{"id":53768,"date":"2020-11-07T00:12:00","date_gmt":"2020-11-07T00:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=53768"},"modified":"2020-11-07T02:32:57","modified_gmt":"2020-11-07T02:32:57","slug":"fourteen-of-the-sims-best-two-year-old-files-to-put-it-on-the-line-in-the-breeders-bowl-juvenile-filly","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=53768","title":{"rendered":"Fourteen of the SIM&#8217;s best two-year-old fillies to put it on the line in the Breeders&#8217; Bowl Juvenile Filly"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The<\/strong> Grade I\nBreeders\u2019 Bowl Juvenile Filly will take place this Saturday in Kentucky.&nbsp; It will feature 14 of the best two-year-old\nfillies that the SIM has to offer including five Grade I winners, three Grade\nII winners, and two Grade III winners.&nbsp;\nEvery single one of the filles has either won or placed in a Graded race\nalready in their young careers and this looks to be a competitive race.&nbsp; The dirt is scheduled to be fast and the\nweather nice on this fall afternoon.&nbsp; Let\u2019s\ntake a look at our field for the Grade I Breeders\u2019 Bowl Juvenile Filly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Name&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Owner&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Sire&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Odds<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Highest Archangel &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; luvit&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; More Than Ready&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 14\/1<\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Scratchbred (More Than Ready X Indian\nCharlie X Carson City)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; Began\nher racing career in February at the allowance level and not the MSW\nlevel.&nbsp; That didn\u2019t slow her down however\nas she sat in the 9 spot and made a great move in the stretch.&nbsp; She would earn herself a respected 72 speed\nfigure for that win in her first race.&nbsp;\nShe would then jump into the stakes ranks, run a 73 speed figure, and\nfinish a close 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in a start two months later.&nbsp; A jump into the Graded ranks was in store for\nthis filly and she showed in May that she belongs running an 80 speed figure\nand winning the Grade III Mother\u2019s Day.&nbsp;\nShe wasn\u2019t about to stop there though as she would again provide some\nfireworks on the 4<sup>th<\/sup> of July winning the Grade II Lean Machine\nStakes.&nbsp; Her speed of an 83 once again\nincreased.&nbsp; Last time out, in August, she\nwould once again increase her speed figure to 86 and just narrowly miss winning\nthe Grade I Getaway Stakes at 7 furlongs.&nbsp;\nShe would finish 2<sup>nd<\/sup> though and hasn\u2019t failed to hit the\nboard in any race so far.&nbsp; Race distances\nhave been conservative for her in her five races so far going 5F-5F-6F-6.5F-7F\nin her five races.&nbsp; This will be a\nfurlong and a half jump and first race at a mile+ distance.&nbsp; How will that affect her when some of the\nothers this weekend are tested at the longer distances?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; Look for her to sit well off the pace as we head into the first turn and a little bit down the backstretch.&nbsp; It wouldn\u2019t surprise me to see her sitting 6<sup>th<\/sup>-10<sup>th<\/sup> before trying to make a move.&nbsp; She hasn\u2019t tried the mile+ distances yet in her career so it\u2019s tough to say whether the added distance will be too much for her to overcome in the stretch or whether it will help give her more ground to claim the lead in the stretch.&nbsp; She\u2019s never finished worse than 2<sup>nd<\/sup>, so expect her to be making a charge late.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">2.  Always Bold&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; simsters6&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Always Dreaming&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 9\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; Favors\nThe Bold (Medaglia D\u2019Oro X A.P. Indy) had a nice career running 34 races and\nfinishing 16-5-2 in those races.&nbsp; She was\nno stranger to the winners circle, though she never won more than a listed\nstakes race.&nbsp; She was a listed stakes\nwinner on both surfaces which is an interesting stat for her.&nbsp; Always Bold is her 6<sup>th<\/sup> offspring\nand the first to win a listed stakes race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; Four\nwins in five races including a Grade I victory last time out in the Darley has\nthis filly looking for three in a row as she heads to the track this\nSaturday.&nbsp; She would break her Maiden on\nMay 2st in a $5,000 HOT before coming back and taking down an NW2L conditioned\nallowance field.&nbsp; Both of those races\nwere at the 6.5 furlong distance but the speeds were key as she improved upon\nher initial 60 speed to run a 77 in the conditioned allowance.&nbsp; Both of those races were in May and she would\ntake June off before coming back in July and struggling a bit in the Grade III\nCanada Day.&nbsp; In that race, she would\nimprove her speed to an 80 but it was on a wet track and she finished out of\nthe money though she did manage a 4<sup>th<\/sup> place finish.&nbsp; She would take about six weeks off and her\nconnections wanted to wait for the longer distances.&nbsp; That would prove to be just what the doctor\nordered as she would win her first mile race, a conditioned allowance, by two lengths\nand run an 86 speed figure.&nbsp; That leads\nus to last time out where, as we previously mentioned, she took down the Grade\nI Darley with an impressive 97 speed figure. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; One that likes to sit about mid-pack, she has come back from 5-6 lengths in each of her last two races to win.&nbsp; Impressive was probably her race last time out where she took down some Grade I competition and was six lengths back before making a move.&nbsp; With the slew of horses in this one that like to sit just off the pace, we could see this filly sitting further back than a lot of other horses though if she ends up too far back (8-10 lengths) then she\u2019ll probably have too much ground to make up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">3.  Exaggerative&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; manndar&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Exaggerator&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 13\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Sky Hook T (Sky Mesa X Afleet) was a lightly\nraced filly running just 14 career races and finishing 1-0-1.&nbsp; She never won more than her maiden and that\nwas a $50,000 Maiden Claimer tag.&nbsp; Her\nlone third place finish came against MSW competition in her two year old\nyear.&nbsp; Exaggerative is actually her first\noffspring and has already won more races and dollars in her two year old career\nthan mom had in her entire racing career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp;\nHas failed to hit the board just twice in her seven career starts so\nfar.&nbsp; It did take her a couple of tries\nto break her maiden back in February of this year.&nbsp; She did manage to do it though and jumped\nright into stakes company.&nbsp; She would win\nthat listed stakes race running a 73 speed figure in March and follow that up\nwith a 2<sup>nd<\/sup> place finish in the Grade III Mothers Day.&nbsp; In June, she would struggle a bit and finish\n5<sup>th<\/sup> in the Grade II Stoker Handicap.&nbsp;\nThat would lead to a bit of a break and she wouldn\u2019t run again until the\nmile races started for two-year-olds.&nbsp;\nHowever, that mile distance suited her well as she ended up running 1<sup>st<\/sup>\nin a conditioned NW3L allowance race.&nbsp;\nHer speed figure jumped nine points to an 88 though and that would be\nenough for her connections to try the Grade I Walnut Tree Stakes.&nbsp; She ran exceptionally well in that one about\nsix weeks ago where she finished 1<sup>st<\/sup> and ran an impressive 93 speed\nfigure.&nbsp; The jump to 8 furlongs has made\nall of the difference for this one and it will be interesting to see how she\ndoes against tough competition today.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; Has shown in her last two races at 8.5 and 8 furlongs that she can run near the pace or well off the pace and win.&nbsp; Overall, with the amount of fillies today that like to run just off the pace today, it wouldn\u2019t surprise me to see her sitting a little further back in th pack though the distance from the pace setter shouldn\u2019t be much.&nbsp; She\u2019ll need a strong stretch run and may need to start her run a little earlier than she might be used to because of the amount of horses that will be making a late push.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">4.  Dawngoesdowntoday&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; theblackcircle&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Quality Road&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 5\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Scatterlings (Kingmambo X Storm Cat) had a\npretty solid race career winning four races in 25 starts.&nbsp; However, what is more impressive is that she\nfinished second 10 times and showed 3 times as well.&nbsp; Her career winnings were just over $200,000\nand she did win one listed stakes race.&nbsp;\nShe has produced one Grade I winner, in addition to Downgoestoday, in her\n9 offspring.&nbsp; She has also produced four\nGraded placed runners and five listed stakes winners.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; Three\nwins in five races so far for this filly out of Quality Road.&nbsp; She would start her career in April by taking\ndown a mid-sized MSW field.&nbsp; From there,\nshe would jump immediately into the Graded ranks running 3<sup>rd<\/sup> and 2<sup>nd<\/sup>\nin the Grade II Vermont BB Juvenile Filly and the Grade III Canada Day.&nbsp; Unfortunately, without a win, her connections\ndecided to test the mile+ waters in a conditioned allowance.&nbsp; She proved there that this was exactly what\nshe needed and won that conditioned allowance race running a then-career best\n92 speed figure.&nbsp; From there, she would\ntest the Grade I waters in the Frickazee Stakes and improve upon that 92 speed\nfigure by running a 96 and once again winning.&nbsp;\nIt\u2019s one of the few horses that have ran multiple races at a mile+ so\nfar and she is undefeated in those two races just like the filly we just\ndiscussed previously.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; Another filly that likes to sit 3-5 lengths off the pace before making a late charge.&nbsp; Overall, she should fit in well there and with her results at the mile+ distance, I believe that she will want to sit no further back than the above mentioned lengths.&nbsp; If she gets any further back, with the amount of fillies that will want to sit around the same distance, I believe she will find herself in a tough position come the end of the race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">5.  Itshelltogetold&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; simsters4&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Var&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 12\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; Everything\nGoes (Seeking The Gold X Northern Dancer) ran 21 career races and finished\n7-6-2 in those races.&nbsp; With career\nearnings just shy of $200,000, she won a listed stakes race but struggled in\nher only Graded attempt of her career.&nbsp;\nShe has produced 11 offspring and Itshelltogetold is the first Grade I\nwinner.&nbsp; Other offspring have been a\nGrade II winner and two listed stakes winners.&nbsp;\nShe has done much better with colts than fillies in the shed so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp;\nShe has managed to increase her speed figure in every one of her first\nfive starts.&nbsp; After winning back to back\nraces to start her career, she made the jump to the Graded ranks.&nbsp; In those two wins, a MSW and conditioned allowance\nfield, she would run 71 and 76 speed figures.&nbsp;\nSpeeds struggled to increase though in race three where she ran just a\n77 and finished 4<sup>th<\/sup> in the Grade III Butterfly Futurity.&nbsp; A month later in the Grade II Hoserhead\nJuvenile Filles, she would increase that speed to 84 but still manage just a 2<sup>nd<\/sup>\nplace finish.&nbsp; Her best career race last\ntime out got her that coveted Grade I win in the Getaway Stakes where she ran\nan 89 speed figure and bested the 11 horse field by 1 \u00bc lengths.&nbsp; Another filly in this race that hasn\u2019t raced\nover the mile distance just yet.&nbsp; It will\nbe interesting to see how the increase in distance helps or hurts her this\nweekend.&nbsp; Her last two races have both\nbeen distance increases and she ran two back-to-back career best speed figure\nincreases.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; She showed in her last race that sitting a little further off the pace isn\u2019t going to slower her down in the stretch and you can expect more of the same as we head into the race this weekend.&nbsp; With showing last time out that she can sit well near the back of the pack, I would expect her to try more of the same this time out.&nbsp; Overall, I believe that that gives her the best chance heading into this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">6.  Stormpire&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 2020massatoga2&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Classic Empire&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 11\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Scratchbred (Classic Empire X Forty Niner X\nStorm Cat)&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; She\nwould begin her career running in three straight months from February through\nApril.&nbsp; In those three races, she would\nfinish 2<sup>nd<\/sup>, 1<sup>st<\/sup>, and 1<sup>st<\/sup> in a MSW, Allowance,\nand Grade III race.&nbsp; After taking a few\nmonths off, she would jump into the Grade II ranks but could only manage a 10<sup>th<\/sup>\nplace finish.&nbsp; A month later, she would\nfinish 7<sup>th<\/sup> in the Grade II Hoserhead Juvenile Fillies.&nbsp; She struggled in both of those races, though\nshe did manage to increase her speed figure in both races running a 75 and 76\nspeed figure respectively.&nbsp; She would run\na double in September running on the 5<sup>th<\/sup> in the URC Spinaway in\nwhich she would run an 82 speed figure and finish 2<sup>nd<\/sup>.&nbsp; She would then run in the Grade I Darley in\nwhich she would finish 2<sup>nd<\/sup> as well.&nbsp;\nHowever, her last time out has to be very encouraging for her\nconnections as she ran a speed figure of 96 in her first attempt at 8.5F.&nbsp; As this race is at the same distance, it\nlooks as though she will be able to hang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position: She hasn\u2019t won a race in which she hasn\u2019t jumped right out into the lead.&nbsp; In fact, she\u2019s faded heavily in the two races where she hasn\u2019t been leading at the halfway point.&nbsp; That will be an important point to watch as they start to close in on that 2<sup>nd<\/sup> turn.&nbsp; If she is running in the lead, chances are that she will be right there in the end.&nbsp; However, if she is sitting off the pace setter, it will be a lot tougher for her to be there in the end.&nbsp; Important to note that she hasn\u2019t been able to hang on to a win since April and that was at 4.5 F.&nbsp; Overall, she\u2019ll want to be way out in front as there will be a lot coming up behind her in the end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">7.  Rightdownthealley&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; kroth&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Flower Alley&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 14\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; Hercomesdaking\n(Bernardini X Kingmambo) finished her 36 race career winning 10 races, placing\nin 8 races, and showing in 4 races.&nbsp; Her\ncareer earnings of just over $330,000 came mostly in allowance company both\nconditioned and open levels.&nbsp; She never\nwon a race above the allowance in her career.&nbsp;\nShe has produced four offspring so far and each of her first three\nstruggled on the track.&nbsp; A few allowance\nrace winners were all that they managed until Rightdownthealley won her Grade\nIII race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; Interesting\nenough, this girl started 2\/2 and won her first two races on both the grass and\nthe dirt.&nbsp; After breaking her maiden on\nthe dirt, she would run in a conditioned allowance on the grass and, as\npreviously mentioned, win her second in a row.&nbsp;\nThose two races in April and May would lead to her first listed stakes\nattempt in June.&nbsp; She would increase her\nspeed figure 9 points but ran just 4<sup>th<\/sup> in that race.&nbsp; Not giving up, her connections would run her\nback at the listed stakes ranks about six weeks later where she would, once again,\nimprove her speed figure and run 2<sup>nd<\/sup>.&nbsp; All four of her first races were either at\nthe 5 furlong or 5.5 furlong mark.&nbsp;\nTaking a chance to see what she had at the mile distance, she would run\nin the Grade III Chicago-DC Lassie.&nbsp; She\ndidn\u2019t disappoint as she increased her speed figure 15 points and ran a 94\nwhile besting the 14 horse field.&nbsp; It was\ncertainly the jump that they were looking for out of her and was enough to\nthrow her into the Breeder\u2019s Bowl this weekend.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position: Another filly that has shown that she can run with the lead or off the pace.&nbsp; Unfortunately, I think you can throw out running style in the first four races as they were all short sprints.&nbsp; What she is really going to want to duplicate is the effort in the mile Grade III that she took last time out.&nbsp; In that race, she sat just off the pace in the fourth position before winning it in the stretch.&nbsp; With the small number of horses that like to set or sit near the pace, I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see her set the pace or sit just a length or two back as we head down the backstretch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">8.  Inferno Hellion&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; beermug&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Curlin&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 12\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Scratchbred (Curlin X Carson City X Candy\nRide)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; She\nwould start her career by breaking her Maiden in May and follow that up in a\nconditioned allowance race one month later.&nbsp;\nWhile she would run just 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in that race, it was enough for\nher connections to jump into the Graded company in July.&nbsp; In the Grade II Hoserhead Juvenile Fillies,\nshe would manage just an 8<sup>th<\/sup> place finish and struggled against\nstakes company.&nbsp; Her connections decided\nto drop her back down into conditioned allowance company.&nbsp; However, she would make the jump to a mile in\ndistance and that would make all the difference as she would win an NW2L and\nincrease her speed figure by 10 points.&nbsp;\nThat would be enough for her to jump back into the Graded ranks and run in\nthe Grade I Walnut Tree Stakes where she would again increase her speed figure\nby 10 points (to 90) and run a strong 2<sup>nd<\/sup> place finish.&nbsp; One thing that may be of importance to her\ntoday is that she has had a little over a month and a half off.&nbsp; Her longest break since starting her racing\ncareer back in May of this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; Looks to sit anywhere from 2-4 lengths off the pace.&nbsp; Whether she\u2019ll have company there or not could determine where she finishes up.&nbsp; She has done well with the increase in distance, but still couldn\u2019t do anything in her race where she was more than 5 lengths off the pace.&nbsp; The distance seems doable for her if she can be about 3-4 lengths back around the midway point of the race.&nbsp; Overall, she\u2019ll probably be near the front unless it\u2019s a quicker pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">9.  Ignore the Noise&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; alysalley&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Nicanor&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 13\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Liveandinconcert (Rahy X Concerto) had a\nshort racing career running 12 races and finishing 2-2-0 in those races.&nbsp; She earned just under $50,000 on the track\nand her only two wins came against MSW and claiming company.&nbsp; She has produced 11 offspring so far, but\nhasn\u2019t had much luck outside of allowance wins.&nbsp;\nIgnore the Noise is the first offspring to win a stakes or Graded race\nin the first 11 foals.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; Our\nmost heavily raced filly actually started off in the claiming ranks.&nbsp; After winning back to back open level\nclaimers in January and February, she would win her third in a row in a\nconditioned allowance.&nbsp; Each of those\nfirst three races were all local bred races for the Maryland area.&nbsp; Even though speeds weren\u2019t anything great,\n64,63,and 68 in those three wins, it was enough for her connections to jump\ninto the Graded ranks.&nbsp; Her first stop in\nMay would be the Grade III Unusual Circumstances Juvenile where she would\nincrease her speed to a 75 but lose her first race running 2<sup>nd<\/sup>.&nbsp; She would once again try the Grade III level\nin the Buggerfly Futurity and increase her speed figure to 80 but finish 3<sup>rd<\/sup>.&nbsp; Her mark was stamped though in July by\nwinning the Grade II Hoserehead Juvenile Fillies by \u00be lengths and running an 86\nspeed figure.&nbsp; That would be enough for\nher last two race attempts to be at the Grade I level.&nbsp; In the Getaway Stakes she would run an 83 and\nfinish 4<sup>th<\/sup> and in the Frickazee Stakes she would run an impressive\n94 speed figure and finish 2<sup>nd<\/sup>.&nbsp;\nThe Frickazee, her race last time out, was her first attempt at the mile\ndistance, so the fact that she ran a 94 speed figure has to have the\nconnections feeling good.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; One of the few fillies that likes to set the pace, look for her to be on the lead or just a little bit off the lead.&nbsp; Interesting enough, she has shown that she can win when setting the pace, and she has shown that she can win sitting a little off the pace as well.&nbsp; In her Grade II win, she was actually sitting 4<sup>th<\/sup> before coming back and winning the race.&nbsp; There isn\u2019t a ton of early speed in this one, so it wouldn\u2019t surprise me to see her as the pace setter.&nbsp; She hasn\u2019t won setting the pace since her 5 furlong conditioned allowance win back in April.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">10.  Seeking The Kegger&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; beermug&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Quality Road&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 9\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background: Scratchbred (Quality Road X Seeking The Gold\nX Tapit)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; One\nof the more lightly raced fillies in the field today is also one of the better\nodds fillies in the race.&nbsp; She didn\u2019t\nbegin her racing career until June earlier this year and ran 3<sup>rd<\/sup> in\nher MSW at 6.5 furlongs.&nbsp; Instead of\ngoing back to the MSW level, her next race two months later would be in a\nconditioned allowance field&nbsp;&nbsp; and she\nwould improve upon her initial 72 speed figure and run an 87 speed figure while\nbesting the field to break her maiden.&nbsp;\nShe would make the immediate jump into the Graded ranks and run in the\nGrade II Camlaw Stakes late in September where she would again best the field\nin her first attempt over a mile while improving her career best speed to\n89.&nbsp; That\u2019s it for this lightly raced\nfilly who hasn\u2019t failed to hit the board in the first three races.&nbsp; Can she continue that streak this weekend and\nwill she make it three in a row?&nbsp; Those are\nthe questions on the connections minds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; Though she has had just three career races, she will want to sit very close to the pace in order to have a shot in this one.&nbsp; In her first career race, she sat a little further off the pace (3.5 lengths) and it was just too much to make up in the end. &nbsp;While she has sat a little further off the pace than that in her first win, the increase in distance certainly helped.&nbsp; I would expect her no more than five lengths off the pace and if she is, I don\u2019t see a path for her.&nbsp; However, if she can remain less than five back by the halfway point, I think she has as good a shot as any.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">11.  Haptics&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; zenyatta10&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Frosted&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 13\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; No\nCommunication (Majesticperfection X More Than Ready) had a nice racing career\nrunning 33 races and finishing 8-4-5 in those races.&nbsp; She won multiple listed stakes races and was\nGraded placed at two.&nbsp; Her career\nearnings total just over $400,000.&nbsp;\nHaptics is her first offspring and won a Grade I at the age of two much\nlike her mother.&nbsp; <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; One\nof the more heavily raced fillies in the field, this girl as seven races under\nher belt including four against graded competition.&nbsp; She\u2019s only had one race outside of stakes competition\nand that was first time out in which she broke her maiden pretty easily at 5.5\nfurlongs.&nbsp; She would follow that up by\nrunning 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in a listed stakes race one month later in April.&nbsp; In May, she would win her first stakes race\nand that would send her on a four race winning streak including a listed\nstakes, the Grade III Butterfly Futurity, the Grade II Red Fish Blue Fish\nstakes, and the Grade 1 Equinics- Petra.&nbsp;\nHer speeds would increase in every one of those races going from 74 in\nher listed stakes win to 86 in that Equinics win.&nbsp; She ran a double in August and underwhelmed\nin the Grade 1 Getaway Stakes on the 30<sup>th<\/sup> of that month. &nbsp;Her speed actually dropped to an 83 and she\nran just 5<sup>th<\/sup> in the 11 horse field.&nbsp;\nShe has had over two months off and got a nice rest after racing seven\ntimes in a six month span.&nbsp; She\u2019ll look\nto get back into her Equinics form this weekend.&nbsp; It\u2019s important to note that she has never\nraced over the 7 furlong mark and hasn\u2019t won at a distance above the 6.5\nfurlong mark so the jump in distance will be an interesting step for her.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; She doesn\u2019t mind sitting a little bit off the pace, but hasn\u2019t been more than five lengths back in any of her wins.&nbsp; It\u2019s tough to judge whether the increase in distance will help or hurt her.&nbsp; With her ability to come back in the stretch, she certainly could fall a little further back in the field, but will falling further back help or hurt her.&nbsp; It will be interesting to see where her jockey sets up as we hit the first turn and into the backstretch. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">12.  Explosive Hot&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; given4&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Into Mischief&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 10\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; Explosive\nNine (Bernardini X Forty Niner) ran 23 career races and finished 8-5-0 in those\nraces.&nbsp; She is one of the few mares to have\nwon a Grade I and produce a Graded winner as well.&nbsp; Her lone career Grade I win came just after\nshe turned three years old.&nbsp; She has\nproduced five offspring though her last two have certainly been the best.&nbsp; She was the mother of Grade II winner\nExplosive road last year and Explosive Hot looks to make back-to-back Graded\nwinners for her offspring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; A\nnice filly out of the always tough Given stables whose best race came last time\nout at the 8.5 furlong distance.&nbsp; She ran\na nice initial race in a $5.000 HOT back in April.&nbsp; While it wasn\u2019t the result that her\nconnections hoped for, she did run a respectable 70 speed figure for a first\ntime out.&nbsp; She would break her maiden\nnext time out by increasing her speed figure to a 73 and running against just\nthe girls.&nbsp; Her first attempt against\nconditioned allowance fillies didn\u2019t go as planned.&nbsp; She would run just a 78 speed figure and\nfinish 4<sup>th<\/sup> in that race.&nbsp; A\nnice break and increase in distance proved to be just what she needed,\nhowever.&nbsp; She would follow up that\ndisappointing 4<sup>th<\/sup> place finish by running a then-career best 83\nspeed figure and capture the win at a mile against conditioned horses in an\nNW2L.&nbsp; That was enough for her\nconnections to make the jump to the Graded ranks.&nbsp; In late September, she would run in the 8.5\nfurlong Grade I Darley.&nbsp; While she didn\u2019t\nbest that field, she did manage to increase her speed figure once again\u2014running\na 92 speed figure and ran a respectable 3<sup>rd<\/sup> place.&nbsp; She\u2019s ran once every about 5-6 weeks, so she\nis right on schedule to run again and that should provide her with a good\nopportunity as we head into the race.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; While she will probably be sitting well off the pace, there will come a point where she won\u2019t want to go too much further back.&nbsp; It showed back in the only race where she failed to hit the board.&nbsp; While she wasn\u2019t too far back length wise, she was behind a lot of other fillies and struggled to catch up in the stretch.&nbsp; The increase in distance has provided a little padding for her to sit further back as evidenced in her last race where she was seven lengths back and ended up 3<sup>rd<\/sup> against a Grade I field.&nbsp; Overall, I would say being 5-7 lengths back would be a good position for her, though that might put her behind a lot of other fillies in this one as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">13.  Suprblood Wolfmoon &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; philippines&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; American Pharoah&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 18\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; Papua\nTheft (A.P. Indy X Mr. Prospector) won nearly $700,000 on track during her\ncareer.&nbsp; She finished her career with 48\nraces and went 9-4-6 in those races.&nbsp; She\nwas a Grade I winner at two and won multiple different stakes races at\ndifferent ages throughout her career.&nbsp;\nShe has 12 offspring so far with pretty good results including a Grade I\nwinner, a Grade II winner, and four listed stakes winners.&nbsp; She hasn\u2019t produced a Graded winner since\n2015.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; If\nthe pattern sticks, she should win this race.&nbsp;\nAfter running 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in her first maiden attempt back in April,\nshe would follow that up by breaking her maiden in May.&nbsp; She would run 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in a conditioned\nallowance after taking about 2 months off and then run first in a conditioned allowance\none month later.&nbsp; Each of those first\nfour races would prove an increase in speed figures from 71-78-83-84.&nbsp; Likewise, she would increase in distance in\nthree of the four races by running at 6.5 furlongs in both maidens before\nrunning 7 furlongs and a mile in the two conditioned allowance races.&nbsp; That leads us to her race last time out.&nbsp; If you are following the pattern then you\nguessed right in that she ran 2<sup>nd<\/sup> in her first attempt at Graded\ncompany.&nbsp; In that race, she would once\nagain increase the distance to 8.5 furlongs and increase her speed figure to\n91.&nbsp; She\u2019s had about a month and a half\noff and has been pretty consistent in running either first or second.&nbsp; This weekend\u2019s race, we will see if the\npatter continues and she wins her first Grade 1 or if the pattern breaks and\nshe once again drops a Graded attempt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Race Predicted Position:&nbsp; Another filly that will look to sit mid-pack as we start to move into final turn, if she is more than 5+ lengths back, she will have a tough time coming back.&nbsp; She seems pretty comfortable being about 3-4 lengths back however and should sit just off the pace.&nbsp; There isn\u2019t a ton of early speed in this one, but there are a lot of fillies that like to sit just a little bit back off the pace.&nbsp; We will see if that causes a crowd for her and if so, does she sit further back or push the pace just a little bit more?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">14.  Western Fantasy&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; nexty&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Tapit&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; 6\/1<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dam Background:&nbsp; Darktwistedfantasy\n(Giant\u2019s Causeway X Gone West) ran 22 career races and finished 5-3-4 in those\nraces.&nbsp; She never won more than an\nallowance race and never even attempted a stakes race in her career.&nbsp; She did win allowance races on both surfaces\nand against both female and male competition.&nbsp;\nShe has produced four foals so far in her breeding career, all of which\nhave won either a stakes race or a Graded race.&nbsp;\nShe\u2019s produced one Grade I winner so far.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Racing Background:&nbsp; Took\nher two races to break her maiden though she managed to do it against open\ncompetition back in April.&nbsp; That was a 14\nhorse field and therefore it makes the win pretty impressive.&nbsp; That race, at 6.5 furlongs was her first race\nwith an 82 speed figure after running a 79 in her first race. She would make\nthe immediate jump into stakes company and run 2<sup>nd<\/sup> and 1<sup>st<\/sup>\nin back to back listed stakes in June and August.&nbsp; Her speeds of 85 and 87 were enough for her\nconnections to try the Graded ranks and a run in the Grade I Frickazee Stakes\nwas just what the doctor ordered.&nbsp; She\nran fairly well finishing 3<sup>rd<\/sup> but running a respectable 91 speed\nfigure.&nbsp; It was also her first attempt at\na mile, so the distance shouldn\u2019t be a problem for her.&nbsp; She has shown well in each stakes races that\nshe has run in and does have the impressive win under her belt against open\ncompetition.&nbsp; Even with no win against\nGraded company, she shouldn\u2019t be one to look down on.\n\n\n\nRace\nPredicted Position:&nbsp; Got a rough post\ndraw for her racing style as she looks to sit well off the pace.&nbsp; It could be tough for her to get down to the\nrail early on and you have to wonder if that might wear on her just a little\nbit.&nbsp; She has tried running with the lead\nand that didn\u2019t work out very well in her first race.&nbsp; Her best races have been when we have seen\nher well off the pace.&nbsp; Don\u2019t count her\nout even if she is well off the pace.&nbsp;\nThe most important thing for her will be making her move at about the 4\nfurlong mark.&nbsp; If she can manage that,\nshe should be there in the end.\n\n\n\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Grade I Breeders\u2019 Bowl Juvenile Filly will take place this Saturday in Kentucky.&nbsp; It will feature 14 of the<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":156,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-53768","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53768","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/156"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=53768"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53768\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53777,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/53768\/revisions\/53777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=53768"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=53768"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=53768"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}