2yo debut came in early September against 3 others in a 7F overnight stakes.\u00a0<B>Annana<\/B> sat off the pace saving herself for the finish to win by a head in a photo finish.\u00a0Trainer <I>Ringott2<\/I> entered the filly in a 7.5F overnight stakes against 4 others as a prep for a duo of owner-restricted races.\u00a0The filly struggled this time around, finishing 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, but being beaten by 6 lengths.\u00a0Seven weeks later, <B>Annana<\/B> entered the starting gate as the 3\/1 choice in the 8F <I>Resident Futurity<\/I>.\u00a0The gates opened and <B>Annana<\/B> found herself in the front.\u00a0The filly was fresh and ready to run.\u00a0She opened up a 4 \u00bd length lead by the time the field realized what was happening.\u00a0At the wire she was still ahead by 1 \u00bc lengths.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0Her sophomore debut occurred 5 weeks later in the 9.5F <I>EAAA Division Inter-Residency Challenge Stakes<\/I>.\u00a0The race was 1.5 furlongs longer than the filly had ever run and it was the largest field she had faced to-date.\u00a0How would she handle it?\u00a0Like a pro.\u00a0The filly rated beautifully before making a drive to the wire just getting up in time to win by a \u00bd length with a career-best 87 speed figure.\u00a0It\u2019s been 7 weeks since that last race; <B>Annana<\/B> has proven she can run big off a long period of rest.\u00a0However, she will need to improve her speed figures by at least 10 points before the steals the show on Saturday.<\/P><P><B>DIE VERWANDLUNG(ger) <I>(Chestnut 3yoF by Monsun, out of <U>On The Big<\/U>, Gone West x Alleged): Rank: 102, Stakes Winner<\/I><\/B> <\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0This filly has one obscure sire\u2026 or maybe I live in a little box.\u00a0Either way, I\u2019m a fan.\u00a0This filly is dynamite as of last time out.\u00a0<B>Die Verwandlung<\/B> debuted on the dirt; however, trainer <I>chilcoat2<\/I> wasn\u2019t exactly impressed with her 4<SUP>th<\/SUP> place finish.\u00a0The next two starts the filly attempted to show her stuff on the turf, but a 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP> and a 7<SUP>th<\/SUP> weren\u2019t exactly worth bragging about.\u00a0At this point she had run on both surfaces going 6F and on the turf going 8F.\u00a0In a last ditch effort <I>chilcoat2<\/I> had to see what <B>Die Verwandlung<\/B> had to offer in an 8F race on the dirt.\u00a0In September the filly got her chance to redeem herself.\u00a0The filly broke well and sat back in 3<SUP>rd<\/SUP>, 2 lengths behind the pacesetter\u2026 and that\u2019s exactly how she finished.\u00a0An inkling of hope had emerged with her 11 point increase in speed figures.\u00a0Her next start came in another 8F maiden race 7 weeks later.\u00a0The track came up \u2018good.\u2019\u00a0The filly broke sharply.\u00a0In the first half she kept pressure on the leader.\u00a0As they rounded the 5F pole <B>Die Verwandlung<\/B> had taken command and was pulling off.\u00a0A late challenger came at her in the final jumps, but the filly had enough in reserve to hold on by \u00be lengths.<\/P><P>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0<I>Chilcoat2<\/I> turned the filly out for a few weeks then brought her back into training.\u00a0After a 9-week layoff, <B>Die Verwandlung<\/B> was ready to make her sophomore debut.\u00a0The chosen race was a 9.5F restricted allowance.\u00a0The filly was ready.\u00a0When the gates opened she flew out to the lead.\u00a0That was the closest the rest of the field would ever get to her.\u00a0The filly opened up with every jump, wiring the field to win by 7 lengths.\u00a0Last time out <B>Die Verwandlung<\/B> received her first taste of stakes competition in a 9F California overnight stakes.\u00a0Again the filly exploded out of the gates.\u00a0By the first call she had opened up an amazing 4 length lead.\u00a0Heading into the stretch she was ahead by 7.\u00a0But a fast closer was moving quickly.\u00a0The filly had to work for her \u00bc length victory.\u00a0In the process she posted a career-best 96 speed figure.\u00a0This one could be the fastest frontrunner of the bunch.\u00a0If they let her get out lose on the lead like her prior two races then it could be lights out for the rest of the field.<\/P><P><B><U>REPEATING HISTORY\u2026<\/U><\/B> <\/P><P>Well, if history decides to (somewhat) repeat itself here\u2019s what the Sim-stars may have in store for us.<\/P><P>According to my investigative work all the past winners have come from <B>POST POSITIONS<\/B> 3 (most common), 5 (2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> most frequent), and then 1, 4, 6, and 8.\u00a0<B><U>INCLUSION<\/U><\/B>: Storm E Mesa (1), Battle Music (3), Rattyburg (4), Trail And Treasure (5), Justify (6), and Bellissima G (8).\u00a0<B><U>EXCLUSION<\/U><\/B>: Auror Derby, Nehi Orange, Die Verwandlung, Porn Starr, Dreamy Cat, and Thoughtful Typhoon.<\/P><P>From what I found regarding <B>ODDS<\/B> 4 of the past 9 winners were favorites while a 5<SUP>th<\/SUP> winner left the gate as the 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> choice.\u00a0One winner was 4<SUP>th<\/SUP> choice at 4\/1 odds, and three more fillies won with 10\/1 odds.\u00a0There have been no winners with longer odds than 10\/1.\u00a0<B><U>EXCLUSION<\/U><\/B>: Storm E Mesa, Auror Derby, Battle Music, Trail And Treasure, Annana, Die Verwandlung, Dreamy Cat, and Thoughtful Typhoon.\u00a0<B><U>INCLUSION<\/U><\/B>: Nehi Orange (9\/2, fav), Porn Starr (5\/1, 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> choice), and Bellissima G (5\/1, 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP> choice).<\/P><P>Next on the list is <B>JOCKEY<\/B> selection.\u00a0The \u201cbest pick\u201d jockeys are listed in the beginning of this article (refer to that). <B><U>INCLUSION:<\/U><\/B> Dreamy Cat will be ridden by Staples, Battle Music has Land, Bellissima G with Bates, Annana and Simcox, and lastly, Nehi Orange has Gossett.\u00a0<B><U>EXCLUSION<\/U><\/B>: everyone else.<\/P><P>Last, but no least, is <B>RACING POSITION<\/B>.\u00a0Six of the 9 winners have either led wire to wire or been within 3 lengths of the leaders in the early going.\u00a0Yes, that does leave room for a closer to steal the show, but I\u2019m just going to point out the pacesetters and stalkers.\u00a0<B><U>INCLUSION<\/U><\/B>: Frontrunners: Auror Derby, Trail And Treasure, Justify, Nehi Orange, Die Verwandlung.\u00a0Five speed horses, in my opinion, equals too many cooks in the kitchen and could only mean disaster for those fillies.\u00a0There are 4 (possibly 5) fillies that will be running within 3 lengths of the pacesetters, these are: Annanna, Bellissima G, Porn Starr, Thoughtful Typhoon, and Dreamy Cat.<\/P><P>Analyzing all of that information leaves one common factor: <B>BELLISSIMA G<\/B>.\u00a0She is my pick to win.\u00a0But if she decides to fall down, then my 2<SUP>nd<\/SUP>-choice falls to <B>PORN STARR<\/B>.\u00a0To finish out my picks I\u2019m going with a deep closer: <B>IT\u2019S RATHER CLOUDY<\/B>.<\/P><P><B>I wouldn\u2019t be surprised if we saw a new stakes record set on Saturday.\u00a0Happy racing\/betting to all &#038; Good Luck!!\u00a0Hope you enjoyed my mini-novel! Ha!<\/B> <\/P><P><B>~Keely &#9786;<\/B><\/P><!-- END MAIN APPLICATION CONTENT --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s All Just A Little Bit Of History Repeating&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":91,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5515","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5515","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/91"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5515"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5515\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5515"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5515"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5515"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}