{"id":5094,"date":"2007-11-10T00:42:42","date_gmt":"2007-11-10T00:42:42","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blacktypebugler.com\/?p=5094"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","slug":"oldbtb_1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/?p=5094","title":{"rendered":"Red Bird Handicap"},"content":{"rendered":"

The Grade III Red Bird Handicap<\/B> for 3YO+ fillies and mares is filled with beautifully bred horses, mostly 3YOs, who have been successful in the smaller stakes races but not so in the grades stakes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This 1M race on the turf in Kentucky<\/st1:place><\/st1:State> will be a prep race for many of these 3YOs who will be a major threat in the graded stakes races next year.\u00a0 Everything says I should pick Lake Bemidji or Lamentations but these 3YOs look ready to run with the older horses today.\u00a0<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

ALMARAZI <\/B>(11-1)<\/P>

Almushtarak x Arazi<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 3YO filly has finished in the money in 22 of its 28 races including 10 stakes wins and earlier this year it won the Grade II Whodini<\/B>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This sprinter is ranked 51st<\/SUP> and looks like it could use the added distance.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This will only be its second race at 1M or longer and O\/T greyghost<\/I> hopes the longer distance will break its string of not reaching the winner circle in 8 races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>I look for this long shot to post a 99 rating which will most likely not be enough for this youngster, but it will find the winners circle next year quite often.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

CHATEAU STAR <\/B>(18-1)<\/P>

Fusaichi Pegasus x War Chant<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This lightly raced 4YO has 5 wins in its 10 races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>O\/T chateau<\/I> has brought this filly up slowly through the allowance conditions and Saturday it hopes to press the pace.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This girl has won 4 of its last 6 races is coming off a 6 weeks rest.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It has faded in its last two races over 1M and with the rest I can see this winner of only one stakes race to post a 108 like it did 2 races back.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>At 18-1 it\u2019s going to be hard not to place a few $$ on this one.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>My feeling is that this filly will race probably one more year before it is bred and by that time it should have a few graded stakes wins under its belt.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

FREEZING <\/B>(15-1)<\/P>

Zabeel x Barathea<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This front runner will hope to go wire to wire Saturday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The distance seems to be a problem for this 3YO filly which has one win in its last four races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It was over its head last out in a Grade I race at 6 \u00bd furlongs.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Today I expect it to post a 103 rating which will put it up among the leaders in the stretch if it doesn\u2019t fade.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

GONE WYLDE <\/B>(12-1)<\/P>

Gone West x Northern Dancer<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 4YO filly is a 2-time stakes winner and 3 races back it won the Grade II Davarto<\/B> Coker Paradise<\/st1:place> Stakes<\/B> at 1 1\/8M.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This winner of 2 of its last four races should post 103 rating.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This filly is hard to figure out because it keeps changing its running style.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If it presses for the lead it could make it difficult for the others to catch it in the stretch.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

MAMBOGATE <\/B>(8-1)<\/P>

Lydgate x Kingmambo<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 3YO filly has finished in the money in 14 of its 16 sprint races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The last four races this girl has posted triple digit numbers for O\/T glbstable<\/I> and the added distance should be a blessing.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This 2-time winner of stakes races hopes sit about 3 to 5 lengths off the leaders as they head into the stretch and with a nice kick due to the extra distance should post a nice 105 or better rating.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

SPIN WITH PRIDE <\/B>(14-1)<\/P>

Spinning World x Kingmambo<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 3YO won last out with a 103 at 1M in an allowance race which broke a string of four disappointing races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Those races it seemed to be misplaced in those graded stakes.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This stakes winner of 6 races back should be able to pop a 102 on Saturday and it has finished in the money in six of its 7 route races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

LADY\u2019S NEW CAUSE <\/B>(7-1)<\/P>

Giant\u2019s Causeway<\/st1:place> x Kalanisi<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This closer has struggled in stakes races and graded level races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It seems to have broken its trend of fading in the stretch based on its last two races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This lightly raced 3YO filly has broken the triple digit rating in its last 5 races and could easily post a 104 or better rating.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It does have only one win in 5 races after it started out with 4 wins in its first six races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Not sure why but I have a feeling O\/T ladyssecre<\/I> plans on changing its style and have it press the pace and go for the win.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

FIVE CIRCLES <\/B>(12-1)<\/P>

Olympio x Kris S.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 5YO mare is the off track specialist that has not been in the winners circle in its last four races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This true closer should be about 8 to 10 lengths off the leaders as they head into the stretch.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This 2-time winner of stakes races hopes the turf is not firm as it has only 5 wins in 26 starts on a firm surface.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If the surface is not firm this is a dangerous horse with 7 wins in 14 starts under those conditions.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Last out it posted a 97 on a firm surface at 7 furlongs and it needed more distance that it will get today.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

THEORY OF LOVE<\/B> (9-1)<\/P>

Forestry x Capote<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This lightly raced 3YO just missed last out in the Cavalcade Mile<\/B>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This filly started her career on the turf but switched to the dirt races winning one stakes race.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Its last two races have been on turf resulting in a 106 averaged rating, but it will be racing on only two weeks rest.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>O\/T cub<\/I>\u2019s switch to turf has awakened this filly and it should be a major threat on Saturday.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

WONDERGIRL CHERYL <\/B>(12-1)<\/P>

Sakhee x Seattle<\/st1:place><\/st1:City> Slew<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 6YO mare hopes to go wire to wire Saturday.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The last 3 graded stakes races have been disappointing for O\/T wonder2<\/I>.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Prior to its current slide it had four triple digit speed ratings with a 103 average; which includes a stakes win at 1 1\/4M.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This 5-time stakes winner seems to be best suited for races at 10 furlongs, but with its style it could pull off an upset.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

FOUGHT THE LAW <\/B>(18-1)<\/P>

Empire Maker x Danzig<\/st1:place><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 3YO filly is already a 2-time stakes winner that has struggled in its last 7 graded stakes races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This has struggled in its last 3 races especially with declining numbers which is a bad sign.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>The 5 week layoff should help stop the slide but I\u2019m not sure if this filly needs a longer race to finally break into the graded stakes winners circle<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

LAKE<\/B><\/st1:PlaceType> BEMIDJI<\/st1:PlaceName><\/B><\/st1:place> <\/B>(6-1)<\/P>

Miswaki x Danzig<\/st1:place><\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 5YO mare has already earned $1.9M for O\/T ajr15<\/I> in 39 races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This is one of the great turf horses on the circuit with 15 turf wins in 29 starts, but fourteen of those wins were in sprints.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This 9-time winner of stakes races also has wins in the Grade II Independence Day BB Stakes<\/B> at 1M and the Grade I The No Respect Blitz<\/B> in 06.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This year it won the Grade III Boon Turf Stakes <\/B>at 6 furlongs five races back.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It definitely needs the added distance of today\u2019s race since it has struggled badly in 3 of its last four races.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This closer could pop a 104 rating.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

LAMENTATIONS <\/B>(6-1)<\/P>

War Chant x Sadler\u2019s Wells<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 4YO filly is the winner of the Grade II Pepperton Mile <\/B>two races back with a very nice 107 rating.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>If this horse is sharp it will easily post a 104 and probably better as it will press the pace.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>A problem I see for this co-favorite is that it has faded when trying to go wire to wire.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>Don\u2019t leave this beauty out of your trifecta as it has scored in 15 of its 22 route turf races.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

AURUM PRADO <\/B>(9-1)<\/P>

El Prado x Seeking the Gold<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

This 4YO filly has struggled in stakes races as it has only one win in 12 attempts.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>It looks like it will also go for the lead and try to win the graded race wire to wire.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>In its last two races at 1 1\/16M it has posted a 105 rating and with a drop in distance this might solve its tendency to fade in the stretch.\u00a0 <\/SPAN>This winner of 3 of its last six races seems to be limited to races at 1M which if it can overcome its bad post position could shock the two co-favorites it will be racing next to.<\/P>

\u00a0<\/o:p><\/P>

2 \u2013 14 \u2013 13 \u2013 9<\/o:p><\/SPAN><\/B><\/P><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

UPSET ALERT IN KENTUCKY<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":49,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5094","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-previews"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5094","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/49"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=5094"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5094\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=5094"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=5094"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/btb.ehorseracing.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=5094"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}